• 제목/요약/키워드: Frequency of accidents

검색결과 615건 처리시간 0.024초

한국철도의 위험도 평가방안에 관한 연구 (Risk Assessment for Railway Related Accidents in Korea)

  • 오주택;최은수
    • 한국철도학회논문집
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    • 제7권2호
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    • pp.99-106
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    • 2004
  • This paper presents the procedures and the results conducted by the proposed one for the risk assessment based on the accident statistics in the Korean railway. Approximately 1200 accident data were used for this study, and risk models were developed to describe the potential hazards. A risk assessment was conducted using the potential problem analysis technique qualitatively. Additionally, this study performed a regional risk assessment. The results of this study showed that the risks for collisions between trains and derailment are relatively low. However, grade crossing and public accident and accidents of workers on tracks take high risks. A large number of accidents is concentrated on the three regions such as Suwon, Chunan, and Chungrangri.

LSTM을 이용한 교통사고 발생 패턴 예측 (Forecasting of Traffic Accident Occurrence Pattern Using LSTM)

  • 노유진;배상훈
    • 한국ITS학회 논문지
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.59-73
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    • 2021
  • 교통사고로 인한 많은 인명피해가 발생하고 있으나, 첨단 기술의 발전에도 불구하고 교통사고 발생은 줄어들지 않고 있다. 교통사고를 사전에 예방하기 위해서는 향후 사고가 어떻게 변화하여 갈 것인지를 정확하게 예측할 필요가 있다. 지금까지 교통사고 발생 빈도 예측은 주요 연구 분야가 아니었으며 주로 과거 일정 기간의 통계를 기반으로 전통적인 방법으로 미시적으로 분석되어 왔다. 최근 AI 기술이 교통사고 분야에 도입 되었음에도 불구하고 주로 교통 흐름 예측에 초점을 맞추고 있어, 본 연구에서는 2014년부터 2019년까지 국내에서 발생한 1,339,587건의 교통사고 기록을 시계열 데이터로 변환하고 AI 알고리즘 LSTM을 이용하여 연령별, 시간별 교통사고 발생 빈도를 예측하였다. 또한 코로나-19로 인한 교통 환경의 변화에 맞추어 예측값과 실제값을 비교 검증하였다. 향후 이러한 연구결과가 교통사고 예방의 정책개선으로 이어지고 사고 예방에 활용 될 것으로 기대된다.

2000년대 국내 항공기 사고·준사고 발생유형 사례연구 (A case study on the Occurrence Category of aircraft accidents and serious incidents in Korea in the 2000's)

  • 최영재;안재형;유경인;박정권
    • 한국항공운항학회지
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    • 제21권4호
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    • pp.119-125
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    • 2013
  • Since year 2001 to the present time, the aircraft accidents and serious incidents in our country have surpassed 150 occurrences. The Boeing has published the statistical summary of commercial jet airplane accidents annually for the past 10 years on the basis of the occurrence categories defined by the CICTT(CAST/ICAO Common Taxonomy Team), and the number of occurrences is in order of loss of control(LOC-I), controlled flight into terrain(CFIT) and runway excursion (RE). Like the NTSB and the EASA, when fatal and non-fatal accidents are aggregated, though fatality rate is low, abnormal runway contact(ARC), system/component failure(SCF-PP/NP), ground handling(RAMP) rank high in the CICTT occurrence categories. With the less occurrence frequency, it is difficult to statistically analyze the aircraft accidents in our country, thus customarily the accidents and the serious incidents on aggregate are consolidated, and the statistical analysis is performed. This study categorizes the accidents and serious incidents to the domestic transportation aircraft in the past 10 years according to the CICTT occurrence categories, that is compared with foreign practices, and the implications have been discussed. From years 2001 through 2010, the accidents to the domestic transportation aircraft occurred in order of system failure(SCF-NP), ARC and power plant failure(SCF-PP), and when the accidents and the serious incidents are consolidated and analyzed, it is verified that a distribution appears similar to the European accident occurrence categories defined from 300 accident occurrence data.

반도체 PR 공정의 인화성 물질 누출 빈도분석을 통한 위험성 평가 (Risk Assessment of Semiconductor PR Process based on Frequency Analysis of Flammable Material Leakage)

  • 박명남;천광수;이진석;신동일
    • 한국가스학회지
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    • 제25권5호
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    • pp.1-10
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    • 2021
  • 반도체 Photo Resist (PR) 자동화 장비는 여러 인화성 물질을 혼합하여 사용하며, 인화성 물질이 공정 중 누출되는 경우 다양한 사고로 이어질 수 있어 위험성 평가가 필요하다. 본 연구는 PR 자동화 장비에서 사용되는 Acetone, PGMEA의 누출 빈도와 이러한 누출이 화재 사고로 이어질 수 있는 빈도를 빈도분석 방법을 통해 분석하였으며, 현 설비의 추가적인 위험성 경감 조치의 필요성을 평가하였다. IOGP의 공정 누출 데이터와 점화 확률 데이터를 기반으로 누출 빈도 및 점화 확률을 도출하였으며, 이를 조합하여 실제 화재 사고의 빈도를 분석하였다. 반도체 PR 공정 중에 발생할 수 있는 물질 누출에 대한 빈도는 7.30E-03/year이며, 화재 사고는 물질이 누출되었을 때 인화점 이상의 상태로 존재하는 Acetone에 의해 발생할 수 있으며, 빈도는 1.24E-05/year의 수준으로 계산되었다. UK HSE에서 제시하는 자료에 따르면, 1.24E-05/year의 빈도로 발생하는 주요 사고에 대해서는 7명 이내의 사망자를 발생시킬 때 위험성 경감을 위한 추가 조치가 필요 없는 수준 "Broadly Acceptable" 이라고 정의하고 있어, 2인 1조로 운영되는 공정의 특성상 별도의 위험성 경감 조치가 요구되지 않는다.

Diagnosis of Medium Voltage Cables for Nuclear Power Plant

  • Ha, Che-Wung;Lee, Do Hwan
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
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    • 제9권4호
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    • pp.1369-1374
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    • 2014
  • Most accidents of medium-voltage cables installed in nuclear power plants result from the initial defect of internal insulators or the initial failure due to poor construction. However, as the service years of plants increase, the possibility of cable accidents is also rapidly increases. This is primarily caused by electric, mechanical, thermal, and radiation stresses. Recently, much attention is paid to the study of cable diagnoses. To date, partial discharge and Tan${\delta}$ measurements are known as reliable methods to diagnose the aging of medium-voltage cables. High frequency partial discharge measurement techniques have been widely used to diagnose cables in transmission and distribution systems. However, the on-line high frequency partial discharge technique has not been used in the nuclear power plants because of the plant shutdown risk, degraded measurement sensitivity, and application problems. In this paper, the partial discharge measurement with a portable device was tried to evaluate the integrity of the 4.16kV and 13.8kV cable lines. The test results show that the high detection sensitivity can be achieved by the high frequency partial discharge technique. The present technique is highly attractive to diagnose medium voltage cables in nuclear power plants.

사고분석 및 카이제곱 통계량을 이용한 승강기 안전성제고 방안 (A Study on the Safety Improvement Methodology of Lifts using Chi-Square Statistics)

  • 권순걸;김창은
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제30권6호
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    • pp.156-163
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    • 2015
  • The number of the lifts installed and used in Korea totals up to 526,676 units as of the end of December 2014, due to the development and urbanization of this country. Since the lift is one of the convenience facilities and especially a kind of essential transportation facilities used by a majority of passengers everyday, it is necessarily required to manage the lift safety. Therefore, this study aims to determine the 5 factors(kinds of lifts, ages of victims, causes of accidents, seasons in accidents, usages of buildings) affecting the types(caught in, trip over, falling, collision) and the injury levels(death, serious injury, minor injury) of the lift accidents based on the analysis of the total victims of 1,514 people due to the 1,146 accidents which have occurred for the past 15 years, and to find the frequency and ratio of each factor in the accidents, and to make a correlation among the factors. As the result of the analysis, it shows that there exists a statistically significant correlation among the factors.

Trends and Issues in Safety Management of Elevators in Korea

  • Choi, Gi-Heung
    • International Journal of Safety
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    • 제6권2호
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    • pp.13-16
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    • 2007
  • This study focuses on the trends and issues of improving safety management of elevators in Korea. Frequency and severity of accidents in relation to conditional pass in periodic inspection, maintenance, market surveillance are analyzed based on the statistical data and social cost due to a variety of related fields in managing elevator safety was estimated first. The results of statistical analysis performed in this study will provide logical basis and future direction for improving the safety management system. The role of certification and supervision is particularly addressed to reduce the related accidents and the social cost. The effectiveness of such procedures can be found from the results of simple statistical analysis.

운전자 특성에 따른 안전 의식 수준과 재해예방 대책에 대한 연구 (A Study on Level of Safety Awareness and Disaster Prevention Measures According to Driver's Characteristic)

  • 이만수
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제15권4호
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    • pp.131-136
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    • 2013
  • Automobile was first introduced in 1903 in South Korea, the masses of the car was carried out rapidly compared to other countries. However, many people were killed in a traffic accidents and economic loss was occurred due to the spread of the automobile. In South Korea, 2012, traffic accident occurred 223,656 times, 5,392 fatality, 344,565 injured people. In the last five years, about 224,000 accidents per year were occurring. In other words, 610 traffic accidents occur and about 15 people pass away in one day. In addition, the proportion of traffic accidents is first place in the OECD countries and it is very high in the world. Understand occurrence tendency of traffic accident, accident frequency rate of the driver who drives more than 10 years was higher than the novice driver. In addition, as a result of examining the cause of the traffic accident, breach of safe driving obligation appears highest case (125,391 times), and followed by signal violation, break safety distance. Therefore, the majority of traffic accidents occurred by the lack of safety awareness of the driver. In this study, prevent the loss of human life and property in traffic disaster, by establish disaster prevention measures that investigated by questionnaire survey and statistical data of the state of consciousness and driving posture in response to the driving history of the driver.

Occurrence Characteristics of Marine Accidents Caused by Typhoon around Korean Peninsula

  • Yang, Chan-Su;Kim, Yeon-Gyu;Gong, In-Young
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2004년도 Asia Navigation Conference
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    • pp.64-73
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    • 2004
  • During the period of every summer to early autumn seasons, ships have been wrecked or grounded from effect of a typhoon in the waters around Korean Peninsular. Typhoon Rusa killed more than 100 people in September 2002. Super Typhoon Maemi passed southeast of South Korea in September 12-13, 2003, with gale winds blowing at a record 60 m/s and caused much ship groundings, collisions and sinkings over 3000 in dockyards, harbors and places of refuge. These are things that could have been prevented had there merely been prior warning. The aim of this study is to examine what effect these typhoons had on occurrence characteristics of the maritime accidents in South Korea. In this work, records of marine accidents caused by a typhoon are investigated for the period from 1962 to 2002. The distribution is also compared with the trajectories of typhoons, passed during the 1990-2003. It is shown that attack frequency of typhoon and number of marine accidents is the highest in August. We use the track data of Maemi such as central pressure, maximum sustained wind speed and area of each 15m/s and 25m/s winds as a case study to draw a map as a risk index.

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중국의 위험물 창고 보관사고 분석 및 안전관리방안에 관한 연구 (Dangerous goods warehouse storage accident and safety management: evidence from Chinese data analysis)

  • 소막;유염봉;두사문;박근식
    • 무역학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.149-166
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    • 2021
  • This paper aims to reduce the frequency of dangerous goods storage accidents in China. Advocating the managers of warehousing and logistics enterprises to pay attention to the operation process of dangerous goods warehousing business. Improving the safe storage and management capabilities of dangerous goods warehouses. This article first collects official data on dangerous goods storage accidents in China and conducts a general statistical analysis of the accidents. Based on the results of accident statistics and related literature research on dangerous goods storage management, establish a dangerous goods storage safety management factor system, use the analytic hierarchy process, establish a factor importance questionnaire and implement data collection. Through statistics, this paper finds that the storage accidents of dangerous goods in China in the past ten years mainly occurred in the inbound phase of dangerous goods and the storage phase of dangerous goods warehouses. Through the results of the analytic hierarchy process, it is found that the professionalism of the dangerous goods storage practitioners, the compliance of the practitioners with safety regulations, and the awareness of operational safety are the most important.