• Title/Summary/Keyword: Extreme value

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The Likelihood for a Two-Dimensional Poisson Exceedance Point Process Model

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.15 no.5
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    • pp.793-798
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    • 2008
  • Extreme value inference deals with fitting the generalized extreme value distribution model and the generalized Pareto distribution model, which are recently combined to give a single model, namely a two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson exceedance point process model. In this paper, we extend the two-dimensional non-homogeneous Poisson process model to include non-stationary effect or dependence on covariates and then derive the likelihood for the extended model.

Estimation for the Extreme Value Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.3
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    • pp.629-638
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    • 2005
  • We derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and location parameter of the extreme value distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples.

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On Efficient Estimation of the Extreme Value Index with Good Finite-Sample Performance

  • Yun, Seokhoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.57-72
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    • 1999
  • Falk(1994) showed that the asymptotic efficiency of the Pickands estimator of the extreme value index $\beta$ can considerably be improved by a simple convex combination. In this paper we propose an alternative estimator of $\beta$ which is as asymptotically efficient as the optimal convex combination of the Pickands estimators but has a better finite-sample performance. We prove consistency and asymptotic normality of the proposed estimator. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the finite-sample performances of the proposed estimator and the optimal convex combination estimator.

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On Weak Convergence of Some Rescaled Transition Probabilities of a Higher Order Stationary Markov Chain

  • Yun, Seok-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.313-336
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    • 1996
  • In this paper we consider weak convergence of some rescaled transi-tion probabilities of a real-valued, k-th order (k $\geq$ 1) stationary Markov chain. Under the assumption that the joint distribution of K + 1 consecutive variables belongs to the domain of attraction of a multivariate extreme value distribution, the paper gives a sufficient condition for the weak convergence and characterizes the limiting distribution via the multivariate extreme value distribution.

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Goodness-of-fit Test for the Extreme Value Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Seuk;Han, Jun-Tae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.19 no.4
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    • pp.1441-1448
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    • 2008
  • We propose the modified quantile-quantile (Q-Q) plot using the approximate maximum likelihood estimators and the modified normalized sample Lorenz curve (NSLC) plot for the extreme value distribution based on multiply Type-II censored samples. Using two example data sets, we picture the modified Q-Q plot and the modified NSLC plot.

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Estimation for the Generalized Extreme Value Distribution Based on Multiply Type-II Censored Samples

  • Han, Jun-Tae;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.817-826
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    • 2007
  • In this paper, we derive the approximate maximum likelihood estimators of the scale parameter and the location parameter in a generalized extreme value distribution under multiply Type-II censoring by the approximate maximum likelihood estimation method. We compare the proposed estimators in the sense of the mean squared error for various censored samples.

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Estimation for the extreme value distribution under progressive Type-I interval censoring

  • Nam, Sol-Ji;Kang, Suk-Bok
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2014
  • In this paper, we propose some estimators for the extreme value distribution based on the interval method and mid-point approximation method from the progressive Type-I interval censored sample. Because log-likelihood function is a non-linear function, we use a Taylor series expansion to derive approximate likelihood equations. We compare the proposed estimators in terms of the mean squared error by using the Monte Carlo simulation.

Minimax Choice and Convex Combinations of Generalized Pickands Estimator of the Extreme Value Index

  • Yun, Seokhoon
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.3
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    • pp.315-328
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    • 2002
  • As an extension of the well-known Pickands (1975) estimate. for the extreme value index, Yun (2002) introduced a generalized Pickands estimator. This paper searches for a minimax estimator in the sense of minimizing the maximum asymptotic relative efficiency of the Pickands estimator with respect to the generalized one. To reduce the asymptotic variance of the resulting estimator, convex combinations of the minimax estimator are also considered and their asymptotic normality is established. Finally, the optimal combination is determined and proves to be superior to the generalized Pickands estimator.

Estimation and Performance Analysis of Risk Measures using Copula and Extreme Value Theory (코퓰러과 극단치이론을 이용한 위험척도의 추정 및 성과분석)

  • Yeo, Sung-Chil
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.481-504
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    • 2006
  • VaR, a tail-related risk measure is now widely used as a tool for a measurement and a management of financial risks. For more accurate measurement of VaR, recently we are particularly concerned about the approach based on extreme value theory rather than the traditional method based on the assumption of normal distribution. However, many studies about the approaches using extreme value theory was done only for the univariate case. In this paper, we discuss portfolio risk measurements with modelling multivariate extreme value distributions by combining copulas and extreme value theory. We also discuss the estimation of ES together with VaR as portfolio risk measures. Finally, we investigate the relative superiority of EVT-copula approach than variance-covariance method through the back-testing of an empirical data.

A study on the corrosion evaluation and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipeline in residential buildings

  • Jeong, Jin-A;Jin, Chung-Kuk;Lee, Jin Uk
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.39 no.8
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    • pp.828-832
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    • 2015
  • This study is conducted for the evaluation of corrosion and lifetime prediction of fire extinguishing pipelines in residential buildings. The fire extinguishing pipeline is made of carbon steel. Twenty-four samples were selected among all the fire extinguishing pipelines in a building; the selection was based on specimenspositions, pipeline diameters, and pipeline thickness. Analysis was conducted by using the results of visual inspection, electrochemical potentiodynamic anodic polarization test, pitting depth measurements, and extreme value statistics with the Gumbel distribution. The maximum pitting depth and remaining life were statistically predicted using extreme value statistics. During visual inspection, pitting corrosion was observed in several samples. In addition, extreme value statistics demonstrated that there were several pipelines that were very sensitive to pitting corrosion. However, the pitting corrosion was not critical in all the pipelines; thus, it was necessary to change only those pipelines that were severely corroded.