• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제24권1호
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• pp.29-41
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• 2017

The estimation problem of expected time to failure of units is studied in a discrete set up. A simple step-stress accelerated life testing is considered with a Type-I censored sample from geometric distribution that is a commonly used distribution to model the lifetime of a device in discrete case. Maximum likelihood estimators as well as the associated distributions are derived. Exact, approximate and bootstrap approaches construct confidence intervals that are compared via a simulation study. Optimal confidence intervals are suggested in view of the expected width and coverage probability criteria. An illustrative example is also presented to explain the results of the paper. Finally, some conclusions are stated.

• Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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• 제37권3호
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• pp.257-265
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• 2011

Plant-specific analyses of 5 types of domestic reactors in Korea are performed to assure the structural integrity of the reactor pressure vessel (RPV) during transients which are expected to initiate pressurized thermal shock (PTS) events. The failure probability of the RPV due to PTS is obtained by performing probabilistic fracture mechanics analysis. The through-wall cracking frequency is calculated and compared to the acceptance criterion. Considering the fluence at the end of life expected by surveillance test, the sufficient safety margin is expected for the structural integrity of all reactor pressure vessels except for the oldest one during the pressurized thermal shock events. If the flaw with aspect ratio of 1/12 is considered to eliminate the conservatism, the acceptance criteria is not exceeded for all plants until the fluence level of $8{\times}10^{19}\;n/cm^2$, generating sufficient margin beyond the design life.

• 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전산구조공학회 2001년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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• pp.201-210
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• 2001

In this study, large-scale distributed design approach for a life cycle cost (LCC) optimization of steel box girder bridges was implemented. A collaborative optimization approach is one of the multidisciplinary design optimization approaches and it has been proven to be best suited for distributed design environment. The problem of optimum LCC design of steel box girder bridges is formulated as that of minimization of the expected total LCC that consists of initial cost maintenance cost expected retrofit costs for strength, deflection and crack. To discuss the possibility of the application for the collaborative optimization of steel box girder bridges, the results of this algorithm are compared with those of single level algorithm. From the numerical investigations, the collaborative optimization approach proposed in this study may be expected to be new concepts and design methodologies associated with the LCC approach.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.517-526
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• 1999

This paper deals with two economic optimal designs of constant-stress accelerated life test(ALT) where failure distribution follows one of location-scale family, i. e., exponential, Weibull, and lognormal distributions which have been ones of the popular choices of failure distributions. Two optimization criteria to develop ALT plans are the statistical efficiency per unit expected cost which consists of the fixed test cost, cost being proportional to the number of test units, and variable test cost depending on test period and stress level, and the expected loss which combines Taguchi's quadratic loss function and expected test cost. Optimum plan determines the low stress level, test units allocated to each stress, and censoring times at two stress levels under Type I censoring. The proposed ALT plans are illustrated with a numerical example and sensitivity analyses are conducted to study effects of pre-estimates of design parameters.

• 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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• 대한전기학회 2004년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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• pp.176-178
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• 2004

HTS (High Temperature Superconducting) Transformer has the several useful characteristics in the viewpoints of technical and economical. Especially, an HTS transformer replaces the copper wire coils in a conventional transformer with lower loss HTS wire In addition, inexpensive, environmentally benign liquid nitrogen replaces the conventional oil as the electrical insulation (dielectric) and provides the necessary cooling for the HTS transformer Therefore, the Life-cycle cost of an HTS transformer is much more attractive than conventional because it is more energy efficient, lighter in weight, smaller in size, and environmentally compliant. HTS transformer can be the best way to replace with conventional transformer in the future. In this paper, we investigate the expected price of HTS transformer to have a merit in viewpoint of economic aspect. First, life-cycle cost of conventional transformer is calculated and based on this, the expected price of HTS transformer is evaluated, which HTS transformer is competitive against conventional transformer.

• 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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• 제53권9호
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• pp.507-512
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• 2004

HTS (High Temperature Superconducting) Transformer has the several useful characteristics in the viewpoints of technical and economical. Especially, an HTS transformer replaces the copper wire coils in a conventional transformer with lower loss HTS wire. In addition, inexpensive, environmentally benign liquid nitrogen replaces the conventional oil as the electrical insulation (dielectric) and provides the necessary cooling for the HTS transformer Therefore, the Life-cycle cost of an HTS transformer is much more attractive than conventional because it is more energy efficient, lighter in weight, smaller in size, and environmentally compliant. HTS transformer can be the best way to replace with conventional transformer in the future. In these days, companies world-wide have conducted researches on HTS transformer. A development project for a 154kV HTS transformer is proceeding at a research center and university in Korea. In this paper, we investigate the expected price of HTS transformer to have a merit in viewpoint of economic aspect. First, life-cycle cost of conventional transformer is calculated and based on this, the expected price of HTS transformer is evaluated. which HTS transformer is competitive against conventional transformer.

• 품질경영학회지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.101-110
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• 1998

The mean residual life function is the expected remaining life of an item at age $\chi$. The problem of trend change in the mean residual life is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper we develop a new test statistic for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend based on a complete sample. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to compare the perfor mance of our test statistic with that of previously known tests.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제7권3호
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• pp.789-798
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• 2000

The mean residual function is the expected remaining life of an item at age x. The problem of trend change in the mean residual life is great interest in the reliability and survival analysis. In this paper, we develop a family of test statistics for testing whether or not the mean residual life changes its trend. The asymptotic normality of the test statistics is established. Monte Carlo simulations are conducted to study the performance of our test statistics.

• 한국전기전자재료학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국전기전자재료학회 2000년도 제2회 학술대회 논문집 일렉트렛트 및 응용기술전문연구회
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• pp.21-24
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• 2000

Traction motors driven by several type inverters have been subjected to increasing demands for higher operating temperature, more demands for duty cycles, higher starting current, frequent voltage transients and finally severe environmental exposure. For applications to inverter duty, traction motors needs a special insulation system, which has characteristics of increased bond strength, lower operating temperature and higher turn-to-tum insulation. Also it needs major contributors to insulation life and reliability of motors, which more considered by temperature, voltage, frequency, rise time, pulse configuration, wire thickness and insulation materials. In this paper, to evaluate of reliability and expected life, it is analyzed the several stresses and their degradation mechanism on insulation system of AC traction motor.

• 응용통계연구
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• 제9권1호
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• pp.53-73
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• 1996

일정형 및 계단형 가속수명시험의 시험설계에 대한 일반적인 모형과 최적설계에 대한 최근의 연구결과를 소개하고, 수명분포가 와이블인 경우에 대하여 두가지 시험방법에 대한 최적설계를 점근분산의 행태, 설계변수의 효과, 최적시험조건에서 시험종결 시점까지의 기대고장개수 및 기대시험종결시간, 점근분산의 상대적효율과 설계변수의 사전추정치에 대한 둔감성의 측면에서 비교, 분석하였다.