• Title/Summary/Keyword: Empirical Parameter

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Parameter Estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM 모니터링을 위한 확산 모형의 계수 추정)

  • Kim, Jin-O;Choi, Cheong-Hun;Kim, Jung-Hoon;Lee, Chang-Ho;Kim, Chang-Seob
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.48 no.10
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    • pp.1183-1189
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    • 1999
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to the following parameters; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameters precisely, there has been no empirical way in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints can be empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves and forecasted values of the peak for the high-efficient lighting. The feedback and nonlinear least-square parameter estimation methods used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and to predict the effect of DSM program.

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Parameter estimation of the Diffusion Model for Demand Side Management Monitoring System (DSM Monitoring을 위한 확산 모델의 계수 추정)

  • Choi, Cheong-Hun;Jeong, Hyun-Su;Kim, Jin-O
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1998.07c
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    • pp.1073-1075
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents the method of parameter estimation of diffusion model for monitoring Demand-Side Management Program. Bass diffusion model was applied in this paper, which has different values according to parameters ; coefficients of innovation, imitation and potential adopters. Though it is very important to estimate three parameter, there are no empirical results in practice. Thus, this paper presents the method of parameter estimation in case of few data with constraints to reduce the possibility of bad estimation. The constraints are empirical results or expert's decision. Case studies show the diffusion curves of high-efficient lighting and also forecasting of the peak value for power demand considering diffusion of high-efficient lighting, the feedback and least-square parameter estimation method used in this paper enable us to evaluate the status and forecasting of the effect of DSM program.

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An empirical model for amplitude prediction on VIV-galloping instability of rectangular cylinders

  • Niu, Huawei;Zhou, Shuai;Chen, Zhengqing;Hua, Xugang
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.85-103
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    • 2015
  • Aerodynamic forces of vortex-induced vibration and galloping are going to be coupled when their onset velocities are close to each other, which will induce the cross-wind amplitudes of the structures increased continuously with ever-increasing wind velocities. The main purpose of the present work is going to propose an empirical formula to predict the response amplitude of VIV-galloping interaction. Firstly, two typical mathematical models for the coupled oscillations, i.e., Tamura & Shimada model and Parkinson & Corless model are comparatively summarized. Then, the key parameter affecting response amplitude is determined through comparative numerical simulations with Tamura & Shimada model. For rectangular cylinders with the side ratio from 0.5 to 2.5, which are actually prone to develop the VIV and galloping induced interaction responses, an empirical amplitude prediction formula is proposed after regression analysis on comprehensively collected experimental data with the predetermined key parameter.

Non-Conservatism of Bonferroni-Adjusted Test

  • Jeon, Cyeong-Bae;Lee, Sung-Duck
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.219-227
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    • 2001
  • Another approach (multi-parameter measurement method) of interlaboratory studies of test methods is presented. When the unrestricted normal likelihood for the fixed latent variable model is unbounded, we propose a me쇙 of restricting the parameter space by formulating realistic alternative hypothesis under which the likelihood is bounded. A simulation study verified the claim of conservatism of level of significance based on assumptions about central chi-square distributed test statistics and on Bonferroni approximations. We showed a randomization approach that furnished empirical significance levels would be better than a Bonferroni adjustment.

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Fundamental vibration frequency prediction of historical masonry bridges

  • Onat, Onur
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • v.69 no.2
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    • pp.155-162
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    • 2019
  • It is very common to find an empirical formulation in an earthquake design code to calculate fundamental vibration period of a structural system. Fundamental vibration period or frequency is a key parameter to provide adequate information pertinent to dynamic characteristics and performance assessment of a structure. This parameter enables to assess seismic demand of a structure. It is possible to find an empirical formulation related to reinforced concrete structures, masonry towers and slender masonry structures. Calculated natural vibration frequencies suggested by empirical formulation in the literatures has not suits in a high accuracy to the case of rest of the historical masonry bridges due to different construction techniques and wide variety of material properties. For the listed reasons, estimation of fundamental frequency gets harder. This paper aims to present an empirical formulation through Mean Square Error study to find ambient vibration frequency of historical masonry bridges by using a non-linear regression model. For this purpose, a series of data collected from literature especially focused on the finite element models of historical masonry bridges modelled in a full scale to get first global natural frequency, unit weight and elasticity modulus of used dominant material based on homogenization approach, length, height and width of the masonry bridge and main span length were considered to predict natural vibration frequency. An empirical formulation is proposed with 81% accuracy. Also, this study draw attention that this accuracy decreases to 35%, if the modulus of elasticity and unit weight are ignored.

Weak Convergence of U-empirical Processes for Two Sample Case with Applications

  • Park, Hyo-Il;Na, Jong-Hwa
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2002
  • In this paper, we show the weak convergence of U-empirical processes for two sample problem. We use the result to show the asymptotic normality for the generalized dodges-Lehmann estimates with the Bahadur representation for quantifies of U-empirical distributions. Also we consider the asymptotic normality for the test statistics in a simple way.

On the Validity of SN Ratio in Parameter Design

  • Kim, Sang-Ik
    • Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.96-107
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    • 1993
  • In parameter design Taguchi analyzed a statistic which he called signal-to-noise(SN) ratio by using the experimental design technique. However he gave no justification for using SN ratios in the optimization procedure of parameter design. In this paper we discuss the validity of such SN ratios as proper statistics to be analyzed in parameter design. Moreover, using the real empirical data we examine the appropriateness of SN ratios, and we explain how transformation technique can be applied in parameter design as an alternative method of analysis.

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Empirical Bayes Interval Estimation by a Sample Reuse Method

  • Cho, Kil-Ho;Choi, Dal-Woo;Chae, Hyeon-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.41-48
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    • 1997
  • We construct the empirical Bayes(EB) confidence intervals that attain a specified level of EB coverage for the unknown scale parameter in the Weibull distribution with the known shape parameter under the type II censored data. Our general approach is to use an EB bootstrap samples introduced by Larid and Louis(1987). Also, we compare the coverage probability and the expected interval length for these bootstrap intervals with those of the naive intervals through Monte Carlo simulation.

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On the Study for the Simultaneous Test

  • Park, Hyo-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.241-246
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    • 2013
  • In this study, we propose a nonparametric simultaneous test procedure for the location translation and scale parameters. We consider the Wilcoxon rank sum test for the location translation parameter and the Mood test for the scale parameter with the quadratic and maximal types of combining functions. Then we derive the limiting null distributions of the combining functions. We illustrate our procedure with an example and compare efficiency by obtaining the empirical powers through a simulation study. Finally, we discuss some interesting features related to the nonparametric simultaneous tests.