• 제목/요약/키워드: Dynamics behavior

검색결과 1,229건 처리시간 0.025초

일반 투자가에 의한 발전소 건설 Cycle과 DSM (The Construction Cycle by Investors and DSM in the Electricity Wholesale Market)

  • 안남성;김현실
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제3권1호
    • /
    • pp.43-60
    • /
    • 2002
  • This paper describes the forecast of wholesale price in competitive Korean electricity market using the system dynamics approach. The system dynamics concepts have been implemented with the Ithink software. This software facilitates the development of stock and flow model with information feedback. Using this model, the future wholesale electricity price can be computed hour by hour, quarterly, and yearly. This model also gives the energy planner the opportunity to create different scenarios for the future of deregulated wholesale markets in Korea. Also It will lead to increased understanding of competitive wholesale market as a complex, dynamic system. Research results show that the plant construction appeared in waves of boom and bust in Korean electricity market like real estate construction. That is, the Korea wholesale market's new power plants and the market price will appear the Boom and Bust cycle. It is very similar behavior as real estate industry. In case of consideration of DSM program, The DSM savings lead to a somewhat different timing of the booms in construction and of price spikes. But the DSM programs do not eliminated the fundamental dynamics of the boom and bust. And the wholesale price is maintained at the lower level compared to the case of without DSM program. However, the unexpected result is found that due to the lower market price, Investor make significantly less investment in new CCs, which leads to the higher wholesale price after 2010. It suggests that the DSM Policy must be implemented with the dynamics of competitive Electricity Market.

  • PDF

시스템 다이내믹스를 이용한 하수재이용 유역의 일유출량 모의 (Modeling Daily Streamflow in Wastewater Reused Watersheds Using System Dynamics)

  • 정한석;성충현;박승우
    • 한국농공학회논문집
    • /
    • 제56권6호
    • /
    • pp.45-53
    • /
    • 2014
  • This study presents a system dynamics modeling approach to simulate daily streamflow in a watershed including wastewater treatment plant which contributes to irrigation water supply. The conceptual system dynamics model considering the complex and dynamic hydrological processes in the watershed was developed. The model was calibrated and validated each for two years based on observed flow data. Model performances in terms of $E_{NS}$, RSR, PBIAS, and $R^2$ were 0.64, 0.60, -3.6 %, and 0.64 for calibration period, and 0.66, 0.58, -2.6 %, and 0.66 for validation period, respectively, showing an applicability on generating the daily streamflow. System dynamics modeling approach could help better understand the hydrological behavior of the watershed being reused wastewater for agriculture, by providing graphical dynamics of the hydrological processes as well as conventional rainfall-runoff model results.

전산유체역학를 이용한 급속혼화공정 교반효과 및 유동 평가 (Evaluation of the mixing and Hydrodynamic Behavior in rapid mixing stage on using Computational Fluid Dynamics)

  • 조영만;유수전;유평종;김대영;황보봉형
    • 상하수도학회지
    • /
    • 제23권6호
    • /
    • pp.799-810
    • /
    • 2009
  • With time, the stable management of turbidity is becoming more important in the water treatment process. So optimization of coagulation is important for the improvement of the sedimentation efficiency. we evaluated the mixing and hydrodynamic behavior in the coagulation basin using Computational Fluid Dynamics (CFD). The items for evaluation are a location and the speed of agitator and angle of an injection pipe. The results of the CFD simulation, the efficacy of mixing in the coagulation basin was not affected according to one or two injection pipe and angle of an injection pipe. If there is a agitator near outlet of coagulation basin, the efficacy of mixing don't improve even though the speed of agitator increase. So location of agitator is perfect when it locate center at the inlet stream. The coagulation basin at this study, the proper speed of agitator is form 20rpm to 30rpm.

탄소나노튜브/폴리에스터 복합재의 역학적 거동과 하중전달에 관한 분자 동역학 전산모사 : 그래프팅 가공의 영향 (Molecular Dynamics Study on Mechanical Behavior and Load Transfer of CNT/PET Nanocomposites : the Effects of Covalent Grafting)

  • 진주호;양승화
    • Composites Research
    • /
    • 제30권3호
    • /
    • pp.193-201
    • /
    • 2017
  • 탄소나노튜브와 폴리에스터 계면 간 그래프팅이 나노복합재의 역학적 거동과 하중전달에 미치는 영향을 고찰하기 위해 분자동역학 전산모사를 수행하고 그 결과를 Mori-Tanaka 모델 예측해와 비교하였다. 각 방향으로의 인장과 전단 전산모사를 통해 응력-변형률 선도를 도출한 후, 가교 유무에 따른 탄성거동 변화를 관찰하였다. 또한 가로등방성 강성행렬을 방향 평균하여 나노튜브가 랜덤분포하는 경우의 등방성 영률과 전단계수를 구하였다. 그 결과 가로방향 영률과 전단계수는 그래프팅 가공에 의해 향상되었으나, 길이방향 영률의 경우 나노튜브의 물성감소로 인해 오히려 물성이 저하되었다. 나노튜브의 랜덤분포를 고려한 예측 결과에서는 그래프팅 가공에 의해 물성이 약간 감소하였다.

한우 가격 파동의 인과순환적 구조분석과 정책 시뮬레이션 (Causal Loop Analysis and Policy Simulation on the fluctuation of Korean Cattle Price)

  • 최남희
    • 한국시스템다이내믹스연구
    • /
    • 제14권3호
    • /
    • pp.135-163
    • /
    • 2013
  • This study aims to analyze the feedback loops and policy simulation of price fluctuation of Korean Cattle. The Korean Cattle market shows the 'Cycle of Beef' since 1970. In general, the market for agricultural commodities exhibit repeated cycles of prices and production. Why Beef products market in Korea shows the fluctuation of cattle and beef price repeatedly for forty years? To find an answer, this paper explores the feedback structure of the dynamics of the beef market by the systems thinking and build a stock-flow diagram model for the simulation of future behavior of the market sector of the Cattle. The dynamic simulation model was developed to identify and analyze the cyclical behavior among many variables, which is the number of cattle (calves, cow, etc.), the price of cattle, the demand for beef, the desirable number of cattle, slaughter, etc. The results of this study demonstrate that dominant feedback loops between the number of cattle and livestock prices. The demand for Beef and slaughter with time delay, also the results of the simulation to explain the persistence of future price fluctuations and actions meat market until 2025.

  • PDF

Transport Properties of Lennard-Jones Mixtures: A Molecular Dynamics Simulation Study

  • Lee, Song-Hi
    • Bulletin of the Korean Chemical Society
    • /
    • 제29권3호
    • /
    • pp.641-646
    • /
    • 2008
  • Equilibrium molecular dynamics simulations in a canonical ensemble are performed to evaluate the transport coefficients of several Lennard-Jones (LJ) mixtures at a liquid argon states of 94.4 K and 1 atm via modified Green-Kubo formulas. Two component mixture of A and B is built by considering the interaction between A and A as the attractive (A) potential, that between A and B as the attractive potential (A), and that between B and B as the repulsive potential (R), labelled as AAR mixture. Three more mixtures - ARA, ARR, and RAR are created in the same way. The behavior of the LJ energy and the transport properties for all the mixtures is easily understood in terms of the portion of attractive potential (A %). The behavior of the thermal conductivities by the translational energy transport due to molecular motion exactly coincides with that of diffusion constant while that of the thermal conductivities by the potential energy transport due to molecular motion is easily understood from the fact that the LJ energy of AAR, ARR, and RAR mixtures increases negatively with the increase of A % from that of the pure repulsive system while that of ARA changes rarely.

Enhanced Authentication System Performance Based on Keystroke Dynamics using Classification algorithms

  • Salem, Asma;Sharieh, Ahmad;Sleit, Azzam;Jabri, Riad
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
    • /
    • 제13권8호
    • /
    • pp.4076-4092
    • /
    • 2019
  • Nowadays, most users access internet through mobile applications. The common way to authenticate users through websites forms is using passwords; while they are efficient procedures, they are subject to guessed or forgotten and many other problems. Additional multi modal authentication procedures are needed to improve the security. Behavioral authentication is a way to authenticate people based on their typing behavior. It is used as a second factor authentication technique beside the passwords that will strength the authentication effectively. Keystroke dynamic rhythm is one of these behavioral authentication methods. Keystroke dynamics relies on a combination of features that are extracted and processed from typing behavior of users on the touched screen and smart mobile users. This Research presents a novel analysis in the keystroke dynamic authentication field using two features categories: timing and no timing combined features. The proposed model achieved lower error rate of false acceptance rate with 0.1%, false rejection rate with 0.8%, and equal error rate with 0.45%. A comparison in the performance measures is also given for multiple datasets collected in purpose to this research.

Mathematical modeling to simulate the adsorption and internalization of copper in two freshwater algae species, Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata and Chlorella vulgaris

  • Kim, Yongeun;Lee, Minyoung;Hong, Jinsol;Cho, Kijong
    • 환경생물
    • /
    • 제39권3호
    • /
    • pp.298-310
    • /
    • 2021
  • Prediction of the behavior of heavy metals over time is important to evaluate the heavy metal toxicity in algae species. Various modeling studies have been well established, but there is a need for an improved model for predicting the chronic effects of metals on algae species to combine the metal kinetics and biological response of algal cells. In this study, a kinetic dynamics model was developed to predict the copper behavior(5 ㎍ L-1, 10 ㎍ L-1, and 15 ㎍ L-1) for two freshwater algae (Pseudokirchneriella subcapitata and Chlorella vulgaris) in the chronic exposure experiments (8 d and 21 d). In the experimental observations, the rapid change in copper mass between the solutions, extracellular and intracellular sites occurred within initial exposure periods, and then it was slower although the algal density changed with time. Our model showed a good agreement with the measured copper mass in each part for all tested conditions with an elapsed time (R2 for P. subcapitata: 0.928, R2 for C. vulgaris: 0.943). This study provides a novel kinetic dynamics model that is compromised between practical simplicity and realistic complexity, and it can be used to investigate the chronic effects of heavy metals on the algal population.

GLOBAL DYNAMICS OF A NON-AUTONOMOUS RATIONAL DIFFERENCE EQUATION

  • Ocalan, Ozkan
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • 제32권5_6호
    • /
    • pp.843-848
    • /
    • 2014
  • In this paper, we investigate the boundedness character, the periodic character and the global behavior of positive solutions of the difference equation $$x_{n+1}=p_n+\frac{x_n}{x_{n-1}},\;n=0,1,{\cdots}$$ where $\{p_n\}$ is a two periodic sequence of nonnegative real numbers and the initial conditions $x_{-1}$, $x_0$ are arbitrary positive real numbers.

이온유체방정식을 이용한 Plasma Sheath 시변 해석 (Analysis of Time-Dependent Behavior of Plasma Sheath using Ion Fluid Model)

  • 이호준;이해준
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제56권12호
    • /
    • pp.2173-2178
    • /
    • 2007
  • Dynamics of plasma sheath was analyzed using simple ion fluid model with poison equation. Incident ion current, energy, potential distribution and space charge density profile were calculated as a function of time. The effects of initial floating sheath on the evolution of biased sheath were compared with ideal matrix sheath. The effects of finite rising time of pulse bias voltage on the ion current and energy was studied. The influence of surface charging on the evolution of sheath was also investigated