• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand-Supply Model

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An Extended EPQ Model to Relax the Constant Demand Assumption into Periodic Demand

  • Yi, Gyeong-Beom
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.39-66
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    • 1995
  • This article presents a new model called the periodic square wave(PSW) to describe the material flow of periodic processes involving an intermediate buffer. The material flows into and out of the intermediate buffer are assumed to be periodic square shaped. By using this model, It is proved that the classical economic lot size model with finite supply rate, the so-called EPQ model, can be applicable to the arbitrary periodic demand case. This new model relaxes the original assumption of the constant demand. It is shown, as a unique application example, that the explicit solution for determining both upstream and downstream economic lot size can be obtained with the aid of the PSW model. The PSW model provides more accurate information on analyzing the inventory and production system than the classical approach, without losing simplicity and increasing the computational burden.

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Short-Term Forecasting of City Gas Daily Demand (도시가스 일일수요의 단기예측)

  • Park, Jinsoo;Kim, Yun Bae;Jung, Chul Woo
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.39 no.4
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    • pp.247-252
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    • 2013
  • Korea gas corporation (KOGAS) is responsible for the whole sale of natural gas in the domestic market. It is important to forecast the daily demand of city gas for supply and demand control, and delivery management. Since there is the autoregressive characteristic in the daily gas demand, we introduce a modified autoregressive model as the first step. The daily gas demand also has a close connection with the outdoor temperature. Accordingly, our second proposed model is a temperature-based model. Those two models, however, do not meet the requirement for forecasting performances. To produce acceptable forecasting performances, we develop a weighted average model which compounds the autoregressive model and the temperature model. To examine our proposed methods, the forecasting results are provided. We confirm that our method can forecast the daily city gas demand accurately with reasonable performances.

A study on Inventory Policy (s, S) in the Supply Chain Management with Uncertain Demand and Lead Time (불확실한 수요와 리드타임을 갖는 공급사슬에서 (s,S) 재고정책에 관한 연구)

  • Han, Jae-Hyun;Jeong, Suk-Jae
    • Journal of the Korea Safety Management & Science
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 2013
  • As customers' demands for diversified small-quantity products have been increased, there have been great efforts for a firm to respond to customers' demands flexibly and minimize the cost of inventory at the same time. To achieve that goal, in SCM perspective, many firms have tried to control the inventory efficiently. We present an mathematical model to determine the near optimal (s, S) policy of the supply chain, composed of multi suppliers, a warehouse and multi retailers. (s, S) policy is to order the quantity up to target inventory level when inventory level falls below the reorder point. But it is difficult to analyze inventory level because it is varied with stochastic demand of customers. To reflect stochastic demand of customers in our model, we do the analyses in the following order. First, the analysis of inventory in retailers is done at the mathematical model that we present. Then, the analysis of demand pattern in a warehouse is performed as the inventory of a warehouse is much effected by retailers' order. After that, the analysis of inventory in a warehouse is followed. Finally, the integrated mathematical model is presented. It is not easy to get the solution of the mathematical model, because it includes many stochastic factors. Thus, we get the solutions after the stochastic demand is approximated, then they are verified by the simulations.

Impact Analysis of Transition in Electricity Generation System on a National Economy and Environmental Level in Korea: a Recursive CGE Modeling Approach (발전수단 전환이 우리나라 경제와 환경에 미치는 영향분석)

  • Lee, Min-Gi;Kim, Hong-Bae
    • Journal of Korea Planning Association
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    • v.53 no.7
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    • pp.67-86
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    • 2018
  • This paper attempted to analyze impacts of transition in electricity generation system on a national economy and environmental level in Korea using a recursive computable general equilibrium(CGE) model. In particular, the paper presented a hybrid model combining the top-down CGE model with the bottom-up model which describes the structure of electricity production in detail. The impacts were analyzed by two policy scenarios base on the basic plan for electricity supply and demand proposed by the Korean government. As a result, the paper specifically showed that there exists a trade-off relationship in the policy-making between economic efficiency and environmental level. The paper also suggested that the transition in electricity generation system should be done more gradually and carefully.

Analysis of users of agricultural outlook information

  • Seungjee Hong;Ga Eul Kim;Seon Min Park;Sounghun Kim
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural Science
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    • v.49 no.4
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    • pp.833-843
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    • 2022
  • Since the supply and demand of agricultural products are unstable, which causes instability in farm income and consumer prices, the government has sought to mitigate the problems caused by unstable supply and demand by generating and providing agricultural outlook information. However, research should be carried out to increase the quality and utilization of agricultural observation information, because the value of agricultural observation information increases only when more users use this information and apply it to their decisions. In this study, a survey was conducted targeting producers and experts who are users or potential users of agricultural outlook information, and the results were analyzed through quantitative model, specifically importance-performance analysis (IPA) and analytic hierarchy process (AHP). The results show that improvement of promptness was required among the seven items evaluated with regard to agricultural outlook. Also, measures for dissemination of agricultural outlook information and the contents of outlook information should be improved to increase its use. If the quality level and use of agricultural observation information are increased by reflecting the results of the above analysis, decision-making on the supply and demand of agricultural products in Korea will be improved, and it is thought that it will be possible to increase farm household income and stabilize consumer prices through stabilization of supply and demand of agricultural products.

Joint Price-Delivery Decision in a Single-Manufacturer-Single Retailer Supply Chain (2단계 공급사슬의 결합적 가격 및 재고 정책의 결정)

  • Kim, Jeong-Gyu;Hong, Yu-Sin;Kim, Tae-Bok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.3-6
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    • 2007
  • In the traditional inventory problem, market parameters such as demand and selling price are exogenous. But incorporating these factors into the model can provide an opportunity for increasing the total profit. So we investigate the joint price-inventory policy in a supply chain consisting of a single retailer and a single manufacturer. Demand at the retailer depends on the retail price. The retailer and the manufacturer cooperate closely each other to maximize overall profit of the supply chain. The mathematical model is presented and the solution procedure is developed in order to jointly determine the optimal policy including the retail price, the production lot sizes, and the delivery frequency from the manufacturer to the retailer.

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MANUFACTURER′S PROCUREMENT DECISION ANALYSIS IN A SUPPLY CHAIN WITH MULTIPLE SUPPLIERS

  • Kim, Bowon;Park, Kwang Tae;Lee, Seungchul
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.6 no.2
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    • pp.1-28
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    • 2000
  • Supply chain management issues faced by a manufacturing company are considered in this paper. The supply chain consists of a manufacturing company and its suppliers. The manufacturer produces multiple products with inputs (e.g., raw materials) from the suppliers, but each product needs a different mix of these inputs. The market demand for the products is uncertain. We develop a mathematical model and algorithm, which can help the manufacturer to solve its procurement decision problem: how much of raw material to order from which supplier. The model incorporates such factors as market demand uncertainty, product's input requirement, supplier's as well as manufacturer's capacity, plus other costs comparable with those in a typical newsboy problem. Numerical examples are presented to see the interacting effects among critical parameters and variables.

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The Development of the Distribution/VMI Game Based on Theory of Constraints

  • Zheng, Kai-Wen;Tsai, Chih-Hung;Li, Rong-Kwei;Chen, Ching-Piao;Tsai, Shih-Chieh
    • International Journal of Quality Innovation
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    • v.10 no.1
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    • pp.53-76
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    • 2009
  • As the flourish of today's supply chain, the traditional model of replenishment will cause accumulation of excessive inventory to the retailers and customers, or cause shortages and inability to meet the demands. To solve this problem, Theory of Constraints (TOC) proposed the replenishment model of demand-pull, combined with the establishment of factory-ware-house to achieve performance improvement. In the absence of empirical research, this study applied the Bean Game developed by Dr. Goldratt to design a supply chain system for different scenarios, in order to allow players and managers better understanding and supporting the TOC replenishment method through the operations of the game.

Long-Term Demand Forecasting Using Agent-Based Model : Application on Automotive Spare Parts (Agent-Based Model을 활용한 자동차 예비부품 장기수요예측)

  • Lee, Sangwook;Ha, Chunghun
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.38 no.1
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    • pp.110-117
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    • 2015
  • Spare part management is very important to products that have large number of parts and long lifecycle such as automobile and aircraft. Supply chain must support immediate procurement for repair. However, it is not easy to handle spare parts efficiently due to huge stock keeping units. Qualified forecasting is the basis for the supply chain to achieve the goal. In this paper, we propose an agent based modeling approach that can deal with various factors simultaneously without mathematical modeling. Simulation results show that the proposed method is reasonable to describe demand generation process, and consequently, to forecast demand of spare parts in long-term perspective.

Coordination of Component Production and Inventory Rationing for a Two-Stage Supply Chain with a VMI Type of Supply Contract (적시 부품 공급 계약을 갖는 두 단계 공급망에서 부품 생산과 재고 분배의 통합적 구현)

  • Kim, Eun-Gab
    • Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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    • v.37 no.2
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    • pp.45-56
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    • 2012
  • This paper considers a supply chain consisting of a component manufacturer and a product manufacturer. The component manufacturer provides components for the product manufacturer based on a vendor-managed inventory type of supply contract, and also faces demands from the market with the option of to accept or reject each incoming demand. Using the Markov decision process model, we examine the structure of the optimal production control and inventory rationing policy. Two types of heuristics are presented. One is the fixed-buffer policy and the other uses two linear functions. We implement a computational study and present managerial insights based on the observations.