• Title/Summary/Keyword: Demand sensitivity

Search Result 274, Processing Time 0.04 seconds

A Study on the Fuzzy Demand Control Technique (퍼지 디맨드 예측제어기법 연구)

  • Seong, Ki-Chul;Yoon, Sang-Hyun;Kang, Min-Kyu;Yu, In-Keun
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 1999.11b
    • /
    • pp.169-171
    • /
    • 1999
  • This paper presents a new demand control technique using fuzzy logic. Generally, predictive demand control method often brings about a large number of control actions and undesirable alarm during the beginning stage of the demand period. To solve this problem, a fuzzy predictive algorithm is proposed. The main idea of the method is the determination of sensitivity factor by using fuzzy logic. The performance of the proposed algorithm is tested through a case study.

  • PDF

The Development of Methodology in order to consider Combined Heat and Power in the Basic Plan of Long Term Electricity Supply & Demand (전력수급기본계획에 열병합발전 설비 반영 방법론의 개발)

  • Kim, Yong-Ha;Kim, Mi-Ye;Woo, Sung-Min;Cho, Sung-Rin;Lim, Hyun-Sung
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.55 no.12
    • /
    • pp.570-575
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper develops methodology in order to consider CHP(Combined Heat and Power) capacity in the Basic Plan of Long Term Electricity Supply & Demand. We develop generating cost of CHP considering electric and heat. Also we develop mixed load duration curve which includes the electric load and heat load and then apply CHP capacity to SCM(Screening Curve Method) considering CHP feature. Accordingly, it decide the optimal CHP capacity in the Basic Plan of Long Term Electricity Supply & Demand. Also, We perform the sensitivity analysis according to cost variation.

Chaotic Predictability for Time Series Forecasts of Maximum Electrical Power using the Lyapunov Exponent

  • Park, Jae-Hyeon;Kim, Young-Il;Choo, Yeon-Gyu
    • Journal of information and communication convergence engineering
    • /
    • v.9 no.4
    • /
    • pp.369-374
    • /
    • 2011
  • Generally the neural network and the Fuzzy compensative algorithms are applied to forecast the time series for power demand with the characteristics of a nonlinear dynamic system, but, relatively, they have a few prediction errors. They also make long term forecasts difficult because of sensitivity to the initial conditions. In this paper, we evaluate the chaotic characteristic of electrical power demand with qualitative and quantitative analysis methods and perform a forecast simulation of electrical power demand in regular sequence, attractor reconstruction and a time series forecast for multi dimension using Lyapunov Exponent (L.E.) quantitatively. We compare simulated results with previous methods and verify that the present method is more practical and effective than the previous methods. We also obtain the hourly predictability of time series for power demand using the L.E. and evaluate its accuracy.

Identifying the Actual Impact of Online Social Interactions on Demand

  • Dong Soo Kim
    • Asia Marketing Journal
    • /
    • v.26 no.1
    • /
    • pp.23-30
    • /
    • 2024
  • Firms often engage in manipulating online reviews as a promotional activity to influence consumers' evaluation on their products. With the prevalence of the promotional activities, consumers may notice and discount the reviews generated by the promotional activities. Discounting the firm-generating reviews may cause systematic measurement errors in the valence variable and lead to a negative bias when estimating the effect of consumers' organic reviews on demand. To correct the bias, this study proposes including product-specific bias-correction terms representing the proportion of extreme reviews in analysis. For illustration, the proposed method is applied to a demand model for data of movies released in South Korea. The results confirm a negative bias in the estimate of the valence sensitivity of demand. The negative bias potentially leads to an underestimation of the magnitude of the contagion effect through social interactions, a key component of evaluating the value of a satisfied consumer.

Impacts of Demand Response from Different Sectors on Generation System Well Being

  • Hassanzadeh, Muhammad Naseh;Fotuhi-Firuzabad, Mahmud;Safdarian, Amir
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and Technology
    • /
    • v.12 no.5
    • /
    • pp.1719-1728
    • /
    • 2017
  • Recent concerns about environmental conditions have triggered the growing interest in using green energy resources. These sources of energy, however, bring new challenges mainly due to their uncertainty and intermittency. In order to alleviate the concerns on the penetration of intermittent energy resources, this paper investigates impacts of realizing demand-side potentials. Among different demand-side management programs, this paper considers demand response wherein consumers change their consumption pattern in response to changing prices. The research studies demand response potentials from different load sectors on generation system well-being. Consumers' sensitivity to time-varying prices is captured via self and cross elasticity coefficients. In the calculation of well-being indices, sequential Monte Carlo simulation approach is accompanied with fuzzy logic. Finally, IEEE-RTS is used as the test bed to conduct several simulations and the associated results are thoroughly discussed.

Methods for a target-oriented travel demand management (목표지향 기종점 교통수요 관리모형연구)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.27 no.6
    • /
    • pp.167-176
    • /
    • 2009
  • Several travel demand management schemes have been used for controlling overloaded traffics on urban area. To maximize efficiency of the travel management, traffic manager has to set target level that we try to arrive in advance, and then to find optimal variable to attain this goal. In this regard, this paper presents two travel demand management models, expressed by mathematical program, and also presents their solution algorithms. The first is to find optimal travel demand for origin-destination (OD) pair, based on average travel time between the OD pair, and the second is based on the ratio of volume over capacity on congested area. An example is given to test the models.

Establishment of Korean Environmental Sensitivity Index Map (ESI Map 구축 연구)

  • Sung H. G.;Lee H. J.;Lee M. J.;Kang C. G.
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Marine Environment & Energy
    • /
    • v.6 no.4
    • /
    • pp.3-12
    • /
    • 2003
  • Due to the high demand on energy resources accompanied by continuing industrialization and urbanization, the world marine transportation of crude and product oils is being gradually increased. In Korea, we are exposed to the large-scale marine oil spill accidents because a very large oil tanker of 300,000 tonnage must enter Korean Ports every day to meet the domestic demand on oils. Although we are exerting our strength to reduce the probability of marine oil pollution accidents, a unrestorable oil spill is to occur owing to human errors, severe weather conditions, or combined causes. Thus, area contingency plan equipped with appropriate management system for response and restoration for the worst case discharge scenario must be entirely prepared to protect mine environments and coastal resources. In particular, we are focusing on the Environmental Sensitivity Index Map(ESI Map) to reduce the environmental consequences of both spills and clean-up efforts by specifying protection Priorities in advance and identifying in-situ response strategies. In this paper, Korean ESI Map is introduced with brief definition of sensitivity to oiling and main features of the software developed hitherto.

  • PDF

Sensitivity Analysis of Soil Properties for the Slope Safety Factor in Embankments utilized Bottom Ash and Dredged Soil Mixture (바텀 애쉬와 준설 혼합토 적용 제체의 사면 안전율에 대한 토질 정수 민감도 분석)

  • Noh, Soo-Kack;Son, Young-Hwan;Park, Jae-Sung;Bong, Tae-Ho
    • Journal of The Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
    • /
    • v.57 no.1
    • /
    • pp.99-109
    • /
    • 2015
  • In the construction industry, the interest for recycling aggregates is rising as more people demand for alternatives due to lack of supply of natural aggregates and environmental problems. However, in order for recycled aggregates to be used in infrastructures, stability and other factors need to be verified. Therefore, the objective of this study is to analyze the sensitivity of soil properties to secure slope safety according to various heights of embankment when bottom ash and dredged soil mixture is applied in the embankment. In most cases, all heights were safe for the slide for the embankment whether the water level is full or sudden draw down. The result of the sensitivity analysis revealed that the unit weight of embankments is highest among all factors to be considered. However, the sensitivity of the unit weight became smaller and the sensitivity of the friction angle of embankments increased with the height of embankments. The sensitivity of factors of core materials is very small because the core has weaker physical properties than those of the embankment. The effect of the height for each factor is different for each slope and water levels. The sensitivity of the unit weight of embankments is most affected when the height is 60m in the upstream slope. To conclude, bottom ash and dredged soil mixture can be applied in the embankment and different factors must be considered in different scale because the sensitivity depends highly on the height of embankments.

A Study on the Effective Enhancement of the Load Power Factor Using the Load Power Factor Sensitivity of Generation Cost and Integrated Costs (발전비용의 부하역률 감도와 종합비용을 활용한 효과적인 역률개선 방안 연구)

  • Lee, B.H.;Oh, M.H.;Kim, J.H.;Shim, K.B.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • 2003.11a
    • /
    • pp.284-286
    • /
    • 2003
  • The low load power factor causes various problems such as the Increase of the power loss and the voltage instability. The demand of reactive power increases continuously with the growth of active power and the restructuring of electric power companies makes the integrated management of ractive power troublesome, from which the systematic control of load power factor is required. In this paper, the load power factor sensitivity of the generation cost and integrated costs are used for determining the locations and capacities of reactive power compensation devices effectively and for enhancing the load power factor appropriately. It is shown through the application to a small-scale power system that the system power factor can be enhanced effectively and appropriately using the load power factor sensitivity and integrated costs.

  • PDF

A Study on Enhancing the Load Power Factor from the Point of View of Economic Operation Using the Load Power Factor Sensitivity Method (부하역률 감도기법 적용에 의한 전력시스템의 경제운용 측면에서의 역률개선 방안 연구)

  • Lee B. H.;Kim J. H.
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
    • /
    • summer
    • /
    • pp.153-155
    • /
    • 2004
  • Various problems such as the increase of the power loss and the voltage instability may often occur in the case of low load power factor. The demand of reactive power increases continuously with the growth of active power and the restructuring of electric power companies makes the integrated management of ractive power a troublesome problem, so that the systematic control of load power factor is required. In this paper, the load power factor sensitivity of the generation cost is used for determining the locations of reactive power compensation devices effectively and for enhancing the load power factor appropriately. In addition, the integrated costs are used for determining the value of the load power factor from the point of view of the economic operation. It is shown through the application to a large-scale power system that the system power factor can be enhanced effectively and appropriately using the load power factor sensitivity and integrated costs.

  • PDF