• 제목/요약/키워드: Delphi analysis

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다학제 교육의 근간으로서 '디자인 사고'에 대한 연구 (The Study of Design Thinking as Foundation of Multidisciplinary Education)

  • 박성미;김수화
    • 수산해양교육연구
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    • 제25권1호
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    • pp.260-273
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    • 2013
  • This study aims to reflect experts' opinions in analyzing a design thinking as foundation of multidisciplinary education. For this purpose, a delphi survey was conducted with 20 experts in three sessions from May 1 to June 25, 2012. To analyze the collected data, descriptive statistics, including frequency, percentage, the mean, and standard deviation were implemented, and internal reliability test on the survey instrument was carried out for statistical processing. The main results are as follows : First, the delphi analysis on intuitive thinking of design thinking suggested 7 items(to pursue the possibility of outside, to pursue the possibility of applying new forms of technology, content planning, facing a complex real-world phenomena etc.). Second, the delphi analysis on logical thinking of design thinking suggested 7 items(executed repeatedly, reasoning and verification, artificial intelligence, a decision support system etc.) Third, the delphi analysis on subjective thinking of design thinking suggested 9 items(user experience measuring, user satisfaction ratings, user requirements analysis, user interface design, behavioral responses of the human etc.). Fourth, the delphi analysis on objective information of design thinking suggested 8 items(information management system, simulation, production process, information exchange and sharing etc.). According to the results of the delphi analysis, design thinking can be seen as the foundation of multidisciplinary education. Suggestions were made for discussion about the main results and further researches.

Delphi기법에 의한 기계공학기술의 수준평가 및 국제 기술협력기반에 관한 연구 (A Study on the State of Art and International Cooperation in the Field of Mechanical Engineering by Delphi Method)

  • 권영주
    • 한국정밀공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국정밀공학회 1996년도 춘계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.169-175
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    • 1996
  • We provide a fudamental set of information on technologies in the area of mechanical engineering to draw action plans for intermationalization of the National R&D activites. First, we design and use a modified Delphi method to evaluate levels of our technological capabilities and developed countries' as well. We investigate technology acquistion methodolgies, technology characteristcs and various aspects of international cooperation in terms of technology. Secondly, we analyze final responses of participants (i.e,. the third round results of Delphi method) tosee the correlation between various factors in developing mechanical engineering technologies through international cooperation. The technology classification used in this research is developed by STEPI (Science and Technology Policy Institute).

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Development of Mission and Vision of College of Korean Medicine Using the Delphi Techniques and Big-Data Analysis

  • Yeo, Sanghee;Choi, Seong Hun;Chae, Su Jin
    • 대한한의학회지
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    • 제42권4호
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    • pp.176-184
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    • 2021
  • Objectives: The purpose of this study is to introduce the procedures and methods for mission and vision development at a College of Korean Medicine (CKM), which established its mission and vision using Delphi techniques and big data analysis on various members and stakeholders. Methods: A total of 754 participated in the Delphi survey. A Delphi survey was conducted with professors, students, parents, and alumni stakeholders to establish Daegu Haany University CKM's mission and vision. The data were analyzed through content analysis and big data analysis of keywords. Results: As a result of the study, the most important keywords to be included in the mission and vision were "professionalism" and "morality." Included in the mission were the concepts of "morality" and "professionalism," which were emphasized by the four groups. All surveyed stakeholders regarded "scientific," and "global" as important themes to be included in the vision. Conclusions: The present study confirmed that there were themes commonly prioritized by all stakeholders for college mission and vision, and a difference in demand for educational goals between professors and students was also affirmed. Therefore, institutions of higher learning should develop their mission and vision by appropriately reflecting the needs of the interest groups.

Fuzzy Delpi 법(法)을 이용한 일반 지수 예측 시스템 구축 (An Establishment of the Forecasting System for General Index using Fuzzy Delphi Method)

  • 김창은;최환석
    • 산업공학
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    • 제9권1호
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    • pp.53-62
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    • 1996
  • The Delphi method is widely used for long and middle range forecasting in management science. It is a method by which the subjective data of experts are made to converge using statistical analysis. The Fuzzy Delphi Method(F.D.M.), anew application of the Delphi method using Triangular Fuzzy Numbers(T.F.N.), can help to predict the uncertainty, synthesize the opinion and calculation of those assumed dissemblance index and fuzzy distance. Furthermore, the programming of the F.D.M. process to feed paper and data back to experts can make them more accurately predict the various information.

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환경산업의 유망직업 추출에 관한 연구 - 델파이 조사를 중심으로 - (Study of Potential Future Occupations in the Environmental Industry - Focusing on Delphi Survey -)

  • 한상근;박종성;김나라
    • 한국환경교육학회지:환경교육
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.154-169
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    • 2004
  • This research presents an analysis of some of the occupations associated with Korea‘s national strategic industries. Therefore, the objectives of this paper can be summarized as follows: By classifying existing occupations and identifying potential future ones, this paper will strive to present a systematic analysis of environmental related occupations. In order to achieve the objectives of this research, related literature was examined, a Delphi Survey was conducted. In order to select potential future occupations, this research used a qualitative method that involved interviews with specialists. More specifically, a Delphi Survey was used to collect the specialists' opinions. The potential occupations were selected using a three-prong procedure involving an analysis of related literature and materials, a Delphi Survey, as well the holding of conferences with specialists and visits to those in the actual field. Through this process, 33 different potential future occupations were selected.

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Delphi-AHP 방법을 이용한 저탄소수소 생산 기술 가치평가 모델 개발 (Development of Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Technology Evaluation Model Using Delphi-AHP Method)

  • 황호석;김의식;장영신;김정환;김광준
    • 한국수소및신에너지학회논문집
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    • 제34권2호
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    • pp.113-121
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    • 2023
  • Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.

Developing a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template in South Korea: applying real-time Delphi methods

  • Eun Joo Kim;Meen Hye Lee;Bitna Park
    • Child Health Nursing Research
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    • 제30권2호
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    • pp.142-153
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: This study aimed to describe the process of developing a validated pediatric nursing simulation scenario template using the real-time Delphi method. Methods: A panel of 13 pediatric nursing experts participated in a real-time Delphi survey conducted over two rounds. Initially, 83 items were included in the questionnaire focusing on the structure and content of the simulation scenario template. Data analysis involved calculating the content validity ratio (CVR) and the coefficient of variation to assess item validity and stability. Results: Through iterative rounds of the Delphi survey, a consensus was reached among the experts, resulting in the development of a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template comprising 41 items across nine parts. The CVR values ranged from 0.85 to 1.0, indicating a high consensus among experts regarding the inclusion of all items in the template. Conclusion: This study presents a novel approach for developing a pediatric nursing simulation scenario template using real-time Delphi methods. The real-time Delphi method facilitated the development of a comprehensive and scientifically grounded pediatric nursing simulation scenario template. Our template aligns with the International Nursing Association for Clinical Simulation and Learning standards, and provides valuable guidance for educators in designing effective simulation scenarios, contributing to enhanced learning outcomes and better preparation for pediatric clinical practice. However, consideration of cultural and contextual adaptations is necessary, and further research should explore alternative consensus criteria.

정보산업 생태계 문제의 근본원인 분석 (Root Cause Analysis of the Information Industry Ecosystem Problems)

  • 김성근;안남규
    • Journal of Information Technology Applications and Management
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    • 제24권4호
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    • pp.71-92
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    • 2017
  • Finding a root cause is an essential step to solving a complex problem. Some previous studies have used the Delphi method for gathering opinions about root causes from geographically dispersed experts. However, we assert that complicated problems such as an industry ecosystem would make a general type of the Delphi method less practical because of too much psychological burden on study participants. In this study we present a preliminary list-based Delphi study method for identifying a root cause. This method was used to identify a root cause and draw a causal map for the information industry ecosystem problems.

Delphi기법을 통한 교통수요예측 Risk Management 적용 방안 (Application of Risk Management to Forecasting Transportation Demand by Delphi Technique)

  • 정성봉
    • 대한안전경영과학회지
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    • 제13권2호
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    • pp.267-273
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    • 2011
  • Since 'The Act on Private Investment of The Infrastructure' was established in 1994, private investment as well as government's investment in transport infrastructure has been active. However investment in transport infrastructure has more risks than others' due to uncertainty both in traffic volume and in construction cost. In the current appraisal procedure of deciding transportation infrastructure investment, instead of risk management, the sensitivity analysis considering only the changes of benefit, cost and social discount rate which are main factor affecting economic feasibility is carried out. Therefore the uncertainty of various factors affecting demand, cost and benefit are not considered in feasibility study. In this study the problems in current investment appraisal system were reviewed. Using Delphi technique the major factors which have high uncertainty in feasibility study were surveyed and then improvement plan was suggested in the respective of classic 4 step demand forecasting method. The range estimation technique was also mentioned to deal with the uncertainty of the future.

Delphi-SWOT 분석을 이용한 제조물책임법 개정에 따른 기업의 대응전략 수립 (Establish Company's Response Strategy by Revision Product Liability Law through Delphi-SWOT Method)

  • 서준혁;배성민
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제46권4호
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    • pp.911-922
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    • 2018
  • Purpose: This study provides an overview of the Product Liability Act which was revised in 2017 and took effect in 2018. It analyzes the effects of the revised Act on corporate management from internal and external perspectives to present coping strategies so that companies can synthetically respond to such effects. Methods: In order to achieve the purpose of this study, experts like companies, academia, governmental institutions, and consultants were invited, and Delphi techniques were applied to derive means, standard deviations, and Content Validity Ratio. Results: In this study, based on two expert questionnaire surveys, strengths and weaknesses of the internal environment of companies and opportunities and threats of the external environment were derived, followed by provision of S/O, W/O, S/T, and W/T strategies. Conclusion: To fundamentally remove the causes of accidents on their products, the relevant companies should strengthen the activities to increase product safety. They shall cooperate with suppliers to arrange the measures to speedily secure safety of consumers.