Transactions of the Korean hydrogen and new energy society (한국수소및신에너지학회논문집)

The Korean Hydrogen and New Energy Society (한국수소및신에너지학회)
권호 표지
DOI QR코드

DOI QR Code

Development of Low Carbon Hydrogen Production Technology Evaluation Model Using Delphi-AHP Method

Delphi-AHP 방법을 이용한 저탄소수소 생산 기술 가치평가 모델 개발

  • HO SEOK WHANG (Intellectual Property, Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology) ;
  • UISIK KIM (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • YOUNGSHIN JANG (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • JUNGHWAN KIM (Korea Electric Power Research Institute, Korea Electric Power Corporation) ;
  • KWANG JUN KIM (Intellectual Property, Moon Soul Graduate School of Future Strategy, Korea Advanced Institute of Science and Technology)
  • 황호석 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원 지식재산대학원프로그램) ;
  • 김의식 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 장영신 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 김정환 (한국전력공사 전력연구원) ;
  • 김광준 (한국과학기술원 문술미래전략대학원 지식재산대학원프로그램)
  • Received : 2023.03.27
  • Accepted : 2023.04.20
  • Published : 2023.04.28
Download PDF
⟨ Previous Next ⟩

Abstract

Recently, low hydrogen carbon production technology is drawing interest due to lower production costs. Although the pace of research in this field has been accelerating, there is no well-established criteria for evaluation. The most of current evaluation methods needs information related to technology. However the technology is not enough to provide effective evaluation criteria because the technology is not fully developed. In this study, we propose an integrated Delphi-analytic hierarchy process (AHP) method and low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation model. Experts opinion is used to provide evaluation criteria for the technology. In this study, integrated Delphi-AHP method are utilized for determining factors and calculating their numerical importance based on experts opinion. Then, sensitivity analysis is performed to verify the robustness of the analysis and scenarios of potential changes. As many as 11 factors are identified by Delphi method. Then, numerical importance of the factors are calculated by AHP. Sensitivity analysis is performed. It shows that intellectual property right (IPR) is always more important than other factors. This study proposes the numerical standard for the low carbon hydrogen production technology evaluation. The proposed model can be used for technology evaluation or commercialization.

Keywords

Acknowledgement

본 연구는 한국전력공사의 2021년 선정 주력연구개발과제 연구비에 의해 지원되었음(과제번호: R21EJ01).

References

  1. J. Lee, J. Lim, C. W. Roh, H. S. Whang, and H. Lee, "Electro chemical CO2 reduction using alkaline membrane electrode assembly on various metal electrodes", Journal of CO2 Utilization, Vol. 31, 2019, pp. 244-250, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jcou.2019.03.022.
  2. H. S. Whang, M. S. Choi, J. Lim, C. Kim, I. Heo, T. S. Chang, and H. Lee, "Enhanced activity and durability of Ru catalyst dispersed on zirconia for dry reforming of methane", Catalysis Today, Vol. 293294, 2017, pp. 122-128, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cattod.2016.12.034.
  3. H. S. Whang, J. Lim, M. S. Choi, J. Lee, and H. Lee, "Heterogeneous catalysts for catalytic CO2 conversion into value-added chemicals", BMC Chemical Engineering, Vol. 1, 2019, pp. 9, doi: https://doi.org/10.1186/s42480-019-0007-7.
  4. H. Moon, M. S. Goh, M. Cha, U. S. Kim, H. S. Whang, N. Son, and M. Kang, "Explosive hydrogen evolution from water splitting without sacrificial agent from the C, N co-doped Zn defective ZnS particle", Applied Surface Science, Vol. 606, 2022, pp. 154-787, doi: https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apsusc.2022.154787.
  5. S. Kim, Y. Yoo, and H. Park, "Economic analysis program development for assessment of hydrogen production, storage/delivery, and utilization technologies", Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy, Vol. 33, No. 6, 2022, pp. 607-615, doi: https://doi.org/10.7316/KHNES.2022.33.6.607.
  6. H. W. Rhee and J. H. Kim, "A study on implementation plan of clean hydrogen certification system", Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy, Vol. 33, No. 4, 2022, pp. 301-308, doi: https://doi.org/10.7316/KHNES.2022.33.4.301.
  7. H. K. Kim and I. Choi, "Exploration of hydrogen research trends through social network analysis", Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy, Vol. 33, No. 4, 2022, pp. 318-329, doi: https://doi.org/10.7316/KHNES.2022.33.4.318.
  8. D. Youn, S. Lee, and C. Park, "Legal issues on hydrogen bunkering through domestic law", Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy, Vol. 33, No. 2, 2022, pp. 142-147, doi: https://doi.org/10.7316/KHNES.2022.33.2.142.
  9. Korea Institute for Advancement of Technology, "2021 technology evaluation pratical guide", Korea Valuation Association, 2021, pp. 21-146. Retrieved from https://www.valuation.or.kr/research_view.do?content_no=675.
  10. S. S. Seol, "A theoretical framework for the valuation of technology", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2000, pp. 5-21. Retrieved from https://koreascience.kr/article/JAKO200011919820320.jsp-kj=SSMHB4&py=2012&vnc=v27n6&sp=588.
  11. S. Lim, S. Kim, and H. W. Park, "A study on a conceptual model for technology valuation based on market approach", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 18, No. 1, 2015, pp. 204-231. Retrieved from http://www.koreascience.or.kr/article/JAKO201514753131514.pub.
  12. T. E. Sung, S. P. Jun, S. G. Kim, and H. W. Park, "A study on web-based technology valuation system", Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems, Vol. 3, No. 1, 2017, pp. 23-46, doi: https://doi.org/10.13088/jiis.2017.23.1.023.
  13. T. E. Sung, D. S. Kim, J. M. Jang, and H. W. Park, "An empirical analysis on determinant factors of patent valuation and technology transaction prices", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 19, No. 2, 2016, pp. 254-279. Retrieved from https://koreascience.kr/article/JAKO201624240304755.page.
  14. T. Kim and J. Yoon, "A case study on the technology valuation methodology using discounted cash flow (DCF)", Journal of New Industry and Business, Vol. 33, No. 12, 2012, pp. 29-56. Retrieved from https://www.dbpia.co.kr/Journal/articleDetail?nodeId=NODE02105864. 105864
  15. H. Park, "A case study on technology valuation of ecommerce patented technologies", Journal of New Industry and Business, Vol. 2, No. 1, 2003, pp. 37-58. Retrieved from https://www.dbpia.co.kr/journal/articleDetail?nodeId=NODE00486071&language=ko_KR&hasTopBanner=true.
  16. H. S. Kim, "Development of valuation model on trademark rights for intellectual property revitalization", Journal of Digital Convergence, Vol. 14, No. 9, 2016, pp. 89-97, doi: https://doi.org/10.14400/JDC.2016.14.9.89.
  17. S. Hong and J. Seo, "Development of the technology valuation analysis indicators using the delphi method in the offset program", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 16, No. 1, 2013, pp. 252278. Retrieved from https://scienceon.kisti.re.kr/commons/util/originalView.do?cn=JAKO201319655747841&oCn=JAKO201319655747841&dbt=JAKO&journal=NJOU00290743.
  18. B. W. Kim, "Technical value model and evaluation for smart in-vehicle network", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 20, No. 2, 2017, pp. 368-386. Retrieved from https://scienceon.kisti.re.kr/commons/util/originalView.do?cn=JAKO201724655834690&oCn=JAKO201724655834690&dbt=JAKO&journal=NJOU00290743.
  19. J. Y. Woo, "A study on the analysis and strategies of sports glass ceiling by Delphi method and AHP", Korean Journal of Sports Science, Vol. 31. No. 5, 2022, pp. 61-70, doi: https://doi.org/10.35159/kjss.2022.10.31.5.61.
  20. B. Gim, J. W. Kim, K. S. Kang, K. Kang, and S. J. Choi, "An evaluation of the national competitiveness of hydrogen energy", Journal of Hydrogen and New Energy, Vol. 17, No. 4, 2006, pp. 461-469. Retrieved from http://www.riss.kr/search/detail/DetailView.do?p_mat_type=1a0202e37d52c72d&control_no=41d08137e98aa47dc85d2949c297615a.
  21. S. Park, S. Lee, and Y. Kim, "Establishing the importance weight of patent valuation criteria for product categories through AHP analysis", Entrue Journal of Information Technology, Vol. 10, No. 1, 2011, pp. 115-127. Retrieved from https://www.kci.go.kr/kciportal/ci/sereArticleSearch/ciSereArtiVi ew.kci?sereArticleSearchBean.artiId=ART001521713.
  22. W. Kim, "Determination of commercialization potential through patent attribute assessment in lithium ion battery technology", Journal of the Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers, Vol. 40, No. 2, 2014, pp. 240-249, doi: https://doi.org/10.7232/JKIIE.2014.40.2.240.
  23. J. H. Han, S. J. Kim, and C. B. Kim, "A strategy development of hydrogen energy industrial infrastructure by using SWOT/AHP method", Journal of Korea Technology Innovation Society, Vol. 19, No. 4, 2016, pp. 822-847. Retrieved from https://koreascience.kr/article/JAKO201610364778833.j. 10364778833.j
  24. G. Rowe and G. Wright, "Expert opinions in forecasting: the role of the Delphi technique", Principles of Forecasting, Vol. 30, 2001, pp. 125-144, doi: https://doi.org/10.1007/978-0-306-47630-3_7.
  25. S. J. Park and Y. C. Choi, "Prioritizing the functions of local education support authority using AHP method", The Journal of Educational Administration, Vol. 28, No. 4, 2010, pp. 281-300. Retrieved from https://www.kci.go.kr/kciportal/ci/sereArticleSearch/ciSereArtiView.kci?sereArticleSearchBean.artiId=ART001515528.