• Title/Summary/Keyword: Conditional Probability

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TYPE SPACES AND WASSERSTEIN SPACES

  • Song, Shichang
    • Journal of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.55 no.2
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    • pp.447-469
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    • 2018
  • Types (over parameters) in the theory of atomless random variable structures correspond precisely to (conditional) distributions in probability theory. Moreover, the logic (resp. metric) topology on the type space corresponds to the topology of weak (resp. strong) convergence of distributions. In this paper, we study metrics between types. We show that type spaces under $d^{\ast}-metric$ are isometric to Wasserstein spaces. Using optimal transport theory, two formulas for the metrics between types are given. Then, we give a new proof of an integral formula for the Wasserstein distance, and generalize some results in optimal transport theory.

PROBABILITIES OF ANALOGUE OF WIENER PATHS CROSSING CONTINUOUSLY DIFFERENTIABLE CURVES

  • Ryu, Kun Sik
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.579-586
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    • 2009
  • Let $\varphi$ be a complete probability measure on $\mathbb{R}$, let $m_{\varphi}$ be the analogue of Wiener measure over paths on [0, T] and let f(t) be continuously differentiable on [0, T]. In this note, we give the analogue of Wiener measure $m_{\varphi}$ of {x in C[0, T]$\mid$x(0) < f(0) and $x(s_0){\geq}f(s_{0})$ for some $s_{0}$ in [0, T]} by use of integral equation techniques. This result is a generalization of Park and Paranjape's 1974 result[1].

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Hybrid Group-Sequential Conditional-Bayes Approaches to the Double Sampling Plans

  • Seong-gon Ko
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 1998
  • This research aims here to develop a certain extended double sampling plan, EDS, which is an extension of ordinary double sampling plan in the sense that the second-stage sampling effort and second-stage critical value are allowed to depend on the point at which the first-stage continuation region is traversed. For purpose of comparison, single sampling plan, optimal ordinary double sampling plan(ODS) and sequential probability ratio test are considered with the same overall error rates, respectively. It is observed that the EDS idea allows less sampling effort than the optimal ODS.

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On an Approximation for Calculating Multivariate t Orthant Probabilities

  • Hea Jung Kim
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.629-635
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    • 1997
  • An approximation for multivariate t probability for an orhant region(i.e., a rectangular resion with lower limits of $-\infty$ for all margins) is proposed. It is based on conditional expectations, a regression with binary variables, and the exact formula for the evalution of the bivariate t integrals by Dunnett and Sobel. It is noted that the proposed approximation method is espicially useful for evaluating the multivariate t integrals where there is no simple method available until now.

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RECURRENCE RELATIONS FOR QUOTIENT MOMENTS OF GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION BASED ON GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS AND CHARACTERIZATION

  • Kumar, Devendra
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.347-361
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    • 2014
  • Generalized Pareto distribution play an important role in reliability, extreme value theory, and other branches of applied probability and statistics. This family of distribution includes exponential distribution, Pareto or Lomax distribution. In this paper, we established exact expressions and recurrence relations satised by the quotient moments of generalized order statistics for a generalized Pareto distribution. Further the results for quotient moments of order statistics and records are deduced from the relations obtained and a theorem for characterizing this distribution is presented.

ON THE WEAK LAW FOR RANDOMLY INDEXED PARTIAL SUMS FOR ARRAYS

  • Hong, Dug-Hun;Sung, Soo-Hak;Andrei I.Volodin
    • Communications of the Korean Mathematical Society
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.291-296
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    • 2001
  • For randomly indexed sums of the form (Equation. See Full-text), where {X(sub)ni, i$\geq$1, n$\geq$1} are random variables, {N(sub)n, n$\geq$1} are suitable conditional expectations and {b(sub)n, n$\geq$1} are positive constants, we establish a general weak law of large numbers. Our result improves that of Hong [3].

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Study on Teachers' Understanding on Generating Random Number in Monte Carlo Simulation (몬테카를로 시뮬레이션의 난수 생성에 관한 교사들의 이해에 관한 연구)

  • Heo, Nam Gu;Kang, Hyangim
    • School Mathematics
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    • v.17 no.2
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    • pp.241-255
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze teachers' understanding on generating random number in Monte Carlo simulation and to provide educational implications in school practice. The results showed that the 70% of the teachers selected wrong ideas from three types for random-number as strategies for problem solving a probability problem and also they make some errors to justify their opinion. The first kind of the errors was that the probability of a point or boundary was equal to the value of the probability density function in the continuous probability distribution. The second kind of the errors was that the teachers failed to recognize that the sample space has been changed by conditional probability. The third kind of the errors was that when two random variables X, Y are independence of each other, then only, joint probability distribution is satisfied $P(X=x,\;Y=y)=p(X=x){\times}P(Y=y{\mid}X=x)$.

Assessment of Slope Stability With the Uncertainty in Soil Property Characterization (지반성질 불확실성을 고려한 사면안정 해석)

  • 김진만
    • Proceedings of the Korean Geotechical Society Conference
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    • 2003.03a
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    • pp.123-130
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    • 2003
  • The estimation of key soil properties and subsequent quantitative assessment of the associated uncertainties has always been an important issue in geotechnical engineering. It is well recognized that soil properties vary spatially as a result of depositional and post-depositional processes. The stochastic nature of spatially varying soil properties can be treated as a random field. A practical statistical approach that can be used to systematically model various sources of uncertainty is presented in the context of reliability analysis of slope stability Newly developed expressions for probabilistic characterization of soil properties incorporate sampling and measurement errors, as well as spatial variability and its reduced variance due to spatial averaging. Reliability analyses of the probability of slope failure using the different statistical representations of soil properties show that the incorporation of spatial correlation and conditional simulation leads to significantly lower probability of failure than obtained using simple random variable approach.

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The Characteristics of Wave Statistical Data and Quality Assurance (파랑 통계자료의 특성과 신뢰성 검토)

  • Park, J.H.
    • Journal of Power System Engineering
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.63-70
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    • 2009
  • This paper discusses the influence on long-tenn predictions of the ship response in ocean by using the Global Wave Statistics data, GWS, and wave information from the remote sensing satellites. GWS's standard scatter diagrams of significant wave height and zero-crossing wave period are suggested to be corrected to a round number of 0.01/1000 fitted with a statistical analytic model of the conditional lognormal distribution for zero-crossing wave period. The GEOSAT satellite data are utilized which presented by I. R. Young and G. J. Holland (1996, named as GEOSAT data). At first, qualities of this data are investigated, and statistical characteristic trends are studied by means of applying known probability distribution functions. The wave height data of GEOSAT are compared to the data observed onboard merchant ships, the data observed by measure instrument installed on the ocean-going container ship and so on. To execute a long-tenn prediction of ship response, joint probability functions between wave height and wave period are introduced, therefore long-term statistical predictions are executed by using the functions.

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Multi-Valued Decision Making for Transitional Stochastic Event: Determination of Sleep Stages Through EEG Record

  • Nakamura, Masatoshi;Sugi, Takenao
    • Transactions on Control, Automation and Systems Engineering
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.239-243
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    • 2002
  • Multi-valued decision making for transitional stochastic events was newly derived based on conditional probability of knowledge database which included experts'knowledge and experience. The proposed multi-valued decision making was successfully adopted to the determination of the five levels of the vigilance of a subject during the EEG (electroencephalogram) recording; awake stage (stage W), and sleep stages (stage REM (rapid eye movement), stage 1, stage 2, stage $\sfrac{3}{4}$). Innovative feature of the proposed method is that the algorithm of decision making can be constructed only by use of the knowledge database, inspected by experts. The proposed multi-valued decision making with a mathematical background of the probability can also be applicable widely, in industries and in other medical fields for purposes of the multi-valued decision making.