• 제목/요약/키워드: Central limit theorem

검색결과 160건 처리시간 0.024초

ON LIMIT BEHAVIOURS FOR FELLER'S UNFAIR-FAIR-GAME AND ITS RELATED MODEL

  • An, Jun
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제59권6호
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    • pp.1185-1201
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    • 2022
  • Feller introduced an unfair-fair-game in his famous book [3]. In this game, at each trial, player will win 2k yuan with probability pk = 1/2kk(k + 1), k ∈ ℕ, and zero yuan with probability p0 = 1 - Σk=1 pk. Because the expected gain is 1, player must pay one yuan as the entrance fee for each trial. Although this game seemed "fair", Feller [2] proved that when the total trial number n is large enough, player will loss n yuan with its probability approximate 1. So it's an "unfair" game. In this paper, we study in depth its convergence in probability, almost sure convergence and convergence in distribution. Furthermore, we try to take 2k = m to reduce the values of random variables and their corresponding probabilities at the same time, thus a new probability model is introduced, which is called as the related model of Feller's unfair-fair-game. We find out that this new model follows a long-tailed distribution. We obtain its weak law of large numbers, strong law of large numbers and central limit theorem. These results show that their probability limit behaviours of these two models are quite different.

Asymptotic Theory for Multi-Dimensional Mode Estimator

  • Kim, Jean-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권2호
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    • pp.251-269
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    • 1994
  • In this paper we extend Kim and Pollard's cube root asymptotics to other rates of convergence, to establish an asymptotic theory for a multidimensional mode estimator based on uniform kernel with shrinking bandwidths. We obtain rates of convergence depending on shrinking rates of bandwidth and non-normal limit distributions. Optimal decreasing rates of bandwidth are discussed.

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A STUDY ON GARCH(p, q) PROCESS

  • Lee, Oe-Sook
    • 대한수학회논문집
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    • 제18권3호
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    • pp.541-550
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    • 2003
  • We consider the generalized autoregressive model with conditional heteroscedasticity process(GARCH). It is proved that if (equation omitted) β/sub i/ < 1, then there exists a unique invariant initial distribution for the Markov process emdedding the given GARCH process. Geometric ergodicity, functional central limit theorems, and a law of large numbers are also studied.

CENTRAL LIMT THEOREMS FOR MULTITYPE AGE-DEPENDENT BRANCHING PROCESSES

  • Kang, Hye-Jeong
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제36권6호
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    • pp.1115-1132
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    • 1999
  • We consider a supercritical multitype age dependent branching process. We define a stochastic process Zf(t) which is a functional of the empirical age distribution. When the limit of the expectation of this functional vanishes we4 find some sufficient conditions for the asymptotic normality of the mean of f with respect to the empirical age distribution at time t.

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THE SECOND CENTRAL LIMIT THEOREM FOR MARTINGALE DIFFERENCE ARRAYS

  • Bae, Jongsig;Jun, Doobae;Levental, Shlomo
    • 대한수학회보
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    • 제51권2호
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    • pp.317-328
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    • 2014
  • In Bae et al. [2], we have considered the uniform CLT for the martingale difference arrays under the uniformly integrable entropy. In this paper, we prove the same problem under the bracketing entropy condition. The proofs are based on Freedman inequality combined with a chaining argument that utilizes majorizing measures. The results of present paper generalize those for a sequence of stationary martingale differences. The results also generalize independent problems.

SOME RESULTS ON CONDITIONALLY UNIFORMLY STRONG MIXING SEQUENCES OF RANDOM VARIABLES

  • Yuan, De-Mei;Hu, Xue-Mei;Tao, Bao
    • 대한수학회지
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    • 제51권3호
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    • pp.609-633
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    • 2014
  • From the ordinary notion of uniformly strong mixing for a sequence of random variables, a new concept called conditionally uniformly strong mixing is proposed and the relation between uniformly strong mixing and conditionally uniformly strong mixing is answered by examples, that is, uniformly strong mixing neither implies nor is implied by conditionally uniformly strong mixing. A couple of equivalent definitions and some of basic properties of conditionally uniformly strong mixing random variables are derived, and several conditional covariance inequalities are obtained. By means of these properties and conditional covariance inequalities, a conditional central limit theorem stated in terms of conditional characteristic functions is established, which is a conditional version of the earlier result under the non-conditional case.

Re-exploring teaching and learning of probability and statistics using Excel

  • Lee, Seung-Bum;Park, Jungeun;Choi, Sang-Ho;Kim, Dong-Joong
    • 한국컴퓨터정보학회논문지
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    • 제21권7호
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    • pp.85-92
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    • 2016
  • The law of large numbers, central limit theorem, and connection among binomial distribution, normal distribution, and statistical estimation require dynamics of continuous visualization for students' better understanding of the concepts. During this visualization process, the differences and similarities between statistical probability and mathematical probability that students should observe need to be provided with the intermediate steps in the converging process. We propose a visualization method that can integrate intermediate processes and results through Excel. In this process, students' experiences with dynamic visualization help them to perceive that the results are continuously changed and extracted from multiple situations. Considering modeling as a key process, we developed a classroom exercise using Excel to estimate the population mean and standard deviation by using a sample mean computed from a collection of data out of the population through sampling.

Crack growth life model for fatigue susceptible structural components in aging aircraft

  • Chou, Karen C.;Cox, Glenn C.;Lockwood, Allison M.
    • Structural Engineering and Mechanics
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    • 제17권1호
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    • pp.29-50
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    • 2004
  • A total life model was developed to assess the service life of aging aircraft. The primary focus of this paper is the development of crack growth life projection using the response surface method. Crack growth life projection is a necessary component of the total life model. The study showed that the number of load cycles N needed for a crack to propagate to a specified size can be linearly related to the geometric parameter, material, and stress level of the component considered when all the variables are transformed to logarithmic values. By the Central Limit theorem, the ln N was approximated by Gaussian distribution. This Gaussian model compared well with the histograms of the number of load cycles generated from simulated crack growth curves. The outcome of this study will aid engineers in designing their crack growth experiments to develop the stochastic crack growth models for service life assessments.

고전확률론과 중심극한정리에 대한 역사적 고찰

  • 장인홍
    • 한국수학사학회지
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.65-74
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    • 2002
  • In this paper we investigate an origin and development of the classical theory of probability. And we also investigate the law of large numbers and central limit theorem which are very important in tile probability theory.

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ASYMPTOTIC PROPERTIES OF RANDOM CENTRAL ORDER STATISTICS UNDER CONTAMINATION

  • Kim, Sung-Kyun;Kim, Sung-Lai
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • 제8권2호
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    • pp.627-634
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    • 2001
  • Under contamination, Bahadur representations with a strong remainder term are derived for random central order statistics with a prescribed limiting rank, and asymptotic normalities for these statistics of truncated and contaminated data are proved, with a suitable limiting rank. From these results, an application to the fixed-width confidence interval problem is available.