• 제목/요약/키워드: Bootstrap confidence interval

검색결과 88건 처리시간 0.035초

EDF 기대손실에 기초한 공정능력지수의 붓스트랩 신뢰구간 (Bootstrap Confidence Intervals of the Process Capability Index Based on the EDF Expected Loss)

  • 임태진;송현석
    • 품질경영학회지
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    • 제31권4호
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    • pp.164-175
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    • 2003
  • This paper investigates bootstrap confidence intervals of the process capability index(PCI) based on the expected loss derived from the empirical distribution function(EDF). The PCI based on the expected loss is too complex to derive its confidence interval analytically, so the bootstrap method is a good alternative. We propose three types of the bootstrap confidence interval; the standard bootstrap(SB), the percentile bootstrap(PB), and the acceleration biased­corrected percentile bootstrap(ABC). We also perform a comprehensive simulation study under various process distributions, in order to compare the accuracy of the coverage probability of the bootstrap confidence intervals. In most cases, the coverage probabilities of the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI turned out to be more accurate than those from the PCI based on the normal distribution. It is expected that the bootstrap confidence intervals from the EDF PCI can be utilized in real processes where the true distribution family may not be known.

재표집방법에 의한 공정관리지수의 신뢰구간 (Confidence Interval for Capability Process Indices by the Resampling Method)

  • 남경현
    • 한국신뢰성학회지:신뢰성응용연구
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    • 제1권1호
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    • pp.55-63
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    • 2001
  • In this paper, we utilize the asymptotic variance of $C_{pk}$ to propose a two-sided confidence interval based on percentile-t bootstrap method. This confidence interval is compared with the ones based on the standard and percentile bootstrap methods. Simulation results show that percentile-t bootstrap method is preferred to other methods for constructing the confidence interval.l.

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Interval Estimations for Reliablility in Stress-Strength Model by Bootstrap Method

  • Lee, In-Suk;Cho, Jang-Sik
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.73-83
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    • 1995
  • We construct the approximate bootstrap confidence intervals for reliability (R) when the distributions of strength and stress are both normal. Also we propose percentile, bias correct (BC), bias correct acceleration (BCa), and percentile-t intervals for R. We compare with the accuracy of the proposed bootstrap confidence intervals and classical confidence interval based on asymptotic normal distribution through Monte Carlo simulation. Results indicate that the confidence intervals by bootstrap method work better than classical confidence interval. In particular, confidence intervals by BC and BCa method work well for small sample and/or large value of true reliability.

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Bootstrap 기법을 이용한 BOD 평균 농도 및 신뢰구간 분석 (Analysis of BOD Mean Concentration and Confidence Interval using Bootstrap Technique)

  • 김경섭
    • 한국물환경학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.297-302
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    • 2010
  • It is very important to know mean and confidence interval of water-quality constituents such as BOD for water-quality control and management of rivers and reservoirs effectively. The mean and confidence interval of BOD at Anseong2 and Hwangguji3 sampling stations which are located at the border of local governments in Anseong Stream were estimated and analyzed in this paper using Bootstrap technique which is one of non-parametric statistics. The results of Bootstrap were compared with arithmetic mean, geometric mean, Biweight method mean as a point estimator and distribution mean came from the appropriate probability distribution of Log-normal. In Bootstrap technique 12 data set was randomly selected in each year and 1000 samples was produced to get parameter of population. Visual Basic for Applications (VBA) of Microsoft Excel was utilized in Bootstrap. It was revealed that the Bootstrap technique can be used to explain more rigorously and robustly the achievement or violation of BOD target concentration in Total Maximum Daily Load (TMDL).

On the Performance of Iterated Wild Bootstrap Interval Estimation of the Mean Response

  • Kim, Woo-Chul;Ko, Duk-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제24권2호
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    • pp.551-562
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    • 1995
  • We consider the iterated bootstrap method in regression model with heterogeneous error variances. The iterated wild bootstrap confidence intervla of the mean response is considered. It is shown that the iterated wild bootstrap confidence interval has coverage error of order $n^{-1}$ wheresa percentile method interval has an error of order $n^{-1/2}$. The simulation results reveal that the iterated bootstrap method calibrates the coverage error of percentile method interval successfully even for the small sample size.

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경제위기시 환율신뢰구간 예측 알고리즘 개발 (Confidence interval forecast of exchange rate based on bootstrap method during economic crisis)

  • 김태윤;권오진
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제22권5호
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    • pp.895-902
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    • 2011
  • 본 연구는 경제위기시 환율의 신뢰구간 예측 알고리즘을 개발하는 것을 주된 목적으로 한다. 경제위기시 환율의 움직임의 특징은 평상시에 비해 변동성이 극도로 증가한다는 점이다. 본 연구에서는 이러한 변동성을 효율적으로 추정하기 위해 시계열 데이터의 변동성 추정에 유용한 것으로 알려진 블록 붓스트랩 기법을 사용하여 그 유용성을 보인다.

Bootstrap and Delete-d Jackknife Confidence Intervals for Parameters of an Exponential Distribution

  • Kang, Suk-Bok;Cho, Young-Suk
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제8권1호
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    • pp.59-70
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    • 1997
  • We introduce several estimators of the location and the scale parameters of the two-parameter exponential distribution, and then compare these estimators by the mean square error (MSE). Using the parametric bootstrap estimators and the delete-d jackknife, we obtain the bootstrap and the delete-d jackknife confidence intervals for the location and the scale parameters and compare the bootstrap confidence intervals with the delete-d jackknife confidence intervals by length and coverage probability through Monte Carlo method.

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A Note on Comparing Multistage Procedures for Fixed-Width Confidence Interval

  • Choi, Ki-Heon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제15권5호
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    • pp.643-653
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    • 2008
  • Application of the bootstrap to problems in multistage inference procedures are discussed in normal and other related models. After a general introduction to these procedures, here we explore in multistage fixed precision inference in models. We present numerical comparisons of these procedures based on bootstrap critical points for small and moderate sample sizes obtained via extensive sets of simulated experiments. It is expected that the procedure based on bootstrap leads to better results.

KOZIOL-GREEN 모형에서 생존함수에 대한 붓스트랩 구간추정 (Bootstrap confidence interval for survival function in the Koziol-Green model)

  • 조길호;정성화;최달우;최현숙
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제11권1호
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1998
  • 본 논문에서는 Koziol-Green 모형에서 생존함수에 대한 신뢰구간을 붓스트랩 방법을 이용하여 제안하고, 생존함수에 대한 붓스트랩 추정량의 일치성을 밝힌다. 또한 제안된 붓스트랩 신뢰구간들을 기존의 근사적 정규분포를 이용한 신뢰구간과 생존함수에 변수변환을 고려하여 구성한 신뢰구간들과 모의실험을 통하여 비교한 결과 제안된 붓스트랩 신뢰구간이 기존의 방법보다 포함확률 측면에서 더 좋은 결과를 보였고 중도절단율에 덜 민감한다는 것을 보여 주었다.

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A Simulation Study for the Confidence Intervals of p by Using Average Coverage Probability

  • Kim, Daehak;Jeong, Hyeong-Chul
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제7권3호
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    • pp.859-869
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    • 2000
  • In this paper, various methods for finding confidence intervals for p of binomial parameter are reviewed. Also we introduce tow bootstrap confidence intervals for p. We compare the performance of bootstrap methods with other methods in terms of average coverage probability by Monte Carlo simulation. Advantages of these bootstrap methods are discussed.

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