• Title/Summary/Keyword: Bayesian estimation

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Notes on the Comparative Study of the Reliability Estimation for Standby System with Exponential Lifetime Distribution

  • Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.1055-1065
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    • 2003
  • We shall propose maximum likelihood, Bayesian and generalized maximum likelihood estimation for the reliability of the two-unit hot standby system with exponential lifetime distribution that switch is perfect. Each estimation will be compared numerically in terms of various mission times, parameter values and asymptotic relative efficiency through Monte Carlo simulation.

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Bayesian Parameter :Estimation and Variable Selection in Random Effects Generalised Linear Models for Count Data

  • Oh, Man-Suk;Park, Tae-Sung
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.31 no.1
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    • pp.93-107
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    • 2002
  • Random effects generalised linear models are useful for analysing clustered count data in which responses are usually correlated. We propose a Bayesian approach to parameter estimation and variable selection in random effects generalised linear models for count data. A simple Gibbs sampling algorithm for parameter estimation is presented and a simple and efficient variable selection is done by using the Gibbs outputs. An illustrative example is provided.

Notes on the Comparative Study of the Reliability Estimation for Standby System with Rayleigh Lifetime Distribution

  • Kim, Hee-Jae
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.1
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    • pp.239-250
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    • 2004
  • We shall propose maximum likelihood, Bayesian and generalized maximum likelihood estimation for the reliability of the two-unit hot standby system with Rayleigh lifetime distribution that switch is perfect. Each estimation will be compared numerically in terms of various mission times, parameter values and asymptotic relative efficiency through Monte Carlo simulation.

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ESTIMATION OF SCALE PARAMETER AND P(Y < X) FROM RAYLEIGH DISTRIBUTION

  • Kim, Chan-Soo;Chung, Youn-Shik
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.32 no.3
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    • pp.289-298
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    • 2003
  • We consider the estimation problem for the scale parameter of the Rayleigh distribution using weighted balanced loss function (WBLF) which reflects both goodness of fit and precision. Under WBLF, we obtain the optimal estimator which creates a kind of balance between Bayesian and non-Bayesian estimation. We also deal with the estimation of R = P(Y < X) when Y and X are two independent but not identically distributed Rayleigh distribution under squared error loss function.

Bayesian Method in Forecasting of time Series (Bayesian 시계열 예측방법에 관한 소고)

  • 박일근
    • Journal of Korean Society of Industrial and Systems Engineering
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    • v.7 no.10
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    • pp.47-51
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    • 1984
  • In many forecasting problem, there is little or no useful historical information available at the time the initial forecast is required, The propose of this paper is study on Bayesian Method in forecasting. I : Introduction. II : Bayesian estimation. III : Constant Model. IV : General time series Models. V : Conclusion. The Bayesian procedure are then used to revise parameter estimates when time series information is available, in this paper we give a general description of the bayesian approach and demonstrate the methodology with several specific cases.

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Nonparametric Bayesian estimation on the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution with record values

  • Seo, Jung In;Kim, Yongku
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.3
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    • pp.611-622
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    • 2014
  • The inverse Weibull distribution (IWD) is the complementary Weibull distribution and plays an important role in many application areas. In Bayesian analysis, Soland's method can be considered to avoid computational complexities. One limitation of this approach is that parameters of interest are restricted to a finite number of values. This paper introduce nonparametric Bayesian estimator in the context of record statistics values from the exponentiated inverse Weibull distribution (EIWD). In stead of Soland's conjugate piror, stick-breaking prior is considered and the corresponding Bayesian estimators under the squared error loss function (quadratic loss) and LINEX loss function are obtained and compared with other estimators. The results may be of interest especially when only record values are stored.

Nonparametric Bayesian methods: a gentle introduction and overview

  • MacEachern, Steven N.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.6
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    • pp.445-466
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    • 2016
  • Nonparametric Bayesian methods have seen rapid and sustained growth over the past 25 years. We present a gentle introduction to the methods, motivating the methods through the twin perspectives of consistency and false consistency. We then step through the various constructions of the Dirichlet process, outline a number of the basic properties of this process and move on to the mixture of Dirichlet processes model, including a quick discussion of the computational methods used to fit the model. We touch on the main philosophies for nonparametric Bayesian data analysis and then reanalyze a famous data set. The reanalysis illustrates the concept of admissibility through a novel perturbation of the problem and data, showing the benefit of shrinkage estimation and the much greater benefit of nonparametric Bayesian modelling. We conclude with a too-brief survey of fancier nonparametric Bayesian methods.

Bayesian estimation in the generalized half logistic distribution under progressively type-II censoring

  • Kim, Yong-Ku;Kang, Suk-Bok;Se, Jung-In
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.977-989
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    • 2011
  • The half logistic distribution has been used intensively in reliability and survival analysis especially when the data is censored. In this paper, we provide Bayesian estimation of the shape parameter and reliability function in the generalized half logistic distribution based on progressively Type-II censored data under various loss functions. We here consider conjugate prior and noninformative prior and corresponding posterior distributions are obtained. As an illustration, we examine the validity of our estimation using real data and simulated data.

Online Probability Density Estimation of Nonstationary Random Signal using Dynamic Bayesian Networks

  • Cho, Hyun-Cheol;Fadali, M. Sami;Lee, Kwon-Soon
    • International Journal of Control, Automation, and Systems
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    • v.6 no.1
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    • pp.109-118
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    • 2008
  • We present two estimators for discrete non-Gaussian and nonstationary probability density estimation based on a dynamic Bayesian network (DBN). The first estimator is for off line computation and consists of a DBN whose transition distribution is represented in terms of kernel functions. The estimator parameters are the weights and shifts of the kernel functions. The parameters are determined through a recursive learning algorithm using maximum likelihood (ML) estimation. The second estimator is a DBN whose parameters form the transition probabilities. We use an asymptotically convergent, recursive, on-line algorithm to update the parameters using observation data. The DBN calculates the state probabilities using the estimated parameters. We provide examples that demonstrate the usefulness and simplicity of the two proposed estimators.

Recursive Bayesian Filter based Strike Velocity Estimation for Small Caliber Projectile (재귀적 베이시안 필터를 적용한 소화기탄의 충돌속도 추정 연구)

  • Kim, Jong-Hwan;Jo, Seungsik
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Military Science and Technology
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    • v.19 no.2
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    • pp.177-184
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    • 2016
  • This paper presents a strike velocity estimation using the recursive Bayesian filter that operates both correction and prediction models to probabilistically remove noises of sensors and accurately estimate the strike velocity during the real-time experiments. Four different types of bullets such as 5.56 mm M193, 7.62 mm M80, 5.45 mm 7N10 and 7.62 mm MSC were used to validate the proposed method. Compared to the existing method, the proposed method statistically results in higher stability of the strike velocity estimation as well as its reliability for the ballistic limit velocity computation.