• The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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• v.34 no.1
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• pp.39-56
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• 2021

Many researches have been done on portfolio optimization since Markowitz (1952) published a diversified investment model. Markowitz's mean-variance portfolio optimization problem is established under the assumption that the distribution of returns follows a normal distribution. However, in real life, the distribution of returns does not follow a normal distribution, and variance is not a robust statistic as it is heavily influenced by outliers. To overcome these potential issues, mean-shortfall portfolio model was proposed that utilized downside risk, shortfall, as a risk index. In this paper, we propose a perturbation method that uses the shortfall as a risk index of the portfolio. The proposed portfolio utilizes an adaptive Lasso to obtain a sparse and stable asset selection because it can reduce management and transaction costs. The proposed optimization is easily applicable as it can be computed using an efficient linear programming. In our real data analysis, we show the validity of the proposed perturbation method.

• Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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• v.36 no.2
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• pp.237-256
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• 2007

This paper studies the problem of option pricing in an incomplete market. The market incompleteness comes from the discontinuity of the underlying asset price process which is, in particular, assumed to be a compound Poisson process. To find a reasonable price for a European contingent claim, we first find the unique minimal martingale measure and get a price by taking an expectation of the payoff under this measure. To get a closed-form price, we use an asymptotic expansion. In case where the minimal martingale measure is a signed measure, we use a sequence of martingale measures (probability measures) that converges to the equivalent martingale measure in the limit to compute the price. Again, we get a closed form of asymptotic option price. It is the Black-Scholes price and a correction term, when the distribution of the return process has nonzero skewness up to the first order.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.18 no.4
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• pp.467-475
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• 2011

This paper develops the noninformative priors for the stress-strength reliability from one parameter generalized exponential distributions. When this reliability is a parameter of interest, we develop the first, second order matching priors, reference priors in its order of importance in parameters and Jeffreys' prior. We reveal that these probability matching priors are not the alternative coverage probability matching prior or a highest posterior density matching prior, a cumulative distribution function matching prior. In addition, we reveal that the one-at-a-time reference prior and Jeffreys' prior are actually a second order matching prior. We show that the proposed reference prior matches the target coverage probabilities in a frequentist sense through a simulation study and a provided example.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.25 no.2
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• pp.465-472
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• 2014

This article deals with the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in the half logistic distributions. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be dened up to a multiplicative constant. Thus we propose the default Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.3
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• pp.643-650
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• 2013

We develop noninformative priors for a ratio of parameters of two Maxwell distributions which is used to check the equality of two Maxwell distributions. Specially, we focus on developing probability matching priors and Je reys' prior for objectiv Bayesian inferences. The probability matching priors, under which the probability of the Bayesian credible interval matches the frequentist probability asymptotically, are developed. The posterior propriety under the developed priors will be shown. Some simulations are performed for identifying the usefulness of proposed priors in objective Bayesian inference.

• Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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• 2015.07a
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• pp.314-315
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• 2015

전력수요가 급증하면서 발전량 확보에 대한 요구에 따라 원자력 및 화력과 같은 기존 주요 발전설비로 인한 환경오염 문제에 대한 관심이 높아지고 있다. 일본 3.11 대지진과 후쿠시마 원전사고는 공급 위주의 전력에너지 정책 패러다임에 변화를 주었다. 원자력발전소 건설 규제 및 대책요구에 대한 여론이 높아짐에 따라 전력산업 전반적으로 수용가의 효율적인 에너지 사용을 포함하는 지능형 전력망(Smart Grid)과 수요반응(Demand Response) 기술이 화두가 되고 있다. 배전 시스템내의 어플리케이션 간의 정보 교환은 IEC TC-57 WG-14에 의해 IEC 61968 표준 규격으로 정의되고 Part 4인 "Records and Asset Management"에 기술된 규격에 대한 이해를 요구하고 한다. DMS와 GIS 시스템과 기존 연동하여 이러한 소규모의 마이크로그리드 시스템의 플랫폼으로 활용하도록 데이터교환 및 외부 GIS를 플랫폼으로 활용하는 통신 프로토콜을 소개하고자 한다.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• v.16 no.6
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• pp.891-901
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• 2009

In this paper, we investigate the approach to estimate VaR under the transformed GARCH model. The time series are transformed to approximate to the underlying distribution of error terms and then the parameters and the one-sided prediction interval are estimated with the transformed data. The back-transformation is applied to compute the VaR in the original data scale. The analyses on the asset returns of KOSPI and KOSDAQ are presented to verify the accuracy of the coverage probabilities of the proposed VaR.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.26 no.6
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• pp.1501-1511
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• 2015

This paper deals with the problem of testing on the equality of the scale parameters in the log-logistic distributions. We propose default Bayesian testing procedures for the scale parameters under the reference priors. The reference prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Therefore, we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference priors. To justify proposed procedures, a simulation study is provided and also, an example is given.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.21 no.2
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• pp.297-308
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• 2010

This article deals with the problem of testing mean when the coefficient of variation in normal distribution is known. We propose Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures for the normal mean under the noninformative prior. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. So we propose the objective Bayesian hypothesis testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Specially, we develop intrinsic priors which give asymptotically same Bayes factor with the intrinsic Bayes factor under the reference prior. Simulation study and a real data example are provided.

• Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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• v.24 no.4
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• pp.949-957
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• 2013

In this paper, we consider the problem of testing the equality of the scale parameters in two parameter exponential distributions. We propose Bayesian testing procedures for the equality of the scale parameters under the noninformative priors. The noninformative prior is usually improper which yields a calibration problem that makes the Bayes factor to be defined up to a multiplicative constant. Thus, we propose the default Bayesian testing procedures based on the fractional Bayes factor and the intrinsic Bayes factors under the reference priors. Simulation study and an example are provided.