• 기술혁신학회지
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• 제15권4호
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• pp.766-782
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• 2012

과학기술이 갈수록 고도화되고 이해관계자가 증가하면서 특정 과학기술 분야에 대한 국가 전략의 수요는 증가하고 있다. 특히 한국은 이러한 경향이 높아 100여개 이상의 과학기술 관련 국가계획이 수립되어 실행 중이다. 그러나 이와 관련된 과학적인 방법론을 정립하기 위한 학술적 시도는 드물다. 본 논문에서는 이러한 문제의식을 바탕으로 특정 분야의 과학기술 전략 수립을 위한 방법론을 제시하고 사례연구를 통하여 그 유용성을 확인하고자 한다. 먼저 문헌분석을 통하여 국가 과학기술전략 수립에 관한 선행 사례와 국가 과학기술전략의 개념에 대하여 알아본다. 또한 대표적 과학기술 관련 법령과 그에 따른 기본계획을 검토하여 위에서 제기된 문제의 현황을 살펴본다. 한편, 틀로써 PEST, SWOT-AHP 방법론을 제안하고 방법론의 특징과 적용 분야 등을 확인한다. 사례연구는 핵융합 연구개발 사업의 전략 수립에 대하여 진행한다. 이를 위하여 핵융합 연구개발 로드맵을 근거로 한 환경 분석 내용에 대하여 PEST, SWOT-AHP를 적용하고 핵융합 연구개발에 관한 국가 과학기술 전략을 도출하여 제안된 틀의 유용성을 검증한다. 실증분석 결과, 향후 핵융합 연구개발을 위해서는 기술개발 선도, 기초연구 및 인력양성 강화, 기술사업화 및 사회적 수용성 제고, 국제협력 연구 강화 등 4개의 전략을 도출하고 그 우선순위를 파악함으로써 제시된 틀의 유용성을 확인할 수 있었다.

• 대한교통학회지
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• 제26권4호
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• pp.195-204
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• 2008

다기준 분석이란 다수의 속성이나 다수의 목적함수를 포함하는 의사결정을 최적화하는 기법이다. 현재 국내에서 여러 가지 쟁점 방안을 고려하여 가장 보편적으로 사용되고 있는 다기준 분석기법은 분석적 계층화법 (Analytic Hierarchy Process; AHP)이다. 그러나 기존의 방법론은 AHP 평가자의 판단의 신뢰성에 대한 검증과정이 누락되어 있으므로, 보다 정확한 판단을 내리기 위해서는 타당성 있는 검증과정이 포함된 새로운 방법론이 필요하다. 이에 본 연구에서는 AHP 평가자가 평가대상에 대한 전문지식이 없는 경우 도출될 수 있는 의사결정 결과를 몬테카를로 시뮬레이션을 이용하여 도출하고, 이를 기존의 전문가가 내린 의사결정 결과와 비교하여 보다 합리적인 판단을 내릴 수 있는 새로운 해석모형을 개발하고 이를 기존에 한국개발연구원(KDI)에서 수행한 예비타당성의 도로 및 철도분야의 실제 사례에 적용하여 본 모형의 합리성을 평가해 보았다. 분석결과 기존 방법론에 기인한 최종 판단의 약 20%는 보다 신중한 판단이 필요하다는 결론이 도출되었으며, 최종 판단은 초기 가중치 산정에 큰 영향을 받으므로 향후 연구에서는 초기에 산정된 가중치와 최종판단간의 상관관계 분석이 필요할 것으로 사료된다.

• 한국기술혁신학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국기술혁신학회 2001년도 춘계학술대회:발표자료
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• pp.369-385
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• 2001

A R&D project evaluation method has been applied for the national nuclear R&D projects in a developing-country setting. In the methodology, Saaty's analytic hierarchy process model is used to evaluate and rank of the selected nuclear R&D project which have a wide range of objectives and characteristics. The criteria used for evaluation related specifically to the Korea's evaluation needs and culture, and they are weighted according to their relative importance as perceived by the evaluator of the R&D project. As a real-world case of evaluation, we elicited and reproduced the evaluation process of the nuclear R&D projects which is going under the research process. As the results of the paper suggests, the methodology can be applied to the evaluation of the R&D projects and has much potential.

• 대한산업공학회지
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• 제32권1호
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• pp.18-28
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• 2006

Some issues which should be considered in an R&D project selection problem are as follows: First, quantitative analysis on the efficiencies of R&D projects is required to guarantee objective validity in the evaluation of the projects. For this reason, the methodology for selecting R&D projects should be based on mathematical models that perform quantitative analysis. Second, in general there are ordinal factors like Likert-scale in the data for evaluating R&D projects. Previous researches, however, couldn't suggest explicit methods incorporating these ordinal factors into models. Third, for the R&D project selection problems with limited resources like budget, it is necessary to decide the perfect ranking of the all projects. This paper develops a mathematical model that can be applicable to the problems of selecting R&D projects with the previous features. In this paper, we improve the original DEA model for evaluating efficiency to incorporate ordinal factors and suggest a new model which can decide the perfect ranking of all projects by merging the improved DEA model and AHP method. Furthermore a web-based R&D project selection system using the DEA/AHP model suggested in this paper is developed and illustrated.

• 산업경영시스템학회지
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• 제27권1호
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• pp.109-120
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• 2004

In large scale complex system such as a nuclear power plant, it is important to select guidelines and/or checklist to evaluate the system performance, especially human performance for visual information while the number of evaluation items of the guidelines and checklist is voluminous. This paper presents the methodology and experiment for the relative weights or priority selection of evaluation items on the advanced information display of main control room in a nuclear power plant. To summarize this, 1) many human factors guidelines of Visual Display Terminal(VDT) displays are collected, 2) the collected guidelines are integrated and unified based on some rules in a way to avoid confusion or errors about work performances of operator groups, 3) using the unified guidelines, the more important items are defined when the advanced information indexes are applied by using the Analytic Hierarchy Process(AHP). For employing the AHP, the decisions and response of many human factors evaluation specialists in this field are collected to get the priority order of the evaluation items of VDT. The result of this paper will be applied for the evaluation of the usability of next generation of nuclear power plant which is focused on the visual information display on VDT.

• 한국경영과학회지
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• 제21권3호
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• pp.109-125
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• 1996

Biases and errors in the human being's reasoning process have been studied continuously by the researchers, especially psychlogists and social scientists. These bias phenomenon is classified on the basis of the origin, i. e. motivation and cognition. Furthermore the necessity of research on the bias in the management and management information system areas in increased more and more recently, which have their academic backgrounds in the psychology and social science. The biased information stream is transformed into the systematic error due to the motivation and cognitive bias of human-being, then its resulting phenomena are as follows; 1. the availability of salient information 2. preconceived ideas or theories about peoples and event 3. anchoring and perseverence phenomena. In order to reduce the information errors, Satty suggested the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) that is the subject of this paper and that is widely used for evaluation of complex decision making alternatives. THerefore this paper studies AHP's effects and its limitations in applying to the management area. Thus this paper compared the performances of the 3 models : 1 the traditional additive regression model. 2 regression model using the factor score, and 3 the regression model with AHP. As a result, 3 models produce the different outcomes.

• 한국정보시스템학회지:정보시스템연구
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• 제24권4호
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• pp.61-81
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• 2015

Purpose Seoul Digital Industrial Complex has remarkably grown both quantitatively and qualitatively in short period of time since it started restructuring project in 1997. It's also not few that there were various challenges and difficulties in this industrial complex due to fast growth in short-term, such as the deficient amenities, noncooperation among the related organizations. Now, it's time to overcome these challenges and difficulties to establish new strategy for the sustainable growth and development of this Industrial Complex. Methodology There are some previous researches but almost none of them considered the priority order of the development strategy having reflected the needs of industrial complex in point of customer. In this regard, this study suggests the development strategy of Seoul Digital Industrial Complex by supplementing the limits of proceeding researches and using the combined SWOT/AHP analysis theory. Findings Based on the final analysis result of survey by combined SWOT/AHP method, this study suggests the priority order of 4 development strategies for Seoul Digital Industrial Complex, such as SO strategy, ST strategy, WO strategy and WT strategy.

• 대한안전경영과학회지
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• 제14권3호
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• pp.119-126
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• 2012

Recently, the breakdown of online banking servers and the leakage of customer information give rise to much concern about the security of information systems in financial and banking companies in Korea. The enforcement of security for information system becomes much more important issue than earlier. However, the security reinforcement of information system is restricted by a budget. In addition, the activities' cost to secure information system from threatening are under uncertain circumstances and should be established by a human decision maker who is basically uncertain and vague. Thus, making the budget for information system is exposed to any extent of the risk for these reasons. First, we introduce brief fuzzy set theory and fuzzy AHP (Analytic Hierarchy Process) methodology. Then, the cost elements that comprise yearly budget are presented and the priorities among the cost elements are calculated by fuzzy AHP. The cost elements that are exposed to risk are evaluated from the both perspectives of the risk impact and risk occurrence possibility which are expressed as linguistic terms. To get information on the risk profiles-pessimistic, most likely, and optimistic-for each cost element, the evaluation is accomplished and the result is presented. At last, the budget ranges-minimum, mode, maximum-for each cost element are estimated with the consideration of the risk profiles.

• 융합정보논문지
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• 제9권6호
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• pp.91-96
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• 2019

최근 획득방안 도출을 위한 선행연구 조사 분석의 객관성 및 신뢰성이 확보된 과학적 결과에 대한 요구가 증대되고 있다. 이러한 요구에 따라 획득방안 연구 방법론에 대한 검토가 진행되고는 있으나, 아직까지는 초기 단계이며 비 전문적인 실정이다. 본 연구에서는 실무에 활용할 수 있도록 일반적인 의사결정 방법 및 국가 연구 개발 사업 의사 결정 방법, 현재 활용 중인 AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process), ANP(Analytic Network Process), KAAM(Knowledge-based Alternative Analysis Model) 등의 무기체계 획득 방안 연구 방법론 등을 비교하여 무기체계 획득방안 연구에 가장 적합한 AHP 기법을 방법론으로 제안하였다. AHP 항목으로 비용, 효과, 전력화 시기, 사업 관리 위험 등의 종합적인 요소들을 비교 분석함으로써 무기체계 획득방안 연구의 객관성과 신뢰성을 높이고, 정량적인 비교 분석으로써 과학적인 결과를 도출하였다. 본 연구를 통해 AHP를 활용하여 보다 무기체계 획득방안을 과학적이고 정량적으로 비교 분석할 수 있게 기여하였다.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제22권4호
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• pp.397-406
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• 2013

With the methodology of AHP, this paper focuses on communication activities and their constituents in city parks, selecting 11 constituents, natural or artificial, and establishes an evaluation model on the basis of the analysis of the characteristics of tourists' communication activities in order to obtain the weight and order of importance of the constituents of communication activities space. First-grade indicators influence weight and the order of the constituents of communication activities space are: artificial constituents (0.6614) > natural constituents (0.3386). The weight and order of five secondary indicators attached to natural constituents: private space (0.1538) > shade tree (0.0955) > gentle slope mound (0.0474) > beautiful waterscape (0.0270) > sunshine lawn (0.0149); the weight and order of six secondary indicators attached to artificial constituents: field boundary (0.2865) > Leisure chairs (0.1843) > resting areas (0.0795) > appropriate square (0.0533) > tree-lined road (0.0352) > landscape sketch (0.0227).Using modern decision analysis methodology to research the relationship of environment constituent elements has great theoretical and practical significance for the scientific design and construction of suitable environment for human needs.