• Title/Summary/Keyword: 확률 과정

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Analysis of the Effect of Manufacturing Tolerance on Induction Motor Performance by Univariate Dimension Reduction Method (단변수 차원 감소법을 이용한 제작 공차가 유도전동기 성능에 미치는 영향력 분석)

  • Lee, Sang-Kyun;Kang, Byung-Su;Back, Jong Hyun;Kim, Dong-Hun
    • Journal of the Korean Magnetics Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.203-207
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    • 2015
  • This paper introduces a probabilistic analysis method in order to analyze the effect of manufacturing tolerance on induction motor performance occurring in massive production. The univariate dimension reduction method is adapted to predict probabilistic characteristics of a performance function due to certain probabilistic distributions of design variables. Moreover, the sensitivity information on mean and variance of the performance function is estimated, and then the effect of randomness of individual design variables on the probability performance function is analyzed. The effectiveness and accuracy of the method is investigated with a mathematical model and an induction motor.

Two stage Chang's randomized response technique (2단계 창의 확률화응답기법)

  • Choi, Kyoung-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.21 no.2
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    • pp.271-277
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    • 2010
  • The randomized response technique is an indirect question that employs a randomizing device to protect respondents' privacy. The technique is now considered the most efficient of the newly developed techniques. In this technique, Chang et al. (2004) suggests an improved forced-answer technique and finds more efficient conditions than Warner did in 1965. But it is the weakness of the technique to lose more information than a direct response technique does. Therefore, a lot of researches have developed new techniques to reduce loss of information, to enhance estimated efficiency, and to efficiently use collected information. Considering this tendency, this paper also tries to improve Chang's technique. It suggests the technique that is extended from Chang's and finds more efficient conditions than Chang's technique and Mangat and Singh's (1990) did.

The average SER of MPSK signals with selection diversity in nakagami fading channels (나카가미 페이딩 채널에서 선택성 다이버시티를 사용한 MPSK 신호의 평균 심벌 오류 확률)

  • 최세영;윤동원;한영열
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.22 no.12
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    • pp.2696-2705
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    • 1997
  • An exact experssion for the average symbol error rate(SER) of L-order selection diversity for MPSK signals in a frequency-nonselective slowy m-distributed Nakagami fading and additive white Gaussian noise(AWGN) is determs of finite sums is obtained. To derive the SER of MPSK signals with selection combining, the new expression of pdf is introduced and many other mathmatical methods are used. When fading index m is 1, the derived exppression lead to those of MPSK with selection combining in Rayleight fading channels. The results show that the error probability decreases as the order of diversity increases.

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Test of homogeneity for transition probabilities in panel Markov chains (패널 마코프 체인의 전이확률에 대한 동질성 검정)

  • Lee, Sung Duck;Jo, Na Rae
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.30 no.1
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    • pp.147-157
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    • 2017
  • The test of transition probabilities in panel Markov chains are introduced. We deal with the hypotheses whether panel Markov chains have the same transition probabilities or not for all times. We suggest a LR test statistic for the test and its limit distribution is derived. We perform a simulation study to examine the limit distribution of test statistics when the number of the individuals are large.

A Study on the Statistical Probability Instruction through Computer Simulation (컴퓨터 시뮬레이션을 통한 통계적 확률 지도에 대한 연구)

  • Shin Bo-Mi;Lee Kyung-Hwa
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.139-156
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    • 2006
  • The concept of probability in current school mathematics has been dealt with in the classic viewpoint (mathematical probability) and part of the frequency viewpoint and axiomatic viewpoint have been introduced. However, since the exact understanding of the probability concepts is not possible only with the classic viewpoint, we need to research further on methods to complement classic viewpoint and emphasize various aspects of probability concepts (Lee, Kyung Hwa, 1996). Therefore, this study is to find out optimal computer simulation plans in teaching statistical probability. For the purpose, it examines how the nature of mathematical knowledge may be changed when statistical probability is taught with a use of computer simulation based on the Theory of Didactical Situation presented by Brousseau(1997). Next, it identifies how probability curriculum should be reconstituted for introducing statistical probability through computer simulation. Finally, it develops specific teaching materials that introduce statistical probability using computer simulation based on the results obtained.

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Structural Reliability Analysis of Linear Dynamic Systems with Random Properties (확률론적 선형 동적계의 구조신뢰성 해석)

  • Kim, In-Hack;Yang, Young-Soon
    • Journal of the Society of Naval Architects of Korea
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.91-98
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    • 1997
  • Most dynamic systems have various random properties m excitation and system parameters. In this paper, a procedure for structural response and reliability analysis is proposed for the linear dynamic system with random properties in both excitation and system parameters. The system parameter and response with random properties are modeled by the perturbation technique, and then the response analysis is formulated by probabilistic and vibration theories. Probabilistic FEM is also used for the calculation of mean response which is difficult by the proposed response model. The first passage analysis by the integral equation method is used to analyze the probability of failure. The integral equation method results in the first passage probability in terms of crossing rates and first passage probability densities. In this study it is assumed that excitations, system parameters and responses are Gaussian. As an application example, the probabilities of failure at transient state are calculated for a sdof system with random mass and spring constant subjected to stationary white-noise excitation and the results are compared to those of numerical simulation.

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Using Simulation for a Didactic Transposition of Probability (시뮬레이션을 활용한 확률 지식의 교수학적 변환)

  • Shin, Bo-Mi;Lee, Kyung-Hwa
    • Journal of Educational Research in Mathematics
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    • v.18 no.1
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    • pp.25-50
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    • 2008
  • Several previous studies suggested that simulation could be a main didactic instrument in overcoming misconception and probability modeling. However, they have not described enough how to reorganize probability knowledge as knowledge to be taught in a curriculum using simulation. The purpose of this study is to identify the theoretical knowledge needed in developing a didactic transposition method of probability knowledge using simulation. The theoretical knowledge needed to develop this method was specified as follows : pseudo-contextualization/pseudo-personalization, and pseudo-decontextualization/pseudo-deper-sonalization according to the introductory purposes of simulation. As a result, this study developed a local instruction theory and an hypothetical learning trajectory for overcoming misconceptions and modeling situations respectively. This study summed up educational intention, which was designed to transform probability knowledge into didactic according to the introductory purposes of simulation, into curriculum, lesson plans, and experimental teaching materials to present didactic ideas for new probability education programs in the high school probability curriculum.

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