• 제목/요약/키워드: 정적 위험요인

Search Result 53, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

Recidivism prediction of sex offender risk assessment tools: STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic (교정시설내 성범죄자 재범위험성 평가도구의 재범 예측: STATIC-99와 HAGSOR-동적요인을 중심으로)

  • Yoon, Jeongsook
    • Korean Journal of Forensic Psychology
    • /
    • v.13 no.2
    • /
    • pp.99-119
    • /
    • 2022
  • Research on sex offense has shown that sex offenders are very heterogeneous. Sex offenders are heterogeneous in their probability of risk of recidivism. Some sex offenders are known to be much higher in their tendencies to reactivate than others. The study examined the predictive and explanatory power of static and dynamic risk factors in STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic which have been used in Korean correctional facilities since 2014. STATIC-99 and HAGSOR-Dynamic showed moderate predictive accuracy for all crimes(AUC = .737, AUC = .597, respectively, ps < .001). However, when examining sex crime alone, only STATIC-99 predicted recidivism significantly(AUC = .743, p < .001). The incremental predictive power of HAGSOR-Dynamic was confirmed; the explanatory power of Model 2 comprising both static and dynamic risk factors were significant beyond Model 1 comprising only static factors(∆χ2= 12.721, p < .001), but this tendency was only applied to the model of all crimes. These findings were discussed with implications of practicing the sex offender assessment and treatment.

Relationship among Public's Risk Characteristics, Risk Severity, Risk Perception and Risk Acceptability of Human Stem Cell Technology (공중의 체세포복제기술에 대한 위험특성, 위험심각성, 위험인식 및 위험수용의 관계)

  • Song, Hae-Ryong;Kim, Won-je
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.15 no.7
    • /
    • pp.415-424
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the relationship among public's risk characteristics, risk severity, risk perception and risk acceptability of human stem cell technology. The subjects were 300 Koreans selected. The data were analyzed by the exploratory factor analysis, confirmatory factor analysis, correlation analysis and structural equation modeing analysis. The results were as followed. First, public's risk characteristics on human stem cell technology influenced positively on risk severity. Second, public's risk characteristics on human stem cell technology influenced positively on risk perception. Third, public's risk severity on human stem cell technology influenced positively on risk perception. Fourth, public's risk characteristics on human stem cell technology influenced negatively on risk acceptability. Fifth, public's risk severity on human stem cell technology influenced not significantly on risk acceptability. Sixth, public's risk perception on human stem cell technology influenced not significantly on risk acceptability. These results will contribute to develop the risk communication strategy on the acceptability of human stem cell technology.

Analysis of Protective Factors and Risk Factors Affecting School Adjustment of Immigrant Youths: Moderating Effect of Protective Factors (중도입국 청소년의 학교적응에 영향을 미치는 보호요인과 위험요인 분석: 보호요인의 조절효과)

  • Lee, Hyoung-Ha
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
    • /
    • v.15 no.12
    • /
    • pp.59-70
    • /
    • 2017
  • The purpose of this study was to investigate whether there is a moderating effect of protective factors on risk factors in affecting school adjustment of immigrant youths. For this purpose, this study analyzed 69,720 youths who weighed 6,079 children of youths ages 9-24 among the 2015 National Survey of Multicultural Families. From the results of the analysis, first, the discrimination experience, school violence and depression, which are risk factors of immigrant youths, all had negative effects on school adjustment. Parental relations, self-esteem, Korean language ability, and nationality acquisition, which are protective factors, all had a positive effect on school adjustment. Second, among the three risk factors in the school adjustment of immigrant youths, self-esteem and nationality acquisition variables were analyzed as the protective factors moderating depression, and the protective factors controlling school violence were analyzed as parental relationship, self-esteem, Korean ability and nationality acquisition variables. Based on the results of the analysis, decrease in immigrant youths' depression, coping with academic violence, and development and support of various competency development programs were suggested as major social welfare practices.

The Effects of High School Students' Academic Problems on Suicidal Ideation -Focusing on the Mediational Effects of Individual-level Risk and Protective Factors- (인문계 고등학생의 학업문제가 자살생각에 미치는 영향 -개인수준의 위험요인과 보호요인의 매개역할을 중심으로-)

  • Park, Jae-Yeon;Chung, Ick-Joong
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Child Welfare
    • /
    • no.32
    • /
    • pp.69-97
    • /
    • 2010
  • The purpose of this study is to investigate the effects of high school students' academic problems such as academic stress and low academic achievement on suicidal ideation and the mediating effects of individual-level risk factors (e.g., depression, aggression) and protective factors (self-esteem, emotion regulation) on the relationship between academic problems and suicidal ideation. This study used data of three waves(2005-2007) from the Korea Youth Panel Survey(KYPS). The analyses were conducted on 2,093 academic high school students, who participated in this panel study. The results from structural equation modeling show that academic stress has positive effects on depression and aggression, but negative effect on self-esteem. Low academic achievement has positive effect on aggression but negative effect on self-esteem. Depression and aggression as individual-level risk factors have positive effects on suicidal ideation. In contrast, self-esteem and emotion regulation as individual-level protective factors have negative effects on suicidal ideation. The relationship between academic problems and suicidal ideation is mediated by depression, aggression, and self-esteem. Based on the study findings, practice implications for youth welfare are discussed to screen high-risk youths and to prevent adolescent suicide in advance.

A Study on School Crisis Management Capabilities - Focus On Effects to Teenage's Suicide Thinking (학교위기관리경영 능력향상에 관한연구 - 청소년 자살 위기관리 시스템 중심으로)

  • Kang, Sung Ok;Ha, Kyu Su;Yang, Young Mi;Lim, Hyun Sung
    • Asia-Pacific Journal of Business Venturing and Entrepreneurship
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.223-233
    • /
    • 2013
  • The purpose of this study is to analyze the factors giving effects to juvenile's suicide thinking and search for the method to protect juveniles from the risk factors of suicide thinking and reinforce protective factors. For this purpose, juvenile's depression and stress degree were analyzed as the factors giving effects to juvenile's suicide thinking and the effect of social support, which was assumed as a protective factor from suicide thinking, was verified. Analysis results are as follows. First, juvenile's daily stress showed significant deference from suicide thinking. There was a significant positive correlation between juvenile's daily life stress and suicide thinking. Therefore, it was found that the juveniles who suffer from stress have a lot of suicide thinking. Second, juvenile's depression gave a significant effect to suicide thinking. There was a significant positive correlation between juvenile's depression and suicide thinking. it was proved that the juveniles who suffer from depression have a lot of suicide thinking. Third, There was a significant negative correlation between social support and suicide thinking. The more the juveniles get social support, the less they have suicide thinking. The study results above reveal that juvenile's suicide shall be approached from the preventive aspect, for preventing juvenile's suicide, social support which mitigates suicide thinking factors is very important. Therefore this study proposed social attention on the juvenile's suicide thinking, and formation social support system that reinforce social support. Moreover, for preventing the factors reinforcing suicide thinking, preventive approach, alternative program such as case management and group program, and integrated management inined with juvenile related organizations and specialists are required. At the same time school environment shall be improved and changed.

  • PDF

A Study on the Determinant Factors on Return in Internet Clothing Purchase (인터넷 쇼핑에서 의류제품 반품행동 결정요인)

  • Ji, Hye-Kyung
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Clothing and Textiles
    • /
    • v.32 no.12
    • /
    • pp.1891-1902
    • /
    • 2008
  • With concerns for consumers' return behaviors affecting internet shopping malls' profits and product management in the internet clothing market, this study is designed to investigate determinants affecting return and path models for return behaviors. For an empirical study, questionnaires are prepared and respondents in their 20s and 30s with internet clothing purchase experience are selected using the convenience sampling. A total of 517 questionnaires are used for the final analysis. Data are analyzed by using SPSS 12.0 software and descriptive statistics, $x^2$-test, discriminant analysis, regression analysis, and path analysis is conducted. The results are as follows. First, ones who have returned after purchasing clothing items in internet shopping reached 63.4% of the total consumers. Respondents returned items with price at 50 thousand won or less stood at 67.2%, and the most frequent return shopping malls are open markets with their return rate at 51.1%. Second, variables such as risk perception, information search, impulse buying, buying experience, and age have a positive effect on return experience. Impulse buying and buying experience turn out to have a significant effect on the degree of return, but risk perception, information search, age, and gender to have an insignificant effect. Return intention is significantly affected by risk perception, gender, and age. Third, the analysis of path model for return experience shows that perceived risk has a positively effect, and information search has a direct effect as well as an indirect effect through buying experience or impulse buying. The analysis of path model for the degree of return shows that risk perception does not have effect, but information search has indirect effect through buying experience or impulse buying. This study is thought to find consumers' return behavior characteristics in online shopping, and help businesses operating online shopping malls to efficiently manage returns and set up strategies against returns.

A Probability Modeling of the Crime Occurrence and Risk Probability Map Generation based on the Urban Spatial Information (도시공간정보 기반의 범죄발생 확률 모형 및 위험도 확률지도 생성)

  • Kim, Dong-Hyun;Park, Koo-Rack
    • Journal of the Korea Society of Computer and Information
    • /
    • v.14 no.10
    • /
    • pp.207-215
    • /
    • 2009
  • Recently, the research of the analysis of the crime spatial is increased by using the computer information technology and GIS (Geometric Information System) in order to prevent the urban crime so as to increase the urbanization rate. In this paper, a probability map formed by the raster is organized by the quantification of crime risk per the cell using the region property of the urban spatial information in the static environment. Also, a map of the risk probability is constructed based on the relative risk by the region property, the relative risk by the facility, the relative risk by the woody plant and the river, and so on. And, this integrated risk probability map is calculated by averaging the individual cell risk applied to the climatic influence and the seasonal factor. And, a probability map of the overall risk is generated by the interpretation key of the crime occurrence relative risk index, and so, this information is applied to the probability map quantifying the occurrence crime pattern. And so, in this paper, a methodology of the modeling and the simulation that this crime risk probability map is modified according to the passage of time are proposed.

Effects of Risk Generation Factors Perceived by Fire Service Officers on a Public Service Motivation and a Vocational Calling (소방공무원이 지각하는 위험유발요인이 공공서비스동기, 직업소명에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Hee-Dong;Kim, Jhong Yun
    • Fire Science and Engineering
    • /
    • v.32 no.2
    • /
    • pp.102-109
    • /
    • 2018
  • This study examined the effects of the risk generation factors on the public service motivation and a vocational calling of fire service officers during their work. This is based on the assumption that the risk generation factors of firefighters in their organization should be related to the effectiveness of the organization by affecting the psychological capital of the individual. For this study, the survey was conducted on fire service officers who participated the official training session in Kyuunggi and Seoul area and analyzed the data collected by the regression analysis and t-test analysis. As a result, the higher the perception of generation factors, the higher the level of public service motivation and vocational calling. In addition, there was a significant difference between a high risk generation factor perception group and low risk group regarding the perception level of public service motivations and vocational callings. These results show that there is a need to provide more field-based training opportunities for firefighters who can recognize the risk generation factors better.

A Study on the Risk Perception and Information Seeking for the Purchase of Clothing (의복구매시 위험지각과 정보탐색에 대한 연구)

  • Park, Hye-Sun
    • The Journal of Natural Sciences
    • /
    • v.10 no.1
    • /
    • pp.111-122
    • /
    • 1998
  • This study was performed to investigate the type perceived risk of clothing consumers and the types of information seeking, the relationship between perceived risk and information seeking, and the defferences according to the demographic variables. The surveyed data from 376 college students were analized using Person's correlation, factor analysis, t-test, and ANOVA. The risk perception of clothing consumers was classified into five types: economic and performance risk, loss of time risk, social risk, and loss of fashionability risk. The information seeking was classified into four types: advertisement, observation in shops, information in memory, and opinions of neighbors. The type of risk perception and the types of information seeking were correlated positively and were different according to expenditure on clothing.

  • PDF

A Study on Positive Psychological Perspectives on Adult Women's Drinking (성인 여성 음주에 대한 긍정심리학적 조망에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Nami;Kim, Kyungeun
    • Journal of Creative Information Culture
    • /
    • v.5 no.2
    • /
    • pp.81-94
    • /
    • 2019
  • This study is intended to explore the factors that affect adult women's drinking behavior. It is intended to explore positive psychological factors in particular to provide basic data for lowering adult women's drinking rates and developing programs for short-term drinking. The study conducted a online survey in May 2018 by simple collecting 340 women in their from 20s to 50s living in Korea. According to the results of this study, AUDIT was high when the lower the age, single, separated or divorced. AUDIT has shown significant positive correlation for depression and stress, significant negative correlation with Grit. Finally, AUDIT was influenced by age, appreciation, Grit and depression. To Based on the research results, we discussed that in order to prevent adult women from drinking and to maintain abstinence, the positive psychological factors such as appreciation and Grit should be enhanced.