• Title/Summary/Keyword: 인구 변천 과정

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Trends and Prospects for Demographic Structure and Labor Supply in Korea (우리 나라 인구 및 학력의 구조변화와 노동력 수급전망)

  • 구성열;강병규
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.21 no.1
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    • pp.5-41
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    • 1998
  • Over the past 30 years, Korea experienced demographic transition which typically substitutes quality(education) for quantity(number) of population. This paper decomposed labor supply into quantity and quality aspects and estimated the respective employment elasticities of economic growth in the past. Then, based on the assumptions about the future population (by age, sex and education) and labor force participation rates, the future labor supply(both quantity and quality) is projected and growth potential of the Korean economy is evaluated. The result shows that labor supply in Korea is relying gradually more on the qualitative rather than the quantitative aspect but since the increase in the former will not fully compensate the decrease in the latter, the potential growth rate of the Korean economy will be substantially reduced in the futrue.

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Urbanization and Population Distribution in North Korea : A Comparison to South Korea (북한의 도시화와 인구분포 : 남한과의 비교)

  • 김두섭
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.70-97
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    • 1995
  • The main purpose of this paper is to analyze the trend of urbanization and population distribution in North Korea. Although North Korean data lack comparable details, attention has been given to the comparison of urban system between North and South Korea. In North Korea, the pace of urbanization was most rapid just after the Korean War, from 1954 to 1960. However, the pace slowed down markedly in the early 1970s and has remained sluggish since then. North Korea is currently much less urbanized than South Korea. As specific features of urbanization in North Korea, emergence of new cities along inland borders, prominence of intermediate-sized cities, and sudden population growth of major cities due to boundary expansion are stressed. Available demographic data also indicate an overwhelming primacy of Pyongyang Municipality in the urban system, and rapid growth of satellite cities in the west-central region. It appears that, in North Korea, urbanization process has been a product of the government's development policies rather than individual's socioeconomic motivation to migrate urbanward. Finally, migration issues after unification of the Korean Peninsula and related problems are discussed in this study.

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Education and Economic Development in Korea (A Comparative Study to United States of America During 1950-1970) (한국과 미국의 경제성장 및 교육발전에 대한 비교연구(1950년부터 1970년까지를 중심으로))

  • Rhee, Seon-Ja
    • Journal of Korean Academy of Nursing
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.67-80
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    • 1973
  • 발전이란 말은 한 국가나 사회가 교육적, 경제적, 사회문화적 및 정치적으로 안정된 기조를 확립하여 국민 전체가 생을 영위함에 있어서 경제적으로 부족함이 없이 윤택하고 각종 사회적 제도가 참 삶을 추구할 수 있는 방향으로 변천되어 가는 과정을 뜻한다. 본 연구는 발전과 번영을 위해 약진하고 있는 대한민국의 최근 20년간의 발전과정 (1950년부터 1970년까지)을 경제적측면과 교육적 측면에서 미국의 것과를 비교하기 위하여 유네스코 통계 연감에 의하여 그 자료를 분석 검토하였다. 본 연구에서 한국은 경제성장율이 늘어남에 따라서 교육비 투자가 증가되었고 따라서 초등교육과정은 1965년도에서부터 취학율이 100%를 상회하게 되었으나 중등교육은 1968년도에 취학율이 겨우 36%로 아직도 저조하며 여학생 취학율은 초등교육에서 는 남녀 의 차이 가 없으나 중등교육에서는 1/3선으로 떨어지고 있으며 특히 여선생님의 남선생님에 대한 비율은 중등교육과정에서 걱우 14%밖에 안되고 인구 10만당 대학졸업생수는 1968년을 기준으로 볼 때 계속 증가되어 왔으나 미국이 3,735명(그중 40%는 여학생임)인데 비하여 한국은 566명 (여학생은 26%)으로 고등교육의 혜택을 받는 율이 아직도 미국에 비해서 낮고 초등교육과정에서 학생과 선생님의 비율을 보면은 한국은 60 : 1 인데 비하여 미국은 26 : 1로써 미국보다 높고 따라서 한국은 교직원 부족과 시설미비, 농촌과 도시간의 차이 및 고등교육 혜택의 불균형 및 여성교육의 기회가 남성에 비해 낮고 해외 유학의 경우 본국 귀환율이 적어서 지도자 양성이 문제되고 있다. 그러나 한국은 1960년대에 급격한 경제성장과 함께 교육투자도 증가되었고 따라서 발전을 거듭하여 계속하고 있다.

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A SEQUENTIAL LAND USE / TRANSPORTATION MODEL WITH EXTERNALITIES : LINKING THE DYNAMICS OF REGIONAL ECONOMIC GROWTH AND URBAN SPATIAL STRUCTURE (도시토지이용과 교통에 관한 연속적 모형 : 지역경제성장과 도시공간구조와의 동태적 접근)

  • 서종국
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.19-42
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    • 1995
  • 1980년대 후기부터 교통정책의 우선 목표는 지역경제성장 자체가 교통문제를 스스로 해결할 수 있도록 하기 위하여 종래의 관리 중시의 정책은 다시 토지이용 정책으로 변화를 초래하엿다. 오늘날 대도시는 개개 졍제활동 주체들의 동적인 경제 행태에근거하여 분산구조를 띠고 있다. 이러한 동적인 경제행태에 미치는 요소들은 교통체계와 토지이용과 상호연관성의 연구에 필수적인 지가, 인구분포, 통행행태등이다. 그러나 전통적인 단핵도시 모형은 대도시의 분산구조형태의 동적인 과정을 설명하는데는 한계가 있다. 본 연구는 대도시의 변천과정을-도심 및 부심의 출현·소멸현상-설명함으로써 도시교통정책 필수적인 입지와 통행패턴에 대한 새로운 동태적 이론의 기초를 제공하는데 그 목적이 있다. 이를 위하여 지역경제 성장과 도시공간구조와의 동태적관계를 통합하는 토지이용과 교통의 연속 모형을 개발·응용하였다. 개발된 모형에서는 교통량에 따른 교통비용, 도시공간구조로 인한 외부효과들, 경제활동주체들의 비동질성, 이주비용, 그리고 집적 이익등이 매기마다 내생적으로 결정되어 대도시의 공간구조 변화를 설명한다. 경제 호라동주체들간의 ? 호물리적 교류는 소득 증대에 의하여 경제구조가 변함에 따라 새로이 결정된다. 가상적 도시와 자료를 가지고 실험한 결과 비동질적인 경제주체들의 불균형적 성장이 장기적으로 도시구조에 영향을 미치며, 기본적인 경제행위에 따라 장기동태적인 과정을 통하여나타나는 도시의 분산구조형태의 중요성을 보여주고 있다. 또한 교통비용의 변화에 따른 민감도분석을 통하여 모형의 실용성을 검정하였다.

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A Study on the Transformation of Family Policy in Germany - Focused on Political Ideologies and Instruments of Major Political Parties (독일 가족정책의 변천에 대한 연구 -주요 정당의 정책이념과 정책수단의 변화를 중심으로)

  • 이진숙
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.145-179
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    • 2002
  • This study explores the change of family policy in Germany focused on political ideologies and instruments of CDU/CSU and SPD. In past 50 years after the 2. world war the family policy in Germany has been influenced by ideologies of 2 major political parties. With conservative political perspectives, CDU and CSU intend to strengthen the institution family and traditional division of domestic work. Therefore, they prefer indirect support methods by income tax benefit for family as political instrument. SPD with liberal political perspectives intends to support working married women and children. As political instrument SPD prefers allowance for child to indirect support system. This different political perspectives of 2 major parties have been reflected automatically on the federal administrative system(BMFSFJ) which takes responsibility of family policy in Germany. Through the analysis of attitudes to family policy of major parties in Germany this paper attempts to be manifest the problem of korean family policy and to find implications of german modell.

Consideration on assumption and transition of mortality model for Korea - Discussion on the kinds of Lee-carter - (우리나라 사망력 모형의 변천과 가정 고찰 - Lee-Carter 류를 중심으로 -)

  • Oh, Jinho;Kim, Soon-Young
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.31 no.5
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    • pp.637-653
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    • 2018
  • Rapid aging of the population affects population structure and population aging. Consequently, developed countries have focused on population aging as a major issue in regards to pension sustainability finances as well as health and the elderly welfare system. Mortality projections that result from population structure changes and population aging are increasingly important. This paper compares six mortality models using KOSTAT's life table from 1970 to 2016. The models are rooted in the Lee-Carter (LC) model (Lee and Carter, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 87, 659-671, 1992) and have been modified and improved on the assumptions of the LC model. We examined the improvement process and the check assumption by models in order to find a suitable mortality model for Korea. Korea shows rapid aging and declined mortality rate by age; therefore, it is desirable to estimate and predict mortality from LL&LC-ER models by combining LC-ER, LL, and LC-ER models that reflect the phenomena and modify age-specific mortality patterns without major changes in expected life expectancy.

An Interpretation of a Social Implication on the Transition of the Urban Park in Daegu (대구 도시공원의 변천에 나타난 사회적 의미 해석)

  • Lee, Jung-Youn;Jung, Tae-Yeol
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.72-82
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    • 2013
  • This study was done for analyzing processes on the planning and opening of chronological urban parks in Daegu City since the 1960s, and for interpreting the social meaning on changes of the urban parks with regards to historical circumstances during that period. In the 1960s, urban parks, which were recognized as one of urban planning facilities, were only designated for creating rather than created, although nationally several laws including urban planning act and park act were newly legislated. Rapid urbanization and increasing population in the 1970s led to create many urban parks. However, the policy for increasing parks had been not successful because of the lack of enough funds. In the 1980s, multi-purpose urban parks including stable area as well as active facilities were created for getting several attractions to urban residents. During this period, urban parks were recognized on an aesthetic perspective through vegetating plans on the city-beautiful movement for hosting consecutive international games. The citizen participation in urban parks and the increasing concern about urban environment were started in the 1990s, and the people living in an urban area were interested in the quantitative expansion and qualified renovation of the urban parks as well. Finally, modernistic urban parks were first introduced in the late period of Chosun Dynasty, however their substantial introduction was done in the 1960s. Through this study, the concept of an urban park as a public resting place for citizen in Daegu was thought to be mostly established in the 1990s as we have investigated on the social meaning derived from the periodical changes of urban parks.

Mortality Change of North Korean People and its Association with State Production and Welfare System (경제 위기 전후 북한 주민의 사망률 동태의 특성과 변화)

  • Park, Keong-Suk
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.35 no.1
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    • pp.101-130
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    • 2012
  • This study examines mortality change in North Korea and its association with state production and welfare systems. Two main subjects are analyzed. The first theme is to examine the reliability of mortality related data released by North Korea government authorities. Examining inner consistencies among mortality related statistics and comparing with mortality trends in other socialist societies, the study finds that mortality rate was under estimated. Under-estimation of mortality by North Korean authorities is regarded to result not only from political purpose which aims to propagate the regime's superiority but also from enumeration errors of vital statistics based on the residence registration. The second theme is to estimate the change in mortality of North Korean people since the establishment of DPRK, correcting errors of mortality data. Mortality of North Korean people is estimated to have improved largely by the early 1970s, to have been sluggish hereafter, and finally to have increased during the economic hardship period between 1993 and 2008. While large people died during the food crisis in the late 1990s, however the population loss caused by mortality increase was not so great as the proposition of the huge starvation was expected. It is partly because population turbulence occurred not just by mortality increase, rather it has progressed in the joint effects of fertility decline and exodus of North Korean people for food. It is also due to North Korean people's voluntary activities of informal economy. It is also worth noting the high mortality rate of North Korean men. The high mortality of North Korean men is likely due to men's mobilization for long time in army and labor with high risk of accident and their life styles.

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Analysis of the affiliated department and the name trend of the department of beauty department of a university located in the central region (중부권역 소재 대학 뷰티학과의 소속 계열과 학과 명칭 동향에 관한 분석)

  • Oh, Jeong-Sun;lee, Sook-ja;Park, Jang-Soon
    • Journal of the Korea Convergence Society
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    • v.13 no.5
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    • pp.327-332
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    • 2022
  • In the age of population cliff, an aggressive entrance exam strategy for the development of excellent human resources for beauty is very important for the survival of beauty departments and universities. Therefore, for the purpose of in-depth trend analysis of department names and affiliated departments that reflect department characteristics as well as external department promotion tools, we investigated and analyzed department affiliated departments and department titles in 2020 targeting the Beauty Department of Central University. As a result of the study, the departments belonging to each of the four regions had the most beauty arts department (28.57%) and health department (50.00%). In Daejeon, beauty design (37.5%) was the most, and in Chungcheong, beauty care, beauty cosmetics, and medical beauty care (11.11%) were the most. Through this study, it will be possible to analyze the overall characterization trend of the Department of Beauty, and it will be used as an important basic data to suggest the future direction of the department when the departments are merged or separated in the future. In addition, I believe that it will provide a foothold for follow-up research on the curriculum for each department or the change of department name by year.

An investigation of Residential Overcrowding of Three Asian Ethnic Groups in the US (이중생잔모형을 이용한 아시안 이민자들의 주거밀도 변화추이와 주거과밀 결정요인에 관한 연구)

  • 이성우;조중구;류성호
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.163-192
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    • 2002
  • Residential overcrowding, also called density, measured as more than one person per room, is a important variable as a principal indicator of inadequate housing. We investigated how immigrants in the US are assimilated to the host society through a lens of housing density. We estimated the probability of living in overcrowded housing of Korean, Chinese and Japanese immigrants armored with the 1980 and 1990 Public Use Microdata Sample(PUMS, A, 5%) in the US. Along with economic effects, we also consider life-cycle effects on the indicator. We applied "double cohort" method that enables duration of immigration effects to be separated from aging effects, which captures family size fluctuations due to life-cycle effects. The study found that cohort trends sharply changed during 10years. The 1970's immigrants are more likely to live in overcrowded housing than the pre-1970 immigrants. The pre-1970 immigrants are more likely to live in overcrowded housing than native-born persons. This may be explained by different assimilation processes driven by the disparities of individual human capitals or cultural differences among the ethnic groups. Especially, Korean experienced a sharp decline in overcrowding between 1980 and 1990. We also found that the major determinants that affect the level of housing density are years since migration, income, and gender. The present study concluded with some future studies related to the Korean immigrants abroad.ts abroad.