• Title/Summary/Keyword: 이행확률

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The Algebraic Nomal form of Functions over finite Fields (유한체 위에 정의된 함수의 대표적 표준형식)

  • 이민섭;신현용;이준열
    • Review of KIISC
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    • v.2 no.4
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    • pp.104-109
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    • 1992
  • 스위치 이론이나 디지탈 공학$^{2)}$, 정보보호학$^{6.8)}$등의 분야에서 자주 사용되는 많은 함수들은 유한체 GF$(q)^n$에서 GF(q)의 값을 취하는 함수들이다. 특히 q=2인 경우에 함수 f는 쉽게 진리표에 의해 표현된다. 본 글에서는 유한체 위에서 성립하는 행렬 구조를 갖는 대수적 표준형식 변환에 대하여 알아보고, 변환의 계산을 점화적으로 이행해보며, 난수함수의 복잡도에 관한 확률분포를 살펴본다. 대수적 표준형식은 함수의 비선형 위수나 복잡도에 관한 판단에 유용하게 응용할 수 있다.

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Affects on Implementation Level of IMS Activity and Performance according to IMS directivity and Fitness of Firm's Culture (IMS지향성과 기업문화 적합도가 IMS활동의 이행수준과 성과에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Kyung-Ihl
    • Journal of Convergence Society for SMB
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    • v.1 no.1
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    • pp.1-8
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    • 2011
  • With a sample of 147 Korean small and medium size companies, this study examined the relationships among degree of information orientation, corporate culture, degree of information management implementation and selected business performances in the process of implementing IMS(Information Management System). Information orientation is defined as company-wide understanding and implementation of the underlying philosophy, principles, approached, and tools of information improvement programs. It is assumed that successful implementation of information improvement programs requires a information-oriented mind-set of the employees. It is also assumed that successful implementation of information improvement programs require strong support from s corporate culture that emphasizes continues improvement. Adopting the competing values model of Quinn and McGrath(1985), corporate culture is classified into 'flexible' versus 'controlled culture' and 'outer-directed' versus 'inner-directed culture'. This study examined how such fitness influenced the implementation of information innovation programs and business performance. Implementation of information innovation programs was measured through various factors, such as leadership, strategic information planning, human resources focus, customer and market focus, process management, and information analysis and application. Business performance was measured through non-financial performance measuresm such as employee results, process results, information results, and customer results, and through perceived financial performance measures.

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Duration to First Job of Korean Young Graduates: Before and After the Economic Crisis (청년층의 첫 일자리 진입 : 경제위기 전후의 비교)

  • Ahn, Joyup;Hong, Seo Yeon
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.25 no.1
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    • pp.47-74
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    • 2002
  • Since the Economic Crisis at the end of 1997, unemployment rate soared up to the record-high 8.6% (February 1999) and, for youth aged 15~29, it was 14.6% (27.8% for aged 15~19). In spite of economic recovery after the crisis, new participants in labor market at the school-to-work transition have faced with difficulties in finding their first jobs and, even further, the ratio of youth at out-of the labor force but not in school has remained at a higher level. It is important to calibrate the negative effects of nonemployment in the short-run as well as in the long-run, but there has been few study on the school-to-work transition in Korea. This study focus on the nonemployment duration to first job after formal education and comparison of its pattern before and after the crisis. A proportional hazard model, considering job prenaration before graduation (21.4% of the sample), with the semi-parametric baseline hazard is applied to the sample from the Korean Labor and Income Panel Survey(1998~2000) and its Youth Supplemental survey(2000). Interview of the Survey is conducted, by the Korea Labor Institute, to the same 5,000 household and 13,738 individual sample, guaranteeing nationwide representativeness. The Supplemental Survey consists of 3,302 young individuals aged 15 to 29 at the time of survey and 1,615 of them who are not in school and provide appropriate information is used for the analysis. The empirical results show that there exists negative duration dependence at the first three or for months at the transition period and no duration dependence since a turning point of the baseline hazard rate and that unemployment rate reflecting labor demand conditions has a positive effect on exiting the nonemployment state, which is inconsistent with a theoretical conclusion. Estimation with samples separated by the date of graduation before and after the crisis shows that the effect of unemployment rate on the hazard was negative for the pre-crisis sample but positive for the post-crisis sample.

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Predicting Default of Construction Companies Using Bayesian Probabilistic Approach (베이지안 확률적 접근법을 이용한 건설업체 부도 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Hong, Sungmoon;Hwang, Jaeyeon;Kwon, Taewhan;Kim, Juhyung;Kim, Jaejun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.13-21
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    • 2016
  • Insolvency of construction companies that play the role of main contractors can lead to clients' losses due to non-fulfillment of construction contracts, and it can have negative effects on the financial soundness of construction companies and suppliers. The construction industry has the cash flow financial characteristic of receiving a project and getting payment based on the progress of the construction. As such, insolvency during project progress can lead to financial losses, which is why the prediction of construction companies is so important. The prediction of insolvency of Korean construction companies are often made through the KMV model from the KMV (Kealhofer McQuown and Vasicek) Company developed in the U.S. during the early 90s, but this model is insufficient in predicting construction companies because it was developed based on credit risk assessment of general companies and banks. In addition, the predictive performance of KMV value's insolvency probability is continuously being questioned due to lack of number of analyzed companies and data. Therefore, in order to resolve such issues, the Bayesian Probabilistic Approach is to be combined with the existing insolvency predictive probability model. This is because if the Prior Probability of Bayesian statistics can be appropriately predicted, reliable Posterior Probability can be predicted through ensured conditionality on the evidence despite the lack of data. Thus, this study is to measure the Expected Default Frequency (EDF) by utilizing the Bayesian Probabilistic Approach with the existing insolvency predictive probability model and predict the accuracy by comparing the result with the EDF of the existing model.

The effects of push factors on transition into self-employment across age groups - Focusing on push hypothesis and pull hypothesis - (경기변동이 자영업이행에 미치는 영향의 연령집단별 차이 -구축가설과 유인가설을 중심으로-)

  • Ji, Eun Jeong
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.43 no.2
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    • pp.141-178
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    • 2012
  • Although the rate of self-employment is high in Korean labor market and the rate gap between age groups is high, few studies have addressed on the effects of push factors on transition into self-employment across age groups. The goal of this research is to determine if push factors exert different effects on the self-employment decisions across age groups. There is interest in testing push hypothesis and pull hypothesis. The Korean Labor and Income Panel Study wave 6~11 is used to test this study's hypothesis. The main contribution of the paper is that in case of high unemployment, the probability of transition into self-employment increases. It is consistent with the push hypothesis. Many people are forced to become self-employed person due to the high rate of unemployment and limited occupational choice rather than the role of entrepreneurship. By age subgroup, the transition into self-employment of the ages of 30 and 49 is high. In addition, people at 40-49 years of age are more likely to become self-employed as a response of inadequate job opportunities. It provides the evidence that the self-employment is not a matter of special age group in that people in the 30 to 49 year old age group whose economic activities are vigorous move into marginalized labor market. Furthermore, it seems to be threatened the employment's stability of the prime age in that even people who are age 40-49 years of age are pushed into self-employment because of the recession.

Gender Difference in Self-Employment Rates In Korea (남녀간 자영업 비중의 격차 분석)

  • Kim, Woo-Yung
    • Journal of Labour Economics
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.1-34
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    • 2001
  • This study analyzes the male-female difference in self-employment rates in Korea using panel data constructed from the Economically Active Population Survey in 1999. Given that most studies on self-employment have focused on male self-employment and have not examined why self-employment rate is usually higher among males than females, this study certainly extends the existing literature on this subject This study consists of two parts. The first part deals with estimating self-employment rates for males and female within a Markov framework. The second part presents decomposition results of the male-female differential in self-employment rates. Major findings of the study are (1) self-employment rate is higher for males than females because entry into self-employment is larger but exit from self-employment is smaller for males than female, (2) higher entry probability for males is due to differences in coefficients of transition probability functions while lower exit probability for males is due to differences in characteristics, (3) a large part of male-female gap in self-employment rates results from differences in being a head of family, marital status and age between males and females.

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Performance Comparison of Heuristics for Weapon-Target Assignment Problem with Transitivity Rules in Weapon's Kill Probability (무장 할당문제에서 휴리스틱 방법 효율성 비교: 이행성 규칙이 성립하는 무장성능차이를 중심으로)

  • Yim, Dong-Soon;Choi, Bong-Wan
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.36 no.3
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    • pp.29-42
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    • 2010
  • In this study, the weapon-target assignment problem arising in military application of operations research is considered. We reformulated the problem in order to simplify the solution methods based on genetic algorithms and heuristics. Since the problem is well known as NP-complete and cannot be solved in polynomial time, such solution methods have been widely used to obtain good solutions. Two chromosome representations--target number representation and permutation representation--in genetic algorithm are compared. In addition, a construction heuristic and three improving heuristics are developed. Several experiments under the condition of transitivity rules in weapon's kill probability have been accomplished. It shows that the construction heuristic and exchange-based improving heuristic guarantees good solutions within a second and the performance of construction heuristic is sensitive to transitivity rules.

A Study on the Factors Affecting the Likelihood of the Asset Poor's Poverty Exit and Entry (자산빈곤이행 가능성에 영향을 미치는 요인에 관한 연구)

  • Kang, Sung-min;Yoo, Tae-kyun
    • Korean Journal of Social Welfare Studies
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    • v.40 no.1
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    • pp.115-138
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    • 2009
  • The primary focus of this study is to examine the characteristics of the asset poor and to empirically investigate those factors affecting the likelihood of the asset poor's poverty exit and entry. The 2nd wave through 8th wave data from KLIPS were used for analysis. The asset poverty lined of 50% of the household net asset was set up so that households below 50% are classified as the asset poor. The characteristics of the asset poor were examined in a static manner by analyzing only the 8th wave KLIPS data. To investigate those factors affecting the likelihood of asset poor's poverty transferal with a dynamic perspective, the authors employed two survival analysis methods, the life table analysis and the Time-dependent Cox regression analysis. Based on the findings, some recommendations were made for future policy efforts to support the asset poor and for the current poverty policies as well. In specific, if the 'Individual Development Account' is to be initiated in the future, it would be essential to build a systematic model to utilize accumulated asset by enhancing job competencies and ability to gain a decent job.

A Study on the Implementation of Aircraft System Safety Assessment using Probabilistic Analysis of Failure Data (고장 데이터의 확률 분석을 적용한 항공기 시스템 안전성 평가 수행 방안 연구)

  • Yoo, Seung-woo;Kim, In-Gul
    • Journal of Aerospace System Engineering
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    • v.14 no.spc
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    • pp.31-38
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    • 2020
  • The aircraft system safety assessment, which is emphasized in the development and certification of aircraft, is a systematic and comprehensive evaluation process to determine that all relevant failure conditions have been identified and that all significant combinations of failures cannot result in unacceptable hazards. As the aircraft systems become more complex and require integrated function and performance, proper safety objectives must be established and appropriate assessments are need to be accompanied. This paper has prepared to propose the efficient probabilistic analysis of failure data to evaluate the risk level over the entire aircraft lifecycle through the safety assessment and to review the considerations for aircraft certification and safety improvement.

A Dynamic Study of Women's Labor Market Transitions: Career Interruptions and its Determinants (여성의 동태적 노동공급 - 취업연속성과 첫 노동시장 퇴출행태를 중심으로 -)

  • 김영옥
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.25 no.2
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    • pp.5-40
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    • 2002
  • Using detailed data of women's work history, this study analyses the transition process between employment and non-employment over the life history in order to identity individual and structural determinants in the processes. Korean women comprise very heterogeneous groups in terms of work continuity: one group having a continuous work history and another having an interrupted work experience. While 4.0% of total women have stayed in the labor market since leaving school, 17.3% have not worked outside at all and remaining 87.9% have experienced into and out of the labor market at least once. On the average, the cumulated time of employment per woman is 8.2 years and the cumulated time of unemployment is 13.1 years. Thus Korean women work a total of only 38.5% of their whole lifetime after leaving school. We can conclude that the increase of the employment rate of married women in Korea since the 1970s has been due to the increase of the new entrants with short or little working careers into the labor market, not to the increase of women's work continuity on the whole. A women's educational achievement does not seem to be positively related to employment duration, contrary to the suggestion of the human capital theory, Rather, family variables, especially the existence of the child under 6 yens old, is a more significant determining factor for an individual's exit from employment. And there is little difference among different age cohorts which implies little improvement in the employment continuity of younger women. This study also documents the importance of structural variables, such as the type of occupation, as significant determining factors for the hazard rate. Specially women with professional jobs tend to stay longer in the labor market. Therefore, women's entry into more professional occupations is expected to contribute to the continuity of employment. Our results also show that duration-dependence is not spurious. When unobserved heterogeneity is controlled, the negative relation between the rate from employment and the duration of employment does not disappear.