• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측 모형

Search Result 6,131, Processing Time 0.033 seconds

Study of the Mitigation of Algae in Lake Uiam according to the Operation of the Chuncheon Dam and the Soyang Dam (춘천댐 및 소양강댐 운영에 따른 의암호 조류 저감 연구)

  • Lee, Dong Yeol;Baek, Kyong Oh
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.42 no.2
    • /
    • pp.171-179
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this study, the characteristics of algae mitigation according to dam operation were quantitatively analyzed for Uiam Lake, where the Chuncheon Dam is located upstream of the main stream, Uiam Dam is located downstream, and Soyang Dam is located in the tributary stream. Nine dam operation scenarios were applied to the event of the summer of 2018 (at that time an algae alert occurred) using the EFDC model, which is capable of calculating three-dimensional hydrodynamics and water quality levels such as those associated with chlorophyll-a. The dam operation scenarios were set to generate a flushing effect via discharges in the form of pulse waves from the upstream dams and by lowering the water level at the downstream dam. At Uiam Lake, the flushing effect was different depending on the operation of the dam, and the amount of algae reduction at each point was different owing to topographic characteristics and the different base water temperatures from BukHan River and Soyang River. With regard to a point located on the left bank, it was predicted that the peak level of chlorophyll-a would be reduced by approximately 50 % or more upon pulsed discharge at 50 m3/s for three days at Soyang Dam. However, for the right bank, the amount of discharge from Soyang Dam had little effect on algae mitigation. Therefore, an appropriate dam operation could be effective for algae mitigation at specific points in the water body where large dams exist upstream and downstream, such as at Uiam Lake, in an emergency situation in which algal blooms rapidly.

Analysis of Hydraulic Characteristics in River Using 3D Geospatial Information (3차원 지형공간정보를 이용한 하천수리특성 분석)

  • Kim, Si-Chul;Lee, Jong-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
    • /
    • 2021.06a
    • /
    • pp.33-33
    • /
    • 2021
  • 예측하기 어려운 복잡한 기후 변화로 인해 수자원 관리측면에서 다양한 방법을 도입하여 해결할 수 있는 방안이 국가적 주요 관심사로 다루어지고 있다. 따라서 투입인력과 소요시간 절감, 장비와 인력진입 불가지역에 대한 정보획득, 높은 공간해상도, 항공측량 대비 높은 경제성 등 다양한 장점의 드론을 이용한 하천지형 특성별 수리특성 분석방안이 필요하다. 본 연구에서는 성연천 하류부지역을 대상으로 위성항법시스템(Global Navigation Satellite System, GNSS) 측량 지형성과와 드론측량(Drone) 지형성과를 지상에 설치된 CHP(Check Point) 좌표 값을 확인하여 두 지형의 정확도를 비교하였으며 HEC-RAS 모형을 이용하여 빈도별 수리특성을 비교 산정하였다. 본 연구는 성연천 하류 480m구간을 선정하고 GNSS를 이용한 실측지형자료와 GCP(Ground Control Point)를 얻기 위해 정확도 검증을 실시하였으며 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량과 DRONE RGB측량의 CHP(Check Point) 오차를 비교하여 정확도를 검증하였다. 오차 값이 확인된 위성항법시스템(GNSS)을 이용하여 가상기준점을 선정하고 RTK 모바일스테이션을 설치하여 DRONE LIDAR측량을 통해 지형자료를 취득하였으며 얻어진 지형자료를 HEC-RAS를 통해 입력 후 성연천 하천기본계획에 제시되어진 조도계수와 빈도별 홍수위를 적용하여 연구구간 480m에 대해 100년 빈도의 결과 값을 비교 검토하였다. 100년 빈도 계획 홍수량 조건의 하상과 한계수위의 차에서 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량 지형자료를 기준으로 평균수위 측정오차는 드론 RGB 측량 지형자료 0.460m, 드론 LIDAR 측량 지형자료 0.260m의 결과를 얻었으며 동일 조건 흐름하의 평균유속에서 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량 지형자료를 기준으로 평균유속 측정오차는 드론 RGB 측량 지형자료 0.40m/s, 드론 LIDAR 측량 지형자료 0.36m/s의 결과를 얻었다. 통수 단면적의 비교 결과는 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량 지형자료를 기준으로 드론 RGB 측량 지형자료 전체 단면의 평균오차는 20.20m2, 드론 LIDAR 측량 지형자료 전체 단면의 평균오차는 21.682의 결과를 얻었으며 이상에서와 같이 홍수위와 평균유속, 통수 단면적의 측정오차 비교 결과를 종합할 때 통수 단면적 측정결과는 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량과 드론 RGB 측량의 차이가 적었으나 계획 홍수량 조건의 하상과 한계수위 차이와 동일조건 흐름하의 평균유속에서 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량과 드론 LIDAR 측량의 차이가 적은 것으로 나타났다. 그리고 통수용량(capacity)(m3) 비교에서는 위성항법시스템(GNSS) 측량을 기준으로 드론 RGB 측량은 약 7644m3, 드론 LIDAR 측량은 약 7547m3의 차이를 보여 드론 LIDAR를 이용한 결과가 가장 정확한 측정방법으로 추천할 수 있음을 확인하였다.

  • PDF

Performance and Economic Analysis for Rut-resistance Pavement Considering Life Cycle Cost (LCC를 고려한 내유동포장의 공용성 및 경제성 분석에 관한 연구)

  • Do, Myungsik;Han, Daeseok;Yoo, Inkyoon;Lee, Soohyung
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.5D
    • /
    • pp.783-796
    • /
    • 2006
  • Rut-resistance pavement is adopted to prevent pavement from plastic deformation since 1998. The objective of this paper is to investigate performance and economic efficiency between rut-resistance pavement and conventional hot-mix asphalt(HMA) on national highway. The pavement deterioration models incorporated in HDM-4 have been calibrated and adapted to local road conditions based on observed pavement rut-depth data. Based on calibration result of HDM-4, the economic evaluation including road agency cost and user cost is performed for 34 road pavement sections. Furthermore, we presented optimal timing for maintenance and performance levels subject to different budget. We found that rut-resistance pavement is performing better than conventional hot-mix asphalt in most road sections. Furthermore, we confirmed that the application of HDM-4 is useful for pavement project planning and evaluation. More investigation is needed to enlarge the scope of the pavement data and to explore more deeply socio-environmental cost and delay cost.

Strength Prediction of PSC Box Girder Diaphragms Using 3-Dimensional Grid Strut-Tie Model Approach (3차원 격자 스트럿-타이 모델 방법을 이용한 PSC 박스거더 격벽부의 강도예측)

  • Park, Jung Woong;Kim, Tae Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.5A
    • /
    • pp.841-848
    • /
    • 2006
  • There is a complex variation of stress in PSC anchorage zones and box girder diaphragms because of large concentrated load by prestress. According to the AASHTO LFRD design code, three-dimensional effects due to concentrated jacking loads shall be investigated using three-dimensional analysis procedures or may be approximated by considering separate submodels for two or more planes. In this case, the interaction of the submodels should be considered, and the model loads and results should be consistent. However, box girder diaphragms are 3-dimensional disturbed region which requires a fully three-dimensional model, and two-dimensional models are not satisfactory to model the flow of forces in diaphragms. In this study, the strengths of the prestressed box girder diaphragms are predicted using the 3-dimensional grid strut-tie model approach, which were tested to failure in University of Texas. According to the analysis results, the 3-dimensional strut-tie model approach can be possibly applied to the analysis and design of PSC box girder anchorage zones as a reasonable computer-aided approach with satisfied accuracy.

A Criterion on the Selection of Optimal Mass Transport System by Transportation Corridor based on GIS Buffering Analysis (GIS Buffering 분석에 기반한 교통축별 최적대중교통시스템 선정기준)

  • Kim, ManWoong;Kim, Sigon
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.30 no.5D
    • /
    • pp.477-483
    • /
    • 2010
  • The existing mass transport system, with its limited capacity and the saturated road networks, has given cause for a new means of transport to be developed, and strong demands for such new means of transport are observed more than ever. However, the traffic authority is seeking a new transport system that focuses more on LRT(Light Rail Transit), a downsized version of the existing urban railroad, rather than one that is appropriate to solve the traffic problems. Moreover, local governments are experiencing difficulties in planning their own mass transportation(bus or urban railroad) as they have no specified criteria for selecting a mass transport system. Accordingly, there has been an increasingly loud voice that calls for criteria to determine which mass transport system befits each transportation corridor. This paper develops a mass-transport demand forecasting model based on the GIS Buffering analysis of each transportation corridor in the city, sets up the capacity for each mass transport system and presents the criteria for selecting an optimal mass transport system for each transportation corridor. It also presents a methodology that identifies necessary and sufficient conditions for selection and evaluation, since it is most important to select the optimal mass-transport system that can meet the demand by each mass-transportation corridor.

Comparative Evaluation of Behavior Analysis of Rectangular Jet and Two-dimensional Jet (사각형제트와 2차원제트의 거동해석의 비교 평가)

  • Kwon, Seok Jae;Cho, Hong Yeon;Seo, Il Won
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
    • /
    • v.26 no.6B
    • /
    • pp.641-649
    • /
    • 2006
  • The behavior of a three-dimensional pure rectangular water jet with aspect ratio of 10 was experimentally investigated based on the results of the mean velocity field obtained by PIV. The saddle back distribution was observed in the lateral distribution along the major axis. The theoretical centerline velocity equation derived from the point source concept using the spreading rate for the axisymmetric jet was in good agreement with the measured centerline velocity and gave the division of the potential core region, two-dimensional region, and axisymmetric region. The range of the two-dimensional region divided by the criterion of the theoretical centerline velocity decay for the aspect ratio of 10 was observed to be smaller than that of the transition region. The applicability of the two-dimensional model to the behavior of the rectangular jet with low aspect ratio or the wastewater discharged from a multiport diffuser in the deep water of real ocean may result in significant error in the transition and axisymmetric regions after the two-dimensional region. In the two-dimensional region, the Gaussian constant tended to be conserved, and the spreading rate slightly decreased at the end of the two-dimensional region. The normalized turbulent intensity along the centerline of the jet initially abruptly increased and showed relatively higher intensity for higher Reynolds number.

A Prediction Model of Fear of Falling in Older Adults Living in a Continuing-Care Retirement Community(CCRC) in United States (미국 노인의 낙상에 대한 두려움 예측모형에 관한 연구)

  • Jung, Dukyoo
    • 한국노년학
    • /
    • v.29 no.1
    • /
    • pp.243-258
    • /
    • 2009
  • Background: Falls are among the most common and serious health problems of older people. The psychological symptoms of falling have received relatively little attention compared to physical problems. Objective: The purpose of this study is to test a model to explain the factors that influence fear of falling among older adults living in a continuing care retirement community (CCRC) in Baltimore city, United States. Methods: A secondary analysis was conducted using data obtained from a Health Promotion Survey done on 149 older adults living in a CCRC. Data was originally obtained during face to face interviews with each participant. Descriptive statistics and bivariate correlations were used to describe the sample and evaluate simple correlations. A path analysis was done using the AMOS 4.0 statistical program. Results: Of the 49 hypothesized paths, 13 were statistically significant, and the model accounted for 22% of the variance in fear of falling among the elderly. There was support for the fit of the model to the data with a nonsignificant chi square at 0.478 (df=2, p=0.79), and the ratio of chi-square to degrees of freedom was 0.24, a CFI of 0.99 and RMSEA of 0.00. In particular, gender, a history of falling, and exercise were significant predictors of fear of falling. Conclusions/Implications: As anticipated, exercise is an important factor to prevent fear of falling. As a modifiable variable, self-efficacy and outcome expectation indirectly influence fear of falling through exercise.

The Impact of Family Caregiving for the Elderly with Dementia on Depression in the United States: Does the Relationship of Caregivers to Care Recipients Matter? (미국 치매노인 부양자의 우울증에 영향을 미치는 요소: 배우자 부양자와 딸 부양자 비교 연구)

  • Baek, Ju-Hee;Zarit, Steven H.
    • 한국노년학
    • /
    • v.29 no.4
    • /
    • pp.1591-1609
    • /
    • 2009
  • Adult child caregivers and spousal caregivers might deal with differential challenges. Studies about caregivers' psychological outcomes, however, tended to investigate associations between caregiving and its outcomes by pooling adult child caregivers and spousal caregivers together. By using a U. S. sample of family caregivers who assisted a relative with dementia, this study examined whether the relationship of caregivers to care receivers (daughter caregivers or spousal caregivers) made a difference in levels of depressive symptoms. The result showed that wife caregivers were more likely to be depressed than daughter caregivers. For daughter caregivers, role overload, role captivity, and behavior problems significantly influenced on depression. Besides these variables, the level of education was a significant predictor for wife caregivers. Role captivity and behavior problems significantly impacted on depression for husband caregivers. Thus, role captivity and behavioral problems were common predictors for all the caregivers. Specifically, higher levels of role captivity and behavioral problems were likely to make caregivers more depressed. The implication of these results were discussed.

Validation of the Korean Version of the Continuing Bonds Scale (한국판 지속 유대 척도의 타당화)

  • Kyeyang Kim ;Jongwon Park ;Wan-Suk Gim
    • Korean Journal of Culture and Social Issue
    • /
    • v.22 no.2
    • /
    • pp.263-283
    • /
    • 2016
  • The present study aimed at examining the factor structure, reliability and validity of the Korean version of the Continuing Bonds Scale (K-CBS). In study 1, exploratory factor analysis was administered to 293 bereaved adults who had experienced the death of a loved one, and it revealed a single factor structure with 10 items that explained 52.59% of the total variance. The K-CBS showed good internal consistency with Cronbach's alpha of .92. In study 2, confirmatory factor analysis in a different sample of 200 bereaved adults indicated satisfactory standardized regression weights of all items. However, one item had a squared multiple correlation less than .40, hence, this item was discarded, and 9 items remained for the final scale. The single factor model with 9 items displayed a good fit. The K-CBS had strong positive correlation with grief symptoms, and weak positive correlation with depression. After controlling for grief, however, the K-CBS was predictive of a decrease in depression. The K-CBS was positively associated with posttraumatic growth. In addition, significant differences in scores of the K-CBS were shown among groups based on the deceased's relation to the bereaved and expectedness of loss. These results suggest that the K-CBS is a reliable and valid instrument to measure continuing bonds. Finally, implications, limitations, and directions for future research were discussed.

  • PDF

Modeling the Effect of Consideration Set-Based Reference Price: Empirical Bayes & Latent Class Approach (고려상품군을 반영한 준거가격효과의 모형화: Empirical Bayes & Latent Class Approach)

  • Chang, Kwangpil
    • Asia Marketing Journal
    • /
    • v.8 no.1
    • /
    • pp.1-17
    • /
    • 2006
  • A couple of previous studies have warned against the use of homogeneous choice models in assessing the effect of reference price since unaccounted for response heterogeneity may result in spurious reference price effects(Chang, Siddarth and Weinberg 1999; Bell and Lattin 2000). According to Meyer and Kahn(1991), not accounting for consideration set heterogeneity may also bias the effect parameters in the choice model. Therefore, failure to account for these two sources of bias, in fact, have cast doubt on the empirical support for reference price effects in general. In view of aforementioned potential sources of bias, the author investigates the robustness of loss aversion effect in the reference-dependent model after accounting for heterogeneity in response as well as consideration set. The proposed model defines individual household's consideration set based on the posterior distribution of preference obtained from the Empirical Bayes approach. In addition, the same posterior distribution is used to form household-specific reference prices. Response heterogeneity correction is carried out via the Latent Class approach. The proposed model outperforms the Reference-Dependent model that includes the reference price measure most often employed in the previous studies. This implies that as a way of simplifying decision task, consumers restrict their consideration set to a subset of available brands not only in making a brand choice but also in forming reference prices.

  • PDF