• Title/Summary/Keyword: 예측기

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Predictions of Fatigue Life of Copper Alloy for Regenerative Cooling Channel of Thrust Chamber (연소기 재생냉각 채널용 구리합금의 피로수명예측)

  • Lee, Keumoh;Ryu, Chulsung;Heo, Seongchan;Choi, Hwanseok
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Propulsion Engineers
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    • v.21 no.6
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    • pp.73-82
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    • 2017
  • Low-cycle thermal fatigue problem resulting from multiple use of a liquid rocket engine has to be considered for the development of a reusable launch vehicle. In this study, life prediction equations suggested by previous researchers were compared as applied to various copper alloy cases to predict fatigue lives from tensile test data. The present study has revealed that among the presently considered life prediction methods, universal slopes method provides the best life prediction result for the copper alloys, and the modified Mitchell's method provides the best life prediction result for oxygen free high conductivity (OFHC) copper.

Development of regression curve to estimate runoff ratio in accordance with forecasted rainfall for decision making support of dam operations (홍수기 댐 운영 의사결정 지원을 위한 강우량별 유출율 예측 회귀식 개발)

  • Kim, Mi Eun;Kim, Hyeon Sik;Jang, Yong Hoon;Lee, Jong Goo
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.39-39
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    • 2018
  • 우리나라는 전체 국토의 약 70%가 산악지형으로 이루어져 있고 연중 강우가 6월에서 9월에 집중되는 기후적 특성을 가지고 있다. 최근 기후변화의 영향까지 더해지면서 시간당 300mm 이상의 집중호우를 보이는 이상강우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있다. 대부분의 도시지역은 하천을 중심으로 발달되어 있어 인구 및 사회기반시설의 집약정도가 매우 높고 하천변 저지대 지역에 주거 및 상업시설이 밀집되어 있다. 기후적 지역적 특성으로 인한 홍수피해를 미연에 방지하고 피해를 최소화하기 위하여 치수 중심의 수자원 관리를 위해 노력하고 있다. 하지만 우리나라의 하천관리는 시기별 하천 수량의 급격한 변동으로 어려움을 겪고 있다. 이러한 어려움을 극복하고 효율적인 수자원 관리 및 홍수피해 저감을 위해 수계를 중심으로 20개의 다목적댐을 건설하여 운영 관리 중에 있다. 특히, 홍수기 시 댐 운영은 예상 강우에 따라 적절한 예비방류와 강우 시 효율적인 댐 운영계획이 필수적이다. 본 연구에서는 강우가 집중되는 홍수기 댐 운영 시에 예상 강우량에 따라 댐 유역 내 유량 증가에 기여하는 정도를 예측할 수 있는 유출율 예측 회귀식을 개발하였다. 유출율은 강우와 유출량의 비로 지역특성, 강우특성, 관개여부, 선행강우량, 강우이동 방향 등 다양한 요인에 의해 복잡한 메케니즘을 갖는다. 단순히 예상되는 총강우량에 따른 유출율 만으로 상호관계를 정의하기가 쉽지 않기 때문에 한국수자원공사에서 개발한 댐군 홍수조절 연계운영시스템(COSFIM)인 수문학적 연계운영모형을 활용하였다. 최근 10년간 홍수기에 발생한 강우사상별 시간단위의 수문자료(총강우량, 기저유량, 유출율, 무강우일수, 강우지속시간 등) 분석을 실시하였다. COSFIM 모형을 통한 결과를 토대로 고려항목 간 교차검증을 통해 사분위수범위의 이상치 경계를 설정하고 상관분석 결과에 따라 0.5 이상의 상관성이 높은 항목을 활용하여 예측 강우량에 따른 유출율 예측 회귀식을 도출하였다. 본 연구에서 개발한 예측 강우에 따른 유출율 예측 산정식은 댐 유역에 예상되는 강우량에 대하여 하천의 유량 증가 예측 정도를 정량적으로 제시할 수 있으며, 실제 홍수기 댐 운영 시 예상 강우량에 따라 신속하고 적절한 수문 방류 계획 수립에서 용이하게 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

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Comparison of ensemble pruning methods using Lasso-bagging and WAVE-bagging (분류 앙상블 모형에서 Lasso-bagging과 WAVE-bagging 가지치기 방법의 성능비교)

  • Kwak, Seungwoo;Kim, Hyunjoong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.6
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    • pp.1371-1383
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    • 2014
  • Classification ensemble technique is a method to combine diverse classifiers to enhance the accuracy of the classification. It is known that an ensemble method is successful when the classifiers that participate in the ensemble are accurate and diverse. However, it is common that an ensemble includes less accurate and similar classifiers as well as accurate and diverse ones. Ensemble pruning method is developed to construct an ensemble of classifiers by choosing accurate and diverse classifiers only. In this article, we proposed an ensemble pruning method called WAVE-bagging. We also compared the results of WAVE-bagging with that of the existing pruning method called Lasso-bagging. We showed that WAVE-bagging method performed better than Lasso-bagging by the extensive empirical comparison using 26 real dataset.

A Model for Liquid Circulation Velocity in Airlift Reactors (공기부양반응기 내에서의 액체순환속도를 위한 모델)

  • Keun Ho Choi
    • Korean Chemical Engineering Research
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    • v.61 no.3
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    • pp.446-455
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    • 2023
  • A mathematical model for predicting the liquid circulation velocity in an airlift reactor was developed based on the mechanical energy balance of the fluid circulation loop. The model considered the energy loss due to a 90° turn, the energy loss due to friction, and the energy loss due to the change in cross-sectional area at each part of the reactor. The model that separately considered the loss coefficients related to friction, direction change, and cross-sectional area change was able to predict the liquid circulation velocity better than the previous model using lumped parameters. The liquid circulation velocity was measured by the tracer pulse method. Most of our experimental results obtained in external-loop airlift reactors, which had the top and bottom connecting pipes, as well as other investigators' results obtained in various types of airlift reactors, were well predicted by the developed model with an error within 20%. Useful empirical equations for the loss coefficient related to the 90° turn of the circulating fluid were obtained in external and internal-loop airlift reactors and used to predict the liquid circulation velocity.

Methodology to Verify the Unpredictability of True Random Number Generators (실난수 발생기 통계적 예측 불가능성 확인 방법)

  • Moon-Seok Kim;Seung-Bae Jeon
    • Convergence Security Journal
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    • v.24 no.2
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    • pp.123-132
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    • 2024
  • In the era of the Internet of Things, 7 billion diverse devices have been interconnected worldwide. Ensuring information security across these varied devices is crucial in this hyper-connected age. To achieve essential security functions such as confidentiality, integrity, and authentication, it is imperative to implement true random number generators (TRNGs). Therefore, this study proposes a method to rapidly characterize the randomness of TRNGs. While there are international standards for formally characterizing the randomness of TRNGs, adhering to these standards often requires significant time and resources. This study aims to help TRNG developers enhance efficiency in both time and cost by characterizing rough randomness and unpredictability. Firstly, we propose applying auto-correlation and cross-correlation metrics for analog signals. Secondly, we suggest adopting joint entropy and mutual information metrics for digital signals.

Design of a Low-Power Carry Look-Ahead Adder Using Multi-Threshold Voltage CMOS (다중 문턱전압 CMOS를 이용한 저 전력 캐리 예측 가산기 설계)

  • Kim, Dong-Hwi;Kim, Jeong-Beom
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartA
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    • v.15A no.5
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    • pp.243-248
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    • 2008
  • This paper proposes a low-power carry look-ahead adder using multi-threshold voltage CMOS. The designed adder is compared with conventional CMOS adder. The propagation delay time is reduced by using low-threshold voltage transistor in the critical path. Also, the power consumption is reduced by using high-threshold voltage transistor in the shortest path. The other logic block is implemented with normal-threshold transistor. Comparing with the conventional CMOS circuit, the proposed circuit is achieved to reduce the power consumption by 14.71% and the power-delay-product by 16.11%. This circuit is designed with Samsung $0.35{\mu}m$ CMOS process. The validity and effectiveness are verified through the HSPICE simulation.

Generation Efficiency and Thermal Performance of a Thermoelectric Generator with a High Power Electronic Component (고전력 전자소자에서 열전생성기의 생성효율과 열적성능)

  • Kim, Kyoung-Joon
    • Journal of Advanced Marine Engineering and Technology
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2012
  • This paper reports the generation efficiency and the thermal performance of a thermoelectric generator (TEG) harvesting energy from the waste heat of high power electronic components. A thermoelectric (TE) model containing thermal boundary resistances is used to predict generation efficiency and junction temperature of a high power electronic component. The predicted results are verified with measured values, and the discrepancy between prediction and measurement is seen to be moderate. The verified TE model predicts generation efficiencies, junction temperatures of the component, and temperature differences across a TEG at various source heat flows associated with various electrical load resistances. This study explores effects of the load resistance on the generation efficiency, the temperature difference across a TEG, and the junction temperature.

Thermal Characteristics Analysis of Power Device for Motor Driving Power Converter (전동기 구동용 전력 변환기에 대한 전력소자의 열적 특성 해석)

  • Cho, Moontaek;Lee, Chungsik;Lee, SangBock
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Radiology
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    • v.6 no.6
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    • pp.495-498
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    • 2012
  • In this paper, the basic behavior of the environment and the driving time as a prediction of the lifetime of the power semiconductor devices were recorded. Radiator of a power device driving time and temperature operating environment, including cumulative record by the controller of the power converter, and doing it so you can see the power semiconductor devices for the life of the structure that the size of the change in the temperature of the semiconductor chip and the number of iterations to maintenance warranty period because of a lifetime by forecasting or replacement can be made at the appropriate time that is considered.

Linear Predictor Using Charge-Coupled Devices (CCD를 이용한 선형예측기)

  • 최태영;신철재
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.9-18
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    • 1987
  • An electro-optic system using linear photosensitive Charge Coupled Devices(CCDs) having dummy pixels has been proposed for realzation of linear prodictor in the differential pulse code modulation(DPCM). The system consists of three components as conventional system:input light source, spatial filter(mask) and CCD line scanning sensor. For the delay time due to the dummy pixels in CCD, modifying conventional mask, a new dispersive mask is proposed, of which every prediction coefficient is dispersed on the more than one element, the characteristics of the system using the proposed dispersive mask are analyzed theoretically and verified with experiment.

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멤브레인형 LNG선의 진동에 관한 고찰

  • Choe, Jong-Pil;Kim, Mun-Su;Lee, Gi-Mun;Gwon, Jong-Hyeon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2000.06a
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    • pp.868-875
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    • 2000
  • 이 연구의 목적은 당사에서 제작한 멤브레인형 $130,000M^3$$135,000M^3$ LNG 운반선의 진동특성을 파악하고, 거주구역의 진동수준을 예측하기 위함이다. 우선 공진 회피의 관점에서 최적의 프로펠러를 선택하기 위해 간단한 계산을 수행한 후, 주변 해수를 고려한 선박 전체를 모델링하여 3차원 유한요소해석을 수행한다. 이 계산은 보다 정확한 고유진동수를 결정하고, 프로펠러 기진의 주파수 범위에서 관련된 모드 형상을 결정하며, 선박 거주구에서 기대되는 진동수준은 잘 예측할 수 있다. 다음으로 선박이 진수되고 전체구조가 조립된 후 안벽에서 불평형 가진기를 이용해 가진기테스트를 실시하고, 해상시운전 중에도 동일한 방법으로 테스트를 실시한다. 시험은 고유진동수의 항으로 선박의 실제진동응답과 계산결과와의 좋은 비교를 가능하게 한다. 추가적으로 실제 엔진을 구동해 RPM을 최저에서 최고까지 천천히 변경하면서 실제 운항 중 진동응답을 계측함으로서 고유진동수를 예측하여 해석결과 및 가진기 시험결과와 비교한다.

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