• Title/Summary/Keyword: 여객수송수요

Search Result 23, Processing Time 0.036 seconds

Short-term Railway Passenger Demand Forecasting by SARIMA Model (SARIMA모형을 이용한 철도여객 단기수송수요 예측)

  • Noh, Yunseung;Do, Myungsik
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
    • /
    • v.14 no.4
    • /
    • pp.18-26
    • /
    • 2015
  • This study is a fundamental research to suggest a forecasting model for short-term railway passenger demand focusing on major lines (Gyeungbu, Honam, Jeonla, Janghang, Jungang) of Saemaeul rail and Mugunghwa rail. Also the author tried to verify the potential application of the proposed models. For this study, SARIMA model considering characteristics of seasonal trip is basically used, and daily mean forecasting models are independently constructed depending on weekday/weekend in order to consider characteristics of weekday/weekend trip and a legal holiday trip. Furthermore, intervention events having an impact on using the train such as introduction of new lines or EXPO are reflected in the model to increase reliability of the model. Finally, proposed models are confirmed to have high accuracy and reliability by verifying predictability of models. The proposed models of this research will be expected to utilize for establishing a plan for short-term operation of lines.

국내 내항여객선 산업의 현황과 문제점

  • No, Chang-Gyun;Choe, Su-Hwan
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2012.06a
    • /
    • pp.219-221
    • /
    • 2012
  • 주5일제의 시행 및 국민소득의 증대, 스포츠 레저 및 여가생활에 관심이 집중되면서 여객선을 이용한 관광이 많이 활성화 되고 있다. 입소문을 통한 홍보 뿐만 아니라 인터넷, 스마트폰등을 통한 정보의 공유 및 대중매체를 통한 홍보로 인하여 구석구석의 명소들이 많이 소개되고 있으며, 이를 위한 여객선 사업이 빠른추세로 증가하고 있다. 이처럼 여객의 수요는 증가하고 있으나 그에 맞는 서비스의 개선, 터미널의 보안시설, 선박 및 접안시설의 노후화 및 수송능력의 부족, 여객선 승무원의 고령화, 급작스런 기상악화시의 대처요령, 여객선사의 안전불감증 등은 많은 문제점을 야기하고 있다. 이 논문에서는 최근 5년간의 우리나라의 여객선 사업의 현황을 분석하고 여객선 사업의 문제점에 관하여 다루어 보도록 하겠다.

  • PDF

Busan Wig Ship Terminal Location and Access Plan (부산 위그선 터미널 입지방안과 연계방안)

  • Park, Woo-Seok
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Navigation and Port Research Conference
    • /
    • 2009.10a
    • /
    • pp.233-234
    • /
    • 2009
  • 2012년 상용화가 목표인 국내 위그선 개발은 화물운송과 여객운송에 큰 변화를 가져올 것으로 판단된다. 특히 부산은 일본과의 여객에서 수요가 클 것으로 판단되며 이에 2012년 이후 상용화에 위그선 터미널 등 관계시설을 계획할 필요가 있지만 현재까지 북항재개발계획에 포함시키자는 단순 논의만 있을뿐 뚜렷한 계획이 없는 실정이다. 위그선의 경우 속도가 빨라서 현실적으로 북항지역에 터미널을 생성시 어려움이 있을것으로 판단되며 이에 현재 영도 동삼동 크루즈터미널이 북항재개발 지역에 신규 크루즈터미널이 만들어진 후 여유가 있을것으로 판단되어 이를 활용화할 필요가 있다. 이률 위해 영도 태종대와 롯데월드를 잇는 관광벨트와 부산역과 연계된 열차화물수송을 적극 활용할 수 있게 영도 경전철을 고려해 볼 필요가 있다.

  • PDF

An Analysis of Baggage Demand for Designing Baggage Handling System(BHS) (A Case Study of Incheon International Airport) (수하물처리시설 설계를 위한 수하물 수요분석(인천국제공항의 예))

  • Bae, Byung-Uk;Lee, Hong-Cheol
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
    • /
    • v.22 no.1 s.72
    • /
    • pp.19-30
    • /
    • 2004
  • Once baggage demand of passengers is forecast, BHS requirements must be analyzed, i.e., the number of originating/transferring/terminating bags to be handled, the number of conveyor lines to be installed, the number of containers for baggage make-up, the number of claim devices for baggage claim, and so on. Therefore, the determination of the baggage traffic volume is one of the most important analysis components for the airport design. Accordingly, this research proposes time-based distribution table models in order to accurately estimate BHS requirements to obtain design criteria in airport design phase. As the BHS requirements are ascertained, related requirements of the facilities can be determined by applying actual specifications of devices, i.e., throughput. This research found that the proposed mathematical model gives a good reflection of IIA (Incheon International Airport)'s operational condition. That means the model provides apparent reliability and feasibility. Furthermore, the specifications of devices are the newest figures. This fact supports that the research provides more effcient and reliable results.

A Column Generation Approach to Line Planning in Rail Freight Transportation (화물열차 노선계획 작성을 위한 열 생성 기반 최적화 모형 연구)

  • Park, Bum-Hwan
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.185-192
    • /
    • 2012
  • Line planning is to determine the frequency of trains on each line to satisfy origin-destination demand while minimizing total operation cost. However, different from the line planning in passenger transportation, it is more important at which intermediate stations each train should be stopped and shunted because the freight car handling works like drop-off or(and) pick-up can incur much time and high cost so that the delay deteriorates the quality of rail freight transportation service. We present an optimization model for constructing line plan in rail freight transportation to simultaneously minimize the train operation cost and total transportation time of freights. And we suggest a column generation approach for our problem, which can solve the real network instances in reasonable computation times.

Study in the development of High Speed Rail(HSR) and its influence (고속철도의 발전과 영향력)

  • Lee, Yong-Sang;Mun, Dae-Seop
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.10 no.1 s.34
    • /
    • pp.23-37
    • /
    • 2007
  • Since 1964, HSR, which was opened in Japan, has had a hoge impact on the world. Historically, HSR has similar characteristics to the Roman Road, which promoted rapid movement and hada great influence on international society as transport infrastructure. Recently the development of HSR has become more rapid because of economic, environmental and external cost concern, emphasizing Environmentally Sustainable Transport(EST). In particular, the external cost has become more important factor for justifying HSR. The successful factors of HSR are high demand and cost minimal construction costs. There are two successful HSR models, the Japanese and the French. The former operates based on high demand oriented and the latter focuses on its minimizing costs. The demand orientated model means HSR carries over 100,000 passengers per day as in Japan and Far East Asian countries. The cost minimized model focuses on lower operation and construction costs as in France. In particular, Germany carries both passengers and freight on HSR. The construction costs in Germany are in between those of Japan and France. In future, Korea, Taiwan and China HSR will follow Japan's successful model because of high population density and concentration of economic activity along railway lines. This paper supports Vickerman's argument that HSR is justified where there is a demand of between 12 million and 15 million railway passenger a year(about 40thousand persons/day) between two urban center. This will be shown in the future in Korea, in Taiwan and China. Finally, this paper reviews that HSR activates at 250km/h for dedicated new lines and 200km/h for upgraded lines. In particular, it is successful in area of high population density and cost minimizing technology.

A Study on the Evaluation and Improvement of Management Efficiency of Coastal Passenger Terminal (연안여객터미널 경영 효율성 평가 및 개선에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Choong-Woo;Pai, Hoo-Seok;Shin, Yong-John
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
    • /
    • v.36 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-20
    • /
    • 2020
  • Coastal ferry routes are very important because they connect the mainland to islands, offer transportation for islanders, and bring tourism to islands. In particular, the recent increase in national income, prevalence of a culture that emphasizes work-life balance, and introduction of the five-day workweek have stoked interest in travel as a leisure pursuit, and demand for tourism from Korean people in islands has increased. As the number of passengers using coastal passenger terminals increases due to changes in the coastal tourism environment, the importance and need for coastal passenger terminal facilities and services is growing. Under these circumstances, it is necessary for the management organizations of coastal passenger terminals to manage and efficiently operate the terminals in such a way that budgets can be reasonably implemented and the convenience of passengers using the terminals is enhanced. This study primarily analyzed the management efficiency of coastal passenger terminals in terms of profitability and public interest using data envelopment analysis. The eight passenger terminals achieved low management efficiency in terms of profitability. These terminals should improve profitability by increasing income from terminal office rental and ancillary businesses and revenue from terminal fees by boosting island tourism and expanding overseas passenger transportation. The eight terminals with low management efficiency for public interest should increase the number of passengers by promoting island tourism, developing tour packages to Japan and China's coastal areas, developing new routes, and introducing super-high-speed ships.

A Study on the Additional Train Scheduling Method (열차 증편방법에 관한 연구)

  • Kim, Young-Hoon;Rim, Suk-Chul
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Railway
    • /
    • v.17 no.4
    • /
    • pp.313-319
    • /
    • 2014
  • Additional train scheduling is often required to increase the capacity of transporting passengers or freight. In most previous studies on scheduling additional trains, operation time of the added train is designated first; and then the train operation feasibility is examined. However, it is often difficult to apply this approach to domestic trains because the density of the railroad network in Korea is high and various types of trains are in use. Moreover, for freight trains, it is even more challenging because the delay is accumulated due to lower priority whenever a freight train and a passenger train contend for a common segment of rail. In this paper, we address the additional train scheduling problem which entails finding a feasible schedule for an additional train having a fixed departure time or departure time windows. The problem is modeled as a mixed integer programming and a column generation technique is used to solve it.

21세기 국제항공정책 방향

  • 정일영
    • Proceedings of the KOR-KST Conference
    • /
    • 1998.10b
    • /
    • pp.452-452
    • /
    • 1998
  • 1. 세계 항공시장의 동향 ○ 항공운송산업의 규제완화 및 항공자유화 추세의 확산 -78년 미국의 규제완화 이후 유럽, 대양주, 아시아 등으로 파급 ○ 미국의 항공자유의 정책(Open skies Policy)은 EU의 역대 완전자유화와 함께 세계항공시장의 자유화 촉진 ○ 항공사간 전략적 제휴의 확산 -British Connection, Star Alliance, Southern Comfort, Dutch Treat 등 4대 범세계적 제휴가 결성 또는 추진 중. 2. 우리나라 항공운송산업의 현황 ○ 세계 10위권 항공운송국가로 성장 -화물 세계5위, 여객 11위(97 ICAO통계) -김포공항은 97년 중 36.5백만명 처리로 세계9위 차지 ○ IMF체계의 영향과 경영수지 변화 추이 -98년 내국인 출국자는 감소하였으나, 외국인 관광객은 증가(10.8%) * 98. 1∼8전년대비 수송수요 국제선 17%, 국내선 26% 감소 -97년 양 항공사 적자규모 약 4,000억원으로 대폭 증가, 98상반기 회복추세. 3. 21세기 국제항공정책 방향 ○ 적극적인 항공시장 개방정책 추진과 역내 주요도시간 셔틀화 ○ 세계 주요 항공사와의 전략적 제휴를 지원하여 세계항공시장에서의 경쟁력 제고 * KAL-이, AAR-AA -인천국제공항의 HUB화 추진(민간 경영기법 도입, 항공개방정책 등) ○ 항공사가 최적의 노선망과 경제성을 갖도록 하는 적정 성장방안 강구 ○ 선진국 수준의 획기적 항공안정 체계 확립

  • PDF

Current Situation and Cooperation on the Metropolitan Airport between Korea and Japan (한국 및 일본의 수도권 공항의 현황과 협력)

  • Kim, Doo-Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Air & Space Law and Policy
    • /
    • no.spc
    • /
    • pp.137-163
    • /
    • 2007
  • The air market in Asia has already entered upon the age of limitless competition. It means a very important moment in Asia air market. Each Asian country thus has put a lot of effort into a development plan and support to their hub airport. In order to achieve such a plan, first of all we should build closer cooperation system between the two countries Japan and Korea. The Korea and Japan are very fast growing in the northeast countries within the global air transport market. Air passenger and cargo traffic volumes between Korea and Japan have increased dramatically, since the 1990s. In response to such a trend, both countries have opened new airports and expanded existing facilities in the hopes of laying claims to the main international hub airport in Asia. Apart from the trend, air transportation between Korea and Japan's metropolitan areas is the only transportation in substance, even if they are located very closely in geographical position. The air transportation between the two countries shows that it is necessary to get fast and more convenient because of the economic and cultural interchange and exchange concentrated on the metropolitan areas, and that will promote the economic growth of Korea and Japan. However, within the air transportation industry field, there have no sufficient seats/slots to supply the air demand from the capital cities of each country, as well as no counterplan for some problems regarding capacityand sustain ability of metropolitan airports. Thus, it is necessary for us to consider in all aspects and solve them to improve air transportation between Korea and Japan. This paper is to try to demonstrate this matter and from all angles, that is, in legal and political aspects, facilities and given environmental conditions and cooperation between Korea and Japan. I think that it is indeed a great necessary and convenient for many Korean and Japanese tourists to conclude a new 'Open Sky Agreement' between Japan and Korea in order to the prepare the increase of the shuttle flight between Haneda-Gimpo and opening of air route newly for shuttle flight between Haneda and Cheongju as well as opening of air route for shuttle flight between Haneda-Shanghai Hongqiao International Airport and Beijing International Airport for the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games. Furthermore it is a great desirable thing for us to conclude a new 'Open Sky Agreement' in cooperation reciprocally among the Japan, China and Korea for opening the new air route by the shuttle flight.

  • PDF