• Title/Summary/Keyword: 분산공분산행렬

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Approaching Target above Ground Tracking Technique Based on Noise Covariance Estimation Method-Kalman Filter (잡음 공분산 추정 방식을 적용한 칼만필터 기반 지면밀착 접근표적 추적기법)

  • Park, Young-Sik
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.28 no.10
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    • pp.810-818
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    • 2017
  • This paper presents the approaching target above ground tracking based on Kalman filter applied to the proximity sensor for the active defense system. The proximity sensor located on the front of the countermeasure is not easy to detect when the anti-tank threat enters a fragment dispersion range due to limited antenna beamwidth. In addition, it is difficult for the proximity sensor to detect the anti-tank threat accurately at a terrestrial environment including various clutters. To solve these problems, this study presents the approaching target above ground tracking based on Kalman filter and applies the novel estimation method for a noise covariance matrix to improve a tracking performance. Then, a high tracking performance of Kalman filter applied the proposed noise covariance matrix is presented through field firing test results and the validity of the proposed study is examined.

Evaluation of Performance of Atmospheric Re-Entry System for the Uncertainties Using the Monte-Carlo Simulation (몬테-칼로 모의실험을 이용한 대기권 재진입 시스템의 불확실성 성능 평가)

  • Lee, Dae-Woo;Cho, Kyeum-Rae;Oh, Se-Jong
    • Journal of the Korean Society for Aeronautical & Space Sciences
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    • v.30 no.7
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    • pp.51-60
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    • 2002
  • The Monte-Carlo simulation of statistical analysis is used to investigate the final conditions of states as well as the footprint boundaries resulting from the atmospheric re-entry dispersions. The re-entry dispersions in this paper are specified by a $7\times7$ covariance matrix of latitude, longitude, altitude, bank angle, flight path angle, heading error, and range at entry velocity. The error sources that affect these at re-entry for a deboost are the uncertainties associated with atmospheric density and temperature, initial errors, wind, and estimation error of aerodynamic coefficients. Using $3{\sigma}_n$ deviations of these errors and a nominal flight trajectory, the covariance matrix of state variables can be determined by performing a trajectory error analysis. Major considerations in the application of the Monte-Carlo method are the simulation of perturbed trajectories, bank reversal, and determination of the impact points for each of these trajectories. This paper analyzes the results of uncertainties from the viewpoint of aero-coefficients and bank reversal.

Impact of Mathematical Modeling Schemes into Accuracy Representation of GPS Control Surveying (수학적 모형화 기법이 GPS 기준점 측량 정확도 표현에 미치는 영향)

  • Lee, Hungkyu;Seo, Wansoo
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.30 no.5
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    • pp.445-458
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    • 2012
  • The objective of GPS control surveying is ultimately to determine coordinate sets of control points within targeted accuracy through a series of observations and network adjustments. To this end, it is of equivalent importance for the accuracy of these coordinates to be realistically represented by using an appropriate method. The accuracy representation can be quantitively made by the variance-covariance matrices of the estimates, of which features are sensitive to the mathematical models used in the adjustment. This paper deals with impact of functional and stochastic modeling techniques into the accuracy representation of the GPS control surveying with a view of gaining background for its standardization. In order to achieve this goal, mathematical theory and procedure of the single-baseline based multi-session adjustment has been rigorously reviewed together with numerical analysis through processing real world data. Based on this study, it was possible to draw a conclusion that weighted-constrained adjustment with the empirical stochastic model was among the best scheme to more realistically describe both of the absolute and relative accuracies of the GPS surveying results.

Efficient strategy for the genetic analysis of related samples with a linear mixed model (선형혼합모형을 이용한 유전체 자료분석방안에 대한 연구)

  • Lim, Jeongmin;Sung, Joohon;Won, Sungho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.25 no.5
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    • pp.1025-1038
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    • 2014
  • Linear mixed model has often been utilized for genetic association analysis with family-based samples. The correlation matrix for family-based samples is constructed with kinship coefficient and assumes that parental phenotypes are independent and the amount of correlations between parent and offspring is same as that of correlations between siblings. However, for instance, there are positive correlations between parental heights, which indicates that the assumption for correlation matrix is often violated. The statistical validity and power are affected by the appropriateness of assumed variance covariance matrix, and in this thesis, we provide the linear mixed model with flexible variance covariance matrix. Our results show that the proposed method is usually more efficient than existing approaches, and its application to genome-wide association study of body mass index illustrates the practical value in real data analysis.

Applicability Evaluation of a Mixed Model for the Analysis of Repeated Inventory Data : A Case Study on Quercus variabilis Stands in Gangwon Region (반복측정자료 분석을 위한 혼합모형의 적용성 검토: 강원지역 굴참나무 임분을 대상으로)

  • Pyo, Jungkee;Lee, Sangtae;Seo, Kyungwon;Lee, Kyungjae
    • Journal of Korean Society of Forest Science
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    • v.104 no.1
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    • pp.111-116
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    • 2015
  • The purpose of this study was to evaluate mixed model of dbh-height relation containing random effect. Data were obtained from a survey site for Quercus variabilis in Gangwon region and remeasured the same site after three years. The mixed model were used to fixed effect in the dbh-height relation for Quercus variabilis, with random effect representing correlation of survey period were obtained. To verify the evaluation of the model for random effect, the akaike information criterion (abbreviated as, AIC) was used to calculate the variance-covariance matrix, and residual of repeated data. The estimated variance-covariance matrix, and residual were -0.0291, 0.1007, respectively. The model with random effect (AIC = -215.5) has low AIC value, comparison with model with fixed effect (AIC = -154.4). It is for this reason that random effect associated with categorical data is used in the data fitting process, the model can be calibrated to fit repeated site by obtaining measurements. Therefore, the results of this study could be useful method for developing model using repeated measurement.

A Study on the Accuracy of the Maximum Likelihood Estimator of the Generalized Logistic Distribution According to Information Matrix (Information Matrix에 따른 Generalized Logistic 분포의 최우도 추정량 정확도에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Hong-Joon;Jung, Young-Hun;Heo, Jun-Haeng
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.42 no.4
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    • pp.331-341
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    • 2009
  • In this study, we compared the observed information matrix with the Fisher information matrix to estimate the uncertainty of maximum likelihood estimators of the generalized logistic (GL) distribution. The previous literatures recommended the use of the observed information matrix because this is convenient since this matrix is determined as the part of the parameter estimation procedure and there is little difference in accuracy between the observed information matrix and the Fisher information matrix for large sample size. The observed information matrix has been applied for the generalized logistic distribution based on the previous study without verification. For this purpose, a simulation experiment was performed to verify which matrix gave the better accuracy for the GL model. The simulation results showed that the variance-covariance of the ML parameters for the GL distribution came up with similar results to those of previous literature, but it is preferable to use of the Fisher information matrix to estimate the uncertainty of quantile of ML estimators.

Multivariate conditional tail expectations (다변량 조건부 꼬리 기대값)

  • Hong, C.S.;Kim, T.W.
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.29 no.7
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    • pp.1201-1212
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    • 2016
  • Value at Risk (VaR) for market risk management is a favorite method used by financial companies; however, there are some problems that cannot be explained for the amount of loss when a specific investment fails. Conditional Tail Expectation (CTE) is an alternative risk measure defined as the conditional expectation exceeded VaR. Multivariate loss rates are transformed into a univariate distribution in real financial markets in order to obtain CTE for some portfolio as well as to estimate CTE. We propose multivariate CTEs using multivariate quantile vectors. A relationship among multivariate CTEs is also derived by extending univariate CTEs. Multivariate CTEs are obtained from bivariate and trivariate normal distributions; in addition, relationships among multivariate CTEs are also explored. We then discuss the extensibility to high dimension as well as illustrate some examples. Multivariate CTEs (using variance-covariance matrix and multivariate quantile vector) are found to have smaller values than CTEs transformed to univariate. Therefore, it can be concluded that the proposed multivariate CTEs provides smaller estimates that represent less risk than others and that a drastic investment using this CTE is also possible when a diversified investment strategy includes many companies in a portfolio.

A Portmanteau Test Based on the Discrete Cosine Transform (이산코사인변환을 기반으로 한 포트맨토 검정)

  • Oh, Sung-Un;Cho, Hye-Min;Yeo, In-Kwon
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.323-332
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    • 2007
  • We present a new type of portmanteau test in the frequency domain which is derived from the discrete cosine transform(DCT). For the stationary time series, DCT coefficients are asymptotically independent and their variances are expressed by linear combinations of autocovariances. The covariance matrix of DCT coefficients for white noises is diagonal matrix whose diagonal elements is the variance of time series. A simple way to test the independence of time series is that we divide DCT coefficients into two or three parts and then compare sample variances. We also do this by testing the slope in the linear regression model of which the response variables are absolute values or squares of coefficients. Simulation results show that the proposed tests has much higher powers than Ljung-Box test in most cases of our experiments.

Displacement Analysis of Dam Deformation Monitoring with GPS (GPS에 의한 댐 변형 모니터링의 변위 분석)

  • 장상규;김진수;신상철;박운용
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Surveying, Geodesy, Photogrammetry and Cartography
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    • v.19 no.3
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    • pp.237-244
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    • 2001
  • On this study, a 50-years-old earth dam was measured by the static method of GPS for deformation monitoring. The reference network was measured by the vector between points in twice times and the monitored points were observed in four times at test field, i.e. an embankment which was restored by mortar, In addition, gross errors in the measurement were estimated and eliminated by data snooping method and random errors were adjusted by least square method. Finally, the amount of displacement was estimated from variance-covariance matrix. Also, precision of points were showed by the confidence ellipse(95%), and the amount of displacement was figured.

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$ fractional factorial designs of resolution V and taguchi method

  • 김상익
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.5 no.1
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    • pp.19-28
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    • 1992
  • In this paper, minimal balanced $2^t$ fractional factorial designs which permit the estimation of main effects and 2-factor interactions are developed by using a partially balanced array. Such designs are characterized by a minimum number of runs and some balancedness property of the variance-covariance matrix of the estimates. In addition to describing the designs, optimality criteria are discussed and the trace-optimal designs are presented. The proposed designs are especially useful in Taguchi method, where we need to investigate up to 2-factor interactions of the control factors.

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