• Title/Summary/Keyword: 반영적 사고

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Identification of Factors Affecting the Crash Severity and Safety Countermeasures Toward Safer Work Zone Traffic Management (공사구간 교통관리특성을 고려한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 영향요인 분석 및 안전성 증진 방안)

  • YOON, Seok Min;OH, Cheol;PARK, Hyun Jin;CHUNG, Bong Jo
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.34 no.4
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    • pp.354-372
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    • 2016
  • This study identified factors affecting the crash severity at freeway work zones. A nice feature of this study was to take into account the characteristics of work zone traffic management in analyzing traffic safety concerns. In addition to crash records, vehicle detection systems (VDS) data and work zone historical data were used for establishing a dataset to be used for statistical analyses based on an ordered probit model. A total of six safety improvement strategies for freeway work zones, including traffic merging method, guidance information provision, speed management, warning information systems, traffic safety facility, and monitoring of effectiveness for countermeasures, were also proposed.

Analysis of Extreme Flood for Nuclear Power Plant Site (원전부지의 방재대책 수립을 위한 극한홍수해석)

  • Keum, Ho Jun;Park, Jun-Hyeong;Heo, Jun Haeng;Han, Kun Yeun
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2016.05a
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    • pp.553-553
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    • 2016
  • 2011년 3월 일본 후쿠시마에서 대지진과 쓰나미로 인하여 대규모의 경제적 피해와 생명에 위협을 준 원전사고가 발생하였다. 이처럼 국가주요시설인 원전부지의 사고위험은 다양한 원인으로 인해 늘 위협받고 있으며, 최근 기후변화로 인하여 단시간의 지역적인 집중호우와 예상치 못한 폭우가 빈번하게 발생하고 있는 상황에서 극한홍수로 인한 사고 또한 중요한 원인으로 인식되고 있다. 하지만 우리나라에서는 원전부지에 대하여 PMP 등의 이상강우 조건 하에서 수공학적 안정도 평가와 국가 주요시설물 부지의 침수해석기법의 개발은 아직까지 전무한 실정이다. 따라서 본 연구에서는 원전부지 내에 영향을 미치는 극한강우를 다양한 기법으로 산정하여 가장 큰 피해를 미치는 극한강우 사상을 도출하였다. 도출한 극한강우를 유역유출분석을 통해 실제 원전부지 내로의 유입 경계조건으로 고려하여 2차원 침수해석을 실시하였다. 2차원 침수해석을 위해 원전부지 내 주요시설물, 도로, 하수관망 및 구조물 등을 반영하여 지형자료를 구축하였으며, 유출분석을 통해 유입되는 극한홍수량 외에 원전부지 내로 내리는 직접 강우도 함께 고려하였다. 그 결과를 통해 원전부지 내 침수심 및 유속 분포 등의 침수정보를 제공할 수 있는 침수위험도를 작성하였다. 본 연구를 통해 원전부지 내의 극한강우 산정 및 그로인한 침수위험도 작성으로 원전부지의 방재대책 수립시 기초자료로써 제공될 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

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Studying the Comparative Analysis of Highway Traffic Accident Severity Using the Random Forest Method. (Random Forest를 활용한 고속도로 교통사고 심각도 비교분석에 관한 연구)

  • Sun-min Lee;Byoung-Jo Yoon;WutYeeLwin
    • Journal of the Society of Disaster Information
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    • v.20 no.1
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    • pp.156-168
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    • 2024
  • Purpose: The trend of highway traffic accidents shows a repeating pattern of increase and decrease, with the fatality rate being highest on highways among all road types. Therefore, there is a need to establish improvement measures that reflect the situation within the country. Method: We conducted accident severity analysis using Random Forest on data from accidents occurring on 10 specific routes with high accident rates among national highways from 2019 to 2021. Factors influencing accident severity were identified. Result: The analysis, conducted using the SHAP package to determine the top 10 variable importance, revealed that among highway traffic accidents, the variables with a significant impact on accident severity are the age of the perpetrator being between 20 and less than 39 years, the time period being daytime (06:00-18:00), occurrence on weekends (Sat-Sun), seasons being summer and winter, violation of traffic regulations (failure to comply with safe driving), road type being a tunnel, geometric structure having a high number of lanes and a high speed limit. We identified a total of 10 independent variables that showed a positive correlation with highway traffic accident severity. Conclusion: As accidents on highways occur due to the complex interaction of various factors, predicting accidents poses significant challenges. However, utilizing the results obtained from this study, there is a need for in-depth analysis of the factors influencing the severity of highway traffic accidents. Efforts should be made to establish efficient and rational response measures based on the findings of this research.

Whiplash Injury Conditions of Rear-End Collisions at Low-Speed (저속 추돌사고에서 목 상해 조건에 대한 연구)

  • Kim, Myeongju;Yun, Ilsoo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.18 no.2
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    • pp.58-76
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    • 2019
  • As the number of reported injuries has tended to increase over time, large hospitalization expenditure from excessive medical treatments and hospitalization, and insurance frauds associated with moral hazard in minor collisions have caused a global societal problem. Many occupants of rear-ended vehicles involved in rear-end collisions complain of whiplash injury, which is also known as neck injury, without any anatomical and radiological evidence. With only clinical symptoms, stating that a whiplash injury is a type of injury defined by the Abbreviated Injury Scale would be difficult. Therefore, this study focuses on minor rear-end collisions, where the rear-ender vehicle collides with the rear-ended vehicle at rest. The mathematics dynamic model is employed to simulate a total of 100 rear-end collision scenarios based on various weights and collision speeds and identify how the weights and speeds of both vehicles influence the risk of whiplash injury in occupants involved in minor rear-end collisions. The possibility of an injury is very high when the same-weight vehicles are involved in accidents at collision speeds of 15 km/h or higher. The possibilities are 36% and 84% with collision speeds of 15 km/h and 20 km/h, respectively, if weights are disregarded.

Development of Freeway Traffic Incident Clearance Time Prediction Model by Accident Level (사고등급별 고속도로 교통사고 처리시간 예측모형 개발)

  • LEE, Soong-bong;HAN, Dong Hee;LEE, Young-Ihn
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.497-507
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    • 2015
  • Nonrecurrent congestion of freeway was primarily caused by incident. The main cause of incident was known as a traffic accident. Therefore, accurate prediction of traffic incident clearance time is very important in accident management. Traffic accident data on freeway during year 2008 to year 2014 period were analyzed for this study. KNN(K-Nearest Neighbor) algorithm was hired for developing incident clearance time prediction model with the historical traffic accident data. Analysis result of accident data explains the level of accident significantly affect on the incident clearance time. For this reason, incident clearance time was categorized by accident level. Data were sorted by classification of traffic volume, number of lanes and time periods to consider traffic conditions and roadway geometry. Factors affecting incident clearance time were analyzed from the extracted data for identifying similar types of accident. Lastly, weight of detail factors was calculated in order to measure distance metric. Weight was calculated with applying standard method of normal distribution, then incident clearance time was predicted. Prediction result of model showed a lower prediction error(MAPE) than models of previous studies. The improve model developed in this study is expected to contribute to the efficient highway operation management when incident occurs.

Development of an Impact Speed Estimation Model using Bicycle Throw Distances (자전거 전도거리를 이용한 충돌속도 예측 모형 개발에 관한 연구)

  • Jo, Yong-Jik;Lee, Sang-Su
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.87-96
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    • 2010
  • The impact speed estimation practice used in the car-bicycle accident analysis practice in Korea was mainly dependent on foreign study results which were tested with limited speed ranges and vehicle types, but the characteristics of roadway, human body, and vehicle performance were quite different. This study developed an impact speed estimation model using the car-bicycle accident field data. For this, a regression analysis was performed using the impact speed and bicycle throw distance collected from 23 real accident data, and statistical test was also conducted. For the verification of the induced model, the impact speeds derived from the model were compared with the true impact speeds estimated from skid marks of two accident cases. The result showed that the two speeds were very close to each other. It is believed that the model could be included in the car-bicycle accident analysis practice.

A Novel Method for Estimating Representative Section Travel Times Using Individual Vehicle Trajectory Data (개별차량 주행정보를 이용한 차로별 구간대표통행시간 산출기법)

  • Rim, Hee-Sub;Oh, Cheol;Kang, Kyeong-Pyo
    • The Journal of The Korea Institute of Intelligent Transport Systems
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    • v.8 no.6
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    • pp.23-35
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    • 2009
  • This study proposes a methodology for estimating representative section travel times using individual vehicle travel information under the ubiquitous transportation environment (UTE). A novel approach is to substantialize a concept of dynamic node-links in processing trajectory data. Also, grouping vehicles was conducted to obtain more reliable travel times representing characteristics of individual vehicle travels. Since the UTE allows us to obtain higher accuracy of vehicle positions, travel times for each lane can be estimated based on the proposed methodology. Evaluation results show that less than 10% of mean absolute percentage error was achievable with 20% of probe vehicle rate. It is expected that outcome of this study is useful for providing more accurate and reliable traffic information services.

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Methodology for Near-miss Identification between Earthwork Equipment and Workers using Image Analysis (영상분석기법을 활용한 토공 장비 및 작업자간 아차사고식별 방법론)

  • Lim, Tae-Kyung;Choi, Byoung-Yoon;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.20 no.4
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    • pp.69-76
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    • 2019
  • This paper presents a method that identifies the unsafe behaviors at the level of near-misses using image analysis. The method establishes potential collision hazardous area in earthmoving operation. It is implemented using a game engine to reproduce the dangerous events that have been accepted as major difficulty in utilizing computer vision technology to support construction safety management. The method keeps realistically track of the ever-changing hazardous area by reflecting the volatile field conditions. The method opens a way to distinguish unsafe conditions and unsafe behaviors that have been overlooked in previous studies, and reflects the causal relationship which causes an accident. The case study demonstrate how to identify the unsafe behavior of a worker exposed to an unsafe area created by dump trucks at the level of near-misses and to determine the hazardous areas.

Drawing Elements of Inquiry in Field Geology and Analyzing Field Geology Education in Previous Studies (야외 지질학 탐구 요소 추출 및 지질 답사 교육 문헌 분석)

  • Jung, Chanmi;Shin, Donghee
    • Journal of The Korean Association For Science Education
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    • v.37 no.3
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    • pp.465-481
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    • 2017
  • This study is a research synthesis analyzing how field geology education is conducted in domestic and foreign countries in the recent 20 years and how it reflects the characteristics of authentic geologic inquiry. For these purposes, we first drew five elements of inquiry in field geology (observation, representation, abductive reasoning, spatial thinking, and diachronic thinking) considering the field geologists' actual research method as well as its pedagogical significance in science education. We developed analysis criteria for field geology education. The 53 cases were analyzed based on each element of inquiry in field geology and its sub-elements, and also the tendency of overall elements. As a result, observation and representation were included in most cases, but there appeared less frequency in order of abductive reasoning, spatial thinking, and diachronic thinking. For observation, the ratio of purposive observation and autonomous observation is high. For representation, both visualizing and linguistic type of representation and free-form representation appear frequently. For abductive reasoning, the step of generating hypothesis is often included and the hypothesis tends to be about the geological formatting process. For spatial thinking, type of self-location and perception of the spatial configuration of the structure appear at a high rate. For diachronic thinking, type of stratigraphic sequence is the most frequent. The proportions of the cases including three or more elements of inquiry in field geology consist 87% of the total. We suggested implications for improving geological fieldwork as authentic science inquiry in the future.

Development of a Product Risk Assessment System using Injury Information in Korea Consumer Agency (한국소비자원 위해정보를 활용한 제품 리스크 평가시스템 개발)

  • Suh, Jungdae
    • Journal of Digital Convergence
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.181-190
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    • 2017
  • Recently, safety accidents of daily necessities such as humidifier disinfectant, mobile phones, and infant diapers, have occurred frequently. To protect consumers from these accidents, product safety management is required, and a product risk assessment tool is needed to evaluate the degree of safety of the product. In this paper, we have constructed RAS, which is a system that can evaluate product risk based on injury information of product accident in Korea Consumer Agency. RAS consists of an injury information analysis system for analyzing accident-related information and a risk assessment system for assessing risk using information derived from the system. The Bayesian network - based probabilistic method is applied to reflect the causal relationships that affect product risk in the risk assessment process. We used RAS to evaluate 33 children's products and compared them with the results of EU RAPEX RAG. Subsequent tasks include reducing the subjectivity of the input of the accident impact scale, and linking the above two systems.