• Title/Summary/Keyword: 다기준 의사결정법

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Analysis of Methodologies for Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptation Measures (기후변화 적응대책 우선순위 선정을 위한 방법론 분석)

  • Chae, Yeora;Jo, Hyun-Ju
    • Journal of Environmental Policy
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    • v.12 no.4
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    • pp.23-44
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    • 2013
  • Climate change affects human and natural environment. Many countries, including Korea, are trying to develop climate change adaptation strategies to minimize adverse impacts of climate change. To deal with climate change efficiently, decisions have to be made among many options. The objectives of this paper is to analyzes methodologies for prioritizing climate change adaptation measures. Each methodology has strength and weakness and information requirements are differ. We find multi-criteria analysis is one of useful tools considering current level of understanding on climate change adaptation. We suggest climate change risks(timing, likelihood, intensity of climate change impacts), feasibility of policy (equity, main-streaming, democracy), effectiveness (economic effectiveness, co-benefits, propagation effects) of adaptation measures as main evaluation criteria of prioritization.

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A Study on the Construction Method selecting scheme using Fuzzy Relative Preference Ratio method (퍼지 R.P.R(Relative Preference Ratio)기법을 이용한 건설프로젝트의 공법선정에 관한 연구)

  • Lee Dong-Un;Kim Kyung-Whal
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.5 no.5 s.21
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    • pp.143-150
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    • 2004
  • Nowaday, The tendency of complexity and extension of construction fields increase the need for efficient works managements like a construction management. Consequently, by the introduction of Decision-Making Theories, researches for improving construction field's efficiencies are actively performed. Fuzzy Analytical Hierarchy Process method is invented, so that describes a decision maker's ambiguous linguistic judgment with fuzzy numbers. but most of researches on Fuzzy-AHP use symmetric triangular fuzzy function for estimating each evaluation item with the consequence that exact judgments are impossible. those limits are caused by the point that employed fuzzy ranking methods can not support dissymmetric fuzzy numbers. In this research, we aims to overcome this problem with R.P.R(Relative Preference Ratio) method and suggest improved Fuzzy-AHP method which can use dissymmetric fuzzy triangular numbers.

Sustainable Water Resources Planning to Prevent Streamflow Depletion in an Urban Watershed: 2. Application (도시유역의 건천화 방지를 위한 지속가능한 수자원 계획: 2. 적용)

  • Lee, Kil-Seong;Cung, Eun-Sung;Shin, Mun-Joo;Kim, Young-Oh
    • Journal of Korea Water Resources Association
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    • v.39 no.11 s.172
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    • pp.947-960
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    • 2006
  • This study shows the application of sustainable water resource planning procedure developed in the previous paper. Its goal is to prevent the streamflow depletion in upstream watershed of the Anyangcheon which is a typical urban stream. The pressure-state-response model which is the framework to reflect the sustainability was applied. The composite programming which is the multilevel multicriteria decision making technique is also used in the calculation of state and evaluation index. The feasible alternatives were proposed and hydrologically analyzed by SWAT(Soil and Water Assessment Tool) and the priority ranking of alternatives were proposed based on the results of SWAT.

정보통신연구개발사업의 우선순위 설정과 적정자원 배분 - 다기준의사결정(MCDA) 방법의 적용사례 -

  • 황용수;장진규
    • Proceedings of the Korea Technology Innovation Society Conference
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    • 1999.05a
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    • pp.539-563
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    • 1999
  • 이 논문은 정보통신정책 목표와의 연관성 속에서 정보통신연구개발사업의 우선순위를 설정함과 아울러 비용효과성에 바탕을 둔 적정 자원배분 도출하는데 주안점을 두고 있다. 복합적인 목표를 가진 연구개발사업에 대해 사업부문별 그리고 기술분야별로 객관적이면서도 설득력있는 자원배분지침을 마련하기 위하여 본 연구는 다기준의사결정(MCDA: Multi-criteria Decision Analysis) 방법을 채택하고 있다. 이 방법론에서는 사업의 목표와 우선순위 판단기준 및 사업대안이 계층적으로 연계된 분석구조를 설계하여 사업대안의 우선순위를 먼저 설정하고, 여기에 정수계획법(Integer Programming)을 결합하여 사업의 목표와 연계된 비용-편익 관계(Cost-benefit relationship)를 최적화하는 바탕 위에서 사업대안별 자원배분 시나리오를 제시하게 된다. 이러한 절차로 사업부문별 및 기술분야별로 각각 도출된 8개의 자원배분 시나리오는 자원배분 경향치의 안정성(Stability) 분석과 자금지원의 과부족에 대한 현실적 적합성(Relevance) 분석을 거쳐 최종적으로 하나의 적정 자원배분방안으로 수렴되도록 하였다. 우선순위 설정에 기초가 되는 사업대안의 편익에 대한 자료는 전문가의 정성적 판단을 통해 수집되었는데, 이를 위해 정보통신기술 부문에서 활동 중인 중견 이상의 총 58명의 산학연 전문가를 대상으로 한 조사를 실시하였다. 먼저, 기초기반ㆍ전략기술개발사업, 연구ㆍ기술인력양성사업, 산업응용기술개발사업, 기술기반조성사업 등 4대 사업부문에 대해서는 (ⅰ) 정보통신 기술능력의 축적, (ⅱ) 정보통신산업의 경쟁력 강화, (ⅲ) 정보통신기반의 기술고도화, (ⅳ) 정보화를 위한 기술역량의 제고 등 주요 사업의 편익을 나타내는 4개 기준으로 우선 순위를 판단하였고, 정보통신망기술, 전파 및 RF 기술, 정보처리기술, 반도체 소자/설계 기술 등 13개 기술분야에 대해서는 (ⅰ) 공공정책적 임무에 대한 기여, (ⅱ) 기술자립기반의 확충, (ⅲ) 기술발전성과 기술적 파급효과, (ⅳ) 기술적 산물의 시장잠재력 등 기술분야 연구개발을 통한 편익을 나타내는 4개 기준으로 우선순위를 판단하였다. 우선순위는 사업대안에 대한 가중치로 표시되었고, 적정 자원배분방안은 추정된 총예산 규모에 따라 지원수준에 대한 일정한 제약조건 하에서 비용-편익 관계에 따른 자원의 최적 할당량으로 제시되었다. 본 연구는 총예산 규모의 가변성, 사업 및 기술분야 대안의 분류체계에 대한 공감대 부족, 사업목표의 상호연관성과 우선순위 판단기준의 부분적 중첩성 등 여러 제약요인이 있어 도출된 구체적인 수치보다는 방향성에 더 큰 의미를 부여하는 것이 바람직하다. 그러나, 이러한 연구의 한계에도 불구하고 도출된 우선순위와 적정 자원배분방안은 문제해결의 실행타당성을 감안하여 비교적 객관적이고 균형있는 결과로 판단된다.

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Prediction Modeling through Quantification for Qualitative Variables (질적변수에 대한 계량화를 통한 사면붕괴 예측모형)

  • Na, Jong-Hwa;Yu, Hye-Kyung;Nam, Eun-Mi;Cho, Wan-Sup
    • Journal of Korea Society of Industrial Information Systems
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    • v.14 no.5
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    • pp.281-288
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    • 2009
  • The purpose of this paper is to provide the statistical models for landslide prediction through quantification and AHP methods. Quantification method is a statistical method of providing quantity to qualitative variables by analyzing the observed data. In this paper, we suggest the quantification process based on the results of cannonical correlation analysis. In contrast with the quantification method which is based on given data the AHP(Analytic Hierarchy Process) technique is a kind of method based on questionaire data which is usually taken from professionals. We analyze both the real data(provided from KIGAM) and questionaire data collected from professionals of various related area. We developed two kinds of evaluation table which provide the scores of land slide possibility and the logistic model providing the probability of occurring landslide. Finally we compare the performance and evaluate the stability of the suggested two models.

Comparison of The Importance of Evaluation Items for Landscape Performance and Sustainability Using Analytic Network Process (ANP) (ANP기법을 이용한 조경성능 및 친환경 평가항목 중요도 비교)

  • Ryu, Myeung-Ji;Lee, Hyung-Sook
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Landscape Architecture
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    • v.47 no.6
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    • pp.45-52
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    • 2019
  • As international criteria and standards are required in the fields of design and construction, landscape performance must also be considered not only for the value of the landscape but also for providing quality assurance and sustainability. Given the lack of research on landscape performance, the present research was purposed to analyze the importance of potential assessment categories and items using an analytical network process. A list of assessment items, which is composed of 20 items and 6 categories, was derived through a literature review and a preliminary survey of 11 landscape professionals. An ANP model was established and a survey was conducted among 30 landscape practitioners to determine the weight of priorities considering the criteria. The results of ANP showed that the categories of site selection, preservation and health, and convenience had high priorities while materials had the lowest importance score. For the assessment items, a monitoring plan was the highest importance, followed by cultural/ historic preservation, management cost reduction, and natural ground areas. Despite the difficulties in quantifying landscape achievements, most respondents agreed that there needs to be an evaluation system for landscape performance in order to assure the quality and sustainability of landscape development. More research and discussion are needed to develop an assessment system for landscape performance that is applicable to Korean context.

A Study on Environmental Assessment of Bikeway based on ANP Model for Sustainable Green Road (지속가능 녹색 도로 조성을 위한 ANP 모델 기반 자전거도로 환경 평가 방안)

  • Lee, Ji Hwan;Joo, Yong Jin;Park, Soo Hong
    • Spatial Information Research
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    • v.20 no.6
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    • pp.33-43
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    • 2012
  • As part of recent sustainable transport, bike has come into the spotlight as a green transport at close range to link between walking and public transit and also alterative to solve problems of existing vehicle travel. Some arguments on promotion of using bicycles have already been made in Europe, the U.S and other developed countries. To be sure, much has been written extensively in description of utilization of bike oriented by supplier, for examples, Level of Service with bike path, infrastructure such as bicycle racks and lounge etc. Therefore, our study has been differentiated in development of new evaluation model focused on level of bike user's satisfaction, comprehensively considering suitability for bikeway installation, connectivity of the public transportation system and stability in Incheon City. ANP(Analytic Network Process) analysis which is able to allow consideration of the interdependence of criteria has been hired due to multi-collinearity instead of AHP used in multi-criteria decision analysis. Last but not least, we drew bike route on a case-by-case for maintenance and improvement of its facility in Namdong-gu and Bupyeong-gu. To conclude, suggested finding has dem onstrated the validity of evaluation scheme for bikeways which is appropriate for type and purpose and ultimately this can be used to establish policy decision making for improvement of bikeway.

A Study on Improvement of throughput-linked Port Development (Trigger Rule) System (물동량 연동 항만개발제도 개선방안 연구)

  • LEE, Su-Young;LEE, Na-Young
    • Journal of Korea Port Economic Association
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    • v.39 no.3
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    • pp.179-189
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    • 2023
  • Korea's port development adjusts the completion time and size of port facilities according to the future port throughput. The current port development system, which is referred to as "throughput-linked port development (Trigger Rule)", has received positive evaluation for efficiently executing the limited port development budget. Recently concerns have been growing over deteriorating service levels in port facilities in Korea due to accelerated aging of terminal facilities. However, the current port development system does not possess any standard for assessing the level of service and utilizing development indicators. The purpose of this paper is to calculate the Port Service Index (PSI) by selecting indicators to measure the Level of Service (LOS) of ports and deriving weights between the indicators, so that the current "throughput-linked port development (Trigger Rule)" can be linked with the level of service. Based on the result of analysis on a variety of preceding studies, the ship waiting rate, berth productivity, ship turnaround time and ship productivity were selected as four indicators to constitute the Port Service Index. The AHP and entropy methodologies were used to derive weights for each of four indicators which were later combined to calculate the comprehensive weight. The calculation formula of the Port Service Index (PSI) was derived by using the aggregated weights of each indicator, based on which the LOS of domestic container and bulk terminals were evaluated and this measurement result was divided into 6 classes to define each LOS. This paper contributes to draw the improvement measures for port development system that are able to connect the quantitative indicator of throughput, as well as a qualitative indicator of the level of "service".

Selection of Performance of Bias Correction using TOPSIS method (TOPSIS 방법을 이용한 편의 보정 방법 선정)

  • Song, Young Hoon;Chung, Eun Sung
    • Proceedings of the Korea Water Resources Association Conference
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    • 2019.05a
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    • pp.306-306
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    • 2019
  • 전지구적 기온상승으로 인해 미래기후의 관한 연구가 중요시 되고 있다. 위와 같은 현상으로 인하여 다양한 기후변화 연구가 진행되고 있다. 미래기후 연구에는 GCM (General Circulation Model) 모의 결과가 이용된다. 격자 자료로 구성된 GCM은 연구 지점으로 지역적 상세화와 연구지역의 관측자료 사이의 편이 보정(bias correction)이 필수적이다. 위와 같은 근거로 편이 보정 방법의 선택은 매우 중요하며 편의 보정의 방법에 따라서 결과가 다르게 도출될 수 있다. 또한 국내외 연구에서는 다양한 상세화 기법과 편이 보정 기법을 분석 및 평가하는 연구가 진행되고 있으며, 편의 기법 중 대표적인 기법인 Quantile mapping과 Random Forest 기법이 있다. Quantile mapping 기법은 GCM의 과거 모의 데이터와의 편이 보정에 있어서 우수하게 나타났으나, GCM 데이터의 미래 예측 기간(2010년~2018년)까지의 데이터에서는 극한 강수를 정량적으로 분석 가능한 Random Forest 기법이 편이 보정 과정에서 성능이 우수할 것으로 판단된다. 본 연구에서는 우리나라 21개 관측소를 기준으로 총 4개의 GCM(GISS, CSIRO, CCSM4,MIROC5)의 과거 기간 자료(1970년~2005년)를 실제 관측소에서 관측된 강수량을 편의 보정하는 방법에 있어서 편의 보정 기법의 성능을 비교한 결과와 GCM 미래 예측 기간 자료(2010년~2018년)에서의 편의 보정 기법의 성능 결과를 비교하였다. 이를 토대로 편이 보정 기법의 결과를 6개의 평가지수를 이용하여 정량적으로 분석하였으며, 다기준의사결정기법인 TOPSIS(Technique for Order of Preference by Similarity to Ideal Solution)를 이용하여 편이 보정기법들의 성능에 있어서 우선순위를 선정하였다. 본 연구에서 편이 보정 방법으로 Quantile mapping 방법을 사용했으며, Quantile mapping의 기법으로는 비모수 변환법(non-parametric transformation)과 분포기반 변환법(distribution derived transformation)이 사용되었다. 또한 머신러닝 방법 중 하나인 Random Forest 방법을 동시에 사용하여 결과를 비교하였다. 또한 GCM 자료가 격자식으로 제공하고 있기 때문에 관측소 강수량도 공간적으로 환산하여야 하는데, 본 연구에서는 역거리 가중치법(inverse distance weighting, IDW) 방법을 이용하였다.

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Muti-Objective Design Optimization of Self-Compacting Concrete using CCD Experimental Design and Weighted Multiple Objectives Considering Cost-Effectiveness (비용효율을 고려한 자기 충전형 콘크리트의 CCD 실험설계법 및 가중 다목적성 기반 다목적설계최적화(MODO))

  • Do, Jeongyun
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.24 no.3
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    • pp.26-38
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    • 2020
  • Mixture design of self-compacting concrete is a typical multi-criteria decision making problem and conventional mixture designs are based on the low level engineering method like trials and errors through iteration method to satisfy the various requirements. This study concerns with performing the straightforward multiobjective design optimization of economic SCC mixture considering relative importances of the various requirements and cost-effectives of SCC. Total five requirements of 28day compressive strength, filling ability, segregation stability, material cost and mass were taken into consideration to prepare the objective function to be formulated in form of the weighted-multiobjective mixture design optimization problem. Economic SCC mixture computational design can be given in a rational way which considering material costs and the relative importances of the requiremets and from the result of this study it is expected that the development of SCC mixtue computational design and the consequent univeral concrete material design optimization methodology can be advanced.