• Title/Summary/Keyword: 경제적 가치평가 방법론

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국면전환 확산모형을 통한 정보통신산업 발전과정의 특성 국제비교

  • Gu, Jae-Beom;Lee, Jeong-Dong;Jeong, Jong-Uk
    • Proceedings of the Technology Innovation Conference
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    • 2005.02a
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    • pp.268-286
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    • 2005
  • 본 연구에서는 OECD 주요 10개국을 대상으로 국가별 정보통신산업의 성장 추이를 각각 분석하고 국별 특성을 비교하는데 목적이 있다. 이를 바탕으로 각국의 정보통신산업이 경기순환 또는 단계별 발전 속성을 지니고 있는지를 파악하고 국가별 공통점과 특이점을 분석하고자 하였다. 방법론적으로 OECD 국가들의 정보통신산업 GDP 추이 및 성장률의 움직임을 국면전환 (regime change) 확산과정으로 묘사함으로써 각 국가별 정보통신산업 발전 양상의 특징 및 국면전환 시점 등을 포착해 내고자 하였다 추세를 갖는 대표적 확산과정인 GBM 모형과 평균회귀 성향을 갖는 대표적 확산과정인 Vasicek 모형에 각각 마코프 국면전환을 도입하여 국가별 정보통신산업 GDP 및 GDP 성장률의 추이에 있어 국면 전환 여부와 독특한 발전 특성을 비교 분석하였다. 실증분석 결과 정보통신산업 GDP의 성장률과 변동성 사이에는 높은 상관관계가 있었으며, 한국, 멕시코 등은 고성장, 고변동성을, 미국, 프랑스, 일본 등은 저성장, 저변동성의 특성을 보이는 것으로 나타났다 또한 한국의 경우 유일하게 성장률과 변동성 모두 국면전환이 일어나는 국가로 나타났다. 장기평균 성장률의 특성에 따라 분류한 결과, 한국, 일본, 미국, 멕시코, 뉴질랜드는 고성장에서 저성장으로의 국면전환, 핀란드와 덴마크는 경기 순환적 국면전환, 노르웨이, 프랑스, 캐나다는 단일 국면으로 분류할 수 있었다. 특히 한국의 경우 평균회귀 속도와 변동성이 타 국가에 비해 높은 특성을 보여주었다. 본 연구는 정보통신산업을 미시적 분석이나 세부 항목별 정량적 분석을 통해서가 아니라 산업의 발전 속성 및 경기 순환 등의 관점에서 분석함으로써 정보통신산업 정책의 수립 및 집행을 거시적 안목 하에 정립할 수 있게 한다는 데 의의를 가진다. 또한 경제변수를 묘사하는데 있어 국면전환 확산과정을 사용함으로써 향후 실물옵션 등을 통한 기술 및 무형자산의 가치평가에 있어 기초자산의 움직임을 보다 정확히 포착해 낼 수 있는 프로세스를 제공하였다는데 또 다른 의의를 갖는다고 하겠다.

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The feasibility analysis of restoring the ecological integrity of the Namyang and Yugu streams (생태하천 복원사업의 경제적 편익 분석 - 남양천 및 유구천을 중심으로 -)

  • Lim, Seul-Ye;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.31 no.4
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    • pp.25-45
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    • 2015
  • The government has implemented the projects of restoring the ecological integrity of streams to improve its water quality and provide resting places with local residents. Because the projects require huge public investments, their economic feasibility should be investigated through ex-post examination of their benefits. This study attempts to analyze the economic feasibility of restoring the ecological integrity using specific cases of Namyang stream in Hwaseong, Gyeonggi and Yugu stream in Gongju, Chungnam. The contingent valuation (CV) method is employed to measure the benefits. To this end, a professional polling firm conducted two CV surveys of 210 and 209 households for Hwaseong and Gongju, respectively. The willingness to pay (WTP) model used in the study is based on utility difference approach and the single-bounded dichotomous choice spike model. The results reveal that the WTP for restoring ecological integrity of the Namyang and Yugu streams are estimated to be 3,140 and 10,121 won per household per year. Interestingly, the latter is about three times greater than the former. The quantitative information can be used in economic feasibility analysis of the projects of restoring the ecological integrity of the Namyang and Yugu streams.

A Study on the Proxy Variable of Growth Opportunities (성장기회의 대용변수 개발에 관한 연구: 시기별, 산업별 성장기회가치의 추정을 중심으로)

  • Lee, Won-Heum
    • The Korean Journal of Financial Management
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.29-58
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    • 2007
  • We develop a model to estimate the value of growth opportunities, which is based on the seminal papers of M&M(1961, 1963) and Lee(2006). Making use of the estimation model, we estimate a new proxy variable of the growth opportunities, other than the usual proxy variables such as quasi Tobin's Q, MBR, and so on. The new proxy variable of growth opportunities can represent a necessary condition to identify whether the increase in new investments are successful or not. The empirical findings on the growth opportunities during the IMF currency crisis period and the post-IMF period are as follows; First, the overall success rate of new investments is as low as 50%, that means only half of the listed firms were increasing new investments when they had the growth opportunities. Second, during the crisis, one third of the listed firms were experiencing negative growth opportunities. However, during the post-IMF period, the growth opportunities on new investments were turned to be positive due to the turnaround efforts of listed firms. Third, the value of intangible assets, which are resulting from the investment of R&D and human capital, are becoming more important than ever. It seems to be true that larger portions of the value of growth opportunities are coming from the intangible assets, not from the increases in new investments of the physical assets.

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On the evolutionary technological trajectory using patent citation network and dynamic technology tree analysis: a case study of HVDC(High Voltage DC transmission system (특허 인용 네트워크와 동적 기술트리 분석을 활용한 기술 진화 경로 연구: 초고압 직류송전 시스템 사례)

  • Kim, Jun-Mo;Shin, Juneseuk
    • Journal of Technology Innovation
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    • v.22 no.4
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    • pp.117-143
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    • 2014
  • Tracing an evolutionary technological trajectory in the macroscopic viewpoint is useful for technology policy, but not for corporate technology and intellectual property strategy. Tackling this issue, recent bibliometric studies using patents and papers have made efforts to identify more specific and detailed technological trajectory. However, these studies cannot go beyond simple description of the past trajectory. Also, identification of technology fusion and evolution relies on experts judgments. We suggest a way of identifying microscopic evolutionary technological trajectories by combining patent citation network analysis with dynamic technology tree. Also, using new indicators of generality, diversity and novelty, we can detect key technologies that can be a starting point of next generation technology and derivative technology. HVDC(High Voltage DC transmission) system technology is exemplified.

Building IT ROI Assessment System for Estimating the Monetary Value of Non-financial Benefits (비재무적인 효과의 화폐가치화를 위한 IT ROI 평가 시스템 구축)

  • Kim, Young-Woon;Chong, Ki-Won
    • The KIPS Transactions:PartD
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    • v.14D no.1 s.111
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    • pp.107-120
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    • 2007
  • When it tomes to IT investment, it's a challenge for the management to make the right decision. Unlike investment in other business area, it's hard to measure direct cost vs. effect in IT business. To validate the investment in IT, it is required to establish objective assessment system that both provider and beneficiary of information can accept, and it is also required to suggest an assessment tool of fixed quantity that includes measuring standards and method for the economic effect of new investment. This study, therefore, has developed IT ROI Methodology that can prove investment validity by accepting the strong points of the existing models while complementing their weak points and by analyzing IT Investment and IT Efforts. It also has built an IT ROI System that reflects the methodology which is applied to 21 companies of 5 business categories. This system is designed to provide effective and objective decision-making tool for IT investment by proving what positive impacts IT could have on business activities.

Effects of CSV Activities on Purchasing Intention : on the Perspectives of Value Chain (공유가치창출(CSV)활동이 구매의도에 미치는 영향 : 가치사슬 관점)

  • Weon, Jong-Ha;Jung, Dae-Hyu
    • Management & Information Systems Review
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    • v.36 no.4
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    • pp.1-19
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    • 2017
  • These days, the concept of creating shared value is drawn keen attentions to. This interest comes out of the expectation that Creating Shared Value(CSV) can offer an answer to some social issues by creating societal and economic values on the top of the achievements that existing Corporate Social Responsibility(CSR) has made. However, it is difficult to make a clear distinction between the achievements that the activities of CSR and CSV have made. In this regard, developing a methodology to make an actual proof analysis on the accomplishments of CSV and to verify customer's awareness of and attitude towards the CSV is necessarily required. A company needs to gain a competitive advantage in the marketplace as well as resolve a social issue by innovating value chain. The research has verified the cause and effect relationship between the CSV from the point of view of value chain and the purchase intention aroused by its economic, societal and cultural values through the company image and credibility with actual proof analysis and come up with following results. First, a societal and cultural value resulted in giving positive impact on a company's image, which implies that CSV activities can be the thin end of the wedge through which customers have a good image of the company involved in CSV. Second, a societal value makes a positive influence on the credibility of a company. In this regard, CSV should be recognized not just as a thing that generates a cost, but a way to win-win as well as future development. Third and last, the research results show that both company image and credibility influence on purchase intention. Considering that CSV generates a positive evaluation on a company that will ultimately cause continuous profit-making, the company's ultimate goal of activities, it should be approached from the perspective of making a mid-and-long term strategy.

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A Visual Methods Approach to the Formation of Class Identity and Practices of Everyday Life -A Case Study on Youths of 'Gangbuk' ('강북' 청소년들의 일상생활 문화와 계급 정체성 형성에 대한 영상방법론적 연구)

  • Lee, Sangkyu;Hong, Seok-Kyeong
    • Korean journal of communication and information
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    • v.68
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    • pp.87-129
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    • 2014
  • This paper addresses questions on the marginalized position of youths of 'Gangbuk' and elucidates how they construct their own identities in the individual trajectories of everyday life. Three years of research, including participatory observation and in-depth interviews, was conducted on nine students from Northeastern district of Seoul. The research also adopted reflexive photography interview method in order to encourage the informants to actively participate in the research. The result illustrates the diversity of the everyday life experiences. More 'marginalized' youths from middle to lower class background had to endure the burdens of their daily lives without programs. Still, they were elaborating their own cultural taste and positive self-narratives at the periphery of the mainstream culture, by practicing music, online community activities and bodily performances. They had to negotiate the crucial turn of life after their graduation, when they entered into the harsh social competition with limited resources. We observed how they gradually assimilate the identity of the 'working youth', some of them developing a positive valorization of their experiences labor. Findings underline the active role of the cultural practices in the making of class identity of the youth and the necessity of researches situating the making of class identity and the reproduction of the class for the youth in the larger geography of class culture in the contemporary Korean society. Lastly, it is argued that these youths should not be considered as determined subjects, who reproduce already established class identities, but as active agents of their lives who deserve more respects and attentions from the society.

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Measurement of the Public Value of Conserving Green Turtles (푸른바다거북 보전의 공익적 가치 추정)

  • Lim, Seul-Ye;Kim, Min-Seop;Cho, In-Young;Lee, Chang-Su;Kwon, Suk-Jae;Yoo, Seung-Hoon
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Marine Environment & Safety
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.177-186
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    • 2017
  • This paper attempts to quantitatively assess the public value that has been assigned to this government plan by employing a contingent valuation technique. Data gathering performed that professional research firm administrated a face-to-face national survey of 1,000 randomly-selected households. A one-and-one-half-bound model was adopted to elicit willingness to pay (WTP) responses, and the payment vehicle used was income tax. The WTP model used in this study is based on a utility difference approach and the spike model. The results showed that the public value of conserving green turtles was estimated to be 2,570 Korean Won per household over the next 10 years as of 2016, statistically significant at the 1% level. Expanding the values considered to include the national population gives a public value of 48.7 billion Korean Won. Thus, the public value of rescuing, rehabilitating, and releasing green turtles that have been caught by fishermen, collided with fishing boats, and died in nets through the government program is not small.

A Monte-Carlo Least Squares Approach for CO2 Abatement Investment Options Analysis with Linearly Non-Separable Profits of Power Plants (분리불가 이윤함수를 가진 발전사의 온실가스 감축투자 옵션 연구: 몬테카를로 최소자승법)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.24 no.4
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    • pp.607-627
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    • 2015
  • As observed and experienced in EU ETS, allowance price volatility is one of major concerns in decision making process for $CO_2$ abatement investment. The problem of linearly non-separable profits functions could emerge when one power company holds several power plants with different technology specifications. Under this circumstance, conventional analytical solution for investment option is no longer available, thereby calling for the development of numerical analysis. This paper attempts to develop a Monte-Carlo least squares model to analyze investment options for power companies under emission trading scheme regulations. Stochastic allowance price is considered, and simulation is performed to verify model performance.

Environmental Improvement Effect and Social Benefit of Environmental Impact Assessment: Focusing on Thermal Power Plant (환경영향평가를 통한 화력발전소의 환경개선 효과와 사회적 편익)

  • Kang, Eugene;Kim, Yumi;Moon, Nankyoung
    • Journal of Environmental Impact Assessment
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.322-333
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    • 2018
  • This study was carried out to measure atmospheric environmental improvement effect and estimate its social benefit of thermal power plants through Environmental Impact Assessment (EIA) for quantitative analysis about operational performances of EIA. In this study, 'EIA outcome' is defined as whether or not the system is implemented, therefore, environmental standard to be followed by each project and consultation contents were compared. In total 60 cases of thermal power plant construction projects that have been consulted over the past 10 years since 2010, major air pollutants have been significantly reduced after the implementation of EIA. The $PM_{10}$ reduced annual 3,745 tons, $NO_2$ by 74,569 tons, and $SO_2$ by 37,647 tons, which were estimated at approximately 240 billion won~5 trillion 967 billion won per year for social benefit. This means the total cost of power plant operations will be cut to 7 trillion 192 billion won~178 trillion 994 billion won over a 30-year period. The reduced amount of air pollutants emitted by energy generation facilities across the country is worth 50%, and its economic value is larger than the annual Current Health Expenditure in Korea. This is meant by the fact that all projects are subject to uniform criteria under the existing relevant regulation, but that each project plans are optimized according to the characteristics of target areas and projects through the process of EIA.