• Title/Summary/Keyword: utility curve

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Utility of Nuclear Morphometry in Effusion Cytology

  • Ambroise, Marie Moses;Jothilingam, Prabhavati;Ramdas, Anita
    • Asian Pacific Journal of Cancer Prevention
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    • v.15 no.16
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    • pp.6919-6922
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    • 2014
  • Background: The cytological analysis of serous effusions is a common investigation and yields important diagnostic information. However, the distinction of reactive mesothelial cells from malignant cells can sometimes be difficult for the cytopathologist. Hence cost-effective ancillary methods are essential to enhance the accuracy of cytological diagnosis. The aim of this study was to examine the utility of nuclear morphometry in differentiating reactive mesothelial cells from malignant cells in effusion smears. Materials and Methods: Sixty effusion smears consisting of 30 effusions cytologically classified as malignant (adenocarcinomas) and 30 benign effusions showing reactive mesothelial cells were included in the study. ImageJ was used to measure the nuclear area, perimeter, maximal feret diameter, minimal feret diameter and the circularity. A total of ten representative cells were studied in each case. Results: Significant differences were found between benign and malignant effusions for the nuclear area, perimeter, maximal feret diameter and minimal feret diameter. No significant difference was found for circularity, a shape descriptor. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis revealed that nuclear area, perimeter, maximal feret diameter, and minimal feret diameter are helpful in discriminating benign and malignant effusions. Conclusions: Computerised nuclear morphometry is a helpful ancillary technique to distinguish benign and malignant effusions. ImageJ is an excellent cost effective tool with potential diagnostic utility in effusion cytology.

Modeling the Relationship between Expected Gain and Expected Value

  • Won, Eugene J.S.
    • Asia Marketing Journal
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    • v.18 no.3
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    • pp.47-63
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    • 2016
  • Rational choice theory holds that the alternative with largest expected utility in the choice set should always be chosen. However, it is often observed that an alternative with the largest expected utility is not always chosen while the choice task itself being avoided. Such a choice phenomenon cannot be explained by the traditional expected utility maximization principle. The current study posits shows that such a phenomenon can be attributed to the gap between the expected perceived gain (or loss) and the expected perceived value. This study mathematically analyses the relationship between the expectation of an alternative's gains or losses over the reference point and its expected value, when the perceived gains or losses follow continuous probability distributions. The proposed expected value (EV) function can explain the effects of loss aversion and uncertainty on the evaluation of an alternative based on the prospect theory value function. The proposed function reveals why the expected gain of an alternative should exceed some positive threshold in order for the alternative to be chosen. The model also explains why none of the two equally or similarly attractive options is chosen when they are presented together, but either of them is chosen when presented alone. The EV function and EG-EV curve can extract and visualize the core tenets of the prospect theory more clearly than the value function itself.

Study on Adsoption Characteristics of Tharonil on Activated Carbon Fixed Bed (활성탄 고정층에 대한 Tharonil의 흡착특성에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Jong-Jip;Yu, Yong-Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Society of Safety
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    • v.17 no.1
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    • pp.54-60
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    • 2002
  • To obtain the breakthrough characteristics for the design of fixed bed adsorption plant, adsorption experiment on granular activated carbon was performed with tharonil in the fixed bed. The pore diffusivity and surface diffusivity of tharonil estimated by the concentration-time curve and adsorption isotherm were $D_s=2.825{\times}10^{-9}cm^2/s,\;D_p=1.26{\times}10^{-5}cm^2/s$, respectively. From comparison of the pore diffusivity and surface diffusivity, it was found that surface diffusion was controlling step for intrapaticle diffusion. The breakthrough curve predicted by constant pattern-linear driving force model were shown to agree with the experimental results. The surface diffusivity and film mass transfer coefficient had no effect on the theoretical breakthrough curve but the adsorption isotherm had fairly influence on it. Appearance time of breakthrough curve is faster with the increase flow rate and inflow concentration of liquid. The utility of granular activated carbon is enhanced with the increase of bed height and with the decrease of inflow rate.

Partial AUC using the sensitivity and specificity lines (민감도와 특이도 직선을 이용한 부분 AUC)

  • Hong, Chong Sun;Jang, Dong Hwan
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.33 no.5
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    • pp.541-553
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    • 2020
  • The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve is expressed as both sensitivity and specificity; in addition, some optimal thresholds using the ROC curve are also represented with both sensitivity and specificity. In addition to the sensitivity and specificity, the expected usefulness function is considered as disease prevalence and usefulness. In particular, partial the area under the ROC curve (AUC) on a certain range should be compared when the AUCs of the crossing ROC curves have similar values. In this study, partial AUCs representing high sensitivity and specificity are proposed by using sensitivity and specificity lines, respectively. Assume various distribution functions with ROC curves that are crossing and AUCs that have the same value. We propose a method to improve the discriminant power of the classification models while comparing the partial AUCs obtained using sensitivity and specificity lines.

Bearingless Rotor Hub Composite Component Fatigue Analysis of Utility Helicopter to perform the Basic Mission (기본임무를 수행하는 기동헬기에 적용될 무베어링 허브 복합재 구성품 피로수명 해석)

  • Kim, Taejoo;Kee, Youngjoong;Kim, Deog-kwan;Kim, Seung-ho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering Conference
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    • 2013.04a
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    • pp.383-389
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    • 2013
  • Rotor system is a very important part which produces lift, thrust and control force in helicopter. Component of rotor system must endure various flight load for the required life. In helicopter rotor system, bearingless rotor system is the highest technology rotor system compare with articulated and hingeless rotor system. Baaringless rotor system is not include mechanical flap hinge, lag hinge and pitch bearing. Bearingless rotor component flexbeam which made by composite material has conduct hinge and bearing role instead of mechanical flap hinge, lag hinge and pitch bearing. These characteristics has less part number and lass weight than others. In this paper, conduct safe life analysis of bearingless composite component flexbeam and torque tube applying to utility helicopter load condition.

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Least Cost Generation Expansion Planning Methodology and Generation Cost (전원개발계획(電源開發計劃)에서의 비용최소화(費用最小化)와 발전원가(發電原價))

  • Chung, Do-Young;Park, Kyung-Suh;Park, Jong-Bai
    • Proceedings of the KIEE Conference
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    • 1992.07a
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    • pp.106-109
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    • 1992
  • This paper Introduces the concept of the generation cost of generating utilities and its calculation methods. Also, the economic evaluation method using generation cost which is called as a screening curve method will be presented along with the benefits and disadvantages of this concept. Next, the least-cost electric utility planning techniques which is used very widely in many countries will be Introduced In comparison with screening curve method. In this aspects, the optimal dynamic mix can be determined as a result. By comparing these two concepts, we will get the concrete concept why the economic evaluation method using generation cost can not be used for the future generation expansion planning.

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A study on the optimal integration of heat exchanger network and heat system (열교환기망과 열시스템과의 최적 합성에 관한 연구)

  • 안재성;이재효;김덕호
    • Korean Journal of Air-Conditioning and Refrigeration Engineering
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    • v.11 no.6
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    • pp.799-807
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    • 1999
  • Exergy analysis is widely used in energy system analysis for more efficient energy use. Pinch technology has focused on chemical plants, such as pure heat exchanger networks. In this study, the objective is to seek more effective means with integrating above two methods. In order to demonstrate effective result and to prove possibility for pinch analysis, the steam turbine is adopted to make heat recovery in the heat exchanger network. Three cases are introduced using the integration of exergy and pinch analysis. The standard steam turbine utility is the base case, and adding the heat pump to this system is the second case. The third case is the system with the heat pump and minimum utilities. The results show that the output power of steam turbine in the case(2) and case(3) are increased up to 42% and 46%, respectively, compared with that of base case.

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The Method for Estimating the Inverse Demand Curve of Cournot Model in Electricity Market (전력시장 적용을 위한 쿠르노 모델에서의 역수요함수 추정 방법 제안)

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Hur Jin;Kim Tae-Hyun;Moon Young-Hwan;Lee Keun-Dae;Chung Koo-Hyung;Kim Balho H.
    • The Transactions of the Korean Institute of Electrical Engineers A
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    • v.54 no.2
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    • pp.79-87
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    • 2005
  • At present Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in oligopoly market. But there exist several problems to apply this model to electricity market. The representative one is to obtain the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to accomplish maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears on the long-term basis through the statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

A Proposal for Inverse Demand Curve Production of Cournot Model for Application to the Electricity Market

  • Kang Dong-Joo;Oh Tae-Kyoo;Chung Koohyung;Kim Balho H.
    • KIEE International Transactions on Power Engineering
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    • v.5A no.4
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    • pp.403-411
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    • 2005
  • At present, the Cournot model is one of the most commonly used theories to analyze the gaming situation in an oligopoly type market. However, several problems exist in the successful application of this model to the electricity market. The representative one is obtaining the inverse demand curve able to be induced from the relationship between market price and demand response. In the Cournot model, each player offers their generation quantity to obtain maximum profit, which is accomplished by reducing their quantity compared with available total capacity. As stated above, to obtain the probable Cournot equilibrium to reflect the real market situation, we have to induce the correct demand function first of all. Usually the correlation between price and demand appears over the long-term through statistical data analysis (for example, regression analysis) or by investigating consumer utility functions of several consumer groups classified as residential, industrial, and commercial. However, the elasticity has a tendency to change continuously according to the total market demand size or the level of market price. Therefore it should be updated as the trading period passes by. In this paper we propose a method for inducing and updating this price elasticity of demand function for more realistic market equilibrium.

Determining the adjusting bias in reactor pressure vessel embrittlement trend curve using Bayesian multilevel modelling

  • Gyeong-Geun Lee;Bong-Sang Lee;Min-Chul Kim;Jong-Min Kim
    • Nuclear Engineering and Technology
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    • v.55 no.8
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    • pp.2844-2853
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    • 2023
  • A sophisticated Bayesian multilevel model for estimating group bias was developed to improve the utility of the ASTM E900-15 embrittlement trend curve (ETC) to assess the conditions of nuclear power plants (NPPs). For multilevel model development, the Baseline 22 surveillance dataset was basically classified into groups based on the NPP name, product form, and notch orientation. By including the notch direction in the grouping criteria, the developed model could account for TTS differences among NPP groups with different notch orientations, which have not been considered in previous ETCs. The parameters of the multilevel model and biases of the NPP groups were calculated using the Markov Chain Monte Carlo method. As the number of data points within a group increased, the group bias approached the mean residual, resulting in reduced credible intervals of the mean, and vice versa. Even when the number of surveillance test data points was less than three, the multilevel model could estimate appropriate biases without overfitting. The model also allowed for a quantitative estimate of the changes in the bias and prediction interval that occurred as a result of adding more surveillance test data. The biases estimated through the multilevel model significantly improved the performance of E900-15.