• 제목/요약/키워드: stochastic simulation.

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Tracking Filter Design for a Maneuvering target Using Jump Processes

  • Lim, Sang-Seok
    • Journal of Electrical Engineering and information Science
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    • 제3권3호
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    • pp.373-384
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    • 1998
  • This paper presents a maneuvering target model with the maneuver dynamics modeled as a jump process of Poisson-type. The jump process represents the deterministic maneuver(or pilot commands) and is described by a stochastic differential equation driven by a Poisson process taking values a set of discrete states. Employing the new maneuver model along with the noisy observations described by linear difference equations, the author has developed a new linear, recursive, unbiased minimum variance filter, which is structurally simple, computationally efficient, and hence real-time implementable. Futhermore, the proposed filter does not involve a computationally burdensome technique to compute the filter gains and corresponding covariance matrices and still be able to track effectively a fast maneuvering target. The performance of the proposed filter is assessed through the numerical results generated from the Monte-Carlo simulation.

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Markov State Model을 이용한 복합화력 발전설비의 최적의 유지보수계획 수립 (Application Markov State Model for the RCM of Combustion turbine Generating Unit)

  • 신준석;이승혁;김진오
    • 대한전기학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한전기학회 2006년도 추계학술대회 논문집 전력기술부문
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    • pp.357-359
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    • 2006
  • Traditional time based preventive maintenance is used to constant maintenance interval for equipment life. In order to consider economic aspect for time based preventive maintenance, preventive maintenance is scheduled by RCM(Reliability-Centered Maintenance) evaluation. So, Markov state model is utilized considering stochastic state in RCM. In this paper, a Markov state model which can be used for scheduling and optimization of maintenance is presented. The deterioration process of system condition is modeled by a Markov model. In case study, simulation results about RCM are used to the real historical data of combustion turbine generating units in Korean power systems.

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복잡한 통신 시스템의 성능분석을 위한 유한소스 대기 모형 (Finite Source Queueing Models for Analysis of Complex Communication Systems)

  • Che-Soong Kim
    • 산업경영시스템학회지
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    • 제26권2호
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    • pp.62-67
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    • 2003
  • This paper deals with a First-Come, First-Served queueing model to analyze the behavior of heterogeneous finite source system with a single server Each sources and the processor are assumed to operate in independently Markovian environments, respectively. Each request is characterized by its own exponentially distributed source and service time with parameter depending on the state of the corresponding environment, that is, the arrival and service rates are subject to random fluctuations. Our aim is to get the usual stationary performance measures of the system, such as, utilizations, mean number of requests staying at the server, mean queue lengths, average waiting and sojourn times. In the case of fast arrivals or fast service asymptotic methods can be applied. In the intermediate situations stochastic simulation Is used. As applications of this model some problems in the field of telecommunications are treated.

LONG-TERM STREAMFLOW SENSITIVITY TO RAINFALL VARIABILITY UNDER IPCC SRES CLIMATE CHANGE SCENARIO

  • Kang, Boo-sik;Jorge a. ramirez, Jorge-A.-Ramirez
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • 제5권2호
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    • pp.81-99
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    • 2004
  • Long term streamflow regime under virtual climate change scenario was examined. Rainfall forecast simulation of the Canadian Global Coupled Model (CGCM2) of the Canadian Climate Center for modeling and analysis for the IPCC SRES B2 scenario was used for analysis. The B2 scenario envisions slower population growth (10.4 billion by 2010) with a more rapidly evolving economy and more emphasis on environmental protection. The relatively large scale of GCM hinders the accurate computation of the important streamflow characteristics such as the peak flow rate and lag time, etc. The GCM rainfall with more than 100km scale was downscaled to 2km-scale using the space-time stochastic random cascade model. The HEC-HMS was used for distributed hydrologic model which can take the grid rainfall as input data. The result illustrates that the annual variation of the total runoff and the peak flow can be much greater than rainfall variation, which means actual impact of rainfall variation for the available water resources can be much greater than the extent of the rainfall variation.

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An Adaptive Recommendation System for Personalized Stock Trading Advice Using Artificial Neural Networks

  • Kaensar, Chayaporn;Chalidabhongse, Thanarat
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2005년도 ICCAS
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    • pp.931-934
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    • 2005
  • This paper describes an adaptive recommendation system that provides real-time personalized trading advice to the investors based on their profiles and trading information environment. A proposed system integrates Stochastic technical analysis and artificial neural network that incorporates an adaptive user modeling. The user model is constructed and updated based on initial user profile and recorded user interactions with the system. The information presented to each individual user is also tailor-made to fit the user's behavior and preference. A system prototype was implemented in JAVA. Experiments used to evaluate the system's performance were done on both human subjects and synthetic users. The results show our proposed system is able to rapidly learn to provide appropriate advice to different types of users.

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칼만-버쉬 필터 이론 기반 미분 신경회로망 학습 (Learning of Differential Neural Networks Based on Kalman-Bucy Filter Theory)

  • 조현철;김관형
    • 제어로봇시스템학회논문지
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    • 제17권8호
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    • pp.777-782
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    • 2011
  • Neural network technique is widely employed in the fields of signal processing, control systems, pattern recognition, etc. Learning of neural networks is an important procedure to accomplish dynamic system modeling. This paper presents a novel learning approach for differential neural network models based on the Kalman-Bucy filter theory. We construct an augmented state vector including original neural state and parameter vectors and derive a state estimation rule avoiding gradient function terms which involve to the conventional neural learning methods such as a back-propagation approach. We carry out numerical simulation to evaluate the proposed learning approach in nonlinear system modeling. By comparing to the well-known back-propagation approach and Kalman-Bucy filtering, its superiority is additionally proved under stochastic system environments.

The structure of equalizers based on quantized sample space with non-linear MMSE

  • Kong, Hyung-Yun
    • 한국통신학회논문지
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    • 제24권6A호
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    • pp.881-887
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    • 1999
  • In this paper, were introduce two types of equalizers, called equalizer-a and equalizer-b, applying to wireless communications having unknown channel characteristics. The equalizer-a, which has the single sample detector with equalizer system, is developed while the equalizer-b has the partition detectors with the same system used in equalizer-a. The methodologiy we adopt for designing the equalizers is that the sample space is partitioned into finite number of regions by using quantiles, which are estimated by robbins-monro stochastic approximation (RMSA) algorithm, and the coefficients of equalizers are calculated based on nonlinear minimum mean, square error (MMSE) algorithm. Through the computer simulation, the equalizers show much better performance in equiprobably partitioned sample subspaces of observations than the single sample detector and the detector, which has the conventional equalizer, in unquantized observation space under various noise environments.

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등방성 난류에서 침강하는 무거운 입자의 거동 (On behavior of settling heavy particles in isotropic turbulence)

  • 정재달;여경민;이창훈
    • 유체기계공업학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 유체기계공업학회 2006년 제4회 한국유체공학학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.437-440
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    • 2006
  • Particle suspension is frequently observed in many natural flows such as in the atmosphere and the ocean as well as in various engineering flows. Recently, airborne micro or nano-scale particles in atmosphere attract much attention from environmental society since small particle cause serious environmental problems in the industrialized areas. Also, the characteristics of such heavy particles' behavior is quite different from its fluid particles because the inertia force and buoyance force acting on the heavy particles are different than those acting on fluid particles. Therefore, our studies is to investigate the characteristics of the behavior of heavy particles considering the inertia effect with or without gravity effect, but do not consider modification of turbulence by the particles, that is one-way interaction. We carried out direct numerical simulation of isotropic turbulence with particles under the Stokes drag assumption for a spherical particle. These results can be used in the development of a stochastic model for predicting particle's behavior.

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단일계수적응을 통한 강건한 적응제어시의 설계및 안정성 해석 (Robust adaptive control by single parameter adaptation and the stability analysis)

  • 오준호
    • 대한기계학회논문집
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.331-338
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    • 1990
  • In adaptive control, the lack of persistent and rich excitation causes the estimated parameters to drift, which degrade the performance of the system and may introduces instability to the system in a stochastic environment. To solve the problem of the parameter drift, the concept of single parameter adaptation is presented. For the parameter identification, a priori error is directly used for adaptation error. The structure of the controller is based upon the minimum variance control technique. The stability and robustness analysis is carried out by the sector stability theorem for the second order system. The computer simulation is performed to justify the theoretical analysis for the various cases.

난류 경계층 유동에서 입자의 확산과 스핀의 영향 (Particle Dispersion and Effect of Spin in the Turbulent Boundary Layer Flow)

  • 김병구;이창훈
    • 대한기계학회논문집B
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    • 제28권1호
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    • pp.89-98
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    • 2004
  • In this paper, we develope a dispersion model based on the Generalized Langevin Model. Thomson's well-mixed condition is the well known criterion to determine particle dispersion. But, it has 'non-uniqueness problem'. To resolve this, we adopt a turbulent model which is a new approach in this field of study. Our model was greatly simplified under the self-similarity condition, leaving model only two model constants $C_{0}$ and ${\gamma}$$_{5}$ that control the dispersion and spin which measures rotational property of the Lagrangian particle trajectory. We investigated the sign of spin as well as magnitude by using the Direct Numerical Simulation. Model calculations were performed on the neutrally stable boundary layer flow. We found that spin has weak effect on the particle dispersion but it shows the significant effect on the horizontal flux compared to the zero-spin model.