• Title/Summary/Keyword: stochastic optimal control

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ON STOCHASTIC OPTIMAL REINSURANCE AND INVESTMENT STRATEGIES FOR THE SURPLUS

  • Kim, Jai Heui;Lee, Eun Sun
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.16 no.2
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    • pp.145-156
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    • 2008
  • When we consider a life insurance company that sells a large number of continuous T-year term life insurance policies, it is important to find an optimal strategy which maximizes the surplus of the insurance company at time T. The purpose of this paper is to give an explicit expression for the optimal reinsurance and investment strategy which maximizes the expected exponential utility of the final value of the surplus at the end of T-th year. To do this we solve the corresponding Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation.

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Study on Optimal Control of Stochastic Invasive Species and Infectious Disease (확률적 확산모형을 이용한 외래종과 전염성 질병의 최적제어에 관한 연구)

  • Park, Hojeong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.20 no.2
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    • pp.357-379
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    • 2011
  • The problem of invasive species has been recently emerged as one of complicated issues due to increasing globalisation and its consequence of species immigrations. Since in most cases of invasive species it is less likely to fully eradicate them through human efforts, it is often interested in reducing the possibility of ecological disaster caused by the invasive species. This paper provides an optimal control model to minimize such possibility while allowing the stochastic nature of biological growth of the invasive species. Conditions under which the partial eradication effort is optimal are derived. Simple numerical illustration is provided using H1N1 data which is categorized as an invasive disease in microorganism level.

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Aircraft wings dynamics suppression by optimal NESs designed through an Efficient stochastic linearisation approach

  • Navarra, Giacomo;Iacono, Francesco Lo;Oliva, Maria;Esposito, Antonio
    • Advances in aircraft and spacecraft science
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    • v.7 no.5
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    • pp.405-423
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    • 2020
  • Non-linear energy sink (NES) is an emerging passive absorber able to mitigate the dynamic response of structures without any external energy supply, resonating with all the modes of the primary structure to control. However, its inherent non-linearities hinder its large-scale use and leads to complicated design procedures. For this purpose, an approximate design approach is herein proposed in a stochastic framework. Since loads are random in nature, the stochastic analysis of non-linear systems may be performed by means of computational intensive techniques such as Monte Carlo simulations (MCS). Alternatively, the Stochastic Linearisation (SL) technique has proven to be an effective tool to investigate the performance of different passive control systems under random loads. Since controlled systems are generally non-classically damped and most of SL algorithms operate recursively, the computational burden required is still large for those problems that make intensive use of SL technique, as optimal design procedures. Herein, a procedure to speed up the Stochastic Linearisation technique is proposed by avoiding or strongly reducing numerical evaluations of response statistics. The ability of the proposed procedure to effectively reduce the computational effort and to reliably design the NES is showed through an application on a well-known case study related to the vibrations mitigation of an aircraft wing.

Design of sub-optimal regulators for the large-scale stochastic system with time-scale separation properties (여러 시간스케일로 분리 가능한 대규모 스토캐스틱 시스템의 준 최적 조정기의 설계)

  • 이종효;전기준
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1986.10a
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    • pp.550-553
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    • 1986
  • This paper presents a procedure for the time-scale separation and a design method for the sub-optimal composite regulator and Kalman filter of the large-scale discrete stochastic system with two time-scale properties. Provided that the fast sub-system is asymptotically stable, the reduced-order regulator and Kalman filter for the slow sub-system with dominant modes is designed as a sub-optimal regulator for the system.

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Design of the optimal stochastic inputs for linear system parameter estimation (선형계통의 파라미터 추정을 위한 최적 확률 입력신호의 설계)

  • ;;Lee, S. W.
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1987.10b
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    • pp.168-173
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    • 1987
  • The optimal Input design problem for linear system Which have the common parameters in the system and noise transfer functions. Exploiting the assumed Model structure and deriving the information matrix structure in detail, D-optimal open-loop stochastic input can be realized as an ARMA process under the Input or output variance constraints. In spite of the reduced order, It Is necessary to develop an efficient algorithms for the optimation with respect to the .rho..

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Application of Stochastic Optimization Method to (s, S) Inventory System ((s, S) 재고관리 시스템에 대한 확률최적화 기법의 응용)

  • Chimyung Kwon
    • Journal of the Korea Society for Simulation
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    • v.12 no.2
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    • pp.1-11
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, we focus an optimal policy focus optimal class of (s, S) inventory control systems. To this end, we use the perturbation analysis and apply a stochastic optimization algorithm to minimize the average cost over a period. We obtain the gradients of objective function with respect to ordering amount S and reorder point s via a combined perturbation method. This method uses the infinitesimal perturbation analysis and the smoothed perturbation analysis alternatively according to occurrences of ordering event changes. Our simulation results indicate that the optimal estimates of s and S obtained from a stochastic optimization algorithm are quite accurate. We consider that this may be due to the estimated gradients of little noise from the regenerative system simulation, and their effect on search procedure when we apply the stochastic optimization algorithm. The directions for future study stemming from this research pertain to extension to the more general inventory system with regard to demand distribution, backlogging policy, lead time, and review period. Another directions involves the efficiency of stochastic optimization algorithm related to searching procedure for an improving point of (s, S).

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Contingency Estimation Method based on Stochastic Earned Value Management System (추계적 EVMS 기반 예비비 산정 방법론)

  • Gwak, Han-Seong;Choi, Byung-Youn;Yi, Chang-Yong;Lee, Dong-Eun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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    • 2018.05a
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    • pp.72-73
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    • 2018
  • The accuracy of contingency estimation plays an important role for dealing with the uncertainty of the financial success of construction project. Its' estimation may be used for various purposes such as schedule control, emergency resolve, and quality expense, etc. This paper presents a contingency estimation method which is schedule control specific. The method 1) implements stochastic EVMS, 2) detects a specific timing for schedule compression, 3) identifies an optimal strategy for shortening planned schedule, 4) finds a probability density function (PDF) of project cost overrun, and 5) estimates the optimal contingency cost based on the level of confidence. The method facilitates expeditious decisions involved in project budgeting. The validity of the method is confirmed by performing test case.

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Experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with MR dampers

  • Mei, Zhen;Peng, Yongbo;Li, Jie
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.395-416
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    • 2013
  • The magneto-rheological (MR) damper contributes to the new technology of structural vibration control. Its developments and applications have been paid significant attentions in earthquake engineering in recent years. Due to the shortages, however, inherent in deterministic control schemes where only several observed seismic accelerations are used as the trivial input and in classical stochastic optimal control theory with assumption of white noise process, the derived control policy cannot effectively accommodate the performance of randomly base-excited engineering structures. In this paper, the experimental and analytical studies on stochastic seismic response control of structures with specifically designed MR dampers are carried out. The random ground motion, as the base excitation posing upon the shaking table and the design load used for structural control system, is represented by the physically based stochastic ground motion model. Stochastic response analysis and reliability assessment of the tested structure are performed using the probability density evolution method and the theory of extreme value distribution. It is shown that the seismic response of the controlled structure with MR dampers gain a significant reduction compared with that of the uncontrolled structure, and the structural reliability is obviously strengthened as well.

Receding Horizon Finite Memory Controls for Output Feedback Controls of Discrete-Time State Space Models

  • Han, Soo-Hee;Kwon, Wook-Hyun
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.1896-1900
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    • 2003
  • In this paper, a new type of output feedback control, called a receding horizon finite memory control (RHFMC), is proposed for stochastic discrete-time state space systems. Constraints such as linearity and finite memory structure with respect to an input and an output, and unbiasedness from the optimal state feedback control are required in advance. The proposed RHFMC is chosen to minimize an optimal criterion with these constraints. The RHFMC is obtained in an explicit closed form using the output and input information on the recent time interval. It is shown that the RHFMC consists of a receding horizon control and an FIR filter. The stability of the RHFMC is investigated for stochastic systems.

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Design of the optimal inputs for parameter estimation in linear dynamic systems (선형계통의 파라미터 추정을 위한 최적 입력의 설계)

  • 양흥석;이석원;정찬수
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 1986.10a
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    • pp.73-77
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    • 1986
  • Optimal input design problem for linear regression model with constrained output variance has been considered. It is shown that the optimal input signal for the linear regression model can also be realized as an ARMA process. Monte-Carlo simulation results show that the optimal stochastic input leads to comparatively better estimation accuracy than white input signal.

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