• 제목/요약/키워드: statistical simulation

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시뮬레이션의 통계적 분석을 위한 전문가 시스템 (A Statistical Expert System for Simulation Analysis-Revised)

  • 박영홍
    • 산업공학
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    • 제7권1호
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    • pp.81-91
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    • 1994
  • Simulation is one of the most widely used techniques in operations research and management science, but there are several impediments to even wider acceptance and use of simulation. One of the more significant limitations is the dependence of simulation on statistical methodology. This research identifies eighteen different statistical issues in simulation methodology and develops an expert system which could through interactive dialog with simulation analysts offer advice on statistical approaches which might be used to deal with particular issues and to accomplish required statistical computations. This research revises the previous study published in Simulation by incorporating additional statistical issues in the expert system to enhance its performance in analyzing a given simulation problem with statistical methodologies. An overview of the revised system is given and illustrations of the capabilities of the system are presented.

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Review on the Application of Statistical Methods to Maritime Traffic Safety Assessment

  • Gong, In-Young
    • 한국항해항만학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국항해항만학회 2006년도 International Symposium on GPS/GNSS Vol.1
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    • pp.35-40
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    • 2006
  • For the maritime traffic safety assessment of vessels navigating in harbor or fairway, simulation techniques by using shiphandling simulator system have been traditionally used. When designing the simulation experiments and when analyzing the simulation results, however, there has been a little systematic method. Ship-handling simulations can be regarded as a kind of statistical experiment by using ship-handling simulator system, which means that shiphandling simulation conditions should be designed statistically and that the simulation results should be statistically analyzed as well. For the safe and economic design of harbor and fairway, reasonable decisions based upon the scientific analysis of shiphandling simulation results are indispensable. In this paper, various statistical methods, such as Bayes theorem, statistical hypothesis testing, and probability distributions, are reviewed with a view to application to maritime traffic safety assessment. It is expected that more reasonable decisions on harbor and fairway design can be made from shiphandlers' view point by using statistical methods.

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A Program for Statistical Education through Simulation

  • SookHee Choi
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.251-259
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    • 1999
  • The purpose of this study is to develope a program for statistics education. This program deals with simulation which is helpful in understanding some elementary statistical concepts. This program under multimedia environment which includes sound video animation etc. doesn't show only the result but make it possible for students to execute the program by stages. This type of dynamic learning is efficient to overcome the limits of teaching materials or classroom work. Also it can interest students greatly. By executing it the students can understand the method and meaning of simulation and acquire concepts of probability and statistical inference naturally.

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Simulation Optimization with Statistical Selection Method

  • Kim, Ju-Mi
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • 제13권1호
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    • pp.1-24
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    • 2007
  • I propose new combined randomized methods for global optimization problems. These methods are based on the Nested Partitions(NP) method, a useful method for simulation optimization which guarantees global optimal solution but has several shortcomings. To overcome these shortcomings I hired various statistical selection methods and combined with NP method. I first explain the NP method and statistical selection method. And after that I present a detail description of proposed new combined methods and show the results of an application. As well as, I show how these combined methods can be considered in case of computing budget limit problem.

멀티코어 프로세서의 통계적 모의실험에 관한 연구 (A Study on Statistical Simulation of Multicore Processor Architectures)

  • 이종복
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제14권6호
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    • pp.259-265
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    • 2014
  • 현재 널리 이용되는 멀티코어 프로세서 구조의 설계 초기에 그 성능을 분석하기 위하여 명령어 트레이스 모의실험을 이용하는 경우, 시간과 공간을 많이 차지하기 때문에 비실용적이다. 본 논문에서는 프로화일링 기법에 기반하는 통계적 모의실험에 의하여 다양한 하드웨어 사양을 갖는 멀티코어 프로세서의 성능을 측정하는 기법에 대하여 연구하였다. 이것을 위하여 SPEC 2000 벤치마크 프로그램의 특성을 통계적 프로화일링 기법으로 모델링하고 여기서 얻은 통계적 프로화일을 바탕으로 벤치마크 트레이스를 합성하여 멀티코어 프로세서에 대한 모의실험을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 통계적 모의실험에 의하여 측정한 성능이 명령어 트레이스 모의실험에 의하여 측정한 성능에 근접한 결과를 가져왔으며 모의실험 시간을 크게 단축시켰다.

A Statistical Estimation of The Universal Constants Using A Simulation Predictor

  • Park, Jeong-Soo-
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국시뮬레이션학회 1992년도 제2회 정기총회 및 추계학술 발표회 발표논문 초록
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    • pp.6-6
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    • 1992
  • This work deals with nonlinear least squares method for estimating unknown universial constants C in a computer simulation code real experimental data(or database) and computer simulation data. The best linear unbiased predictor based on a spatial statistical model is fitted from the computer simulation data. Then nonlinear least squares estimation method is applied to the real data using the fitted prediction model(or simulation predictor) as if it were the true simulation model. An application to the computational nuclear fusion device is presented.

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비대칭적 멀티코어 프로세서의 통계적 모의실험에 관한 연구 (A Study On Statistical Simulation for Asymmetric Multi-Core Processor Architectures)

  • 이종복
    • 한국인터넷방송통신학회논문지
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    • 제16권2호
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    • pp.157-163
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    • 2016
  • 비대칭적 멀티코어 프로세서 구조의 성능을 분석하기 위하여 명령어 트레이스 모의실험이나 실행 위주 모의실험을 이용하는 경우, 시간이 과다 소요되고 대량의 데이터 저장 공간을 차지하는 문제점이 있다. 본 논문에서는 통계적 모의실험에 의하여 다양한 하드웨어의 사양을 갖는 비대칭적 멀티코어 프로세서의 성능을 측정하는 기법에 대하여 연구하였다. 이것을 위하여 SPEC 2000 벤치마크 프로그램의 특성을 통계적 프로화일링 기법으로 모델링하고, 여기서 얻은 통계적 프로화일을 바탕으로 벤치마크 트레이스를 합성하여 비대칭적 멀티코어 프로세서에 대한 모의실험을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 통계적 모의실험에 의하여 측정한 성능이 명령어 트레이스 모의실험에 의하여 측정한 성능에 근접한 결과를 가져왔으며, 모의실험 시간을 크게 단축시켰다.

통계적 모의실험을 이용하는 프로세서의 성능 모델 (The Processor Performance Model Using Statistical Simulation)

  • 이종복
    • 한국정보과학회논문지:시스템및이론
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    • 제33권5호
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    • pp.297-305
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    • 2006
  • 마이크로 프로세서 구조의 성능을 분석할 때, 트레이스 구동형 모의실험이 광범위하게 수행되고 있으나, 시간과 공간을 많이 차지하기 때문에 최근에 이르러 통계적 모의실험이 그 대안으로 떠오르고 있다. 기존의 통계적 모의실험이 단일 분기 예측법에 대하여 연구가 수행된 것과 달리, 본 논문에서는 다중 분기 예측법을 이용하는 고성능 수퍼스칼라 프로세서에 대한 통계적 프로화일링 모델을 제안하였다. 이때, 다중 분기 예측법은 최근 들어 유망한 기법으로 대두되고 있는 퍼셉트론 분기 예측법을 기반으로 하였다. 이것을 위하여 SPEC 2000 벤치마크 프로그램의 특성을 통계적 프로화일링 기법으로 모델링하고, 여기서 얻은 통계적 프로화일을 바탕으로 벤치마크 트레이스를 합성하여 모의실험을 수행하였다. 그 결과, 제안하는 방식으로 다중 분기 예측을 이용하는 수퍼스칼라 프로세서에서도 비교적 높은 정확도를 얻을 수 있었다.

프랙탈 기법에 의한 울릉도 형상화 사례 연구 (Simulation Uleung Island By The Statistical Fractals)

  • 노용덕
    • 한국시뮬레이션학회논문지
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    • 제4권1호
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    • pp.113-119
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    • 1995
  • In 3D computer graphics, fractal techniques have been applied to terrain models. Even though fractal models have become popular for recreating a wide variety of the shapes found in nature, a specific 3D terrain model such as Uleung Island could not be formulated by statistical fractals easily owing to the random effects. However, by locating the midpoints on the edges and the surface of a specific terrain such as Uleung Island, a similar shape of the terrain model can be simulated. This paper shows the way of simulating 3D Uleung Island terrain model by the statistical fractals wherein the subdivision algorithm is used.

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Validation of Statistical Analysis-based Aberrancy Probability Using Marine Simulations

  • Kim, Sung-Cheol
    • 해양환경안전학회지
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    • 제24권3호
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    • pp.332-338
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    • 2018
  • To perform the Maritime Safety Audi Scheme, $10^{-4}$ was constantly applied without adjustment when evaluating the proximity of the fairway. The necessity of applying the different aberrancy probabilities from the different proximity of the fairway depending on the shape of the route and the size of the ship was validated using marine simulations. Marine simulation was performed to evaluate the validity of statistical analysis-based aberrancy probability according to the different shapes of routes and ship size presented in the previous study. As results, the validity of the criterion of the statistical analysis-based aberrancy probability was confirmed by comparing with the results of simulation-based aberrancy probabilities. The results support that the aberrancy probabilities by the types of a vessel could be different based on the type and size of vessels. The results motivate that further investigation is required to find the reasonable criteria of the aberrancy probabilities for the maritime traffic safety audit according to the fairway shape and the size of the vessel.