• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제12권1호
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• pp.39-46
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• 2005

We propose an equivariant and robust estimator in multivariate regression model based on the least quartile difference (LQD) estimator in univariate regression. We call this estimator as the multivariate least quartile difference (MLQD) estimator. The MLQD estimator considers correlations among response variables and it can be shown that the proposed estimator has the appropriate equivariance properties defined in multivariate regressions. The MLQD estimator has high breakdown point as does the univariate LQD estimator. We develop an algorithm for MLQD estimate. Simulations are performed to compare the efficiencies of MLQD estimate with coordinatewise LQD estimate and the multivariate least trimmed squares estimate.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제11권2호
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• pp.355-368
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• 2004

In order to use Kriging, one has to estimate three parameters(nugget, sill and range) of semivariogram, which shows the relationship in the given two sites. A visual fit of the semivariogram parameters to a few standard models is widely used. But, it does not give the suitable results and not provide the automated process of Kriging. The gradient based nonlinear least squares is another choices to estimate three parameters, but it has some problems such as initial value problem. In this paper, we suggest the genetic algorithm as a compatible alternative method to solve the above mentioned problem. Finally, we estimate three parameters of semivariogram of rain-fall by adapting the genetic algorithm, compute Kriging estimate and conclude its effectiveness and compatibility.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제10권3호
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• pp.1037-1046
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• 2003

We propose an equivariant and robust estimator in multivariate regression model based on the least trimmed squares (LTS) estimator in univariate regression. We call this estimator as multivariate least trimmed squares (MLTS) estimator. The MLTS estimator considers correlations among response variables and it can be shown that the proposed estimator has the appropriate equivariance properties defined in multivariate regression. The MLTS estimator has high breakdown point as does LTS estimator in univariate case. We develop an algorithm for MLTS estimate. Simulation are performed to compare the efficiencies of MLTS estimate with coordinatewise LTS estimate and a numerical example is given to illustrate the effectiveness of MLTS estimate in multivariate regression.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제6권2호
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• pp.543-564
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• 1999

The principal aim of a sequential phase I clinical trial in which the toxicity reponses of a group of patient(s) determine the dose level of the next patient(s) group is to estimate the maximal tolerated dose(MTD) of a new drug, In this paper we compared with a simulation study the performance of the MTD estimates that are determined by a stopping rule in a design and also those that are determined by analyzing the data after a clinical trial is terminated. To the latter belong the mean median mode and maximum likelihood estimates. For the Standard Methods the stopping rule MTD is quite inefficient but the median MTD has a best efficiency and is robust with respect to the three different toxicity curves. The problem of non-convergence of MLE MTD is severe. A more improved MTD estimate is produced by combining the advantages of the various MTD estimates and its efficiency is better than the single median MTD estimate especially for the toxicity curve of an unlucky choice of dose levels. The simulation results suggest that simple types of phase I designs can be combined with relatively standard analytic techniques to provide a more efficient MTD estimate.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제20권4호
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• pp.321-327
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• 2013

Bayesian and empirical Bayesian methods have become quite popular in the theory and practice of statistics. However, the objective is to often produce an ensemble of parameter estimates as well as to produce the histogram of the estimates. For example, in insurance pricing, the accurate point estimates of risk for each group is necessary and also proper dispersion estimation should be considered. Well-known Bayes estimates (which is the posterior means under quadratic loss) are underdispersed as an estimate of the histogram of parameters. The adjustment of Bayes estimates to correct this problem is known as constrained Bayes estimators, which are matching the first two empirical moments. In this paper, we propose a way to apply the constrained Bayes estimators in insurance pricing, which is required to estimate accurately both location and dispersion. Also, the benefit of the constrained Bayes estimates will be discussed by analyzing real insurance accident data.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제13권2호
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• pp.273-283
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• 2006

In bioassay, the response curve is usually assumed monotone increasing, but its exact form is unknown, so it is very difficult to select the proper functional form for the parametric model. Therefore, we should probably use the nonparametric regression model rather than the parametric model unless we have at least the partial information about the true response curve. However, it is well known that the nonparametric regression estimate is not necessarily monotone. Therefore the monotonizing transformation technique is of course required. In this paper, we compare the finite sample properties of the monotone transformation methods which can be applied to the local linear quasi-likelihood response curve estimate.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제30권3호
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• pp.273-289
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• 2023

In this paper, we develop a new time series model for predicting IPO (initial public offering) data with non-negative integer value. The proposed model is based on integer-valued autoregressive (INAR) model with a Poisson thinning operator. Just as the heterogeneous autoregressive (HAR) model with daily, weekly and monthly averages in a form of cascade, the integer-valued heterogeneous autoregressive (INHAR) model is considered to reflect efficiently the long memory. The parameters of the INHAR model are estimated using the conditional least squares estimate and Yule-Walker estimate. Through simulations, bias and standard error are calculated to compare the performance of the estimates. Effects of model fitting to the Korea's IPO are evaluated using performance measures such as mean square error (MAE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) etc. The results show that INHAR model provides better performance than traditional INAR model. The empirical analysis of the Korea's IPO indicates that our proposed model is efficient in forecasting monthly IPO volumes.

• Korean Journal of Hydrosciences
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• 제4권
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• pp.51-63
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• 1993

This study is to verify the applicability of statistical models in predicting flood frequency at the stage gaging stations of which the flow is under natural condition in the Han River basin. The results of the study show that the statistical flood frequency models were proven to be fairly reasonable to apply in practice, and also were compared with sampling variance to calibrate the statistical efficiency of the estimators of the T year floods Q(T) by two different flood frequency models. As a result, it was showed that for return periods greater than about T = 10 years the annual exceedance series estimators of Q(T) has smaller sampling variance than the annual maximum series estimators. It was showed that for the range of return periods the partial duration series estimators of !(T) has smaller sampling variance than the annual maximum series estimate only if the POT model contains at least 2N(N : record length) items or more in order to estimate Q(T) more efficiently than the ANNMAX model.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제9권3호
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• pp.629-637
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• 2002

Shapiro and Wilk(1972) developed a test for exponentiality with origin and scale unknown. The procedure consists of comparing the generalized least squares estimate of scale with the estimate of scale given by the sample variance. However the test based on the statistic is inconsistent Kim(2001a) proposed a modified Shapiro-Wilk's test statistic using the ratio of two asymptotically efficient estimators of scale. In this paper, we study the consistency of the proposed test.

• Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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• 제12권3호
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• pp.807-818
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• 2005

In this paper we propose an estimation method for regression quantiles with left-truncated and right-censored data. The estimation procedure is based on the weight determined by the Kaplan-Meier estimate of the distribution of the response. We show how the proposed regression quantile estimators perform through analyses of Stanford heart transplant data and AIDS incubation data. We also investigate the effect of censoring on regression quantiles through simulation study.