• 제목/요약/키워드: spatial econometrics model

검색결과 23건 처리시간 0.021초

Exploring the Relationship between Place and Crime Using Spatial Econometrics Model

  • Lee, Soochang;Kim, Daechan
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.32-38
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    • 2021
  • The purpose of this study is to examine the spatial characteristics of violent and burglary crimes in South Korea. Violent crimes and burglary crimes depend on a spatial setting with good conditions for their criminal purposes. This study defines population density, racial heterogeneity, types of houses, and density of commercial facilities as variables of place affecting crime in cities and counties. The study collects data from 229 cities in Korea to analyze the effect of spatial characteristics on crime. We conduct additional analyses to meet the statistical requisites of the spatial econometrics model using the open-source software R and GeoDa 1.12.1.129. From the analytical result, population density, racial heterogeneity, apartments, and commercial areas relate to crime occurrence. We suggest the implication of the theoretical and practical contributions to the relationship between place and crime.

공간계량모형을 이용한 도시와 농촌의 비선호시설이 토지 가격에 미치는 영향 분석 (The Effects of Non-Preferred Facilities on Land Prices in Urban and Rural Areas using Spatial Econometrics)

  • 전정배;권성문
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.103-113
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    • 2020
  • Land price can be affected by convenience or psychological repulsion like PIMFY (Please In My Front Yard) or NIMBY (Not In My Back Yard) for various facilities. The purpose of this study is to evaluate whether non-preferred facilities are related to NIMBY impact that negatively affect land prices using the spatial econometrics models which are spatial autoregressive models (SAR), spatial errors models (SEM), and general spatial model (SAC). The land price in urban area increases by 0.07-0.2% when the distance from aversion facilities increases by 1%. However, the land price in rural areas decreases when the distance from aversion or pollution facilities increase. Therefore, these facilities in rural areas located in the areas with higher land price because funeral homes located in center of rural administrative areas and charnel house or crematorium located in the fringe of urban areas. That is, this study explain the difference between land price and non-preferred facilities in urban and rural areas and why there are more N IMBY symptoms in urban areas.

비명시적 평가지표를 활용한 농촌정책 평가 (A Quantitative Evaluation of Composite Indicators : Empirical Analysis of Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project)

  • 황재희;이성우
    • 농촌계획
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    • 제22권4호
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    • pp.25-36
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    • 2016
  • The purpose of this study is to construct a quantitative evaluation method that can analyze the policy effectiveness with the construction of a implicit composite index incorporating spatial econometrics models. In order to propose a methodological framework for the program evaluation, this study conducts an empirical analysis with the application of the Comprehensive Rural Village Development Project (CRVDP) which explicitly claims to achieve comprehensive goal of community development. The present study pays particular attention to quantifying the composite evaluation index and drawing net effect through the application of a series of spatial econometrics models. The spatial unit of the analysis is drawn at Eup-Myeon level in rural areas in Korea, and the time horizon is in between 2005 and 2010. We utilize the Korean Agricultural Census data in 2005 and 2010. Three steps of methodological processes are needed to satisfy the objective of the present study. First, we apply factor analysis to construct the composite index that represents comprehensive settlement environment in rural area. The index should be matched with the main objective of the CRVDP. Second, we apply the derived index to a series of spatial econometrics model as dependent variable. Lastly, utilizing the estimated coefficients of the econometrics models, we apply decomposition technique to estimate CRVDP's net effect from both cross-sectional and longitudinal perspectives. We find that the results of the decomposition analysis by the execution of the CRVDP are positively associated with the explicit object of the project.

Innovative Spatial Analysis of Violent Crime Hot Spots in Korea: Implications for Urban Policy

  • Kyungjae, Lee
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제11권3호
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    • pp.320-341
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    • 2022
  • Empirical applications to explain criminogenic events are abundant. While much of the research in criminal studies concentrates on understanding the motivations of offenders and preventing victimization from a micro perspective, there have been recent theoretical advancements that give priority to the role of spatial factors in directly impacting crime rates. The primary purpose of this study is to investigate the empirical inference between violent crime incidence and spatial characteristics of local areas focusing particularly on spatial accessibility conditions in the areas. Applying discrete spatial econometrics models, this study reveals a significant relationship between spatial accessibility and the formation of violent crime hot spots in South Korea. Along with other variables, it is revealed that road accessibility has a clear association with violent crime hot spots. Based on the findings, this study suggests some policy implications such as effective surveillance systems, land use restrictions, and advanced street lighting.

The Effects of Spatial Factors on the Incidence of Violent Crime in Korea, 2005-2015

  • Lee, Kyungjae;Choi, Eunji;Lee, Seongwoo
    • Asian Journal of Innovation and Policy
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    • 제10권2호
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    • pp.249-273
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    • 2021
  • While many criminal studies have focused on the motivation of offenders and avoidance of victimization in the micro perspective, there have been a number of theoretical developments emphasizing space as a direct factor that influences the incidence of crime. The main purpose of this study is to analyze the effects of regional characteristics and violent crime incidence in Korea. Applying diverse spatial econometrics models that have less been utilized in the crime literature, this study finds an important association between spatial accessibility and crime incidence. The results suggest that the type of predominant business and the level of road accessibility affect the vulnerability of areas with respect to the incidence of violent crime. This study concludes with some important implications for urban planners and policymakers with respect to crime control and prevention.

공공자전거 이용에 영향을 미치는 공간 특성 분석 - 대전광역시 '타슈'를 대상으로 - (Analysis of Spatial Characteristics Affecting the Use of Public Bicycles: Case of 'Tashu' in Daejeon)

  • 안민수;이창효
    • 지역연구
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    • 제38권4호
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    • pp.75-91
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    • 2022
  • 최근 기후변화 이슈에 대한 관심이 높아지면서 자전거 이용이 대중교통을 보완하고 친환경 교통수단의 하나로 주목받고 있다. 대전광역시는 2008년부터 공공자전거인 '타슈'를 운영하고 있다. 본 연구는 공공자전거의 이용현황과 특성을 파악하고 공간 자료의 공간적 의존성을 고려한 분석 모델인 공간계량분석을 적용하여 공공자전거 이용에 영향을 미치는 공간적 특성을 실증적으로 분석하였다. 그리고 최적 공간계량모델로 파악된 공간오차 모형을 기준으로 대여, 반납, 첨두시간, 비첨두시간, 평일, 주말의 측면에서 6가지 모형을 분석한 결과를 도출하여 비교분석을 하였다. 분석모형 결과는 공공자전거 이용유형에 따라 유의미한 공간특성이 다르게 나타났다. 일반적으로 공공자전거 이용은 청년층 비중이 높고 대중교통 이용자 수가 많고 대학과 하천 접근성이 좋으며 토지이용혼합도가 상대적으로 낮은 지역, 아파트 비중이 높은 지역에서 높게 나타났다. 이러한 결과는 공공자전거가 평일에는 통학목적으로, 주말에는 레저목적으로 이용되고 있음을 나타내며, 자전거 이용 편의성이 향상된다면 공공자전거 이용을 더욱 늘릴 수 있을 것으로 판단된다.

공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석 (Busan Housing Market Dynamics Analysis with ESDA using MATLAB Application)

  • 정건섭
    • 한국콘텐츠학회논문지
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    • 제12권2호
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    • pp.461-471
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    • 2012
  • 본 논문의 목적은 공간적탐색기법을 이용한 부산 주택시장 다이나믹스 분석으로써 MATLAB toolbox M-file을 이용하였다. 본 연구에서 사용된 자료는 2006년부터 2009년 2분기까지 공개된 부산지역 아파트 실거래가 64,530개 자료를 기준으로 법정동을 분류하여 각 평균값을 분석에 이용하였다. 주택시장분석에 많이 이용되는 헤도닉가격 모형은 도시주택경제 분야에서 주택시장 다이나믹스를 설명하는데 강력한 분석기법의 하나이다. 그럼에도 불구하고 전통적인 헤도닉가격 모형은 공간적자기상관의 영향력을 반영하지 않는 단점이 있다. 따라서 본 논문에서는 공간자기상관 관계를 반영한 다양한 공간계량모형, 예를 들어, 공간자기회귀모형(SAR), 공간오차모형(SEM), 일반공간모형(SAC) 등을 보통최소자승법을 이용한 전통적 헤도닉가격 모형과 비교하고자 한다. 이를 위해 결정계수($R^2$), 분산(${\sigma}^2$), 우도함수(Likelihood)의 값 등의 지표들을 이용하였다. 분석결과 공간자기상관을 고려한 공간계량모형이 전통적 헤도닉모형에 비해 높은 설명력을 보여주고 있다. 공간계량모형에서는 공간오차모형(SEM)과 일반공간모형(SAC)이 공간자기회귀모형(SAR) 보다 우수한 설명력을 보이고 있다.

청년농업인의 거주지역 선택 결정요인 (Factors Influencing Young Farmers' Residential Location)

  • 황정임;최윤지;최정신;정용경
    • 농촌지도와개발
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    • 제26권4호
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    • pp.181-191
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    • 2019
  • The purpose of this study is to identify the characteristics of young farmers' residential location characteristics. Based on residential location theory and previous studies on the stated preference for residential environment of young farmers, this study develops a spatial econometrics model using housing and neighborhood variables, accessibility variables, natural environment variables and farm economics and management variables. The findings suggest that the higher rate of young farmers has a positive relationship with higher population density, higher housing price, closer distance to city centers and Eup districts compared to Myeon districts. In addition, areas which have higher rate of farmers with high sales and growing certain crops such as fruits and vegetables are revealed to have higher rate of young farmers. This study presents that maintaining rural vitality is also crucial for attracting young farmers to rural areas and remaining them in the farm as active agricultural workforce.

Generalized Bayes estimation for a SAR model with linear restrictions binding the coefficients

  • Chaturvedi, Anoop;Mishra, Sandeep
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제28권4호
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    • pp.315-327
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    • 2021
  • The Spatial Autoregressive (SAR) models have drawn considerable attention in recent econometrics literature because of their capability to model the spatial spill overs in a feasible way. While considering the Bayesian analysis of these models, one may face the problem of lack of robustness with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The generalized Bayes estimators provide a viable alternative to incorporate prior belief and are more robust with respect to underlying prior assumptions. The present paper considers the SAR model with a set of linear restrictions binding the regression coefficients and derives restricted generalized Bayes estimator for the coefficients vector. The minimaxity of the restricted generalized Bayes estimator has been established. Using a simulation study, it has been demonstrated that the estimator dominates the restricted least squares as well as restricted Stein rule estimators.

추세분석법에 의한 영역의 장기 수요예측 (A Study on Long-Term Spatial Load Forecasting Using Trending Method)

  • 황갑주;최수근
    • 대한전기학회논문지:전력기술부문A
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    • 제53권11호
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    • pp.604-609
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    • 2004
  • This paper suggests a long-term distribution area load forecasting algorithm which offers basic data for distribution planning of power system. To build forecasting model, 4-level hierarchical spatial structure is introduced: System, Region, Area, and Substation. And, each spatial load can be decided proportional to its portion in the higher level. This paper introduces the horizon year loads to improve the forecasting results. And, this paper also introduces an effective load transfer algorithm to improve forecasting stability in case of new or stopped substations. The proposed model is applied to the load forecasting of KEPCO system composed of 16 regions, 85 areas and 761 substations, and the results are compared with those of econometrics model to verify its validity.