• 제목/요약/키워드: sequential prediction error method

검색결과 18건 처리시간 0.019초

순차적 예측오차 방법에 의한 구조물의 모우드 계수 추정 (IDENTIFICATION OF MODAL PARAMETERS BY SEQUENTIAL PREDICTION ERROR METHOD)

  • Lee, Chang-Guen;Yun, Chung-Bang
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1990년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.79-84
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    • 1990
  • The modal parameter estimations of linear multi-degree-of-freedom structural dynamic systems are carried out in time domain. For this purpose, the equation of motion is transformed into the autoregressive and moving average model with auxiliary stochastic input (ARMAX) model. The parameters of the ARMAX model are estimated by using the sequential prediction error method. Then, the modal parameters of the system are obtained thereafter. Experimental results are given for a 3-story building model subject to ground exitations.

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순차적 예측오차 방법에 의한 구조물의 모우드 계수 추정 (Identification of Model Parameters by Sequential Prediction Error Method)

  • 윤정방;이창근
    • 전산구조공학
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    • 제3권4호
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    • pp.143-148
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    • 1990
  • 다자유도를 가진 구조계로 부터 얻어진 동적거동의 측정치를 이용하여 구조물의 모우드계수를 추정하는 시간영역방법에 대해 연구하였다. 이를 위해 운동방정식을 실험적 모우드식으로 변환한 다음 이를 다시 이산시간 영역의 식인 ARMAX식으로 나타내었다. 순차적 예측 오차 방법을 이용하여 ARMAX식의 계수들을 추정한 후, 이들로 부터 구조물의 모우드 계수들을 계산하였다. 지진하중을 받는 3층 빌딩 구조물의 실험치를 이용하여 얻은 모우드 계수들은 서로 다른 실험간에 좋은 일치를 보였으며, 또한 계산된 계수들을 이용하여 다시 구한 구조물 응답의 시간이력들은 실험치들과 좋은 일치를 보였다.

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후보점과 대표점 교차검증에 의한 순차적 실험계획 (Candidate Points and Representative Cross-Validation Approach for Sequential Sampling)

  • 김승원;정재준;이태희
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제31권1호
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    • pp.55-61
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    • 2007
  • Recently simulation model becomes an essential tool for analysis and design of a system but it is often expensive and time consuming as it becomes complicate to achieve reliable results. Therefore, high-fidelity simulation model needs to be replaced by an approximate model, the so-called metamodel. Metamodeling techniques include 3 components of sampling, metamodel and validation. Cross-validation approach has been proposed to provide sequnatially new sample point based on cross-validation error but it is very expensive because cross-validation must be evaluated at each stage. To enhance the cross-validation of metamodel, sequential sampling method using candidate points and representative cross-validation is proposed in this paper. The candidate and representative cross-validation approach of sequential sampling is illustrated for two-dimensional domain. To verify the performance of the suggested sampling technique, we compare the accuracy of the metamodels for various mathematical functions with that obtained by conventional sequential sampling strategies such as maximum distance, mean squared error, and maximum entropy sequential samplings. Through this research we team that the proposed approach is computationally inexpensive and provides good prediction performance.

피부섬유모세포 전사체 정보를 활용한 구간 선택 기반 연령 예측 (Age Prediction based on the Transcriptome of Human Dermal Fibroblasts through Interval Selection)

  • 석호식
    • 전기전자학회논문지
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    • 제26권3호
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    • pp.494-499
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    • 2022
  • 본 논문에서는 인간의 피부섬유모세포(Human dermal fibroblasts)로부터 확보한 전사체 정보를 활용하여 나이를 예측하는 방법을 소개한다. 제안 방법에서는 훈련을 통해 확보한 분류기 및 회귀 모델을 이용하여 샘플이 속한 적합한 연령 그룹을 선택한 후, 선택된 연령 그룹에 속하는 훈련 데이터의 관측값을 활용하여 구체적인 연령을 예측한다. 연령을 예측하려는 샘플이 입력되면 복수 개의 판별 규칙이 순서대로 실행되는데, 개별 판별 규칙에서는 분류기와 회귀 모델을 동시에 실행하여 해당 판별 규칙에 대한 선택조건이 만족되는지 여부를 확인한다. 선택 조건이 만족될 경우 판별 규칙의 타겟 연령 그룹에 속하는 데이터를 이용하여 훈련된 회귀 모델로 연령을 예측하며, 선택 조건이 만족되지 않으면 후속 판별 규칙을 실행한다. 공개 데이터에 대하여 실험한 결과 기존 연구에서 달성한 7.7년의 평균 예측 오차보다 우수한 5.7년이라는 평균 예측 오차를 달성함을 확인하였다.

구조물의 자유진동특성 추정을 위한 실험적 연구 (Experimental Study for Modal Parameter Estimation of Structural Systems)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1994년도 가을 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.175-182
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    • 1994
  • As for the safety evaluation of existing large-scale structures, methods for estimation of the structural and dynamic properties are studied. Sequential prediction error method in time domain and improved FRF estimator in frequency domain are comparatively studied. For this purpose, impact tests of 2 bay 3 floor steel frame structure are performed. Results from both methods are found to be consistent to each others, however those from the finite-element analysis are slightly different from experimental results.

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Sums-of-Products Models for Korean Segment Duration Prediction

  • Chung, Hyun-Song
    • 음성과학
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    • 제10권4호
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    • pp.7-21
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    • 2003
  • Sums-of-Products models were built for segment duration prediction of spoken Korean. An experiment for the modelling was carried out to apply the results to Korean text-to-speech synthesis systems. 670 read sentences were analyzed. trained and tested for the construction of the duration models. Traditional sequential rule systems were extended to simple additive, multiplicative and additive-multiplicative models based on Sums-of-Products modelling. The parameters used in the modelling include the properties of the target segment and its neighbors and the target segment's position in the prosodic structure. Two optimisation strategies were used: the downhill simplex method and the simulated annealing method. The performance of the models was measured by the correlation coefficient and the root mean squared prediction error (RMSE) between actual and predicted duration in the test data. The best performance was obtained when the data was trained and tested by ' additive-multiplicative models. ' The correlation for the vowel duration prediction was 0.69 and the RMSE. 31.80 ms. while the correlation for the consonant duration prediction was 0.54 and the RMSE. 29.02 ms. The results were not good enough to be applied to the real-time text-to-speech systems. Further investigation of feature interactions is required for the better performance of the Sums-of-Products models.

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공작기계 열오차 모델의 최적 센서위치 선정 (Selection of Optimal Sensor Locations for Thermal Error Model of Machine tools)

  • 안중용
    • 한국공작기계학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국공작기계학회 1999년도 추계학술대회 논문집 - 한국공작기계학회
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    • pp.345-350
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    • 1999
  • The effectiveness of software error compensation for thermally induced machine tool errors relies on the prediction accuracy of the pre-established thermal error models. The selection of optimal sensor locations is the most important in establishing these empirical models. In this paper, a methodology for the selection of optimal sensor locations is proposed to establish a robust linear model which is not subjected to collinearity. Correlation coefficient and time delay are used as thermal parameters for optimal sensor location. Firstly, thermal deformation and temperatures are measured with machine tools being excited by sinusoidal heat input. And then, after correlation coefficient and time delays are calculated from the measured data, the optimal sensor location is selected through hard c-means clustering and sequential selection method. The validity of the proposed methodology is verified through the estimation of thermal expansion along Z-axis by spindle rotation.

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동특성 추정을 이용한 구조물의 손상도 추정 (Damage Estimation of Structures Incorporating Structural Identification)

  • Yun, Chung-Bang;Lee, Hyeong-Jin;Kim, Doo-Ki
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1995년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.136-143
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    • 1995
  • The problem of the structural identification becomes important, particularly with relation to the rapid increase of the number of the damaged or deteriorated structures, such as highway bridges, buildings, and industrial facilities. This paper summarizes the recent studies related to those problems by the present authors. The system identfication methods are generally classified as the time domain and the frequency domain methods. As time doamin methods, the sequential algorithms such as the extended Kalman filter and the sequential prediction error method are studied. Several techniques for improving the convergences are incorporated. As frequency domain methods, a new frequency response function estimator is introduced. For damage estimation of existing structures, the modal perturbation and the sensitivity matrix methods are studied. From the example analysis, it has been found that the combined utilization of the measurement data for the static response and the dynamic (modal) properties are very effictive for the damage estimation.

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콜레스키 분해와 골롬-라이스 부호화를 이용한 무손실 오디오 부호화기 설계 (Design of a Lossless Audio Coding Using Cholesky Decomposition and Golomb-Rice Coding)

  • 정전대;신재호
    • 한국멀티미디어학회논문지
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    • 제11권11호
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    • pp.1480-1490
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    • 2008
  • 무손실 오디오 부호화기에 있어서 선형예측기 및 이에 적합한 엔트로피 부호화기의 설계가 가장 중요한 부분이다. 본 논문에서는 공분산 방법에 콜레스키 분해를 이용하여 선형예측기의 계수를 계산하였고, 그 결과를 다항 예측기와 비교하여 예측 에러가 최소화되는 선형예측기를 선택하도록 하였다. 엔트로피 부호화기는 골롬-라이스 부호를 사용하였고, 골롬-라이스 부호화기의 매개변수를 계산하기 위해 블록기반 매개변수 예측 방법과 LOCO-I, RLGR의 순차 적응 방법을 적용하였다. 실험 결과 블록기반 매개변수 예측 방법과 제안 방식의 예측기를 이용하면 자기상관 방법과 레빈슨-더빈을 사용하는 FLAC 무손실 부호화기보다 $2.2879%{\sim}0.3413%$ 압축률이 향상되는 결과를 나타내었고, 제안 방식의 예측기와 LOCO-I 순차 적응 방법을 이용한 경우는 $2.2381%{\sim}0.0214%$ 압축률이 향상되는 결과를 나타내었다. 그러나 제안 방식의 예측기와 RLGR 순차 적응 방법을 이용한 경우는 특정 신호에서만 압축률이 향상되었다.

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부분구조 추정법을 이용한 국부구조계수추정 (Estimation of Localized Structural Parameters Using Substructural Identification)

  • 윤정방;이형진
    • 한국전산구조공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국전산구조공학회 1996년도 봄 학술발표회 논문집
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    • pp.119-126
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    • 1996
  • In this paper, a method of substructural identification is presented for the estimation of localized structural parameters. for this purpose, an auto-regressive and moving average with stochastic input (ARMAX) model is derived for the substructure to process the measurement data impaired by noises. The sequential prediction error method is used fer the estimation of unknown localized parameters. Using the substructural method, the number of unknown parameters can be reduced and the convergence and accuracy of estimation can be improved. For some substructures, the effect of the input excitation is expressed in terms of the responses at the inferences with the main structure, and substructural identification may be carried out without measuring the actual input excitation to the whole structure. Example analysis is carried out for idealized structural models of a multistory building and a truss bridge. The results indicate that the present method is effective and efficient for local damage estimation of complex structures.

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