• Title/Summary/Keyword: risk neutral pricing

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A PREPAYMENT-RISK-NEUTRAL PRICING MODEL FOR MORTGAGE-BACKED SECURITIES

  • Ahn, Seryoong;Song, Wan Young;Yoon, Ji-Hun
    • Korean Journal of Mathematics
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.409-424
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    • 2021
  • In this paper, we investigate a pricing model for mortgage-backed securities (MBSs) of a pay-through type of collateral mortgage obligation (CMO), embedded call options, which can be exercised by the intermediary, and pass-through MBSs. We suggest a prepayment-risk-neutral pricing model, applying a reduced-form prepayment rate model, and then compute and investigate the appropriate prices and spreads in the coupon rates between CMOs and PT MBSs. We believe that this study contributes in that it provides a sophisticated pricing model for MBSs, especially to the financial markets which are not advanced enough to finance with a simple type of MBSs.

A Risk-Averse Insider and Asset Pricing in Continuous Time

  • Lim, Byung Hwa
    • Management Science and Financial Engineering
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    • v.19 no.1
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    • pp.11-16
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    • 2013
  • This paper derives an equilibrium asset price when there exist three kinds of traders in financial market: a risk-averse informed trader, noise traders, and risk neutral market makers. This paper is an extended version of Kyle's (1985, Econometrica) continuous time model by introducing insider's risk aversion. We obtain not only the equilibrium asset pricing and market depth parameter but also insider's value function and optimal insider's trading strategy explicitly. The comparative static shows that the market depth (the reciprocal of market pressure) increases with time and volatility of noise traders' trading.

The Fundamental Understanding Of The Real Options Value Through Several Different Methods

  • Kim Gyutai;Choi Sungho
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.620-627
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    • 2003
  • The real option pricing theory has emerged as the new investment decision-making techniques superceding the traditional discounted cash flow techniques and thus has greatly received muck attention from academics and practitioners in these days the theory has been widely applied to a variety of corporate strategic projects such as a new drug R&D, an internet start-up. an advanced manufacturing system. and so on A lot of people who are interested in the real option pricing theory complain that it is difficult to understand the true meaning of the real option value. though. One of the most conspicuous reasons for the complaint may be due to the fact that there exit many different ways to calculate the real options value in this paper, we will present a replicating portfolio method. a risk-neutral probability method. a risk-adjusted discount rate method (quasi capital asset pricing method). and an opportunity cost concept-based method under the conditions of a binomial lattice option pricing theory.

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Real Options and Strategic Decision Analysis (실물 옵션과 전략적 의사 결정)

  • Kim, Ki-Hong;Oh, Hyung-Sik
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.33 no.2
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    • pp.221-226
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    • 2007
  • This paper suggests a valuation framework of investment project using the concept of real options. We show the valuation process of real assets using the risk-neutral pricing. Especially, we focus on the investment lag. Real assets have investment lag in general. The decision time and the payment time are not identical. So the investment lag should be considered when valuing real assets for reality. We provide the valuation process for real assets, including R&D project. The results of this paper can be used for the real assets valuation and strategic decision analysis.

위험보정 할인율을 이용한 실물옵션가치 결정

  • Kim, Gyu-Tae;Hwang, Hak-Jin;Jeong, Su-Hui
    • Proceedings of the Korean Operations and Management Science Society Conference
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    • 2004.05a
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    • pp.742-745
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    • 2004
  • Most of options pricing theory including Black and Scholes continuous model and Cox, Ross, and Rubinstein(CRR)'s binomial lattice model were developed based on the notion that continually revised risk-free hedges involving options and stock should earn the risk-free interest rate. This notion is valid with the assumption that the investor's attitude toward risk is neutral. In reality, this assumption may be frequently violated. Therefore, Hodder, Mello, and Sick proposed the way to value real options using the risk-adjusted interest rate. However, they did not show how to derive the mathematical expression for it. In this paper, we will clearly present how to obtain the mathematical expression for the risk-adjusted interest rate for real options and demonstrate two numerical examples to show its applicability.

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Asset Pricing From Log Stochastic Volatility Model: VKOSPI Index (로그SV 모형을 이용한 자산의 가치평가에 관한 연구: VKOSPI 지수)

  • Oh, Yu-Jin
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.24 no.1
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    • pp.83-92
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    • 2011
  • This paper examines empirically Durham's (2008) asset pricing models to the KOSPI200 index. This model Incorporates the VKOSPI index as a proxy for 1 month integrated volatility. This approach uses option prices to back out implied volatility states with an explicitly speci ed risk-neutral measure and risk premia estimated from the data. The application uses daily observations of the KOSPI200 and VKOSPI indices from January 2, 2003 to September 24, 2010. The empirical results show that non-affine model perform better than affine model.

An Iterative Method for American Put Option Pricing under a CEV Model (수치적 반복 수렴 방법을 이용한 CEV 모형에서의 아메리칸 풋 옵션 가격 결정)

  • Lee, Seungkyu;Jang, Bong-Gyu;Kim, In Joon
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.38 no.4
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    • pp.244-248
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    • 2012
  • We present a simple numerical method for pricing American put options under a constant elasticity of variance (CEV) model. Our analysis is done in a general framework where only the risk-neutral transition density of the underlying asset price is given. We obtain an integral equation of early exercise premium. By exploiting a modification of the integral equation, we propose a novel and simple numerical iterative valuation method for American put options.

OPTION PRICING UNDER STOCHASTIC VOLATILITY MODEL WITH JUMPS IN BOTH THE STOCK PRICE AND THE VARIANCE PROCESSES

  • Kim, Ju Hong
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.21 no.4
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    • pp.295-305
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    • 2014
  • Yan & Hanson [8] and Makate & Sattayatham [6] extended Bates' model to the stochastic volatility model with jumps in both the stock price and the variance processes. As the solution processes of finding the characteristic function, they sought such a function f satisfying $$f({\ell},{\nu},t;k,T)=exp\;(g({\tau})+{\nu}h({\tau})+ix{\ell})$$. We add the term of order ${\nu}^{1/2}$ to the exponent in the above equation and seek the explicit solution of f.

A Study on Risk Sharing of PPI Project Demand Risk (민간투자사업 수요위험 분담 방식에 관한 연구)

  • Shin, Sung-Hwan
    • Korean Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • v.13 no.2
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    • pp.102-109
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    • 2012
  • One of key success factors in PPI(Public Private Investment) is the structure of risk sharing between the public and the private, and the determination mechanism of fair return to private participants relative to the risk that private participants undertake. In Korea, two basic types of PPI exist. One is BTO and the other is BTL. In BTO, most risks are taken by the private whereas the opposite is the case in BTL. No intermediate form exists. As a result, BTO type projects had difficulty in attracting private participants because of the excessive risks. In this study, one intermediate form is studied where demand risk is shared between the public and the private. In the setting where the public authority takes all the project revenues and then pays ladder type payments to private participants depending upon the level of project revenues, appropriate level of fixed payments is endogenously derived using the real option pricing model. From the fixed payments, expected investment returns are calculated based upon a certain distributional assumption. The results of this study is expected to help introducing diverse forms of PPI in Korea.

Optimal LNG Procurement Policy in a Spot Market Using Dynamic Programming (동적 계획법을 이용한 LNG 현물시장에서의 포트폴리오 구성방법)

  • Ryu, Jong-Hyun
    • Journal of Korean Institute of Industrial Engineers
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    • v.41 no.3
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    • pp.259-266
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    • 2015
  • Among many energy resources, natural gas has recently received a remarkable amount of attention, particularly from the electrical generation industry. This is in part due to increasing shale gas production, providing an environment-friendly fossil fuel, and high risk of nuclear power. Because South Korea, the world's second largest LNG importing nation after Japan, has no international natural gas pipelines and relies on imports in the form of LNG, the natural gas has been traditionally procured by long term LNG contracts at relatively high price. Thus, there is a need of developing an Asian LNG trading hub, where LNG can be traded at more competitive spot prices. In a natural gas spot market, the amount of natural gas to be bought should be carefully determined considering a limited storage capacity and future pricing dynamics. In this work, the problem to find the optimal amount of natural gas in a spot market is formulated as a Markov decision process (MDP) in risk neutral environment and the optimal base stock policy which depends on a stage and price is established. Taking into account price and demand uncertainties, the basestock target levels are simply approximated from dynamic programming. The simulation results show that the basestock policy can be one of effective ways for procurement of LNG in a spot market.