• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability-weighted moments

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A COMPARATIVE EVALUATION OF THE ESTIMATORS OF THE 2-PARAMETER GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION

  • Singh, V.P.;Ahmad, M.;Sherif, M.M.
    • Water Engineering Research
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    • v.4 no.3
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    • pp.155-173
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    • 2003
  • Parameters and quantiles of the 2-parameter generalized Pareto distribution were estimated using the methods of regular moments, modified moments, probability weighted moments, linear moments, maximum likelihood, and entropy for Monte Carlo-generated samples. The performance of these seven estimators was statistically compared, with the objective of identifying the most robust estimator. It was found that in general the methods of probability-weighted moments and L-moments performed better than the methods of maximum likelihood estimation, moments and entropy, especially for smaller values of the coefficient of variation and probability of exceedance.

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Derivation of Design Floods by the Probability Weighted Moments in the Wakeby Distribution (Wakeby 분포모형의 확률가중모멘트기법에 의한 설계홍수량 유도)

  • 이순혁;송기헌;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.42 no.6
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    • pp.63-71
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    • 2000
  • The purpose of this study is to derive optimal design floods by the Wakeby distribution model using the probability weighted moments. Parameters for the Wakeby distribution were estimated by the probability weighted moments for the annual flood flows of the applied watersheds. Design floods obtained by the Wakeby and GEV distributions were compared by the relative mean errors, relative absolute errors and root mean square errors. In general, it has shown that the design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the methods of the probability weighted moments are closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the GEV distribution.

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Derivation of Design Floods by the Probability Weighted Moments in the Wakeby Distribution (Wakeby 분포모형의 확률가중모멘트기법에 의한 설계홍수량 유도(수공))

  • 송기헌;이순혁;박종화;맹승진;류경식;지호근
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2000.10a
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    • pp.352-358
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    • 2000
  • The objective of this study is to derive optimal design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the probability weighted moments. parameters for the Wakeby distribution were estimated by the probability weighted moments for the annual flood flows of the applied watersheds. Design floods obtained by the Wakeby and GEV distributions were compared by the relative mean errors, relative absolute errors and root mean square errors. In general, it has shown that the design floods by the Wakeby distribution using the methods of the probability weighted moments are closer to those of the observed data in comparison with those obtained by the GEV distribution.

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WEIGHTED POSSIBILISTIC VARIANCE AND MOMENTS OF FUZZY NUMBERS

  • Pasha, E.;Asady, B.;Saeidifar, A.
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
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    • v.26 no.5_6
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    • pp.1169-1183
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    • 2008
  • In this paper, a method to find the weighted possibilistic variance and moments about the mean value of fuzzy numbers via applying a difuzzification using minimizer of the weighted distance between two fuzzy numbers is introduced. In this way, we obtain the nearest weighted point with respect to a fuzzy number, this main result is a new and interesting alternative justification to define of weighted mean of a fuzzy number. Considering this point and the weighted distance quantity, we introduce the weighted possibilistic mean (WPM) value and the weighted possibilistic variance(WPV) of fuzzy numbers. This paper shows that WPM is the nearest weighted point to fuzzy number and the WPV of fuzzy number is preserved more properties of variance in probability theory so that it can simply introduce the possibilistic moments about the mean of fuzzy numbers without problem. The moments of fuzzy numbers play an important role to estimate of parameters, skewness, kurtosis in many of fuzzy times series models.

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Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfall using Higher Probability Weighted Moments (고차확률가중모멘트에 의한 극치강우의 빈도분석)

  • Lee, Soon-Hyuk;Maeng, Sung-Jin;Ryoo, Kyong-Sik;Kim, Byeong-Jun
    • Proceedings of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers Conference
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    • 2003.10a
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    • pp.511-514
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    • 2003
  • This study was conducted to estimate the design rainfall by the determination of best fitting order for Higher Probability Weighted Moments of the annual maximum series according to consecutive duration at sixty-five rainfall stations in Korea. Design rainfalls were obtained by generalized extreme value distribution which was selected to be suitable distribution in 4 applied distributions and by L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moment. The best fitting order for Higher Probability Weighted Moments was determined with the confidence analysis of estimated design rainfall.

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Estimation for scale parameter of type-I extreme value distribution

  • Choi, Byungjin
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.26 no.2
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    • pp.535-545
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    • 2015
  • In a various range of applications including hydrology, the type-I extreme value distribution has been extensively used as a probabilistic model for analyzing extreme events. In this paper, we introduce methods for estimating the scale parameter of the type-I extreme value distribution. A simulation study is performed to compare the estimators in terms of mean-squared error and bias, and the obtained results are provided.

On the Effects of Plotting Positions to the Probability Weighted Moments Method for the Generalized Logistic Distribution

  • Kim, Myung-Suk
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.561-576
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    • 2007
  • Five plotting positions are applied to the computation of probability weighted moments (PWM) on the parameters of the generalized logistic distribution. Over a range of parameter values with some finite sample sizes, the effects of five plotting positions are investigated via Monte Carlo simulation studies. Our simulation results indicate that the Landwehr plotting position frequently tends to document smaller biases than others in the location and scale parameter estimations. On the other hand, the Weibull plotting position often tends to cause larger biases than others. The plotting position (i - 0.35)/n seems to report smaller root mean square errors (RMSE) than other plotting positions in the negative shape parameter estimation under small samples. In comparison to the maximum likelihood (ML) method under the small sample, the PWM do not seem to be better than the ML estimators in the location and scale parameter estimations documenting larger RMSE. However, the PWM outperform the ML estimators in the shape parameter estimation when its magnitude is near zero. Sensitivity of right tail quantile estimation regarding five plotting positions is also examined, but superiority or inferiority of any plotting position is not observed.

Parameter Estimation and Confidence Limits for the Log-Gumbel Distribution (대수(對數)-Gumbel 확률분포함수(確率分布函數)의 매개변수(媒介變數) 추정(推定)과 신뢰한계(信賴限界) 유도(誘導))

  • Heo, Jun Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.151-161
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    • 1993
  • The log-Gumbel distribution in real space is defined by transforming the conventional log-Gumbel distribution in log space. For this model, the parameter estimation techniques are applied based on the methods of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments. The asymptotic variances of estimator of the quantiles for each estimation method are derived to find the confidence limits for a given return period. Finally, the log-Gumbel model is applied to actual flood data to estimate the parameters, quantiles and confidence limits.

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Parameter Estimation and Confidence Limits for the WeibulI Distribution (Weibull 확률분포함수(確率分布函數)의 매개변수(媒介變數) 추정(推定)과 신뢰한계(信賴限界) 유도(誘導))

  • Heo, Jun Haeng
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.13 no.4
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    • pp.141-150
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    • 1993
  • For the three parameter Weibull distribution, the parameter estimation techniques are applied and the asymptotic variances of the quantile to obtain the confidence limits for a given return period are derived. Three estimation techniques are used for these purposes: the methods of moments, maximum likelihood and probability weighted moments. The three parameter Weibull distribution as a flood frequency model is applied to actual flood data.

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Estimation of Design Rainfall by the Regional Frequency Analysis using Higher Probability Weighted Moments and GIS Techniques (III) - On the Method of LH-moments and GIS Techniques - (고차확률가중모멘트법에 의한 지역화빈도분석과 GIS기법에 의한 설계강우량 추정 (III) - LH-모멘트법과 GIS 기법을 중심으로 -)

  • 이순혁;박종화;류경식;지호근;신용희
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.44 no.5
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    • pp.41-53
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to derive the regional design rainfall by the regional frequency analysis based on the regionalization of the precipitation suggested by the first report of this project. According to the regions and consecutive durations, optimal design rainfalls were derived by the regional frequency analysis for L-moment in the second report of this project. Using the LH-moment ratios and Kolmogorov-Smirnov test, the optimal regional probability distribution was identified to be the Generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution among applied distributions. regional and at-site parameters of the GEV distribution were estimated by the linear combination of the higher probability weighted moments, LH-moment. Design rainfall using LH-moments following the consecutive duration were derived by the regional and at-site analysis using the observed and simulated data resulted from Monte Carlo techniques. Relative root-mean-square error (RRMSE), relative bias (RBIAS) and relative reduction (RR) in RRMSE for the design rainfall were computed and compared in the regional and at-site frequency analysis. Consequently, it was shown that the regional analysis can substantially more reduce the RRMSE, RBIAS and RR in RRMSE than at-site analysis in the prediction of design rainfall. Relative efficiency (RE) for an optimal order of L-moments was also computed by the methods of L, L1, L2, L3 and L4-moments for GEV distribution. It was found that the method of L-moments is more effective than the others for getting optimal design rainfall according to the regions and consecutive durations in the regional frequency analysis. Diagrams for the design rainfall derived by the regional frequency analysis using L-moments were drawn according to the regions and consecutive durations by GIS techniques.