• 제목/요약/키워드: probability-based design

검색결과 907건 처리시간 0.029초

Improving Durability Performance of Reinforced Concrete Structures with Probabilistic Analysis

  • Ferreira, Rui Miguel
    • International Journal of Concrete Structures and Materials
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    • 제2권2호
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    • pp.137-143
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    • 2008
  • In recent years, much research work has been performed on durability design and long-term performance of concrete structures in marine environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability design has been shown to provide a more realistic basis for the analysis. This approach has been successfully applied to several new concrete structures, where requirements for a more controlled durability and service life have been specified. For reinforced concrete structures in a marine environment, it is commonly assumed that the dominant degradation mechanism is the corrosion of the reinforcement due to the presence of chlorides. The design approach is based on the verification of durability limit states, examples of which are: depassivation of reinforcement, cracking and spalling due to corrosion, and collapse due to cross section loss of reinforcement. With this design approach the probability of failure can be determined as a function of time. In the present paper, a probability-based durability performance analysis is used in order to demonstrate the importance of the durability design approach of concrete structures in marine environments. In addition, the sensitivity of the various durability parameters affecting and controlling the durability of concrete structures in a marine environment is studied. Results show that the potential of this approach to assist durability design decisions making process is great. Based the crucial information generated, it is possible to prolong the service life of structures while simultaneously optimizing the final design solution.

Reliability analysis of circular tunnel with consideration of the strength limit state

  • Ghasemi, Seyed Hooman;Nowak, Andrzej S.
    • Geomechanics and Engineering
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    • 제15권3호
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    • pp.879-888
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    • 2018
  • Probability-based design codes have been developed to sufficiently confirm the safety level of structures. One of the most acceptable probability-based approaches is Load Resistance Factor Design (LRFD), which measures the safety level of the structures in terms of the reliability index. The main contribution of this paper is to calibrate the load and resistance factors of the design code for tunnels. The load and resistance factors are calculated using the available statistical models and probability-based procedures. The major steps include selection of representative structures, consideration of the limit state functions, calculation of reliability for the selected structures, selection of the target reliability index and calculation of load factors and resistance factors. The load and resistance models are reviewed. Statistical models of resistance (load carrying capacity) are summarized for strength limit state in bending, shear and compression. The reliability indices are calculated for several segments of a selected circular tunnel designed according to the tunnel manual report (Tunnel Manual). The novelty of this paper is the selection of the target reliability. In doing so, the uniform spectrum of reliability indices is proposed based on the probability paper. The final recommendation is proposed based on the closeness to the target reliability index.

부 최적화 문제의 근사적인 계산을 통한 신뢰도 최적설계 방범의 효율개선 (Enhancement of Computational Efficiency of Reliability Optimization Method by Approximate Evaluation of Sub-Optimization Problem)

  • 정도현;이병채
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제25권10호
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    • pp.1597-1604
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    • 2001
  • Alternative computational scheme is presented fur reliability based optimal design using a modified advanced first order second moment (AFOSH) method. Both design variables and design parameters are considered as random variables about their nominal values. Each probability constraint is transformed into a sub -optimization problem and then is resolved with the modified Hasofer- Lind-Rackwitz-Fiessler (HL-RF) method for computational efficiency and convergence. A method of design sensitivity analysis for probability constraint is presented and tested through simple examples. The suggested method is examined by solving several examples and the results are compared with those of other methods.

확률모델 불확실성을 고려한 구조물의 신뢰도 기반 최적설계 - 제1편: 설계 방법 (Reliability-based Structural Design Optimization Considering Probability Model Uncertainties - Part 1: Design Method)

  • 옥승용;박원석
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권5호
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    • pp.148-157
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    • 2012
  • Reliability-based design optimization (RBDO) problem is usually formulated as an optimization problem to minimize an objective function subjected to probabilistic constraint functions which may include deterministic design variables as well as random variables. The challenging task is that, because the probability models of the random variables are often assumed based on limited data, there exists a possibility of selecting inappropriate distribution models and/or model parameters for the random variables, which can often lead to disastrous consequences. In order to select the most appropriate distribution model from the limited observation data as well as model parameters, this study takes into account a set of possible candidate models for the random variables. The suitability of each model is then investigated by employing performance and risk functions. In this regard, this study enables structural design optimization and fitness assessment of the distribution models of the random variables at the same time. As the first paper of a two-part series, this paper describes a new design method considering probability model uncertainties. The robust performance of the proposed method is presented in Part 2. To demonstrate the effectiveness of the proposed method, an example of ten-bar truss structure is considered. The numerical results show that the proposed method can provide the optimal design variables while guaranteeing the most desirable distribution models for the random variables even in case the limited data are only available.

염해환경 콘크리트 구조물의 확률론적 내구성 해석 (A Probability-Based Durability Analysis of Concrete Structures in Chloride Containing Environments)

  • 권기준;김동백;정상화;채성태
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제22권3호
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    • pp.51-56
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    • 2007
  • In recent years, many research works have been carried out in order to obtain a more controlled durability and long-term performance of concrete structures in chloride containing environments. In particular, the development of new procedures for probability-based durability analysis/design has proved to be very valuable. Although there is still a lack of relevant data, this approach has been successfully applied to some new concrete structures. In this paper, the equation used for modelling of the chloride penetration was based on Fick's Second Law of Diffusion in combination with a time dependent diffusion coefficient. The probability analysis of the durability performance was performed by use of a Monte Carlo Simulation. The procedure was applied to an example based on limited data gathered in this country. The influences of each parameter on the durability of concrete structures are studied and some comments for durability design are given. The new procedure may be very useful in designing an important concrete structures in chloride containing environments. Also it may help to predict the service life of concrete structures under a given probability of failure.

강건 최적설계에서 통계적 모멘트와 확률 제한조건에 대한 효율적인 민감도 해석 (The Efficient Sensitivity Analysis on Statistical Moments and Probability Constraints in Robust Optimal Design)

  • 허재성;곽병만
    • 대한기계학회논문집A
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    • 제32권1호
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    • pp.29-34
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    • 2008
  • The efforts of reflecting the system's uncertainties in design step have been made and robust optimization or reliability-based design optimization are examples of the most famous methodologies. In their formulation, the mean and standard deviation of a performance function and constraints expressed by probability conditions are involved. Therefore, it is essential to effectively and accurately calculate them and, in addition, the sensitivity results are required to obtain when the nonlinear programming is utilized during optimization process. We aim to obtain the new and efficient sensitivity formulation, which is based on integral form, on statistical moments such as the mean and standard deviation, and probability constraints. It does not require the additional functional calculation when statistical moments and failure or satisfaction probabilities are already obtained at a design point. Moreover, some numerical examples have been calculated and compared with the exact solution or the results of Monte Carlo Simulation method. The results seem to be very satisfactory.

EXPERIMENTAL STUDY ON PROBABILITY OF STRENGTH FOR EPOXY ADHESIVE-BONDED METALS

  • Seo, Do-Won;Lim, Jae-Kyoo;Jeon, Yang-Bae;Yoon, Ho-Cheol
    • 대한용접접합학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 대한용접접합학회 2002년도 Proceedings of the International Welding/Joining Conference-Korea
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    • pp.688-693
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    • 2002
  • Adhesive bonding is becoming one of the popular joining techniques in metal industries, since it has some advantages over other techniques such as welding and diffusion bonding, e.g., any dissimilar metals are easily adhesive-bonded together. In this study, the experiments were carried out in order to provide the statistical data with strength evaluation methods: tension, shear and four-point bending tests for thermoplastic epoxy resin based adhesive-bonded metal joints. We should certificate on the probability of the adhesive strength that has the tendency of brittle fracture, the adhesive bonding strength between metals with thermoplastic adhesive has the best probability at four-point bending test. The strength testing method that has higher probability is four-point bending test, shear test and tensile test in order.

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설계 불확실성이 고려된 군용 통신 장비의 신뢰성 기반 최적설계 (The Reliability-Based Design Optimization for the Military Communication Equipment considering the Design Uncertainty)

  • 박대웅;문우용
    • 한국소음진동공학회:학술대회논문집
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    • 한국소음진동공학회 2011년도 추계학술대회 논문집
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    • pp.504-509
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    • 2011
  • The military communication equipment is required the high reliability for operating adequate functions under severe conditions. This reliability is the essential element for the quality of the product, for the uncontrolled factors, such as the clearance, damage of the material, the reduction of stiffness, which are the designer is unable to handle. In this paper, the uncertainty for the design was supposed to the probability model for the military communication equipment, and the average of the objective function was minimized for reducing design uncertainty. The reliability-based design optimization which was implemented the limit state function was formulated into the mathematical model, so the reliable optimized structure was implemented than the base-line design.

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확률론적 방법을 적용한 도로교량의 비파괴 압축강도식 평가 (Comparison Study on Nondestructive Strength Equation Based on Probability for Bridges)

  • 김훈겸
    • 한국도로학회논문집
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    • 제20권3호
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    • pp.39-46
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    • 2018
  • PURPOSES: This study is to estimate nondestructive strength equation based on probability for bridges using field test data. METHODS : In this study, a series of the field inspection and the test have been performed on 297 existing bridges, in order to evaluate the bridges, based on the test results of the in-depth inspection, and the estimated strengths by means of the nondestructive strength equations are analyzed and compared with results of the core specimen strengths. RESULTS : According to results of analyses, In case of standard design compressive strength of concrete is 18MPa, 21MPa, similar reliability of RILEM equation were 0.89~0.90, but in case of standard design compressive strength of concrete is 35MPa, 40MPa were 0.4~0.56. According to standard design compressive strength of concrete is 40MPa, similar reliability of ultrasonic pulse velocity method equation were 0.56. CONCLUSIONS :RILEM equation had high similar reliability than other equation in case of standard design compressive strength of concrete is 18MPa, 21MPa, but had low similar reliability than other equation in case of standard design compressive strength of concrete is 35MPa, 40MPa. and ultrasonic pulse velocity method equation had low similar reliability than other equation in case of standard design compressive strength of concrete is 40MPa.

확률모델 불확실성을 고려한 구조물의 신뢰도 기반 최적설계 - 제2편: 강인 성능 평가 (Reliability-based Structural Design Optimization Considering Probability Model Uncertainties - Part 2: Robust Performance Assessment)

  • 옥승용;박원석
    • 한국안전학회지
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    • 제27권6호
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    • pp.115-121
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    • 2012
  • This paper, being the second in a two-part series, presents the robust performance of the proposed design method which can enhance a reliability-based design optimization(RBDO) under the uncertainties of probabilistic models. The robust performances of the solutions obtained by the proposed method, described in the Part 1, are investigated through the parametric studies. A 10-bar truss example is considered, and the uncertain parameters include the number of data observed, and the variations of applied loadings and allowable stresses. The numerical results show that the proposed method can produce a consistent result despite of the large variations in the parameters. Especially, even with the relatively small data set, the analysis results show that the exact probabilistic model can be successfully predicted with optimized design sections. This consistency of estimating appropriate probability model is also observed in the case of the variations of other parameters, which verifies the robustness of the proposed method.