• Title/Summary/Keyword: probability theory

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Reliability Analysis of Frame Strctures (뼈대구조의 신뢰성 해석)

  • 이정재;고재군;김한중
    • Magazine of the Korean Society of Agricultural Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.116-127
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    • 1994
  • A reliability analysis model for the frame structure which grafts the discretized ideal plastic method to the stochastic finite element method is introduced. The proposed method simmulates realistically the sequencial occurrence of plastic hinges and yields the probability of failure directly from the geometrical and material properties of a frame structure. The presented method can also take into account the uncertainties inherent in loads and resisten- ces through the stochastic finite element technique. The analysis results are compared with those of the Monte Carlo Simmulation, the Bound Theory, and the fs-unzipping method, and show good agreement.

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RECURRENCE RELATIONS FOR QUOTIENT MOMENTS OF GENERALIZED PARETO DISTRIBUTION BASED ON GENERALIZED ORDER STATISTICS AND CHARACTERIZATION

  • Kumar, Devendra
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.27 no.3
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    • pp.347-361
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    • 2014
  • Generalized Pareto distribution play an important role in reliability, extreme value theory, and other branches of applied probability and statistics. This family of distribution includes exponential distribution, Pareto or Lomax distribution. In this paper, we established exact expressions and recurrence relations satised by the quotient moments of generalized order statistics for a generalized Pareto distribution. Further the results for quotient moments of order statistics and records are deduced from the relations obtained and a theorem for characterizing this distribution is presented.

The Application of Fuzzy Set Theory into Precise Adjustment System

  • Ishimaru, Ichirou
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Intelligent Systems Conference
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    • 1993.06a
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    • pp.1155-1158
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    • 1993
  • Proficiency in creating a knowledge base is required for high accuracy fuzzy control. To overcome this a fuzzy inference method is proposed that take these membership functions from the probability densities showing the distribution of the mesurement values. And a method using a rough fuzzy knowledge base automatically created from the basic measurement data and tuned using the gradient method is proposed. In actual tests, these were applied to automatic high accuracy adjustment devices for magnetic head and for high frequency circuits with good results.

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A Study on Optimal Allocation of Short Surface-to-Air Missile (단거리 지대공 미사일의 최적배치에 관한 연구)

  • 이영해;남상억
    • Journal of the military operations research society of Korea
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    • v.26 no.1
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    • pp.34-46
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    • 2000
  • The object of this study is to construct a model for an optimal allocation of short surface to air missile defending our targets most efficiently from hostile aircraft´s attack. For the purpose of this, we analyze and establish facility allocation concept of existing models, apply set covering theory appropriate to problem´s properties, present the process of calculating the probability of target being protected, apply Sherali-Kim´s branching variable selection strategy, and then construct the model. As constructed model apply the reducing problem with application, we confirm that we can apply the large scale, real problem.

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THE MEAN VALUE AND VARIANCE OF ONE-SIDED FUZZY SETS

  • Park, Jin Won;Yun, Yong Sik;Kang, Kyoung Hun
    • Journal of the Chungcheong Mathematical Society
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    • v.23 no.3
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    • pp.511-521
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    • 2010
  • In this paper, we define the one-sided fuzzy set and we calculate the mean value and variance, defined by C. Carlsson and R. $Full{\acute{e}}r$, of this fuzzy set. And we obtain a result that, in some special case, the mean of the product of two fuzzy sets is the product of means of each fuzzy sets. This result can be considered as the similar result which is well-known in the independence of events in probability theory.

A REFINEMENT OF THE JENSEN-SIMIC-MERCER INEQUALITY WITH APPLICATIONS TO ENTROPY

  • Sayyari, Yamin
    • The Pure and Applied Mathematics
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.51-57
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    • 2022
  • The Jensen, Simic and Mercer inequalities are very important inequalities in theory of inequalities and some results are devoted to this inequalities. In this paper, firstly, we establish extension of Jensen-Simic-Mercer inequality. After that, we investigate bounds for Shannons entropy of a probability distribution. Finally, We give some new applications in analysis.

RESULTS ON THE HADAMARD-SIMPSON'S INEQUALITIES

  • Asraa Abd Jaleel Husien
    • Nonlinear Functional Analysis and Applications
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    • v.29 no.1
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    • pp.47-56
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    • 2024
  • It is well known that inequalities enable us to analyze and solve complex problems with precision and efficiency. The inequalities provide powerful tools for establishing bounds, optimizing solutions, and deepening our understanding of mathematical concepts, paving the way for advancements in areas such as optimization, analysis, and probability theory. In this paper, we present some properties for Hadamard-Simpsons type inequalities in the classic integral and Riemann-Liouville fractional integral. We use the convexity of the given function and its first derivative.

Fuzzy event tree analysis for quantified risk assessment due to oil and gas leakage in offshore installations

  • Cheliyan, A.S.;Bhattacharyya, S.K.
    • Ocean Systems Engineering
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.41-55
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    • 2018
  • Accidental oil and gas leak is a critical concern for the offshore industry because it can lead to severe consequences and as a result, it is imperative to evaluate the probabilities of occurrence of the consequences of the leakage in order to assess the risk. Event Tree Analysis (ETA) is a technique to identify the consequences that can result from the occurrence of a hazardous event. The probability of occurrence of the consequences is evaluated by the ETA, based on the failure probabilities of the sequential events. Conventional ETA deals with events with crisp failure probabilities. In offshore applications, it is often difficult to arrive at a single probability measure due to lack of data or imprecision in data. In such a scenario, fuzzy set theory can be applied to handle imprecision and data uncertainty. This paper presents fuzzy ETA (FETA) methodology to compute the probability of the outcomes initiated due to oil/gas leak in an actual offshore-onshore installation. Post FETA, sensitivity analysis by Fuzzy Weighted Index (FWI) method is performed to find the event that has the maximum contribution to the severe sequences. It is found that events of 'ignition', spreading of fire to 'equipment' and 'other areas' are the highest contributors to the severe consequences, followed by failure of 'leak detection' and 'fire detection' and 'fire water not being effective'. It is also found that the frequency of severe consequences that are catastrophic in nature obtained by ETA is one order less than that obtained by FETA, thereby implying that in ETA, the uncertainty does not propagate through the event tree. The ranking of severe sequences based on their probability, however, are identical in both ETA and FETA.

Probability Distribution of Project Completion Times in Simulation based Scheduling (시뮬레이션 일정기법;최종공사기간의 확률 통계적 특성 추정)

  • Lee, Dong-Eun;Kim, Ryul-Hee
    • Proceedings of the Korean Institute Of Construction Engineering and Management
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    • 2007.11a
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    • pp.327-330
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    • 2007
  • This paper verifies that the normality assumption that the simulation output data, Project Completion Times (PCTs), follow normal distribution is not always acceptable and the existing belief may lead to misleading results. A risk quantification method, which measures the effect caused by the assumption, relative to the probability distribution of PCTs is implemented as an algorithm in MATLAB. To validate the reliability of the quantification, several series of simulation experiments have been carried out to analyze a set of simulation output data which are obtained from different type of Probability Distribution Function (PDF) assigned to activities'duration in a network. The method facilitates to find the effect of PDF type and its parameters. The procedure necessary for performing the risk quantification method is described in detail along with the findings. This paper contributes to improving the reliability of simulation based scheduling method, as well as increasing the accuracy of analysis results.

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A Simplified Method for Predicting Failure Probability of Pipelines with Corrosion Defects (부식결함을 가진 배관의 파손확률 예측을 위한 단순화된 방법)

  • Lee, Jin-Han;Kim, Young-Seob;Kim, Lae-Hyun
    • Journal of the Korean Institute of Gas
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    • v.14 no.4
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    • pp.31-36
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    • 2010
  • An alternative method is presented for predicting failure probability of pipelines with corrosion defects in this paper. The failure of corroded pipeline occurs when the operating pressure is grater than the remaining strength of the pipeline, and a limit state function can be defined as the differences between the remaining strength and the operating pressure. Then, based on structural reliability theory, we can estimate the failure probability of corroded pipeline, which is dependent on elapsed time of the pipeline with active corrosion defects. In this study, a root finding (RF) method has been adopted to solve the limit state function instead of Monte-Carlo simulation (MCS) method which traditionally has been employed to solve those kinds of problems. The calculation results shows that there are only small differences between the RF and the MCS method but the RF has higher efficiency in calculation than the MCS.