• Title/Summary/Keyword: probabilistic models

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Probabilistic Analysis of Design Live Loads on A Refrigeration Store (냉동 창고 상시 적재하중에 관한 확률론적 연구)

  • Kim, Dai-Ho;Jeong, Jae-Hun;Won, Young-SuI;Joo, Kyung-Jai
    • Journal of the Korea institute for structural maintenance and inspection
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    • v.5 no.4
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    • pp.109-120
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    • 2001
  • Live load data were collected with a systematic manner from a survey of a refrigeration stores. Using the collected floor live load survey data, the basic statistics, a histogram of the uniformly distributed loads, and the equivalent uniformly distributed loads are computed for various structural members. Based on the above results, the maximum values of a combined live loads during the design life have been estimated and compared with current design live loads. The ultimate goals of this study are to develop probabilistic live load models to analyze survey data of domestic refrigeration stores, and to propose design live loads for structural types.

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Probabilistic analysis of structural pounding considering soil-structure interaction

  • Naeej, Mojtaba;Amiri, Javad Vaseghi
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.22 no.3
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    • pp.289-304
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    • 2022
  • During strong ground motions, adjacent structures with insufficient separation distances collide with each other causing considerable architectural and structural damage or collapse of the whole structure. Generally, existing design procedures for determining the separation distance between adjacent buildings subjected to structural pounding are based on approximations of the buildings' peak relative displacement. These procedures are based on unknown safety levels. This paper attempts to evaluate the influence of foundation flexibility on the structural seismic response by considering the variability in the system and uncertainties in the ground motion characteristics through comprehensive numerical simulations. Actually, the aim of this study is to evaluate the influence of foundation flexibility on probabilistic evaluation of structural pounding. A Hertz-damp pounding force model has been considered in order to effectively capture impact forces during collisions. In total, 5.25 million time-history analyses were performed over the adopted models using an ensemble of 25 ground motions as seismic input within OpenSees software. The results of the study indicate that the soil-structure interaction significantly influences the pounding-involved responses of adjacent structures during earthquakes and generally increases the pounding probability.

Probabilistic Evaluation on Prediction Accuracy of the Strains by Double Surface and Single Surface Constitutive Model (확률론에 의환 Double Surface와 Single Surface 구성모델의 변형을 예측 정도의 평가)

  • Jeong, Jin Seob;Song, Young Sun;Kim, Chan Kee
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.14 no.1
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    • pp.217-229
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    • 1994
  • A probabilistic method was employed to compare the prediction accuracy of axial and volumetric strains of Lade's double surface model with that of single surface model. Several experiments were conducted to examine the variabilities of soil parameters for two models using Back-ma river sand. Mean values and standard deviations of soil parameters obtained from experimental data were used for the evaluation of the uncertainty of analyzed strains by the first order approximation. It is shown that the variabilities of parameters in the single surface model are more consistent than those of the double surface model. However, in the accuracy of axial strain by probabilistic analysis, double surface model is more stable than single surface model. It is also shown that two models are excellent in view of the accuracy of the volumetric strain. The method given in this paper may be effectively utilized to estimate the constitutive model because other results of the comparison of two models coincide with those of this paper.

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Impact of Sensing Models on Probabilistic Blanket Coverage in Wireless Sensor Network (무선 센서 네트워크에서 Probabilistic Blanket Coverage에 대한 센싱 모델의 영향)

  • Pudasaini, Subodh;Kang, Moon-Soo;Shin, Seok-Joo
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Communications and Information Sciences
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    • v.35 no.7A
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    • pp.697-705
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    • 2010
  • In Wireless Sensor Networks (WSNs), blanket (area) coverage analysis is generally carried to find the minimum number of active sensor nodes required to cover a monitoring interest area with the desired fractional coverage-threshold. Normally, the coverage analysis is performed using the stochastic geometry as a tool. The major component of such coverage analysis is the assumed sensing model. Hence, the accuracy of such analysis depends on the underlying assumption of the sensing model: how well the assumed sensing model characterizes the real sensing phenomenon. In this paper, we review the coverage analysis for different deterministic and probabilistic sensing models like Boolean and Shadow-fading model; and extend the analysis for Exponential and hybrid Boolean-Exponential model. From the analytical performance comparison, we demonstrate the redundancy (in terms of number of sensors) that could be resulted due to the coverage analysis based on the detection capability mal-characterizing sensing models.

Probabilistic analysis of efficiencies for sorting algorithms with a finite number of records based on an asymptotic algorithm analysis (점근적 분석 모형에 기초한 유한개 레코드 정렬 알고리즘 효율성의 확률적 분석)

  • 김숙영
    • Journal of the Korea Computer Industry Society
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    • v.5 no.2
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    • pp.325-330
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    • 2004
  • The Big O notation of a sorting algorithm analysis is an asymptotic algorithm analysis which gives information of a rough mathematical function with an infinite increase of a sample size, without any specification of a probabilistic model. Hence. in an application with a limited finite number of data, it is necessary to test efficiencies of sorting algorithms. I estimated probabilistic models which analyze the number of exchanges varying input sizes to sort. The estimated models to explain the relationship of sorting efficiency on the sample size (N of the sample size and S of the number of exchange of elements) are S=0.9305 $N^{1.339}$ for Quick sort algorithm with O(nlogn) time complexity, and S=0.2232 $N^{2.0130}$ for Insertion sort algorithm with O( $n^2$) time complexity. Furthermore, there are strongly supports that more than 99% of the above relationship could be explained by the estimated models (p<0.001). These findings suggest it is necessary to analyze sorting algorithm efficiency in applications with a finite number of data or a newly developed sorting algorithm.

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Development of Probabilistic Models Optimized for Korean Marine Environment Varying from Sea to Sea Based on the Three-parameter Weibull Distribution (우리나라 해역별 해양환경에 최적화된 확률모형 개발)

  • Yong Jun Cho
    • Journal of Korean Society of Coastal and Ocean Engineers
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    • v.36 no.1
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    • pp.20-36
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    • 2024
  • In this study, probabilistic models for the wave- and lifting forces were derived directly from long-term in-situ wave data embedding the Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea based on the Three-Parameter Weibull distribution. Korean marine environment characteristics varying from sea to sea carved out their presence on the probability coefficients of probabilistic models for wave- and lifting forces. Energetic wave conditions along the southern coast of Korea distinguish themselves from the others with a relatively large scale coefficient, small location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.3. On the other hand, mild marine environment along the western coast has a small variability, leading to small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient and shape coefficient around 2.0. In the sea off Mokpo, near the boundary between the South- and West Seas, marine environment was characterized by small scale-coefficient, large location coefficient, and shape coefficient around 1.2, implying that marine environments characteristics of the South-and West Sea coexist in the sea off Mokpo.

Development of Probabilistic Wind Load Models (국내 풍하중의 확률적 모형 개발)

  • 김상효;배규웅;박홍석
    • Computational Structural Engineering
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    • v.3 no.2
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    • pp.109-115
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    • 1990
  • The probabilistic characteristics of wind loads have been analyzed using statistical data on wind speeds, pressure coefficient, exposure coefficient, and gust factor. The wind speed data collected at 25 nationwide weather stations have been modified to be consistent in measuring height, exposure condition as well as averaging time. Having performed Monte Carlo simulation for various heights and site conditions, the statistical models of wind loads were determined, in which Type-I extreme value distribution has been applied. The models also incorporate a reduction factor of 0.85 to account for the reduced probability that the maximum wind speed will occur in a direction most unfavorable to the response of structure.

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Hunan Interaction Recognition with a Network of Dynamic Probabilistic Models (동적 확률 모델 네트워크 기반 휴먼 상호 행동 인식)

  • Suk, Heung-Il;Lee, Seong-Whan
    • Journal of KIISE:Software and Applications
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    • v.36 no.11
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    • pp.955-959
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    • 2009
  • In this paper, we propose a novel method for analyzing human interactions based on the walking trajectories of human subjects. Our principal assumption is that an interaction episode is composed of meaningful smaller unit interactions, which we call 'sub-interactions.' The whole interactions are represented by an ordered concatenation or a network of sub-interaction models. From the experiments, we could confirm the effectiveness and robustness of the proposed method by analyzing the inner workings of an interaction network and comparing the performance with other previous approaches.

Focal Depth Factors in the PSH Analysis

  • Kim, Jun-Kyoung
    • Journal of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea
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    • v.2 no.3
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    • pp.83-86
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    • 1998
  • The results from the Individual Plant Examination of External Event of Yonggwyang nuclear power plants, unit 3 & 4, in Korea have shown that the high degree of diversities of the experts' opinions on seismicity and attenuation models is su, pp.sed to be generic cause of uncertainty of APEs(annual exceedance probability) in the PAHA(probabilistic seismic hazard analysis). This study investigated the sensitivity of the focal depth, which is one of the most uncertain seismicity parameters in Korea, Significant differences in resultant values of annual exceedance probabilities and much more symmetrical shape of the resultant PDFs(probability density functions), in case of consideration of focal depth, are found. These two results suggest that, even for the same seismic input data set including the seismicity models and ground motion attenuation models, to consider focal depth additionally for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis evaluation makes significant influence on the distributions of uncertainties and probabilities of exceedance per year for the whole ranges of seismic hazard levels. These facts suggest that it is necessary to derive focal depth parameter more effectively from the historical and instrumental documents on earthquake phenomena in Koran Peninsula for the future study of PSHA.

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Rapid seismic vulnerability assessment by new regression-based demand and collapse models for steel moment frames

  • Kia, M.;Banazadeh, M.;Bayat, M.
    • Earthquakes and Structures
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.203-214
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    • 2018
  • Predictive demand and collapse fragility functions are two essential components of the probabilistic seismic demand analysis that are commonly developed based on statistics with enormous, costly and time consuming data gathering. Although this approach might be justified for research purposes, it is not appealing for practical applications because of its computational cost. Thus, in this paper, Bayesian regression-based demand and collapse models are proposed to eliminate the need of time-consuming analyses. The demand model developed in the form of linear equation predicts overall maximum inter-story drift of the lowto mid-rise regular steel moment resisting frames (SMRFs), while the collapse model mathematically expressed by lognormal cumulative distribution function provides collapse occurrence probability for a given spectral acceleration at the fundamental period of the structure. Next, as an application, the proposed demand and collapse functions are implemented in a seismic fragility analysis to develop fragility and consequently seismic demand curves of three example buildings. The accuracy provided by utilization of the proposed models, with considering computation reduction, are compared with those directly obtained from Incremental Dynamic analysis, which is a computer-intensive procedure.