• Title/Summary/Keyword: pricing derivatives

Search Result 19, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Pricing weather derivatives: An application to the electrical utility

  • Zou, Zhixia;Lee, Kwang-Bong
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.23 no.2
    • /
    • pp.365-374
    • /
    • 2012
  • Weather derivatives designed to manage casual changes of weather, as opposed to catastrophic risks of weather, are relatively a new class of financial instruments. There are still many theoretical and practical challenges to the effective use of these instruments. The objective of this paper is to develop a pricing approach for valuing weather derivatives and presents a case study that is practical enough to be used by the risk managers of electrical utility firms. Utilizing daily average temperature data of Guangzhou, China from $1^{st}$ January 1978 to $31^{st}$ December 2010, this paper adopted a univariate time series model to describe weather behavior dynamics and calculates equilibrium prices for weather futures and options for an electrical utility firm in the region. The results imply that the risk premium is an important part of derivatives prices and the market price of risk affects option values much more than forward prices. It also demonstrates that weather innovation as well as weather risk management significantly affect the utility's financial outcomes.

Option Pricing and Sensitivity Evaluation Methodology: Improvement of Speed and Accuracy (옵션 가치 및 민감도 평가 방법: 속도와 정확도 개선에 대한 고찰)

  • Choi, Young-Soo;Oh, Se-Jin;Lee, Won-Chang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.15 no.4
    • /
    • pp.563-585
    • /
    • 2008
  • This paper presents how to improve the efficiency and accuracy in the pricing and sensitivity evaluation for derivatives, since the need for the evaluation of complicated derivatives is increased. The Monte Carlo(MC) simulation using the quasi random number instead of pseudo random number can improve the elapsed time and accuracy for the valuation of European-type derivatives. However, the quasi MC simulation method has its limit for applying it in the multi-dimensional case such as American-type and path-dependent options due to the increased correlation between dimensions as the dimension of random numbers is increased. In order to complement this problem, we develop a modified method in which correlation values are controlled to be below a pre-specified value. Thus, this method is applicable for the pricing of either derivatives ill which underlying assets or risk factors are several or derivatives having path-dependent or early redemption property. Furthermore, we illustrate that it is important to take an appropriate grid interval for the use of finite difference method(FDM) by applying the FDM to one example of non-symmetrical butterfly spreads.

Levy-Type Swaption Pricing Model (Levy-Swaption 가치 평가 모형)

  • Lee, Joon-Hee;Park, Jong-Woo
    • Korean Management Science Review
    • /
    • v.25 no.3
    • /
    • pp.1-12
    • /
    • 2008
  • The Swaption is one of the popular Interest rates derivatives. In spite of such a popularity, the swaption pricing formula is hard to derived within the theoretical consistency. Most of swaption pricing model are heavily depending on the simulation technique. We present a new class of swaption model based on the multi-factor HJM levy-mixture model. A key contribution of this paper is to provide a generalized swaption pricing formula encompassing many market stylize facts. We provide an approximated closed form solution of the swaption price using the Gram-Charlier expansion. Specifically, the solution form is similar to the market models, since our approximation is based on the Lognormal distribution. It can be directly compared with the traditional Black's formula when the size of third and fourth moments are not so large. The proposed extended levy model is also expected to be capable of producing the volatility smiles and skewness.

Understanding Black-Scholes Option Pricing Model

  • Lee, Eun-Kyung;Lee, Yoon-Dong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.14 no.2
    • /
    • pp.459-479
    • /
    • 2007
  • Theories related to financial market has received big attention from the statistics community. However, not many courses on the topic are provided in statistics departments. Because the financial theories are entangled with many complicated mathematical and physical theories as well as ambiguously stated financial terminologies. Based on our experience on the topic, we try to explain the rather complicated terminologies and theories with easy-to-understand words. This paper will briefly cover the topics of basic terminologies of derivatives, Black-Scholes pricing idea, and related basic mathematical terminologies.

Designing Forward Markets for Electricity using Weather Derivatives (날씨파생상품을 이용한 전기선물시장 설계)

  • Yoo, Shiyong
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.319-353
    • /
    • 2006
  • This paper shows how weather derivatives can be used to hedge against the price risk and volume risk of purchasing relatively large amounts of electricity. Our specific approach to designing new contracts for electricity is to focus on the return over a summer season rather than on the daily levels of demand and price. It is shown that correct market signals can be preserved in a contract and the associated financial risk can be offset by weather options. The advantage of combining a forward contract with a weather derivative is that the high prices on hot days or when the temperature is high reflect the underlying high cost of producing power when the load is high and that the combined contract with a weather derivative substantially reduces the volatility of the return.

  • PDF

PRICING VULNERABLE POWER OPTION UNDER A CEV DIFFUSION

  • Ha, Mijin;Kim, Donghyun;Yoon, Ji-Hun
    • East Asian mathematical journal
    • /
    • v.37 no.5
    • /
    • pp.553-566
    • /
    • 2021
  • In the over-the-counter market, option's buyers could have a problem for default risk caused by option's writers. In addition, many participants try to maximize their benefits obviously in investing the financial derivatives. Taking all these circumstances into consideration, we deal with the vulnerable power options under a constant elasticity variance (CEV) model. We derive an analytic pricing formula for the vulnerable power option by using the asymptotic analysis, and then we verify that the analytic formula can be obtained accurately by comparing our solution with Monte-Carlo price. Finally, we examine the effect of CEV on the option price based on the derived solution.

Option Pricing using Differentiable Neural Networks (미분가능 신경망을 이용한 옵션 가격결정)

  • Chi, Sang-Mun
    • Journal of the Korea Institute of Information and Communication Engineering
    • /
    • v.25 no.4
    • /
    • pp.501-507
    • /
    • 2021
  • Neural networks with differentiable activation functions are differentiable with respect to input variables. We improve the approximation capability of neural networks by using the gradient and Hessian of neural networks to satisfy the differential equations of the problems of interest. We apply differential neural networks to the pricing of financial options, where stochastic differential equations and the Black-Scholes partial differential equation represent the differential relation of price of option and underlying assets, and the first and second derivatives of option price play an important role in financial engineering. The proposed neural network learns - (a) the sample paths of option prices generated by stochastic differential equations and (b) the Black-Scholes equation at each time and asset price. Experimental results show that the proposed method gives accurate option values and the first and second derivatives.

DYNAMIC AUTOCORRELATION TEMPERATURE MODELS FOR PRICING THE WEATHER DERIVATIVES IN KOREA

  • Choi, H.W;Chung, S.K
    • Journal of applied mathematics & informatics
    • /
    • v.9 no.2
    • /
    • pp.771-785
    • /
    • 2002
  • Many industries like energy, utilities, ice cream and leisure sports are closely related to the weather. In order to hedge weather related risks, they invest their assets with portfolios like option, coupons, future, and other weather derivatives. Among weather related derivatives, CDD and HDD index options are mainly transacted between companies. In this paper, the autocorrelation system of temperature will be checked for several cities in Korea and the parameter estimation will be carried based on the maximum likelihood estimation. Since the log likelihood increase as the number of parameters increases, we adopt the Schwarz information criterion .