• Title/Summary/Keyword: population-based

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Comparative analysis of official demographics (공식인구통계들에 대한 비교 분석)

  • 김종태
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.28 no.1
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2017
  • There are three official official demographics of the Republic of Korea: the population census, population projections, and resident population. Among these, the population projections estimates are based on population census statistics, which are conducted every five years. This study compared and analyzed the future population statistics and resident population statistics. In order to detect errors in the census process, we surveyed the outliers of demographic data. Based on these, we aimed to verify the reliability of official demographics. Resident registration demographics showed a tendency to increase as the age increased from 0 to 12 years, although the population had to decrease as the age increased. In the population projections, as the age increases from 18 to 28, a new population has developed and the population has increased. Also, in the resident population, between 2009 and 2010, in the population projections, between 2010 and 2011, there was a strange phenomenon that the population grew as a result of a new population as the age of all ages increased. Both official demographics need to be carried out through more accurate verification. Increasing the reliability of the aged population survey on the elderly population statistics will provide greater efficiency in establishing administrative policies.

Machine Learning Based Architecture and Urban Data Analysis - Construction of Floating Population Model Using Deep Learning - (머신러닝을 통한 건축 도시 데이터 분석의 기초적 연구 - 딥러닝을 이용한 유동인구 모델 구축 -)

  • Shin, Dong-Youn
    • Journal of KIBIM
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    • v.9 no.1
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    • pp.22-31
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    • 2019
  • In this paper, we construct a prototype model for city data prediction by using time series data of floating population, and use machine learning to analyze urban data of complex structure. A correlation prediction model was constructed using three of the 10 data (total flow population, male flow population, and Monday flow population), and the result was compared with the actual data. The results of the accuracy were evaluated. The results of this study show that the predicted model of the floating population predicts the correlation between the predicted floating population and the current state of commerce. It is expected that it will help efficient and objective design in the planning stages of architecture, landscape, and urban areas such as tree environment design and layout of trails. Also, it is expected that the dynamic population prediction using multivariate time series data and collected location data will be able to perform integrated simulation with time series data of various fields.

Population size, group and age structure of geladas (Theropithecus gelada) in escarpments of Eastern Tigray, Ethiopia: implication for conservation

  • Girmay, Teklay;Dati, Deribe
    • Journal of Ecology and Environment
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    • v.44 no.3
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    • pp.178-184
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    • 2020
  • Background: Geladas (Theropithecus gelada), endemic to Ethiopia, are distributed closely related to the escarpments and gorge systems of the country, and large populations are found in the Simien Mountain National Park. This study was conducted in Eastern Tigray, Northern Ethiopia, from February 2018 to August 2019 in order to determine population size and composition of geladas. Total count method was used to estimate the population structure of geladas. Observations of the group of geladas based on body size and morphological characteristics were used to classify age and sex categories of the population. SPSS Version 20 was used to analyze the data. Chi-square test was used to compare sex ratio of geladas and population size among the counting sites between wet and dry seasons. Results: A total of 112 and 99 individual of geladas were counted during wet and dry seasons, respectively. Of the average gelada population recorded in this study, 11.4% were adult males, 30.3% were adult females, 12.8% were sub-adult males, 25.6% were sub-adult females, and 19.9% were unidentified juveniles. However, there was no statistically significant difference among the various age and sex groups of geladas counted during wet and dry season (χ2 = 2.6, DF = 4, P > 0.05). Variations of group size along seasons were observed in this study. Sex ratio of adult male to adult female was 1:2.6 and 1:2.7 during the dry and wet seasons, respectively. Conclusion: Very small gelada population size was recorded in the current study. An average of 105.5 geladas was recorded during the study period. As this is the first report of gelada population in escarpments of Eastern Tigray, population trend of the geladas cannot decide based on the current study.

Trend of Population Change and Future Population in Korea - Korean Future in Year 2000; Long Term National Development - (인구변동 추이와 전망 -2000년대를 향한 국가장기발전 구상을 중심으로-)

  • 고갑석
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.8 no.1
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    • pp.87-117
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    • 1985
  • In Principle, the distriction should be understood between projections and forecasts. When the author or user of a projection is willing to describe it as indicating the most likely population at a give date, then he has made a forecast Population change since 1 960 has been reviewed briefly in order to forecast the population of Korea in the year 2,000 which is a leading factor in long term national development plan for which Korea Institute for Population and Health (KIPH) has been participated since 1983. The author of this paper introduced the population forecast prepared for the long term national development plan and an attempt of comparisons with other forecasts such as D.P. Smith's, T. Frejka's, Economic Planning Board's (EPB), UN's and S.B. Lee's was made. Those six forecasts of Korean future population in year 2,000 varried from 48.5 million to 50.0 million due to the base population and assumption of fertility and mortality however the range of total population size is not large enough. Taking four forecasts such as KIPH, EPB, UN, and Lee based on 1980 population census results and latest data of fertility and mortality, KIPH and UN forecast are close in total population size even though there was a slight difference in fertility and mortality assumptions. The smallest size of total population was shown by S.B. Lee (see Table 13) although the difference between KIPH and Lee was approximately one million which is two percent of total population in year 2,000. As a summary of conclusion the author pointed out that one can take anyone of forecasts prepared by different body because size and proportion wise of the Korean population until early I 990s can not be different much and new population projections must be provided by using 1985 population census data and other latest fertility and mortality information coflected by Korea Institute for Population and Health and Economic Planning Board in forth comming year.

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Genetic diversity and population structure of endangered Neofinetia falcata (Orchidaceae) in South Korea based on microsatellite analysis

  • Han, Jeong Eun;Choi, Byoung-Hee;Kwak, Myounghai
    • Journal of Species Research
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.354-362
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    • 2018
  • Population genetic assessment is essential for the conservation and management of endangered and rare plants. Neofinetia falcata is endangered epiphyte orchid and protected by law in Korea. In Korea, this species is only found on islands in the South Sea of Korea (including Jeju-do) and the southern coast of the Korean Peninsula. We developed nine microsatellite makers to assess the genetic diversity and population genetic structure of three populations of N. falcata. The genetic diversity at the species level was low, which can be attributed to inbreeding or fragmentation into small, isolated populations. A recent bottleneck was detected in one population, likely due to overcollection. N. falcata exhibited moderated levels of differentiation among populations, with the three populations were divided into two clusters based on genetic structure. The genetic diversity and structure of N. falcata are affected by restricted gene flow by pollen or seeds due to isolation and geographic distance. Strategies for in situ and ex situ conservation of this species are been proposed based on the results of our study.

Study on Effects of Population Stratification on Haplotype Trend Test in Case-Control Studies (환자-대조군 연구에서 인구집단 층화가 일배체형 경향성 검정에 미치는 영향)

  • Kim, Jin-Heum;Kang, Dae-Ryong;Lim, Hyun-Sun;Nam, Chung-Mo
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.22 no.5
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    • pp.1085-1096
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    • 2009
  • Population stratification can cause spurious associations between genetic markers and disease locus. In order to handle this population stratification in haplotype-based case-control association studies, we added population indicators as covariates to the haplotype trend regression model proposed by Zaykin et al. (2002). We investigated through simulations how both population stratification and measurement error in the estimation of true population of each individual affect type I error probabilities of the association tests based on both Zaykin et al.'s (2002) model and the proposed model. Based on those results, in the situation that there exists population stratification but there is no error in population classification of each individual, our proposed model does satisfy a type I error probability whereas Zaykin et al.'s (2002) model does not. However, as the measurement error increases, a type I error probability of our model correspondingly becomes larger than a nominal significance level. It implies that as long as uncertainty in the estimation of true population of each individual still remains, it is nearly impossible to avoid false positive in case-control association studies based on haplotypes.

A Comparison of Estimation Method for Population Exposed to Noise Using Noise Map (소음지도를 이용한 소음노출인구 산정방법별 비교)

  • Choi, Sung Kyu;Lee, Byung Chan
    • Transactions of the Korean Society for Noise and Vibration Engineering
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    • v.24 no.10
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    • pp.802-808
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    • 2014
  • The purpose of this study is to suggest efficient methods for estimating population exposed to noises by analyzing differences of population exposed to noises estimated by each method through comparing exposed population estimated by utilizing existing methods and those estimated by using census output areas reflecting the actual population information of each address. For population exposed to noises, the error of exposed population estimated by using the per capita living space turned out to be the biggest, and other estimation methods had no significant difference. For population exposed to excess noises, as a result of analyzing population estimated by each method based on census output areas, the error of the method using a grid noise map turned out to be the biggest. For the method to estimate population exposed to noises by using a noise map, the estimation methods using census output areas and total ground area are considered to be more rational than the grid noise map estimation method or the method to estimate the living space per capita.

Analysis of Structural Characteristics of the old-age Population in Korea (우리나라 노령인구의 구조적 특성에 관한 분석)

  • 김경숙
    • Korea journal of population studies
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    • v.3 no.1
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    • pp.62-77
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    • 1979
  • The purpose of this study is to explain the increasing trend of the aged population and its demographic characteristics. This study is based on the data for the aged population above 65 years old published by the Bureau of Statistics, Economic Planning Board. The increasing trend of the aged population has been analyzed and projected from 1955 to the year 2000. Some demographic charicteristics of the aged population including marital status, educational status and status of economic activities have also been analyzed in order to identify the problems associated with aging of population in Korea. The study offers the following conclusion. 1. The aged population index, the proportion of aged population to total population was 3.6 in 1975 and projected to be 6.6 in 2000. There has been steady increase of the aged population is reflected in changes of population structure. The proportional change of the aged population index was 100.0 in 1955, 109.0 in 1975 and 200.0 in 2000 respectively. 2. As for marital status of the aged population 77.6 per cent of male were married while 24.3 per cent of female were married in 1975. 22 per cent of male were widowed while it spouses died declined remarkable the mortality rate declined. 3. As the educational status of the aged, 77 per cent never attended school and 18 per cent attended from a primary school. This is very low and the number of educated men is higher than that of educated women. The rank ordering of schooling is city, Eub and Myeon in that aged. 4. The dependency ratio of the aged population was 5.9 in 1955, 6.1 in 1975 and will be 9.8 in 2000. It is gradually increasing as indicated above 20 per cent of aged population was economically active of these, they are employed in the following occupations as listed in order of the magnitude of the aged population employed. The employment status of the aged workers shows that a greater number of persons are self-employed than workers for another employer. In particular, temporary employees comprise 56.0 per cent of those employed.

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An Estimation of the National Cancer Incidence in Korea for 2000-2002 Using the Databases of 8 Population-based Regional Cancer Registries (한국 8개 지역암등록본부 자료를 활용한 2000-2002년 한국인 국가 암통계 추정)

  • Bae, Jong-Myeon
    • Journal of Preventive Medicine and Public Health
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    • v.41 no.6
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    • pp.380-386
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    • 2008
  • Objectives: Valid data on the national cancer incidence (NCI) is the data should be needed to plan, monitor and evaluate the national cancer control programs. The purpose of this study was to estimate the NCI for 2000-2002 from 8 population-based cancer registries database in Korea (KRCR DB). Methods: We defined the expected number of cancer cases in each registry as the number of observed cases and then adding to the weighted observed cases, according to sex, age groups, and the proportion of the population covered by each registry for the population of the eight regions and the population of all areas with excluding the 8 regions. From the expected number of total cancer incidents, he estimated NCI was calculated by dividing the expected number of cancer cases by he umber of the total population. The standard error (SE) of the estimated incidence was also taken from the expected number of total cancer incidents. Results: The overall estimated crude rates in 2000-2002 ere 267.1 and 219.0 per 100,000 for men and women, respectively. The overall age-standardized rates (ASR) were 290.1 and 180.7 per 100,000, respectively. Compared with the ASRs obtained from Korea National Cancer Incidence database (KNCI DB), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB did not show statistically significant differences except for some cancers in women. For the aspect of the SE, index of DCO(death certificate only) and of MV(microscopically verified), the estimated ASRs from the KRCR DB are more accurate and they have higher quality rather than the calculated ASRs from the KNCI DB. Conclusions: We found that this developed method using the KRCR DB is valid and it could be another strategy for estimating the NCI in Korea.