• 제목/요약/키워드: null hypothesis

검색결과 197건 처리시간 0.021초

Distance between the Distributions of the P-value and the Lower Bound of the Posterior Probability

  • Oh, Hyun-Sook
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제6권1호
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    • pp.237-249
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    • 1999
  • It has been issued that the irreconcilability of the classical test for a point null and standard Bayesian formulation for testing such a point null. The infimum of the posterior probability of the null hypothesis is used as measure of evidence against the null hypothesis in Bayesian approach; here the infimum is over the family of priors on the alternative hypotheses which includes all density that are a priori reasonable. For iid observations from a multivariate normal distribution in $\textit{p}$ dimensions with an unknown mean and a covariance matrix propotional to the Identity we consider the difference and the Wolfowitz distance of the distributions of the P-value and the lower bound of the posterior probability over the family of all normal priors. The Wolfowitz distance is interpreted as the average difference of the quantiles of the two distrbutions.

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A Simultaneous Test Procedure

  • Hong, Seungman;Cho, Joong-Jae;Park, Hyo-Il
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제21권1호
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    • pp.11-22
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    • 2014
  • In this study, we propose a simultaneous test procedure based on the individual - values for each sub-null hypothesis with several well-known combining functions. We then compare the efficiency of our procedure with existing tests by obtaining empirical powers through a simulation study. Finally, we discuss some interesting features related to simultaneous test and point out a misconduct for the simulation study published in the previous work.

Asymptotic Distribution of a Nonparametric Multivariate Test Statistic for Independence

  • 엄용환
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제12권1호
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    • pp.135-142
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    • 2001
  • A multivariate statistic based on interdirection is proposed for detecting dependence among many vectors. The asymptotic distribution of the proposed statistic is derived under the null hypothesis of independence. Also we find the asymptotic distribution under the alternatives contiguous to the null hypothesis, which is needed for later use of computing relative efficiencies.

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비열등성 임상시험에서 독립인 두 비율 차 검정에 대한 비교 연구 (Comparative Analysis of Two Independent Proportions in Non-Inferiority Trials)

  • 윤민;곽민정
    • 응용통계연구
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    • 제23권6호
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    • pp.1115-1124
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    • 2010
  • 두 비율비교 비열등성 임상시험(non-inferiority trial)에서의 검정은 두 비율간에 차이가 없다는 영가설에 근거한 정규근사 산출식이 흔히 사용 된다. 본 연구에서는 두 비율차이가 영이 아니라는 가설에서 유도된 Miettinen과 Nurminen이 제안한 우도 스코어검정(likelihood score test)과 Farrington과 Manning의 검정 그리고 비대칭도(skewness)을 보정한 Gart와 Nam이 제안한 검정방법을 소개하고 모의실험을 통하여 제 1종 오류와 검정력을 비교하여 비열등성 임상시험에서 검정방법의 결정에 가이드라인을 제시하고자 한다.

가격변동의 전이효과 (Transmission Effect of Price Variations)

  • 김태호;안지희
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제17권2호
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    • pp.241-253
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    • 2010
  • 표준 단위근 검정이 실제 시계열자료의 단위근 귀무가설을 기각하지 못하는 경우가 많아지고 검정력에 문제점을 드러내면서 이와는 반대로 정상성 귀무가설을 단위근 대립가설에 대해 검정하는 방안이 제기되어 왔다. 본 연구는 국내 광역지역의 주택가격 시계열자료에 귀무가설과 대립가설이 바뀐 두 가지 종류의 단위근 검정법을 모두 적용시켜 보았다. 그리고 지역 자료간 통계적 역학관계를 검정하기 위한 인과관계, 교차상관관계 또 충격반응 및 분산분해 등에 대한 분석 결과는 대체로 일관된 성향을 보이는 것으로 나타났다.

The Null Distribution of the Likelihood Ratio Test for a Mixture of Two Gammas

  • Min, Dae-Hee
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제9권2호
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    • pp.289-298
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    • 1998
  • We investigate the distribution of likelihood ratio test(LRT) of null hypothesis a sample is from single gamma with unknown shape and scale against the alternative hypothesis a sample is from a mixture of two gammas, each with unknown scale and unknown (but equal) scale. To obtain stable maximum likelihood estimates(MLE) of a mixture of two gamma distributions, the EM(Dempster, Laird, and Robin(1977))and Modified Newton(Jensen and Johansen(1991)) algorithms were implemented. Based on EM, we made a simple structure likelihood equation for each parameter and could obtain stable solution by Modified Newton Algorithms. Simulation study was conducted to investigate the distribution of LRT for sample size n = 25, 50, 75, 100, 50, 200, 300, 400, 500 with 2500 replications. To determine the small sample distribution of LRT, I considered the model of a gamma distribution with shape parameter equal to 1 + f(n) and scale parameter equal to 2. The simulation results indicate that the null distribution is essentially invariant to the value of the shape parameter. Modeling of the null distribution indicates that it is well approximated by a gamma distribution with shape parameter equal to the quantity $0.927+1.18/\sqrt{n}$ and scale parameter equal to 2.16.

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Test of the Hypothesis based on Nonlinear Regression Quantiles Estimators

  • Choi, Seung-Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • 제14권2호
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    • pp.153-165
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    • 2003
  • This paper considers the likelihood ratio test statistic based on nonlinear regression quantiles estimators in order to test of hypothesis about the regression parameter $\theta_o$ and derives asymptotic distribution of proposed test statistic under the null hypothesis and a sequence of local alternative hypothesis. The paper also investigates asymptotic relative efficiency of the proposed test to the test based on the least squares estimators or the least absolute deviation estimators and gives some examples to illustrate the application of the main result.

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The Existence of Random Walk in the Philippine Stock Market: Evidence from Unit Root and Variance-Ratio Tests

  • CAMBA, Abraham C. Jr.;CAMBA, Aileen L.
    • The Journal of Asian Finance, Economics and Business
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    • 제7권10호
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    • pp.523-530
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    • 2020
  • The efficient market hypothesis explains the random walk hypothesis suggesting that stock prices are independent of each other, hence, it is impossible to earn abnormal profits. The positive effect of a well-functioning and highly efficient stock market on the performance of an economy motivated the Philippine Stock Exchange to pursue massive modernization initiatives. This research provides evidence of the existence of random walk in the Philippine stock market employing the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (1981) and Phillips-Perron (1988) unit root tests, the Lo-MacKinlay's (1988) conventional variance ratio test, and Chow-Denning's (1993) simple multiple variance ratio test. Results of the ADF and PP unit root tests confirm the necessary condition for a random walk. The Chow-Denning (1993) maximum /z/ statistic and the Wald test statistic as in Richardson and Smith (1991) for the joint hypotheses and the Lo and MacKinlay (1988) individual statistics variance ratio test generally accepted the null hypothesis of a random walk. That is, the unit root and variance ratio tests consistently indicate that the null hypothesis of random walk cannot be rejected. The existence of a random walk in weak-form efficiency can be attributed to market liquidity as a result of continuous development and modernization of the Philippine equity market.

Comparison of methods for the proportion of true null hypotheses in microarray studies

  • Kang, Joonsung
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • 제27권1호
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    • pp.141-148
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    • 2020
  • We consider estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in multiple testing problems. A traditional multiple testing rate, family-wise error rate is too conservative and old to control type I error in multiple testing setups; however, false discovery rate (FDR) has received significant attention in many research areas such as GWAS data, FMRI data, and signal processing. Identify differentially expressed genes in microarray studies involves estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in FDR procedures. However, we need to account for unknown dependence structures among genes in microarray data in order to estimate the proportion of true null hypothesis since the genuine dependence structure of microarray data is unknown. We compare various procedures in simulation data and real microarray data. We consider a hidden Markov model for simulated data with dependency. Cai procedure (2007) and a sliding linear model procedure (2011) have a relatively smaller bias and standard errors, being more proper for estimating the proportion of true null hypotheses in simulated data under various setups. Real data analysis shows that 5 estimation procedures among 9 procedures have almost similar values of the estimated proportion of true null hypotheses in microarray data.

Equivalence Testing as an Alternative to Significance Testing

  • Huh, Myung-Hoe
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • 제23권1호
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    • pp.199-206
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    • 1994
  • Sometimes a researcher with a view of conventional significance testing rejects his/her hypothesis, even through it could have not been rejected with a smaller sample. This can be a logical dilemma for a researcher who wants to "prove" a hypothesis rather than to show discrepancy from a null hypothesis. In this study, a new testing paradigm called equivalence testing via confidence interval will be developed so that it is suitable for the purpose of statistical proof.cal proof.

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