• Title/Summary/Keyword: null hypothesis

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The Sequential Testing of Multiple Outliers in Linear Regression

  • Park, Jinpyo;Park, Heechang
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.8 no.2
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    • pp.337-346
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    • 2001
  • In this paper we consider the problem of identifying and testing the outliers in linear regression. first we consider the problem for testing the null hypothesis of no outliers. The test based on the ratio of two scale estimates is proposed. We show the asymptotic distribution of the test statistic by Monte Carlo simulation and investigate its properties. Next we consider the problem of identifying the outliers. A forward sequential procedure based on the suggested test is proposed and shown to perform fairly well. The forward sequential procedure is unaffected by masking and swamping effects because the test statistic is based on robust estimate.

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Nonparametric test for unknown age class of life distributions

  • Abu-Youssef, S.E.;Mohammed, B.I.;Bakr, M.E.
    • International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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    • v.15 no.2
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    • pp.99-110
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    • 2014
  • Based on the kernel function, a new test is presented, testing $H_0:\bar{F}$ is exponential against $H_1:\bar{F}$ is UBACT and not exponential is given in section 2. Monte Carlos null distribution critical points for sample sizes n = 5(5)100 is investigated in section 3. The Pitman asymptotic efficiency for common alternatives is obtained in section 4. In section 5 we propose a test statistic for censored data. Finally, a numerical examples in medical science for complete and censored data using real data is presented in section 6.

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Errors in GEV analysis of wind epoch maxima from Weibull parents

  • Harris, R.I.
    • Wind and Structures
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    • v.9 no.3
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    • pp.179-191
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    • 2006
  • Parent wind data are often acknowledged to fit a Weibull probability distribution, implying that wind epoch maxima should fall into the domain of attraction of the Gumbel (Type I) extreme value distribution. However, observations of wind epoch maxima are not fitted well by this distribution and a Generalised Extreme Value (GEV) analysis leading to a Type III fit empirically appears to be better. Thus there is an apparent paradox. The reasons why advocates of the GEV approach seem to prefer it are briefly summarised. This paper gives a detailed analysis of the errors involved when the GEV is fitted to epoch maxima of Weibull origin. It is shown that the results in terms of the shape parameter are an artefact of these errors. The errors are unavoidable with the present sample sizes. If proper significance tests are applied, then the null hypothesis of a Type I fit, as predicted by theory, will almost always be retained. The GEV leads to an unacceptable ambiguity in defining design loads. For these reasons, it is concluded that the GEV approach does not seem to be a sensible option.

The Limit Distribution of an Invariant Test Statistic for Multivariate Normality

  • Kim Namhyun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.12 no.1
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    • pp.71-86
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    • 2005
  • Testing for normality has always been an important part of statistical methodology. In this paper a test statistic for multivariate normality is proposed. The underlying idea is to investigate all the possible linear combinations that reduce to the standard normal distribution under the null hypothesis and compare the order statistics of them with the theoretical normal quantiles. The suggested statistic is invariant with respect to nonsingular matrix multiplication and vector addition. We show that the limit distribution of an approximation to the suggested statistic is representable as the supremum over an index set of the integral of a suitable Gaussian process.

The Scale Ratio Testing of Multiple Outliers in Linear Regression

  • Park, Jin-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.14 no.3
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    • pp.673-685
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    • 2003
  • In this paper we consider the problem of identifying and testing outliers in linear regression. First we consider the problem for testing the null hypothesis of no outliers. A test based on the ratio of two residual scale estimates is proposed. We show the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics by Monte Carlo simulation and investigate its properties. Next we consider the problem of identifying the outliers. A forward sequential procedure using the suggested test is proposed and shown to perform fairly well. Unlike other forward procedures, the present one is unaffected by masking and swamping effects because the test statistic is based on robust scale estimate.

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The Forward Sequential Procedure for the Identifying Multiple Outliers in Linear Regression

  • Park, Jin-Pyo
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.16 no.4
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    • pp.1053-1066
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    • 2005
  • In this paper we consider the problem of identifying and testing outliers in linear regression. First we consider the use of the so-called scale ratio tests for testing the null hypothesis of no outliers. This test is based on the ratio of two residual scale estimates. We show the asymptotic distribution of the test statistics and investigate its properties. Next we consider the problem of identifying the outliers. A forward sequential procedure using the suggested test is proposed. The new method is compared with classical procedure in the real data example. Unlike other forward procedures, the present one is unaffected by masking and swamping effects because the test statistic is based on robust scale estimate.

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The Detection and Testing of Multiple Outliers in Linear Regression

  • Park, Jin-Pyo;Zamar, Ruben H.
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
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    • v.15 no.4
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    • pp.921-934
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    • 2004
  • We consider the problem of identifying and testing outliers in linear regression. First, we consider the scale-ratio tests for testing the null hypothesis of no outliers. A test based on the ratio of two residual scale estimates is proposed. We show the asymptotic distribution of test statistics and investigate the properties of the test. Next we consider the problem of identifying the outliers. A forward procedure based on the suggested test is proposed and shown to perform fairly well. The forward procedure is unaffected by masking and swamping effects because the test statistics used a robust scale estimate.

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A Study on the Impact of Price Change of International Crude Oil on Merchandise Balance (국제원유 가격변동이 상품수지에 미치는 영향 분석)

  • Son, Yong-Jung
    • International Commerce and Information Review
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    • v.10 no.3
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    • pp.459-474
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    • 2008
  • Under violent competition to secure international raw materials, safe supply and demand of crude oil that only relies on import among main raw materials is an important task for Korean economic development. Therefore, this study aims to analyze the impact of price change of international crude oil on merchandise balance. It also presents political suggestions in preparation for national economic development and safety and develops an organized and long-term overseas resources development program. As the time-series data which had the 1st difference contribute to dismissal of the null hypothesis successfully, we carry out a multivariate cointegration test developed by Johansen (1988) and find that at least one cointegration vector exists. And, when Impulse Response Function is introduced, as the crude oil import price shows a negative impact from Step 2, then an extreme change, a positive impact since Step 13, is maintained and a safe result appears.

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Interval Estimation of the Difference of two Population Proportions using Pooled Estimator

  • Hong, Chong-Sun
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.389-399
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    • 2002
  • In order to examine whether the difference between two point estimates of population proportions is statistically significant, data analysts use two techniques. The first is to explore the overlap between two associated confidence intervals. Second method is to test the significance which is introduced at most statistical textbooks under the common assumptions of consistency, asymptotic normality, and asymptotic independence of the estimates. Under the null hypothesis which is two population proportions are equal, the pooled estimator of population proportion is preferred as a point estimator since two independent random samples are considered to be collected from one population. Hence as an alternative method, we could obtain another confidence interval of the difference of the population proportions with using the pooled estimate. We conclude that, among three methods, the overlapped method is under-estimated, and the difference of the population proportions method is over-estimated on the basis of the proposed method.

Stationary bootstrap test for jumps in high-frequency financial asset data

  • Hwang, Eunju;Shin, Dong Wan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.23 no.2
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    • pp.163-177
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    • 2016
  • We consider a jump diffusion process for high-frequency financial asset data. We apply the stationary bootstrapping to construct a bootstrap test for jumps. First-order asymptotic validity is established for the stationary bootstrapping of the jump ratio test under the null hypothesis of no jump. Consistency of the stationary bootstrap test is proved under the alternative of jumps. A Monte-Carlo experiment shows the advantage of a stationary bootstrapping test over the test based on the normal asymptotic theory. The proposed bootstrap test is applied to construct continuous-jump decomposition of the daily realized variance of the KOSPI for the year 2008 of the world-wide financial crisis.