• 한국환경보건학회지
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• 제46권3호
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• pp.353-358
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• 2020

Objectives: An outbreak of pathogenic Escherichia coli food poisoning in Korea was first reported in 1998. They have continued to occure since then. This study was performed to describe the long-term trend in pathogenic E. coli food poisoning occurrences in Korea and examine the relation with climate factors. Methods: Official Korean statistics on food poisoning outbreaks and meteorological data for the period 2002-2017 were used. Pearson's correlation analysis was employed to establish the relationship between outbreaks of pathogenic E. coli food poisoning and meteorological factors. The influence of meteorological factors upon the outbreaks was analyzed by regression analysis. Results: During the study period, pathogenic E. coli food poisoning ranked second for the number of outbreaks (excluding unknowns) and first for the number of cases. Average temperature, the highest and lowest temperatures, precipitation, number of days with rainfall, and humidity all had a significant correlation with monthly number of outbreaks of pathogenic E. coli food poisoning (p<0.001). It was found that the lowest and highest temperatures and precipitation had a significant influence on the monthly number of outbreaks of food poisoning (p<0.001). These variables together explained 42.1% of the total variance, with the lowest temperature having the greatest explanatory power. Conclusion: These results show that food poisoning incidences may have been influenced by climate change, especially warming. The results also suggest that pathogenic E. coli infections are now an important public health issue in Korea since it is one of the countries where climate change is occurring rapidly.

• 한국수산과학회지
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• 제46권6호
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• pp.868-877
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• 2013

To understand the effects of marine environmental and meteorological parameters on laver Porphyra yezoensis production at Nakdong River Estuary, we analyzed marine environmental (water temperature, salinity, nutrients, etc.) and meteorological properties (air temperature, wind speed, precipitation, sunshine hours) with yearly and monthly variations in laver production over 10 years (2003-2013). Air and water temperature, wind speed, sunshine hours and precipitation were major factors affecting yearly variability in laver production at the Nakdong River Estuary. Lower air and water temperatures together with higher levels of nutrients and sunshine and stronger wind speeds resulted in higher laver harvests. Salinity and nitrogen did not show clear correlations with laver production, mainly due to the plentiful supply of nitrogen from river discharge and the low frequency of environmental measurements, which resulted in low statistical confidence. However, environmental factors affecting monthly laver production were related to the life cycle (culturing stage) of Porphyra yezoensis and were somewhat different from factors affecting annual laver production. In November, a young laver needs lower water temperatures for rapid growth, while a mature laver needs much stronger winds and more sunshine, as well as lower temperatures for massive production and effective photosynthesis, mostly in December and January. However, in spring (March), more stable environments with fewer fluctuations in air temperature are needed to sustain the production of newly deployed culture-nets ($2^{nd}$ time culture). These results indicate that rapid changes in weather and marine environments caused by global climate change will negatively affect laver production and, thus, to sustain the yield of and predict future variability in laver production at the Nakdong River estuary, environmental variation around laver culturing farms needs to be monitored with high resolution in space and time.

• 한국환경과학회지
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• 제25권4호
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• pp.459-472
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• 2016

We assessed the distribution of benthic macroinvertebrate at four surveying sites in Upo Wetland, a Ramsar site and the largest wetland in Korea, from February 2006 to November 2013. A long-term ecological monitoring was done monthly by using quantitative sampling method with dip net for analyzing the community change and correlation between the biodiversity and the environmental factors because environmental factors have a decisive effect on the community structure of the benthic macroinvertebrates. Total samples from the Upo Wetland area were classified into 3 phyla, 6 classes, 17 orders, 68 families, 176 species, and 25,720 individuals. Among the 176 species, 62 of the species had not been previously reported in this area. Asellus sp., Diplonychus esakii, and Gyraulus chinensis were the most common species in Upo Wetland. The change patterns of annual species diversity and species richness were calculated by using the average number of monthly occurring species and individuals. Diversity index increased from March to May and decreased after that showing lower diversity indices in July and August. It increased again in September and in October. Richness index showed similar tendency and fell around February and July, followed by a rising tendency around May and October. Correlation and regression analyses were performed with the change of biodiversity and each environmental factor. We found that water temperature have very significant positive correlation with species diversity in spring, and have significant indices in autumn and winter. On the other hand, precipitation showed a significantly negative correlation value in summer and autumn suggesting it has an effect on the community structure of benthic macroinvertebrates.

• 물과 미래
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• 제18권3호
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• pp.243-251
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• 1985

우리나라에서 증발량의 시간적 공간적 분포를 4대강 유역과 영동지방으로 나누어 기후자료를 이용하여 분석하고, 호수면 증발량과 증발산위량을 계산하여 다른 증발량 및 강수량과 비교함으로서 지역별 물수지요소의 변화를 조사하였다. 또한 증발에 영향을 미치는 기상요소와의 관계를 분석함으로서 기후관측요소 상호간의 관계를 규명하였다. 소형증발계에 가장 큰 영향을 미치는 기상요소는 일사량이며, 다음은 기온이나 풍속 및 상대습도 등은 그 월별값을 나타낼 때 거의 기여도가 없었다. 소형증발량과 대형증발량 및 호수면증발량은 서로 그 월별값의 상관이 0.90을 상회함으로 어느 한 증발량으로부터 유추할 수 있고, 년 소형증발계에 대한 대형증발량 및 호수면 증발량의 비는 각각 73% 및 55%정도이나, 산지에서는 그보다 약 10% 정도가 낮았다. 증발산위량은 작물생육기에 소형증발량의 약 80%에 달하나 년 평균치는 약 70% 정도이며, 강수량의 40∼60%에 달한다.

• 한국수자원학회논문집
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• 제35권5호
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• pp.597-609
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• 2002

본 연구에서는 과거 가뭄분석에 의해 가뭄관리 기준을 설정하고 가룰 진행 상황에 따라 가룸을 감시 및 관리하는 의사결정 방법을 제시하고자 한다. 이를 위하여 의사결정분기도를 작성하여 분석을 수행하고, 가뭄의 정도에 따라 구체적인 단계별 조치방안을 제안한다. 즉, 월강수의 전이확률과 강수량에 의하여 의사결정분기도를 작성하여 분석을 수행함으로써 가뭄의 진행상황을 파악해 가뭄주의보, 가뭄경보, 가뭄의 비상대책 등 3가지의 단계별 조치기준을 설정하는 것이다. 본 연구에서 제안된 방법은 다근 지역에서도 이용이 가능할 뿐 아니라 목적에 따라 분기도를 변환하여 이용할 수도 있을 것이다. 또한 지속적으로 기상자료를 보완하여 월 Parmer 지수(PDSI)의 등급 선정과 깅수량 분석을 수행할수 있어 보완된 의사결정분기도에 의한 기준값을 제공함으로써 계속적인 가뭄관리가 가능할 것으로 판단된다.

• 한국해안해양공학회지
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• 제9권2호
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• pp.74-85
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• 1997

마산만의 악화된 수질을 개선하고 관리하기 위해서는 정확한 물수지 및 해수교환 특성 분석이 선결되어야한다. 본 연구에서는 모형적용 영역을 4개의 해역으로 분할하여 월별로 물수지를 분석하였으며, 중요한 입력자료인 유역 유출량은 유출계수(=0.7)를 이용하여 추정하였다. 물수지 분석모형을 마산만 및 인근해역에 적용한 결과는 다음과 같다. 마산만 유역의 용수공급에 의한 유출기여율은 1978년 10% 수준에서 점차 증가하여, 현재는 강우에 의한 유출량과 대등한 수준이다. 또한, 하수 차집관거에 의한 유출저감량은 총 유입량의 약 25% 정도이며, 강우 및 증발에 의한 순영향은 10% 정도이다 한편, 마산만의 수리하적 정체시간은 약 3개월(97일)로, 해수교환이 잘 이루어지지 않는다. 해수교환에 의한 염도변화를 분석한 결과 월평균 강우와 염도의 시기적인 상관성은 없고, 염도간 지역적인 상관성만이 있는 것으로 나타났다

• 한국방재학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국방재학회 2010년도 정기 학술발표대회
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• pp.51.2-51.2
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• 2010

A novel approach of Poisson cluster stochastic rainfall generator was validated in its ability to reproduce important rainfall and watershed response characteristics at 104 locations of the United States. The suggested novel approach - The Hybrid Model(THM), as compared to the traditional ones, has an additional function to account for the year-to-year variability of rainfall statistics. The two-sample Kolmogorov-Smirnov test was used to see how well THM and traditional approach of Poisson cluster rainfall model reproduce the distribution of the following hydrologic variables: monthly maximum rainfall depths with 1, 3, 6, 12, and 24 hour duration, monthly maximum flow peaks at the virtual watersheds with Curve Number of 50, 60, 70, 80 and 90; and monthly runoff depths at the same virtual watersheds. In all of the testing variables, THM significantly outperformed the traditional approach. This result indicates that the year-to-year variability of rainfall statistics contains important information about the characteristics of rainfall processes that were not considered by the conventional approach of Poisson cluster rainfall modeling and that further considering it in rainfall simulation will enhance the performance of the rainfall models.

• 한국수자원학회:학술대회논문집
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• 한국수자원학회 2021년도 학술발표회
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• pp.373-373
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• 2021

Rainfall forecasting is an important issue that is applied in many areas, such as agriculture, flood warning, and water resources management. In this context, this study proposed a statistical and machine learning-based forecasting model for monthly rainfall. The Bayesian Gaussian process was chosen to optimize the hyperparameters of the Stacked Long Short-term memory (SLSTM) model. The proposed SLSTM model was applied for predicting monthly precipitation of Seoul station, South Korea. Data were retrieved from the Korea Meteorological Administration (KMA) in the period between 1960 and 2019. Four schemes were examined in this study: (i) prediction with only rainfall; (ii) with deseasonalized rainfall; (iii) with rainfall and minimum temperature; (iv) with deseasonalized rainfall and minimum temperature. The error of predicted rainfall based on the root mean squared error (RMSE), 16-17 mm, is relatively small compared with the average monthly rainfall at Seoul station is 117mm. The results showed scheme (iv) gives the best prediction result. Therefore, this approach is more straightforward than the hydrological and hydraulic models, which request much more input data. The result indicated that a deep learning network could be applied successfully in the hydrology field. Overall, the proposed method is promising, given a good solution for rainfall prediction.

• 한국농림기상학회지
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• 제12권2호
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• pp.132-142
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• 2010

우리나라에서 대표적 녹차재배 지역인 화개지역과 악양지역의 2009년 기상특성을 정리하면 화개지역과 악양지역의 연평균 기온은 각각 $14.5^{\circ}C$와 $14.2^{\circ}C$이며, 두 지역의 월평균기온을 보면 가장 더운 달은 8월로 각각 $25.4^{\circ}C$와 $24.9^{\circ}C$이고 가장 추운 달은 1월로 각각 $0.3^{\circ}C$와 $0.2^{\circ}C$ 이었으며, 일 최고기온은 각각 $28.4^{\circ}C$와 $27.9^{\circ}C$이고 일 최저기온은 $-5.0^{\circ}C$와 $-5.4^{\circ}C$이다. 연평균일교차는 화개지역이 $11.3^{\circ}C$이고 악양지역은 $11.1^{\circ}C$이다. 화개와 악양지역의 연평균습도는 각각 62.7%와 65.3% 이고, 연강수량은 1,387mm와 1,793mm로 2008년 대비 각각 605mm와 835mm가 더 내렸고, 5월부터 8월까지 화개 1,074mm, 악양 1,374mm로 집중적인 강수량을 보였다. 이것은 2009년 전체 강수량의 77.6%와 76.6%에 해당하는 수치로써 나머지 달에 비해 많은 강수량을 보임을 알 수 있다. 연평균 일조시간은 2,054.3시간으로 관측되었고 4, 5월에 각각 232.2시간과 235.1시간으로 가장 긴 일조시간을 보인 반면에 7, 8월에는 각각 102.5시간과 28.8시간으로 가장 짧은 일조시간을 보였다. 풍향은 가을과 겨울에 서북서, 서, 북서계열의 서풍이 불었고 봄, 여름철에는 남동, 북북동, 남동계열의 동풍이 불었으며, 연평균 풍속은 1.5m/s로 관측 되었으며 12월이 2.0m/s로 평균 풍속이 가장 높은 달이었고 2월이 1.1m/s로 평균풍속 이 가장 낮은 달이었다. 순간최대풍속은 3월 13일에 측정된 23.3m/s이었다. 2009년 조사된 기상관측정보를 토대로 매년 기상관측정보를 데이터화해서 녹차재배지역의 기상환경을 이해하고 생장환경 정보를 수집하며 최적의 녹차재배 환경의 기초자료로 활용할 수 있을 것으로 기대한다.

• Ocean and Polar Research
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• 제27권3호
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• pp.289-297
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• 2005

The change in global climate and Asian monsoon patterns during the mid-Holocene, 6000 years before present (6 ka), is simulated by a climate model at spectral truncations of T170 with 18 vertical layers, corresponding to grid-cell sizes of roughly 75km. The present simulation is forced with the observed monthly data of sea surface temperatures, and the specified concentration of atmospheric carbon dioxide, while in the mid-Holocene experiment, orbital parameters such as obliquity, precession, and eccentricity are changed to the 6ka conditions. Under such conditions, the precipitation associated with the summer monsoon is enhanced over a wider zonal band from the Middle East to Southeast Asia, while no significant alteration takes Place in winter. The monsoonal wind also increases over the Arabian Sea, showing the enhanced southwesterly wind during summer and northeasterly wind during winter. Overall, the showing of the Asian monsoon is enhanced during the mid-Holocene, especially in summer, which is consistent with the proxy estimates and other previous model simulations.