Browse > Article
http://dx.doi.org/10.3741/JKWRA.2002.35.5.597

A Study on the Hydrologic Decision-Making for Drought Management : 2. Decision-Making Method for Drought Management  

Kang, In-Joo (㈜대경 ENC)
Yoon, Yong-Nam (고려대학교 토목환경공학과)
Publication Information
Journal of Korea Water Resources Association / v.35, no.5, 2002 , pp. 597-609 More about this Journal
Abstract
This study suggests a methodology of hydrologic decision making for the establishment of a standard of drought management from the drought analysis by the past drought history and for the drought monitoring and management according to drought processing. The construction and analysis of a decision tree diagram are performed and the step by step plan according to drought severity is suggested. Say, the decision tree diagram is constructed by the transition probability and quantity of monthly precipitation. Then the drought processing is investigated by the analysis of diagram and the 3-step of drought notice, drought warning, and emergency plan are established. The suggested methology in this study can be used for the other area and the decision tree diagram be used by changing the diagram according to the utilization purposes. Also, the choice of monthly PDSI class and precipitation analysis can be performed by the continuous data supplement. And so, a new standard value by the modified diagram is provided and the continuous drought management will be possible.
Keywords
drought management; decision making; transition probability;
Citations & Related Records
Times Cited By KSCI : 3  (Citation Analysis)
연도 인용수 순위
1 심재현(1995). '외국의 가뭄대응과 물 관련법.' 대한토목학회지, 대한토목학회, 제43권, 제5호, pp. 33-38
2 Bruins, H.(1993). Drought Risk and Water Management in Israel : Olanning for the Future, in Donald A. Wilhite, Drought Assessment, Management and Planing : Theory and Case Studies, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Boston
3 Changnon, S.(1993). Are We Doomed to Fail in Drought Management?, in Martin Ruess, Water Resources Administration in the United States : Polisy, Practice, and Emerging Issues, Michigan State University Press, East Lansing : Michigan, pp.194-202
4 최영진(1995). '가뭄의 원인과 예측.' 한국수자원학회지, 한국수자원학회, 제28권, 제1호, pp.16-20   과학기술학회마을
5 Lohani, V.K., Loganathan, G.V.(1997). 'An Early Warning System for Drought Management Using the Palmer Drought Index.' J. of the American Water Resources Association, Vol. 33, No. 6, pp. 1375-1386   DOI   ScienceOn
6 Mays, L.W. and Ejeta, M.Z.(1999). Urban Water Pricing and Drought management : A Risk Based Approach, Drought Management Planning in Water Supply Systems, Kluwer Academic Publishers, pp.261-298
7 강인주, 윤용남(2002). '가뭄빈도공식을 이용한 가뭄의 평가.' 한국도시방재학회지논문집, 한국도시방재학회, 제2권, 제3호
8 Sharma, T.C.(1997). 'A Drought Frequency Formula.' Hydrological Sciences, Vol.42, No.6, pp. 803-814   DOI   ScienceOn
9 Wilhite, D.A(1993). Planning for Drought : A Methodology, in Whilhite, Donald A.(ed), Drought Assessment, Management and Planning : Theory and case Studies, Kluwer Academic Publishers, Norwell, Massachusetts, pp.87-108
10 Winston, W.L.(1994). Operations Research : Applications and Algorithms, Wadsworth Publishing Company, Boston, Belmont, California
11 이재수(2000). 자연재해의 이해, 구미서관
12 조덕운(1998). OR개론, 연경문화사
13 농림부(1995). '94, '95 가뭄극복
14 강인주(2000). 가뭄관리를 위한 수문학적 의사결정에 관한 연구, 박사학위논문, 고려대학교
15 강인주, 윤용남(2002). '가뭄관리를 위한 수문학적 의사결정에 관한 연구 : 1. 마코프연쇄를 이용한 PDSI의 추계학적 거동분석.' 한국수자원학회논문집, 한국수자원학회, 제35권, 제5호, pp. 583-595   과학기술학회마을   DOI
16 건설교통부(1995). 가뭄기록조사 보고서
17 농림부(1999). 농업재해대책 업무편람