• Title/Summary/Keyword: model-based estimator

Search Result 463, Processing Time 0.024 seconds

Optimal designs for small Poisson regression experiments using second-order asymptotic

  • Mansour, S. Mehr;Niaparast, M.
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.26 no.6
    • /
    • pp.527-538
    • /
    • 2019
  • This paper considers the issue of obtaining the optimal design in Poisson regression model when the sample size is small. Poisson regression model is widely used for the analysis of count data. Asymptotic theory provides the basis for making inference on the parameters in this model. However, for small size experiments, asymptotic approximations, such as unbiasedness, may not be valid. Therefore, first, we employ the second order expansion of the bias of the maximum likelihood estimator (MLE) and derive the mean square error (MSE) of MLE to measure the quality of an estimator. We then define DM-optimality criterion, which is based on a function of the MSE. This criterion is applied to obtain locally optimal designs for small size experiments. The effect of sample size on the obtained designs are shown. We also obtain locally DM-optimal designs for some special cases of the model.

An alternative randomized response technique (대체 확률화응답기법)

  • 류제복
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
    • /
    • v.6 no.2
    • /
    • pp.311-318
    • /
    • 1993
  • In this paper, we consider the test based on using Forced question model instead of Warner model and compare the power of two randomized respose models. The estimator for the prportion of the individuals belonging to the sensitive group is obtained by using Forced question model and the conditions that the estimator by Forced question model will be more efficient than the estimators by Warner model are found when the respondents are truthrul in their answers.

  • PDF

Negative Exponential Disparity Based Deviance and Goodness-of-fit Tests for Continuous Models: Distributions, Efficiency and Robustness

  • Jeong, Dong-Bin;Sahadeb Sarkar
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
    • /
    • v.30 no.1
    • /
    • pp.41-61
    • /
    • 2001
  • The minimum negative exponential disparity estimator(MNEDE), introduced by Lindsay(1994), is an excellenet competitor to the minimum Hellinger distance estimator(Beran 1977) as a robust and yet efficient alternative to the maximum likelihood estimator in parametric models. In this paper we define the negative exponential deviance test(NEDT) as an analog of the likelihood ratio test(LRT), and show that the NEDT is asymptotically equivalent to he LRT at the model and under a sequence of contiguous alternatives. We establish that the asymptotic strong breakdown point for a class of minimum disparity estimators, containing the MNEDE, is at least 1/2 in continuous models. This result leads us to anticipate robustness of the NEDT under data contamination, and we demonstrate it empirically. In fact, in the simulation settings considered here the empirical level of the NEDT show more stability than the Hellinger deviance test(Simpson 1989). The NEDT is illustrated through an example data set. We also define a goodness-of-fit statistic to assess adequacy of a specified parametric model, and establish its asymptotic normality under the null hypothesis.

  • PDF

Experimental validation of Kalman filter-based strain estimation in structures subjected to non-zero mean input

  • Palanisamy, Rajendra P.;Cho, Soojin;Kim, Hyunjun;Sim, Sung-Han
    • Smart Structures and Systems
    • /
    • v.15 no.2
    • /
    • pp.489-503
    • /
    • 2015
  • Response estimation at unmeasured locations using the limited number of measurements is an attractive topic in the field of structural health monitoring (SHM). Because of increasing complexity and size of civil engineering structures, measuring all structural responses from the entire body is intractable for the SHM purpose; the response estimation can be an effective and practical alternative. This paper investigates a response estimation technique based on the Kalman state estimator to combine multi-sensor data under non-zero mean input excitations. The Kalman state estimator, constructed based on the finite element (FE) model of a structure, can efficiently fuse different types of data of acceleration, strain, and tilt responses, minimizing the intrinsic measurement noise. This study focuses on the effects of (a) FE model error and (b) combinations of multi-sensor data on the estimation accuracy in the case of non-zero mean input excitations. The FE model error is purposefully introduced for more realistic performance evaluation of the response estimation using the Kalman state estimator. In addition, four types of measurement combinations are explored in the response estimation: strain only, acceleration only, acceleration and strain, and acceleration and tilt. The performance of the response estimation approach is verified by numerical and experimental tests on a simply-supported beam, showing that it can successfully estimate strain responses at unmeasured locations with the highest performance in the combination of acceleration and tilt.

Multiple Structural Change-Point Estimation in Linear Regression Models

  • Kim, Jae-Hee
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.19 no.3
    • /
    • pp.423-432
    • /
    • 2012
  • This paper is concerned with the detection of multiple change-points in linear regression models. The proposed procedure relies on the local estimation for global change-point estimation. We propose a multiple change-point estimator based on the local least squares estimators for the regression coefficients and the split measure when the number of change-points is unknown. Its statistical properties are shown and its performance is assessed by simulations and real data applications.

Higber Order Expansions of the Cumulants and the Modified Normalizing Process of Multi-dimensional Maximum Likelihood Estimator

  • Jonghwa Na
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • v.6 no.1
    • /
    • pp.305-318
    • /
    • 1999
  • In this paper we derive the higher order expansions of the first four cumulants of multi-dimensional Maximum Likelihood Estimator (MLE) under the general parametric model up to and including terms of order O({{{{ {n }^{-1 } }}}}) Also we obtain the explicit form of the expansion of the normalizing trans formation of multi-dimensional MLE and show that the suggested normalizing process is much better than the normal approximation based on central limit theorem through example.

  • PDF

Design of Optimized Adaptive PID Control Structures using Model Reduction and RLSE (모델축소와 RLSE을 이용한 최적화 적응형 PID 제어 구조 설계)

  • Cho, Joon-Ho;Choi, Jeoung-Nae;Hwang, Hyung-Soo
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
    • /
    • v.13 no.7
    • /
    • pp.609-615
    • /
    • 2007
  • We propose an optimized adaptive PID control scheme. This paper is focused on the development of model reduction as well as a new adoptive control structure (viz. a recursive least square estimation (RLSE) method-based structure) that is constructed with smith-predictor structure and a real time estimator. The estimator adjust parameters of a reduced model in real time. It leads to robust and superb control performance for the noise or variation of parameters of process. Experimental study reveals that the proposed control structure exhibits more superb output performance in comparison to some previous methods.

Bootstrap Confidence Intervals for a One Parameter Model using Multinomial Sampling

  • Jeong, Hyeong-Chul;Kim, Dae-Hak
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • v.10 no.2
    • /
    • pp.465-472
    • /
    • 1999
  • We considered a bootstrap method for constructing confidenc intervals for a one parameter model using multinomial sampling. The convergence rates or the proposed bootstrap method are calculated for model-based maximum likelihood estimators(MLE) using multinomial sampling. Monte Carlo simulation was used to compare the performance of bootstrap methods with normal approximations in terms of the average coverage probability criterion.

  • PDF

Two-Stage Estimator Design Using Stable Recursive FIR Filter and Smoother

  • Kim, Jong-Ju;Kim, Jae-Hun;Lyou, Joon
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 2005.06a
    • /
    • pp.2532-2537
    • /
    • 2005
  • FIR(Finite Impulse Response) filter is well known to be ideal for the finite time state-space model, but it requires much computation due to its inherent non-recursive structure especially when the measurement interval grows to a large extent. And often a fixed-lag smoother based on the finite time interval is needed to monitor the soundness of the system model and the measurement model, but the computation burden of FIR-type smoother imposes much restriction of its usage for real-time application. Conventional recursive forms of FIR estimator[1]-[4] could not be used for real time applications, since they are numerically unstable in their recursive equations. To cope with this problem, we suggest a stable recursive form FIR estimator(SRFIR) and its usefulness is demonstrated for designing the real-time fixed-lag smoother on the finite time window through an example of detection of rate bias in the anti-aircraft gun fire control system.

  • PDF

Vibration Exciter Design for Flow Resonance with a Displacement Estimator Using Strain Gage (스트레인 게이지 변위추정 센서를 사용한 유동공진 가진기 설계)

  • Nam, Yun-Su;Choe, Jae-Hyeok;Gang, Byeong-Ha
    • Transactions of the Korean Society of Mechanical Engineers A
    • /
    • v.26 no.9
    • /
    • pp.1874-1881
    • /
    • 2002
  • Heat dissipation technology using the flow resonant phenomenon is a kind of a new concept in the heat transfer area. A vibration exciter is needed to enhance air flow mixing which has the natural shedding frequency of thermal system. A mechanical vibrating device for the air flow oscillation is introduced, which is driven by a moving coil actuator with a displacement estimator using strain gage. An analytical dynamic model for this mechanical vibration exciter is presented and its validity is checked by the comparison with experimental data. Values of some unknown system parameters in the analytic model are estimated through the system identification approach. Based on this mathematical model, the vibration exciter using strain displacement estimator is developed. During the experimental verification phase, it turns out the high modal resonant characteristics of a vibrating plate are a major barrier against obtaining a high bandwidth vibration exciter.