• Title/Summary/Keyword: model reduction error

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Outside Temperature Prediction Based on Artificial Neural Network for Estimating the Heating Load in Greenhouse (인공신경망 기반 온실 외부 온도 예측을 통한 난방부하 추정)

  • Kim, Sang Yeob;Park, Kyoung Sub;Ryu, Keun Ho
    • KIPS Transactions on Software and Data Engineering
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    • v.7 no.4
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    • pp.129-134
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    • 2018
  • Recently, the artificial neural network (ANN) model is a promising technique in the prediction, numerical control, robot control and pattern recognition. We predicted the outside temperature of greenhouse using ANN and utilized the model in greenhouse control. The performance of ANN model was evaluated and compared with multiple regression model(MRM) and support vector machine (SVM) model. The 10-fold cross validation was used as the evaluation method. In order to improve the prediction performance, the data reduction was performed by correlation analysis and new factor were extracted from measured data to improve the reliability of training data. The backpropagation algorithm was used for constructing ANN, multiple regression model was constructed by M5 method. And SVM model was constructed by epsilon-SVM method. As the result showed that the RMSE (Root Mean Squared Error) value of ANN, MRM and SVM were 0.9256, 1.8503 and 7.5521 respectively. In addition, by applying the prediction model to greenhouse heating load calculation, it can increase the income by reducing the energy cost in the greenhouse. The heating load of the experimented greenhouse was 3326.4kcal/h and the fuel consumption was estimated to be 453.8L as the total heating time is $10000^{\circ}C/h$. Therefore, data mining technology of ANN can be applied to various agricultural fields such as precise greenhouse control, cultivation techniques, and harvest prediction, thereby contributing to the development of smart agriculture.

An Efficient Matrix-Vector Product Algorithm for the Analysis of General Interconnect Structures (일반적인 연결선 구조의 해석을 위한 효율적인 행렬-벡터 곱 알고리즘)

  • Jung, Seung-Ho;Baek, Jong-Humn;Kim, Joon-Hee;Kim, Seok-Yoon
    • Journal of the Institute of Electronics Engineers of Korea SD
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    • v.38 no.12
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    • pp.56-65
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    • 2001
  • This paper proposes an algorithm for the capacitance extraction of general 3-dimensional conductors in an ideal uniform dielectric that uses a high-order quadrature approximation method combined with the typical first-order collocation method to enhance the accuracy and adopts an efficient matrix-vector product algorithm for the model-order reduction to achieve efficiency. The proposed method enhances the accuracy using the quadrature method for interconnects containing corners and vias that concentrate the charge density. It also achieves the efficiency by reducing the model order using the fact that large parts of system matrices are of numerically low rank. This technique combines an SVD-based algorithm for the compression of rank-deficient matrices and Gram-Schmidt algorithm of a Krylov-subspace iterative technique for the rapid multiplication of matrices. It is shown through the performance evaluation procedure that the combination of these two techniques leads to a more efficient algorithm than Gaussian elimination or other standard iterative schemes within a given error tolerance.

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Implementing the Urban Effect in an Interpolation Scheme for Monthly Normals of Daily Minimum Temperature (도시효과를 고려한 일 최저기온의 월별 평년값 분포 추정)

  • 최재연;윤진일
    • Korean Journal of Agricultural and Forest Meteorology
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    • v.4 no.4
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    • pp.203-212
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    • 2002
  • This study was conducted to remove the urban heat island effects embedded in the interpolated surfaces of daily minimum temperature in the Korean Peninsula. Fifty six standard weather stations are usually used to generate the gridded temperature surface in South Korea. Since most of the weather stations are located in heavily populated and urbanized areas, the observed minimum temperature data are contaminated with the so-called urban heat island effect. Without an appropriate correction, temperature estimates over rural area or forests might deviate significantly from the actual values. We simulated the spatial pattern of population distribution within any single population reporting district (city or country) by allocating the reported population to the "urban" pixels of a land cover map with a 30 by 30 m spacing. By using this "digital population model" (DPM), we can simulate the horizontal diffusion of urban effect, which is not possible with the spatially discontinuous nature of the population statistics fer each city or county. The temperature estimation error from the existing interpolation scheme, which considers both the distance and the altitude effects, was regressed to the DPMs smoothed at 5 different scales, i.e., the radial extent of 0.5, 1.5, 2.5, 3.5 and 5.0 km. Optimum regression models were used in conjunction with the distance-altitude interpolation to predict monthly normals of daily minimum temperature in South Korea far 1971-2000 period. Cross validation showed around 50% reduction in terms of RMSE and MAE over all months compared with those by the conventional method.conventional method.

Multiple Regression Analysis for Piercing Punch Profile Optimization to Prevent Tearing During Tee Pipe Burring (다중 회귀 분석을 활용한 Tee-Pipe 버링 공정에서 찢어짐 방지를 위한 피어싱 펀치 형상 최적 설계)

  • Lee, Y.S.;Kim, J.Y.;Kang, J.S.;Hong, S.
    • Transactions of Materials Processing
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    • v.26 no.5
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    • pp.271-276
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    • 2017
  • A tee is the most common pipefitting used to combine or divide fluid flow. Tees can connect pipes of different diameters or change the direction of a pipe run. To manufacture tee type of stainless steel pipe, combinations of punch piercing and burr forming have been widely used in the industry. However, such method is considerably time consuming with regard to performing empirical work necessary to attain process conditions to prevent upper end tearing of the tee product and meet target tee height. Numerous experiments have shown that the piercing profile is the main cause of defects mentioned above. Furthermore, the mold design is formed through trial and error according to pipe diameters and changes in requirements. Thus, the objective of this study was to perform piercing and burring process analysis via finite element analysis using DYNAFORM to resolve problems mentioned above. An optimization design method was used to determine the piercing punch profile. Three radii of the piercing punch (i.e., large, small, and joined radii) were selected as design variables to minimize thinning of a tee pipe. Based on results of correlation and multiple regression analyses, we developed a predictive approximation model to satisfy requirements for both thickness reduction and target height. The new piercing punch profile was then applied to actual tee forming using the developed prediction equation. Model results were found to be in good agreement with experimental results.

Data anomaly detection and Data fusion based on Incremental Principal Component Analysis in Fog Computing

  • Yu, Xue-Yong;Guo, Xin-Hui
    • KSII Transactions on Internet and Information Systems (TIIS)
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    • v.14 no.10
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    • pp.3989-4006
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    • 2020
  • The intelligent agriculture monitoring is based on the perception and analysis of environmental data, which enables the monitoring of the production environment and the control of environmental regulation equipment. As the scale of the application continues to expand, a large amount of data will be generated from the perception layer and uploaded to the cloud service, which will bring challenges of insufficient bandwidth and processing capacity. A fog-based offline and real-time hybrid data analysis architecture was proposed in this paper, which combines offline and real-time analysis to enable real-time data processing on resource-constrained IoT devices. Furthermore, we propose a data process-ing algorithm based on the incremental principal component analysis, which can achieve data dimensionality reduction and update of principal components. We also introduce the concept of Squared Prediction Error (SPE) value and realize the abnormal detection of data through the combination of SPE value and data fusion algorithm. To ensure the accuracy and effectiveness of the algorithm, we design a regular-SPE hybrid model update strategy, which enables the principal component to be updated on demand when data anomalies are found. In addition, this strategy can significantly reduce resource consumption growth due to the data analysis architectures. Practical datasets-based simulations have confirmed that the proposed algorithm can perform data fusion and exception processing in real-time on resource-constrained devices; Our model update strategy can reduce the overall system resource consumption while ensuring the accuracy of the algorithm.

An Experimental Study on Optimizing for Tandem Gas Metal Arc Welding Process (탄뎀 가스메탈아크 용접공정의 최적화에 관한 실험적 연구)

  • Lee, Jongpyo;Kim, Illsoo;Lee, Jihye;Park, Minho;Kim, Youngsoo;Park, Cheolkyun
    • Journal of Welding and Joining
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    • v.32 no.2
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    • pp.22-28
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    • 2014
  • To enhance productivity and provide high quality production material in a GMA welding process, weld quality, productivity and cost reduction affects the number of process variables. In addition, a reliable welding process and conditions must be implemented to reduce weld structure failure. In various industries the welding process mathematical model is not fully formulated for the process parameter and on the welding conditions, therefore only partial variables can be predicted. The research investigates the interaction between the welding parameters (welding speed, distance between electrodes, and flow rate of shielding gas) and bead geometry for predicting the weld bead geometry (bead width, bead height). Taguchi techniques are applied to bead shape to develope curve equation for predicting the optimized process parameters and quality characteristics by analyzing the S/N ratio. The experimental results and measured error is within the range of 10% presenting satisfactory accuracy. The curve equation was developed in such a way that you can predict the bead geometry of constructed machinery that can be used for making tandem welding process.

Hand-Held Mobile Phone Design for SAR Reduction (SAR 저감을 위한 휴대폰 설계)

  • 홍수원;오학태;박천석
    • The Journal of Korean Institute of Electromagnetic Engineering and Science
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.352-359
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    • 2001
  • We propose the row method that is able to consider the SAR compliance test from the very beginning step of developing the mobile phone. The reason this new method is plausible is that we adopt the certified FDTD for the reliability of calculation, utilizing 1 mm high resolution model that is to model the phantom and the mobile phone almost identically to the reality. In this paper we introduce the process that will apply the proposed method in order to reduce the SAR of the mobile phone that has been problematic in satisfying the SAR compliance test. It results in dropping in the SAR that we keep the mobile phone or its antenna while we use it. Therefore here we make a claim as fellows. When we develop the new mobile phone, we should use the computer simulation combining the CAD design and radiation pattern rather than make a prototype and then use the trial and error method. Moreover the former way leads us to boost up the developing efficiency and reduce the cost.

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Prediction of Photovoltaic Power Generation Based on Machine Learning Considering the Influence of Particulate Matter (미세먼지의 영향을 고려한 머신러닝 기반 태양광 발전량 예측)

  • Sung, Sangkyung;Cho, Youngsang
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.28 no.4
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    • pp.467-495
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    • 2019
  • Uncertainty of renewable energy such as photovoltaic(PV) power is detrimental to the flexibility of the power system. Therefore, precise prediction of PV power generation is important to make the power system stable. The purpose of this study is to forecast PV power generation using meteorological data including particulate matter(PM). In this study, PV power generation is predicted by support vector machine using RBF kernel function based on machine learning. Comparing the forecasting performances by including or excluding PM variable in predictor variables, we find that the forecasting model considering PM is better. Forecasting models considering PM variable show error reduction of 1.43%, 3.60%, and 3.88% in forecasting power generation between 6am~8pm, between 12pm~2pm, and at 1pm, respectively. Especially, the accuracy of the forecasting model including PM variable is increased in daytime when PV power generation is high.

Optimizing Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) based on Machine Learning for Rainfall Impact Forecasting (호우 영향예보를 위한 머신러닝 기반의 수문학적 정량강우예측(HQPF) 최적화 방안)

  • Lee, Han-Su;Jee, Yongkeun;Lee, Young-Mi;Kim, Byung-Sik
    • Journal of Environmental Science International
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    • v.30 no.12
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    • pp.1053-1065
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    • 2021
  • In this study, the prediction technology of Hydrological Quantitative Precipitation Forecast (HQPF) was improved by optimizing the weather predictors used as input data for machine learning. Results comparison was conducted using bias and Root Mean Square Error (RMSE), which are predictive accuracy verification indicators, based on the heavy rain case on August 21, 2021. By comparing the rainfall simulated using the improved HQPF and the observed accumulated rainfall, it was revealed that all HQPFs (conventional HQPF and improved HQPF 1 and HQPF 2) showed a decrease in rainfall as the lead time increased for the entire grid region. Hence, the difference from the observed rainfall increased. In the accumulated rainfall evaluation due to the reduction of input factors, compared to the existing HQPF, improved HQPF 1 and 2 predicted a larger accumulated rainfall. Furthermore, HQPF 2 used the lowest number of input factors and simulated more accumulated rainfall than that projected by conventional HQPF and HQPF 1. By improving the performance of conventional machine learning despite using lesser variables, the preprocessing period and model execution time can be reduced, thereby contributing to model optimization. As an additional advanced method of HQPF 1 and 2 mentioned above, a simulated analysis of the Local ENsemble prediction System (LENS) ensemble member and low pressure, one of the observed meteorological factors, was analyzed. Based on the results of this study, if we select for the positively performing ensemble members based on the heavy rain characteristics of Korea or apply additional weights differently for each ensemble member, the prediction accuracy is expected to increase.

A Study of Orthognathic Surgical Guides with Two-stage Split Path (2단 절개 형태를 가지는 악교정 수술 장치 연구)

  • Min Uk, Kim;Chung Hwan, Park;Ji Hyoung, Rho;Eui Sung, Jung;Young Sang, Park;Dong Guk, Kim;Yohan, Seo;Young Jea, Woo;Jong Min, Lee
    • Journal of Biomedical Engineering Research
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    • v.43 no.6
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    • pp.382-389
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    • 2022
  • In this study, the accuracy of the orthognathic surgical guides with single-stage split path was upgraded to realize orthognathic surgical guides with two-stage split path and simulated surgery was performed to verify its accuracy. As a result, the average error distance between the simulation model and the scan model was + 0.289 / - 0.468 mm (standard deviation 0.128), which was confirmed to be within ± 0.5 mm, which is a clinically acceptable level. Also, there was no significant difference compared with the average value of + 0.313 / - 0.456 mm (average standard deviation 0.106) of the conventional single-stage split path type device. It is judged that the use of this device can contribute to the reduction of surgical time and increase in accuracy since a separate finishing operation for bone preparation is unnecessary.