• Proceedings of the Earthquake Engineering Society of Korea Conference
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• 2005.03a
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• pp.102-109
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• 2005

In this study, a prototype model of earthquake loss estimation method will be proposed for the quantitative and qualitative damage evaluation of buried pipeline subjected to Permanent Ground Deformation(PGD) due to liquefaction. With this objective, domestic and foreign status of the arts related with earthquake loss estimation method is summarized at first. Domestic development of computer aided earthquake loss estimation method seems to be difficult for the time being. Thus, referring to HAZUS : Earthquake Loss Estimation Methodology which is developed by FEMA (Federal Emergency Management Agency) and NIBS (National Institute of Building Sciences), earthquake loss estimation procedure of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction are proposed, and then exemplary loss estimation are executed. Considering that there have been no practical earthquake loss estimation method and procedure in Korea, the research accomplishments such as above are considered to be helpful for the substantial development of earthquake loss estimation method of buried pipeline subjected to PGD due to liquefaction.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.52 no.2
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• pp.275-286
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• 2024

Purpose: The spare part cost is one of the most important cost factors with which construct Life Cycle Cost. The LCSP(Life Cycle Sustainment Plan) Guidebook issued by Korea Ministry of Defense, however, suggests a simple equation to estimate the spare part cost using maintenance task frequencies and each part cost. Therefore, following the cost estimation method in the LCSP Guidebook may lead to an improper cost estimation result since both the hierarchical structure of the weapon system and the part discard rate are not considered. The purpose of this study is to develop a new life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts of weapon system during its life cycle. Methods: In this study, the detailed cost structure of spare parts is provided. Also a new spare part cost estimation methods for the each cost element are proposed, considering the hierarchical structure of weapon system and the part discard rate. And the proposed spare cost estimation methods are applied to K system for a case study. Results: Based on the case study of K system, the spare part cost estimation method, proposed by this study, shows that it can complement the estimation method suggested by the LCSP Guidebook. It also shows that it is applicable to the weapon systems for Korea armed forces. Conclusion: The proposed life cycle cost estimation method for spare parts has an advantage of estimating the spare part cost more accurately. It is expected to be useful in analyzing the procurement alternatives objectively and making up the Korea armed forces budget effectively.

• Journal of Korean Society for Quality Management
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• v.41 no.2
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• pp.249-260
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• 2013

Purpose: The main objective of this paper is to propose an RD method by developing a neural network (NN)-based estimation approach in order to provide an alternative aspect of response surface methodology (RSM). Methods: A specific modeling procedure for integrating NN principles into response function estimations is identified in order to estimate functional relationships between input factors and output responses. Finally, a comparative study based on simulation is performed as verification purposes. Results: This simulation study demonstrates that the proposed NN-based RD method provides better optimal solutions than RSM. Conclusion: The proposed NN-based RD approach can be a potential alternative method to utilize many RD problems in competitive manufacturing nowadays.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.23 no.2
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• pp.75-91
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• 2006

The purpose of this paper is to propose a new software development cost estimation method using SVR(Support Vector Regression) SVR, one of machine learning techniques, has been attracting much attention for its theoretic clearness and food performance over other machine learning techniques. This paper may be the first study in which SVR is applied to the field of software cost estimation. To derive the new method, we analyze historical cost data including both well-known overseas and domestic software projects, and define cost drivers affecting software cost. Then, the SVR model is trained using the historical data and its estimation accuracy is compared with that of the linear regression model. Experimental results show that the SVR model produces more accurate prediction than the linear regression model.

• Korean Management Science Review
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• v.19 no.1
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• pp.117-128
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• 2002

In this Paper we investigate the performance of the five efficiency estimation methods which include the stochastic frontier model estimated by maximum likelihood (SFML), the stochastic frontier model estimated by corrected ordinary least squares (SFCOLS), the data envelopment analysis (DIA) model, the combined estimation of SFML and DEA (SFML + DEA), and the combined estimation of SFCOLS arid DIA (SFCOLS+ DEA) using Monte Carlo analysis. The results include: 1) SFML provides most accurate efficiency estimates for the sample sloe 150 or over,2) SFML+DEAor SFCOLS + DIA Perform better for the cases with sample sloe 25, 50, and low random errors, 3) SFCOLS performs better for the close with sample sloe 25, 50, and very high random errors.

• Proceedings of the KSR Conference
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• 2008.11b
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• pp.61-65
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• 2008

Urban flooding with surcharges in sewer system was investigated because of unexpected torrential storm events these days, causing significant amounts of human and economic damages. Although there are limitations in forecasting and preventing natural disasters, integrated urban flooding management system using the SWMM engine and Web technology will be an effective tool in securing safety in operating Bi-modal transportation system. In addition, the integrated urban flooding management system can be linked with general and transportation-related disaster management system in the future. In this study, With simulated values by the SWMM, which is a core engine of the Bi-modal disaster management system, flash flooding area estimation module was developed. Thus, the SWMM system codes were modified and new module was developed and integrated with the existing SWMM interface using the Delphi programming language. The flash flooding area estimation module is fully integrated with the SWMM interface, thus the area is estimated on-the-fly inside the system.

• Journal of the Korean Operations Research and Management Science Society
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• v.42 no.2
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• pp.35-48
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• 2017

As the technology convergence paradigm emerges, the need for "CIA techniques" to analyze the mutual effects of technology is increasing. However, since the CIA input parameter estimation is difficult, the present study suggests a "CIA input parameter setting model" to alleviate the difficulty of CIA input parameter estimation. This paper is focused on the difference of measurement difficulty by each scale which expert's estimation behavior was defined as measurement activity quantifying the judgment of future technology. Therefore, this model is designed to estimate the input variable as a sequence or isometric scale that is relatively easy to measure, and then converts it into a probability value. The input parameter setting model of the CIA technique consists of three sub-models : 'probability value derivation model', 'influence estimation model', and 'impact value calculation model', in order to develop a series of models the Thurstone V model, Regression Analysis, etc has been used.

• Proceedings of the Korean Institute of Building Construction Conference
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• 2014.05a
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• pp.168-169
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• 2014

Construction Technology Service is currently hardly managed due to failure to offer standard management system of service performance, company performance, and business evaluation in every Ordering Agencies. After Construction Technology Promotion Act is enforced in May 2014, Ordering Agency obligates them to report to Minister of Land and Transportation within 10 days upon contract/ amendment/ completion. In 2013, in advance to enforcement of this law, performance management system for construction technology service was developed for a test run. However this system only applies to main contractors while management and operation of subcontractors are unavailable that causes problems on connection and integration with Experience Management Trustee. Therefore, this research will establish systematic foundation that enables real-time information of service performance and evaluation of subcontractors to result standardization of performance and evaluation for public ordered services.

• International Journal of Reliability and Applications
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• v.9 no.1
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• pp.53-70
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• 2008

In this paper, we discuss the plethora of uses for the software package R, and focus specifically on its helpful applications in reliability data analyses. Examples are presented; including the R coding protocol, R code, and plots for various statistical as well as reliability analyses. We explore Kaplan-Meier estimates and maximum likelihood estimation for distributions including the Weibull. Finally, we discuss future applications of R, and usages of quantile regression in reliability.

• Plant Journal
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• v.8 no.1
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• pp.50-59
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• 2012

The current dual-watchdog estimation system has individually calculated the construction, the engineering and the procurement cost. The dual-watchdog estimation system is inefficient and prolonged estimation period because of the lack of the interoperability and the difference of material unit cost and construction unit cost. In order to resolve this problem, new estimation software was developed. The estimation software is developed by making up for the weak points in existing estimation method. The cost data with the same standard is the key point. And this software enhanced accuracy and speed of the data search in stylized estimation standard. A summary of the construction, the engineering and the procurement cost was generated in this estimation software. The unit rate about the labor cost, equipment and expense through a sheet was handled. The developed estimation software has five categories on engineering cost, procurement cost, construction cost and subcontractor management sheet. In this study, the estimation software to supplement the faults of the existing estimation method was developed. And estimation software on petrochemical projects increases an efficiency of the estimation work.