• Title/Summary/Keyword: logit모형

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An Analysis of the Correspondence between Environmental Damage and the Subsidy in the Vicinity of a Landfill in the Seoul Methropolitan Area (수도권매립지 주변의 환경피해와 주민지원금 간의 상응성 분석)

  • Kang, Heechan
    • Environmental and Resource Economics Review
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    • v.30 no.3
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    • pp.365-393
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    • 2021
  • Using the Choice Experiment Method, this paper identified whether subsidy to the household around landfil in Seoul metropolitan area is being provided corresponding to the scale of the environmental damage. Since 2001, the subsidy program has been operating for nearly 20 years to compensate for various environmental damage (foul odor, noise, air pollution, water pollution, etc.) from landfill site in the metropolitan area, but it is not clear on what ground the subsidy is allocated. This paper estimated the marginal WTP by attribute (odor, noise, air pollution, and water pollution) based on mixed logit model and compared them with current subsidy level per household in each town. As a result of the comparison, it was found that the subsidy for each town was not allocated in proportion to the amount of the marginal WTP for each household in the corresponding town. In addition, this paper constructs a level-by-level scenario for environmental improvement attributes and compares economic benefits and current subsidy levels. As a result, the current subsidy level is insufficient compared to the level at which environmental damage is completely eliminated, but excessive subsidy is allocated compared to partial improvement levels.

A Study on the Influences of Korean Consumer Characteristics and Propensity to Purchase in Brand Choice (한국소비자 특성과 구매성향이 브랜드 선택에 미치는 영향에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Hyung-Suk;Kim, Chur
    • International Area Studies Review
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    • v.12 no.3
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    • pp.321-339
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    • 2008
  • The purpose of this study to the analyze characteristics and purchasing activities of consumers by using the Multinomial Logit model, which is a well-known discrete selection model to explain and forecast consumers' selection activities(patterns). The study aims to determine the state of competition between National Brand and Private Band and how some demographic characters and marketing variables influence consumers' brand selections within the facial tissue market. Our analysis process includes reorganization of panel data(individuals' purchasing record at each point) to fit the purpose of our study as well as analysis of probability and influencing factors of consumers' brand selection at each point of purchases. The result showed that consumers at higher age and with higher income hold better probability to purchase National Brand. Likewise, locations also had considerable effect on selecting brand, and Private Brand was preferred in department store and discount stores. On the other hand, consumers loyal to National Brand reported higher probability to purchase if the product prices were higher while Private Brand buyers were more promoted the purchase under price discount.

Analyzing the Determinants and Estimate cost against Resettlement on New Town Project Using Ordinal Logit Model (순서형로짓모형을 이용한 재정비촉진지구의 재정착비용추정 및 결정요인 분석)

  • Choi, Yeol;Park, Sung Ho
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.29 no.2D
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    • pp.287-293
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    • 2009
  • The aim of this paper is to analyze resettlement cost and decision factors of resettlement since Redevelopment Promotion Projects. Range of resettlement cost was averagely increased 204% by using actual data. Consequently, the research is operated for aboriginal people in these areas by a questionnaire. The questionnaire ask a payment range of the resettlement cost with 4 stages; 150% and less, 180% and less, 200% and less, excess of 200%. Research scope is consist of Seo-kumsa, Civil Park, Chung-mu and Young-do. These areas are redevelopment of Busan metropolitan city. Resettlement is come under the influence of the resettlement cost and many factors by each specific character. In many alternatives for resettlement, understanding the reason why aboriginal peoples select a certain alternative and if we actualize the proper alternative, aboriginal peoples' resettlement ratio will be increased. Moreover it ask housing characteristic, housing life pattern for understanding aboriginal peoples' characteristic. Also data analysis model is ordinal logistic model'. In analysis result, resettlement cost is 150% of aboriginal assets. and significance parameter is sex, job, income, region, affection, attachment, housing possession type, size and others have influence on aboriginal peoples' resettlement.

Analysis of Travel Modal Choice and the Temporal Transferability for Workers (취업자의 1일 통행수단선택 분석 및 모형의 시간이전성 검토)

  • 김대웅;배영석;이명미
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.17 no.5
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    • pp.19-32
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    • 1999
  • In this study, the trip characteristics of workers in the city are systematically analyzed. The trip behaviors and socioeconomic characteristics of workers are analyzed using Person Trip Survey Data of 1988 and 1992 in Taegu Metropolitan area. With the results of behavioral analyses, the daily travel pattern of workers is shown as one tour contained two trips and it is relatively simple and stable. Also the rate using the same mode in a day is Presented as high ratio. So, it can be explained that the choice of worker\`s first trip is fixed his/her travel mode for his/her daily travel mode. Based on these analyses, the mode choice model for workers is developed by applying the Multi-nominal Logit Model with the choice set of bus, taxi, and car. The explanatory variables of this model include sex, age, auto, travel time, and cost. Empirical tests of the model show encouraging results. After that, the temporal transferability of the model is examined by the Pairwise t-test and five indexes far the model of 1988 and 1992. The results of examination are satisfied with each significance level of the explanatory variables and five indexes. Therefore. it can be concluded that the temporal transferability of this model developed in this study is resonable.

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Elastic Demand Stochastic User Equilibrium Assignment Based on a Dynamic System (동적체계기반 확률적 사용자균형 통행배정모형)

  • Im, Yong-Taek
    • Journal of Korean Society of Transportation
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    • v.25 no.4
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    • pp.99-108
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    • 2007
  • This paper presents an elastic demand stochastic user equilibrium traffic assignment that could not be easily tackled. The elastic demand coupled with a travel performance function is known to converge to a supply-demand equilibrium, where a stochastic user equilibrium (SUE) is obtained. SUE is the state in which all equivalent path costs are equal, and thus no user can reduce his perceived travel cost. The elastic demand SUE traffic assignment can be formulated based on a dynamic system, which is a means of describing how one state develops into another state over the course of time. Traditionally it has been used for control engineering, but it is also useful for transportation problems in that it can describe time-variant traffic movements. Through the Lyapunov Function Theorem, the author proves that the model has a stable solution and confirms it with a numerical example.

Simultaneous Optimization Model of Case-Based Reasoning for Effective Customer Relationship Management (효과적인 고객관계관리를 위한 사례기반추론 동시 최적화 모형)

  • Ahn, Hyun-Chul;Kim, Kyoung-Jae;Han, In-Goo
    • Journal of Intelligence and Information Systems
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.175-195
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    • 2005
  • 사례기반추론(case-based reasoning)은 사례간 유사도를 평가하여 유사한 이웃사례를 찾아내고, 이웃사례의 결과를 이용하여 새로운 사례에 대한 예측결과를 생성하는 전통적인 인공지능기법 중 하나다. 이러한 사례기반추론이 최근 적용이 쉽고 간단하다는 장점과 모형의 갱신이 실시간으로 이루어진다는 점 등으로 인해, 온라인 환경에서의 고객관계관리를 위한 도구로 학계와 실무에서 주목을 받고 있다 하지만, 전통적인 사례기반추론의 경우, 타 인공지능기법에 비해 정확도가 상대적으로 크게 떨어진다는 점이 종종 문제점으로 제기되어 왔다. 이에, 본 연구에서는 사례기반추론의 성과를 획기적으로 개선하기 위한 방법으로 유전자 알고리즘을 활용한 사례기반추론의 동시 최적화 모형을 제안하고자 한다. 본 연구가 제안하는 모형에서는 기존 연구에서 사례기반추론의 성과에 중대한 영향을 미치는 요소들로 제시된 바 있는 사례 특징변수의 상대적 가중치 선정(feature weighting)과 참조사례 선정(instance selection)을 유전자 알고리즘을 이용해 최적화함으로서, 사례간 유사도를 보다 정밀하게 도출하는 동시에 추론의 결과를 왜곡할 수 있는 오류사례의 영향을 최소화하고자 하였다. 제안모형의 유용성을 검증하기 위해, 본 연구에서는 국내 한 전문 인터넷 쇼핑몰의 구매예측모형 구축사례에 제안모형을 적용하여 그 성과를 살펴보았다. 그 결과, 제안모형이 지금까지 기존 연구에서 제안된 다른 사례기반추론 개선모형들은 물론, 로지스틱 회귀분석(LOGIT), 다중판별분석(MDA), 인공신경망(ANN), SVM 등 다른 인공지능 기법들에 비해서도 상대적으로 우수한 성과를 도출할 수 있음을 확인할 수 있었다.

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Unified Approach to Coefficient of Determination $R^2$ Using Likelihood Distancd (우도거리에 의한 결정계수 $R^2$에의한 통합적 접근)

  • 허명회;이종한;정진환
    • The Korean Journal of Applied Statistics
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    • v.4 no.2
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    • pp.117-127
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    • 1991
  • Coefficient of determination $R^2$ is most frequently used descriptive measure in practical use of linear regression analysis. But there have been controversies on defining this measure in the cases of linear regression without the intercept, weighted linear regression and robust linear regression. Several authors such as Kvalseth(1985) and Willet and Singer(1988) proposed many variations of $R^2$ to meet the situations. However, theire measures are not satisfactory due to the lack of a universal principle. In this study, we propose a unfied approach to defining the coefficient of determination $R^2$ using the concept of likelihood distance. This new measure is in good accordance with typical $R^2$ in linear regression and, moreover, can be applied to nonlinear regression models and generalized linear models such as logit and log-linear models.

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An Analysis for Urban Competitiveness of Global Cities & 7 Metropolitan Korean Cities using Oxford Economics Data (우리나라 7대 광역시와 세계 770개 도시 경쟁력 비교분석 - Oxford Economics 자료에 근거한 도시경쟁력 -)

  • Cho, Jae Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Regional Science Association
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    • v.33 no.4
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    • pp.3-17
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    • 2017
  • This study ranks by developing an urban competitiveness index of major global cities, including seven cities in Korea using data from the Global Cities Forecast (2013) provided by Oxford Economics. The City competitiveness index is selected from 18 indicators including scale index, ratio index, growth rate index while Gini coefficient is used for distribution index. In order to analyze the relationship between the competitiveness index and the distribution index, we use the LOGIT panel regression model. As a result, the increase in income inequality (Gini coefficient) has a negative effect on the economic growth rate in 5-year time lag shown statistically significant. We have compiled global rankings of 770 city competitiveness based upon 19 indicators by combining the global competitiveness index and the distribution index. The trend of rank shows that 7 Metropolitan Korean Cities are expected to decline substantially over the period. In particular, Seoul ranked $59^{th}$ in 2010 and $74^{th}$ in 2015. Its ranking is expected to be decline to $185^{th}$ in 2030. The declining competitiveness of Korean cities is expected to lead to a weakening of Korea's national competitiveness in the long run. Accordingly, it is imperative to identify problems and seek strategic plans to secure global urban competitiveness.

The Determination of Risk Group and Severity by Traffic Accidents Types - Focusing on Seoul City - (교통사고 위험그룹 및 사고유형별 심각도 결정 연구 - 서울시 중심 -)

  • Shim, Kywan-Bho
    • International Journal of Highway Engineering
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    • v.11 no.2
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    • pp.195-203
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    • 2009
  • This research wished to risk type and examine closely driver special quality and relation of traffic accidents by occurrence type of traffic accidents and traffic accidents seriousness examine closely relation with Severity. Fractionate traffic accidents type by eight, and driver's special quality for risk group's classification did to distinction of sex, vehicle type, age etc. analyzed relation with injury degree adding belt used putting on availability for security the objectivity with wave. Used log-Linear model and Logit model for analysis of category data. A head-on collision and overtaking accident, right-turn accident are high injury or death accident and possibility to associate in relation with accident type and seriousness degree. In risk group analysis The age less than 20 years in motor-cycle driver, taxi driver in 41 years to 50 years old are very dangerous. The woman also was construed to the more risk group than man from when related to car, mini-bus, goods vehicle etc. Therefore, traffic safety education and Enforcement for risk group that way that can reduce accident that produce to reduce a loss of lives at traffic accidents appearance a head-on collision and overtaking accidents, right-turn accidents should be studied and as traffic accidents weakness class may have to be solidified.

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An Analysis on the Preference and Use-Demand Forecasting of Bus Information (버스정보의 선호도 및 이용수요 예측에 관한 연구)

  • Lee, Won Gyu;Jung, Hun Young
    • KSCE Journal of Civil and Environmental Engineering Research
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    • v.28 no.6D
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    • pp.791-799
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    • 2008
  • To build the system which has high utilization and usefulness for users, it is necessary to know the information type and use-demand that the use want. The purpose of this study is to forecast the preference and demand of utilization for bus information when bus information is offered through cellular phon. The accomplishments of this research are as follow : Firstly, importance on the level of individual factor and the value of change's figure can be evaluated, using preference analysis on bus information by conjoint analysis. Secondly, by establishing the use-demand model bus information using binary logit model, influence factor on whether or not the use of the user. Finally, ordered probit model was built by use behavior model in payment per call or per month of potential user of bus information. Through call times and sensitive analysis by payment methods, elasticity point, optimal payment fee, and use probability was analyzed. This study make application as basic to efficient bus information policy and to improve use rate of bus information in future because this study make it possible to get preference analysis, use-demand analysis and estimation of optimal payment fee which is reflecting various requirement in use of bus information user.