• 제목/요약/키워드: linear predictive

검색결과 508건 처리시간 0.03초

Bayesian curve-fitting with radial basis functions under functional measurement error model

  • Hwang, Jinseub;Kim, Dal Ho
    • Journal of the Korean Data and Information Science Society
    • /
    • 제26권3호
    • /
    • pp.749-754
    • /
    • 2015
  • This article presents Bayesian approach to regression splines with knots on a grid of equally spaced sample quantiles of the independent variables under functional measurement error model.We consider small area model by using penalized splines of non-linear pattern. Specifically, in a basis functions of the regression spline, we use radial basis functions. To fit the model and estimate parameters we suggest a hierarchical Bayesian framework using Markov Chain Monte Carlo methodology. Furthermore, we illustrate the method in an application data. We check the convergence by a potential scale reduction factor and we use the posterior predictive p-value and the mean logarithmic conditional predictive ordinate to compar models.

Temperature Control of a Reheating Furnace using Feedback Linearization and Predictive Control

  • Park, Jae-Hun;Jang, Yu-Jin;Kim, Sang-Woo
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 2001년도 ICCAS
    • /
    • pp.27.1-27
    • /
    • 2001
  • Reheating furnace is a facility of heating up the billet to desired high temperature in the hot charge rolling process and it consists of 3 zones. Temperature control of reheating furnace is essential for successful rolling performance and high productivity. Mostly, temperature control is carried out using PID controller However, the PID control is not effective due to the nonlinearity of the reheating furnace(i.e, presence of the interference of neighboring zones and slow response of temperature etc.). In this paper, feedback linearization method is applied to obtain a linear model of the reheating furnace. Then, controller is designed using simple predictive control method. The effectiveness of this strategy is shown through simulations.

  • PDF

Bayesian Modeling of Mortality Rates for Colon Cancer

  • Kim Hyun-Joong
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
    • /
    • 제13권1호
    • /
    • pp.177-190
    • /
    • 2006
  • The aim of this study is to propose a Bayesian model for fitting mortality rate of colon cancer. For the analysis of mortality rate of a disease, factors such as age classes of population and spatial characteristics of the location are very important. The model proposed in this study allows the age class to be a random effect in addition to its conventional role as the covariate of a linear regression, while the spatial factor being a random effect. The model is fitted using Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. Posterior expected predictive deviances, standardized residuals, and residual plots are used for comparison of models. It is found that the proposed model has smaller residuals and better predictive accuracy. Lastly, we described patterns in disease maps for colon cancer.

Property Control in a Continuous MMA Polymerization Reactor using EKF based Nonlinear Model Predictive Controller

  • Ahn, Sung-Mo;Park, Myung-June;Rhee, Hyun-Ku
    • 제어로봇시스템학회:학술대회논문집
    • /
    • 제어로봇시스템학회 1998년도 제13차 학술회의논문집
    • /
    • pp.468-473
    • /
    • 1998
  • A mathematical model was developed for a continuous re-actor in which free radical polymerization of methyl methacrylate (MMA) occurred. Elementary reactions considered in this study were initiation, propagation, termination, and chain transfers to monomer and solvent. The reactor model took into account the density change of the reactor contents and the gel effect. A control system was designed for a continuous reactor using extended Kalman filter (EKF) based non-linear model predictive controller (NLMPC) to control the conversion and the weight average molecular weight of the polymer product. Control input variables were the jacket inlet temperature and the feed flow rate. For the purpose of validation of the control strategy, on-line digital control experiments were conducted with densitometer and viscometer for the measurement of the polymer properties. Despite the com-plex and nonlinear features of the polymerization reaction system, the EKF based NLMPC performed quite satisfactorily for the property control of the continuous polymerization reactor.

  • PDF

Design and Implementation of a Robust Predictive Control Scheme for Active Power Filters

  • Han, Yang;Xu, Lin
    • Journal of Power Electronics
    • /
    • 제11권5호
    • /
    • pp.751-758
    • /
    • 2011
  • This paper presents an effective robust predictive control scheme for the active power filter (APF) using a smith-predictor based current regulator, which show superior features when compared to proportional-integral (PI) controllers in terms of an enhanced closed-loop bandwidth and an improved current tracking accuracy. A moving average filter (MAF) is implemented using a field programmable gate array (FPGA) for signal pre-processing to eliminate the switching ripple contamination. An adaptive linear neural network (ADALINE) is used for individual harmonic estimation to achieve selective compensation purpose. The effectiveness and validity of the devised control algorithm are confirmed by extensive simulation and experimental results.

입력제한 조건을 가지는 순항 제어 시스템을 위한 이벤트-트리거 MPC (Event-triggered MPC for Adaptive Cruise Control System with Input Constraints)

  • 이상문
    • 전기학회논문지
    • /
    • 제66권1호
    • /
    • pp.165-170
    • /
    • 2017
  • This paper presents an event-triggered model predictive controller for adaptive cruise control system with sampled and quantized-data. Unlike existing works, a longitudinal continuous-time model is used for the predictive control of the system. To efficiently utilize network resources, event-trigger scheme is employed, which allows limited sensor and actuator signal satisfying the condition that the measurement of errors is over the ratio of a trigger level. The proposed control gain is obtained by solving a convex problem satisfying several linear matrix inequalities at every sampling times. Simulation results are given to show the effectiveness of the proposed design method.

A fuzzy grey predictor for civil frame building via Lyapunov criterion

  • Chen, Z.Y.;Meng, Yahui;Wang, Ruei-Yuan;Chen, Timothy
    • Computers and Concrete
    • /
    • 제30권5호
    • /
    • pp.357-367
    • /
    • 2022
  • In this paper, we propose an efficient control method that can be transformed into a general building control problem for building structure control using these reliability criteria. To facilitate the calculation of controller H∞, an efficient solution method based on Linear Matrix Inequality (LMI) is introduced, namely H∞-based LMI control. In addition, a self-tuning predictive grey fuzzy controller is proposed to solve the problem caused by wrong parameter selection to eliminates the effect of dynamic coupling between degrees of freedom (DOF) in Self-Tuning Fuzzy Controllers. We prove stability using Lyapunov's stability theorem. To check the applicability of the proposed method, the proposed controller is applied and the control characteristics are determined. The simulation assumes system uncertainty in the controller design and emphasizes the use of acceleration feedback as a practical consideration. Simulation results show that the performance of the proposed controller is impressive, stable, and consistent with the performance of LMI-based methods. Therefore, an effective control method is suitable for seismic reinforcement of civil buildings.

회귀 모델을 활용한 철강 기업의 에너지 소비 예측 (Forecasting Energy Consumption of Steel Industry Using Regression Model)

  • Sung-Ho KANG;Hyun-Ki KIM
    • Journal of Korea Artificial Intelligence Association
    • /
    • 제1권2호
    • /
    • pp.21-25
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study was to compare the performance using multiple regression models to predict the energy consumption of steel industry. Specific independent variables were selected in consideration of correlation among various attributes such as CO2 concentration, NSM, Week Status, Day of week, and Load Type, and preprocessing was performed to solve the multicollinearity problem. In data preprocessing, we evaluated linear and nonlinear relationships between each attribute through correlation analysis. In particular, we decided to select variables with high correlation and include appropriate variables in the final model to prevent multicollinearity problems. Among the many regression models learned, Boosted Decision Tree Regression showed the best predictive performance. Ensemble learning in this model was able to effectively learn complex patterns while preventing overfitting by combining multiple decision trees. Consequently, these predictive models are expected to provide important information for improving energy efficiency and management decision-making at steel industry. In the future, we plan to improve the performance of the model by collecting more data and extending variables, and the application of the model considering interactions with external factors will also be considered.

A Study on Subjective Assessment of Knit Fabric by ANFIS

  • Ju Jeong-Ah;Ryu Hyo-Seon
    • Fibers and Polymers
    • /
    • 제7권2호
    • /
    • pp.203-212
    • /
    • 2006
  • The purpose of this study was to examine the effects of the structural properties of plain knit fabrics on the subjective perception of textures, sensibilities, and preference among consumers. This study, then, aimed to provide useful information with respect to planning and designing knitted fabrics by predicting the subjective characteristics analyzed according to their structural properties. For this purpose, we employed statistical analysis tools, such as factor and regression analysis and an adaptive-network-based fuzzy inference system(ANFIS), thereby combining the merits of fuzzy and neural networks and presupposing a non-linear relationship. Through factor analysis, we also categorized the subjective textures into 'roughness', 'softness', 'bulkiness' and 'stretch-ability' with R2=70.32%: and categorized the sensibilities into 'Stable/Neat', 'Natural/Comfortable' and 'Feminine/Elegant' with R2=68.12%. We analyzed subjective textures, sensibilities, and preference with ANFIS, assuming non-linear relationships; consequently, we were able to generate three or four fuzzy rules using wool/rayon fiber content and loop length as input data. The textures of roughness and softness exhibited a linear relationship, but other subjective characteristics demonstrated a non-linear input-output relationship. Compared with linear regression analysis, the ANFIS exhibited had higher predictive power with respect to predicting subjective characteristics.

Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
    • /
    • 제11권3호
    • /
    • pp.310-314
    • /
    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.