• Title/Summary/Keyword: linear error model

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Analysis of Linear Regression Model with Two Way Correlated Errors

  • Ssong, Seuck-Heun
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.29 no.2
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    • pp.231-245
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    • 2000
  • This paper considers a linear regression model with space and time data in where the disturbances follow spatially correlated error components. We provide the best linear unbiased predictor for the one way error components. We provide the best linear unbiased predictor for the one way error component model with spatial autocorrelation. Further, we derive two diagnostic test statistics for the assessment of model specification due to spatial dependence and random effects as an application of the Lagrange Multiplier principle.

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Constant Error Variance Assumption in Random Effects Linear Model

  • Ahn, Chul-Hwan
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.2 no.2
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    • pp.296-302
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    • 1995
  • When heteroscedasticity occurs in random effects linear model, the error variance may depend on the values of one or more of the explanatory variables or on other relevant quantities such as time or spatial ordering. In this paper we derive a score test as a diagnostic tool for detecting non-constant error variance in random effefts linear model based on the model expansion on error variance. This score test is compared to loglikelihood ratio test.

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Performance Comparison Analysis of Artificial Intelligence Models for Estimating Remaining Capacity of Lithium-Ion Batteries

  • Kyu-Ha Kim;Byeong-Soo Jung;Sang-Hyun Lee
    • International Journal of Advanced Culture Technology
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    • v.11 no.3
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    • pp.310-314
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    • 2023
  • The purpose of this study is to predict the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries and evaluate their performance using five artificial intelligence models, including linear regression analysis, decision tree, random forest, neural network, and ensemble model. We is in the study, measured Excel data from the CS2 lithium-ion battery was used, and the prediction accuracy of the model was measured using evaluation indicators such as mean square error, mean absolute error, coefficient of determination, and root mean square error. As a result of this study, the Root Mean Square Error(RMSE) of the linear regression model was 0.045, the decision tree model was 0.038, the random forest model was 0.034, the neural network model was 0.032, and the ensemble model was 0.030. The ensemble model had the best prediction performance, with the neural network model taking second place. The decision tree model and random forest model also performed quite well, and the linear regression model showed poor prediction performance compared to other models. Therefore, through this study, ensemble models and neural network models are most suitable for predicting the remaining capacity of lithium-ion batteries, and decision tree and random forest models also showed good performance. Linear regression models showed relatively poor predictive performance. Therefore, it was concluded that it is appropriate to prioritize ensemble models and neural network models in order to improve the efficiency of battery management and energy systems.

Comparison of Confidence Intervals on Variance Component In a Simple Linear Regression Model with Unbalanced Nested Error Structure

  • Park, Dong Joon;Park, Sun-Young;Han, Man-Ho
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.9 no.2
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    • pp.459-471
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    • 2002
  • In applications using a linear regression model with nested error structure, one might be interested in making inferences concerning variance components. This article proposes approximate confidence intervals on the variance component of the primary level in a simple linear regression model with an unbalanced nested error structure. The intervals are compared using computer simulation and recommendations are provided for selecting an appropriate interval.

Trajectory Following Control Using Cogging Force Model in Linear Positioning System

  • Chung, Myung-Jin;Gweon, Dae-Gab
    • International Journal of Precision Engineering and Manufacturing
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    • v.3 no.3
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    • pp.62-68
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    • 2002
  • To satisfy the requirement of the one axis linear positioning system, which is following control of the desired trajectory without following error and is the high positioning accuracy, feed-forward loop having cogging force model is proposed. In the one axis linear positioning system with linear PM motor, cogging force acting as disturbance is modeled analytically. Analytic model of cogging force is verified by result measured from positioning system constructed with linear PM motor. Measured result is very similar with proposed analytic model. Cogging force model is used as feet forward loop in control scheme of linear positioning system. Cogging force feed-forward'loop is obtained from analytic model of cogging farce. Trajectory following error is reduced from 300nm to 100nm by applying the proposed cogging farce feed-forward loop. By using analytic model of cogging force, the control scheme is simplified. Also this analytic model is applicable to calculation of characteristic value of positioning system in design process.

Error Forecasting Using Linear Regression Model

  • Ler, Lian Guey;Kim, Byung-Sik;Choi, Gye-Woon;Kang, Byung-Hwa;Kwang, Jung-Jae
    • Journal of Wetlands Research
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    • v.13 no.1
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    • pp.13-23
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    • 2011
  • In this study, Mike11 will be used as the numerical model where a data assimilation method will be applied to it. This paper aims to gain an insight and understanding of data assimilation in flood forecasting models. It will start with a general discussion of data assimilation, followed by a description of the methodology and discussion of the statistical error forecast model used, which in this case is the linear regression. This error forecast model is applied to the water level forecast simulated by MIKE11 to produced improved forecast and validated against real measurements. It is found that there exists a phase error in the improved forecasts. Hence, 2 general formula are used to account for this phase error and they have shown improvement to the accuracy of the forecasts, where one improved the immediate forecast of up to 5 hours while the other improved the estimation of the peak discharge.

Measurement and Compensation of Heliostat Sun Tracking Error Using BCS (Beam Characterization System) (광특성분석시스템(BCS)을 이용한 헬리오스타트 태양추적오차의 측정 및 보정)

  • Hong, Yoo-Pyo;Park, Young-Chil
    • Journal of Institute of Control, Robotics and Systems
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    • v.18 no.5
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    • pp.502-508
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    • 2012
  • Heliostat, as a concentrator to reflect the incident solar energy to the receiver, is the most important system in the tower-type solar thermal power plant since it determines the efficiency and ultimately the overall performance of solar thermal power plant. Thus, a good sun tracking ability as well as a good optical property of it are required. Heliostat sun tracking system uses usually an open loop control system. Thus the sun tracking error caused by heliostat's geometrical error, optical error and computational error cannot be compensated. Recently use of sun tracking error model to compensate the sun tracking error has been proposed, where the error model is obtained from the measured ones. This work is a development of heliostat sun tracking error measurement and compensation method using BCS (Beam Characterization System). We first developed an image processing system to measure the sun tracking error optically. Then the measured error is modeled in linear polynomial form and neural network form trained by the extended Kalman filter respectively. Finally error models are used to compensate the sun tracking error. We also developed the necessary image processing algorithms so that the heliostat optical properties such as maximum heat flux intensity, heat flux distribution and total reflected heat energy could be analyzed. Experimentally obtained data shows that the heliostat sun tracking accuracy could be dramatically improved using either linear polynomial type error model or neural network type error model. Neural network type error model is somewhat better in improving the sun tracking performance. Nevertheless, since the difference between two error models in compensation of sun tracking error is small, a linear error model is preferred in actual implementation due to its simplicity.

Estimation of the Polynomial Errors-in-variables Model with Decreasing Error Variances

  • Moon, Myung-Sang;R. F. Gunst
    • Journal of the Korean Statistical Society
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    • v.23 no.1
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    • pp.115-134
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    • 1994
  • Polynomial errors-in-variables model with one predictor variable and one response variable is defined and an estimator of model is derived following the Booth's linear model estimation procedure. Since polynomial model is nonlinear function of the unknown regression coefficients and error-free predictors, it is nonlinear model in errors-in-variables model. As a result of applying linear model estimation method to nonlinear model, some additional assumptions are necessary. Hence, an estimator is derived under the assumption that the error variances are decrasing as sample size increases. Asymptotic propoerties of the derived estimator are provided. A simulation study is presented to compare the small sample properties of the derived estimator with those of OLS estimator.

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Interval Estimation for Sum of Variance Components in a Simple Linear Regression Model with Unbalanced Nested Error Structure

  • Park, Dong-Joon
    • Communications for Statistical Applications and Methods
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    • v.10 no.2
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    • pp.361-370
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    • 2003
  • Those who are interested in making inferences concerning linear combination of valiance components in a simple linear regression model with unbalanced nested error structure can use the confidence intervals proposed in this paper. Two approximate confidence intervals for the sum of two variance components in the model are proposed. Simulation study is peformed to compare the methods. The methods are applied to a numerical example and recommendations are given for choosing a proper interval.

Confidence Interval For Sum Of Variance Components In A Simple Linear Regression Model With Unbalanced Nested Error Structure

  • Park, Dong-Joon
    • Proceedings of the Korean Statistical Society Conference
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    • 2003.05a
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    • pp.75-78
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    • 2003
  • Those who are interested in making inferences concerning linear combination of variance components in a simple linear regression model with unbalanced nested error structure can use the confidence intervals proposed in this paper. Two approximate confidence intervals for the sum of two variance components in the model are proposed. Simulation study is peformed to compare the methods.

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